Regional socialization and disarmament preferences: Explaining state positions on the nuclear ban treaty

Figures & data

Figure 1. Most (and least) discriminating words.

Figure 2. Positions on the TPNW.

Figure 3. Position on the TPNW across NWFZs and MSPs.

Table 1. Testing the impact of NWFZs against alternative hypotheses.

	Position on TPNW
	Model 1	Model 2
NWFZ	−0.743**
	(0.327)
Bangkok		0.169
		(0.409)
Mongolian		−0.782
		(0.584)
Pelindaba		−0.686**
		(0.330)
Rarotonga		0.436
		(0.416)
Semei		1.143*
		(0.610)
Tlatelolco		−1.110***
		(0.259)
Agreement with US at UNGA	2.319	1.178
	(1.391)	(1.079)
Share of Military Expenditure of GDP	0.030	0.027
	(0.141)	(0.116)
GDP (in billions of dollars)	0.0003	0.0003*
	(0.0002)	(0.0001)
Intra-state conflict	0.742**	0.416
	(0.337)	(0.313)
Level of democracy	0.576	1.715***
	(0.674)	(0.546)
Constant	−1.128	−1.330**
	(0.741)	(0.585)
Observations	46	46
R^2	0.540	0.777

Note: *p < 0.1; **p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01.

Table A1. Average and standard deviation by group and year.

Year	NWF	Mean	Standard deviation
2022	Bangkok	0.5	0.808
2022	Mongolian	−0.687	–
2022	No NWFZ	0.611	0.991
2022	Pelindaba	−0.591	0.61
2022	Rarotonga	0.629	0.31
2022	Semei	0.785	–
2022	Tlatelolco	−0.896	0.619
2023	Bangkok	0.412	0.844
2023	Mongolian	−0.164	–
2023	No NWFZ	1.032	1.06
2023	Pelindaba	−0.279	0.605
2023	Rarotonga	0.797	0.681
2023	Semei	1.002	–
2023	Tlatelolco	−0.378	0.916

Table A2. Description of the variables.

	Number of observations	Mean	Standard deviation	Minimum	Maximum	Skew
Position on TPNW	62	−0.192	0.955	−1.855	2.132	0.338
Agreement with the US at UNGA	54	0.434	0.127	0.192	0.733	0.87
NWFZ	60	0.767	0.427	0	1	−1.23
Bangkok	60	0.117	0.324	0	1	0.329
Mongolian	60	0.017	0.129	0	1	7.363
No-NWFZ	60	0.233	0.427	0	1	1.223
Pelindaba	60	0.2	0.403	0	1	1.467
Rarotonga	60	0.833	0.278	0	1	2.940
Semei	60	0,017	0.129	0	1	7.363
Tlatelolco	60	0.333	0.475	0	1	0.69
GDP in (in Billions of dollars)	52	314.287	596.923	0.188	3618.134	3.709
Military expenditure over GDP	47	1.144	0.757	0	3.905	1.377
Intra-state conflict	62	0.97	0.298	0	1	2.662
Level of democracy	58	0.514	0.261	0.134	0.899	−0.84

Figure A3. Screeplot.