Spatial-temporal patterns of homicide in socioeconomically deprived settings: violence in Alagoas, Brazil, 2006‒2015

Figures & data

Table 1. Homicide deaths by sex and region in Alagoas state 2006–2015

		Year of Homicide Death
		2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015
Homicides	State	1618 (100.0%)	1826 (100.0%)	1887 (100.0%)	1873 (100.0%)	2087 (100.0%)	2243 (100.0%)	2046 (100.0%)	2148 (100.0%)	2085 (100.0%)	1747 (100.0%)
	male	1512 (93.4%)	1718 (94.1%)	1804 (95.6%)	1762 (94.1%)	1950 (93.4%)	2105 (93.8%)	1913 (93.5%)	2005 (93.3%)	1960 (94.0%)	1652 (94.6%)
	female	106 (6.6%)	108 (5.9%)	82 (4.4%)	111 (5.9%)	137 (6.6%)	139 (6.2%)	133 (6.5%)	142 (6.6%)	125 (6.0%)	95 (5.4%)
	Metro Region	956 (100.0%)	1031 (100.0%)	1124 (100.0%)	989 (100.0%)	1134 (100.0%)	1194 (100.0%)	1057 (100.0%)	1159 (100.0%)	1000 (100.0%)	765 (100.0%)
	male	908 (95.0%)	989 (95.9%)	1078 (95.9%)	939 (94.9%)	1065 (93.9%)	1124 (94.1%)	990 (93.7%)	1092 (94.2%)	940 (94.0%)	714 (93.3%)
	female	48 (5.0%)	42 (4.1%)	46 (4.1%)	50 (5.1%)	69 (6.1%)	70 (5.9%)	67 (6.3%)	66 (5.7%)	60 (6.0%)	51 (6.7%)
	Inner Cities	662 (100.0%)	795 (100.0%)	763 (100.0%)	884 (100.0%)	953 (100.0%)	1049 (100.0%)	989 (100.0%)	989 (100.0%)	1085 (100.0%)	982 (100.0%)
	male	604 (91.2%)	729 (91.7%)	726 (95.2%)	823 (93.1%)	885 (92.9%)	981 (93.5%)	923 (93.3%)	913 (92.3%)	1020 (94.0%)	938 (95.5%)
	female	58 (8.8%)	66 (8.3%)	36 (4.7%)	61 (6.9%)	68 (7.1%)	69 (6.6%)	66 (6.7%)	76 (7.7%)	65 (6.0%)	44 (4.5%)

Table 2. Homicide death rates by sex and region in Alagoas state 2006–2015

		Death rates per 100,000 inhabitants
		2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	Mean
Homicides	State	51.9	58.0	59.4	58.4	64.6	68.9	62.4	65.1	62.8	52.3	60.4
	male	98.7	110.2	115.7	112.1	123.2	132.2	119.4	124.5	121.1	101.6	115.9
	female	6.7	6.7	5.1	6.8	8.3	8.4	7.9	8.4	7.3	5.8	7.1
	Metro Region	79.3	84.2	90.6	78.7	89.2	92.9	81.4	88.5	75.7	57.4	81.8
	male	156.2	165.7	180.6	155.5	174.7	182.6	159.5	174.6	149.2	112.6	161.1
	female	7.7	6.6	7.1	7.7	10.4	10.5	9.9	9.6	8.7	8.0	8.6
	Inner Cities	34.6	41.3	39.4	45.3	48.6	53.2	49.9	49.7	54.3	48.9	46.5
	male	63.5	75.7	75.4	85.0	91.0	100.4	94.1	92.7	103.2	94.6	87.6
	female	6.0	6.8	3.7	6.2	6.9	6.9	6.6	7.6	6.4	4.4	6.2

Figure 1. Municipalities with homicide rates >80 per 100,000

Figure 2. Empirical Bayes relative risk estimates for male-victim homicide

Figure 3. Empirical Bayes relative risk estimates for female-victim homicide

Table 3. Model results indicating positive correlation between income and homicide

	Not Transformed				Transformed
Predictors	Estimates	Std. Error	Statistic	p	Estimates	Std. Error	Statistic	p
(Intercept)	−11.83	8.40	−1.41	0.162	−427.520	71.240	−6.00	<0.001
INCOME	0.10	0.02	6.67	<0.001
INCOME_log					75.06	11.38	6.60	<0.001
Observations	102				101
R^2/R^2 adjusted	0.308/0.301				0.305/0.298

Data availability statement

The datasets generated and/or analysed during the current study are available in the DATASUS website [http://tabnet.datasus.gov.br/cgi/deftohtm.exe?sim/cnv/ext10AL.def].