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Articles

How MDMA flows across the USA: evidence from price data

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Pages 122-139 | Published online: 17 May 2016
 

Abstract

This study uses wholesale prices of MDMA for 59 cities in the USA published by the National Drug Intelligence Center (NDIC) over the period of 2002–2011 to identify trafficking patterns of MDMA. Price differentials and correlations between pairs of cities are used to infer the presence of a link and the direction of flow of MDMA. The presence of inward and outward links is used to categorise each city as a ‘source’, ‘destination’, ‘transit’, or ‘weakly integrated’ city. The analysis identified low prices close to the Canadian and Mexican borders, in a number of cities such as Chicago, Miami, New York City, a trio of cities in the Carolinas, and along the West Coast. A number of these cities are linked to large numbers of other cities, indicating hub- or source-like status. The findings generate insights into the status of major US cities in the MDMA trafficking network.

Acknowledgements

We would like to acknowledge the assistance of the National Drug Intelligence Center for providing price data on MDMA. We would also like to thank the reviewers for their constructive comments and suggestions on the manuscript.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.

Notes

1. Karch, “Historical Review of MDMA.”

2. Center for Behavioral Health Statistics and Quality, 2014 NSDUH Detailed Tables.

3. Johnston et al., Monitoring the Future.

4. Landry, “MDMA: Review of Epidemiological Data”; Simons et al., “Club Drug Use”; Strote et al., “Increasing MDMA Use.”

5. Yacoubian, “Estimating Prevalence of Ecstasy.”

6. Freese et al., “Effects and Consequences”; Karch, “Historical Review of MDMA”; Rochester and Kirchner, “Ecstasy.”

7. Wu et al., “Prevalence of Substance Use”; Wu et al. “Concurrent Use.”

8. See note 3.

9. Beehner, “Afghanistan’s Role”; Yusuf, “The Drugs of War.”

10. Boivin, “Macrosocial Network Analysis”; Boivin, “Drug Trafficking Networks.”

11. Boivin, “Risks, Prices and Positions.”

12. Berlusconi, Aziani and Giommoni, “Does Size Matter?”

13. Chandra and Joba, “Cocaine and Heroin Flow.”

14. Chandra, Barkell and Steffen, “Inferring Cocaine Flows.”

15. Andreas and Youngers, “US Drug Policy and the Andean Cocaine Industry.”; Clawson and Lee, The Andean Cocaine Industry.

16. Kulsudjarit, “Drug Problem.”

17. See note 1.

18. Drug Enforcement Administration, “Drugs of Abuse”; National Drug Intelligence Center, Drug Enforcement Administration and United States Customs Service, “Joint Assessment of MDMA.”

19. U.S. Department of Justice, Atlanta HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, Central Valley HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, Chicago HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, Houston HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, Michigan HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, Midwest HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, Milwaukee HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, Nevada HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, New England HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, North Florida HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, North Texas HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, Northern California HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, Northwest HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, Oregon HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, Philadelphia/Camden HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, Rocky Mountain HIDTA Analysis; U.S. Department of Justice, Washington/Baltimore HIDTA Analysis.

20. U.S. Department of Justice, Narcotics Digest Weekly.

21. U.S. Department of Justice, National Illicit Drug Prices.

22. Chandra and Barkell, “Price Data”; Chandra et al., “Inferring Cocaine Flows.”

23. National Drug Intelligence Center. Narcotics Digest Weekly. Special Issue: Illicit Drug Prices, July 2002–December 2002,” 1.

24. National Drug Intelligence Center. National Illicit Drug Prices: Year-end 2009 and Midyear 2010, 1.

25. Caulkins, “Price and Purity Analysis”; Chandra, Peters and Zimmer, “Powdered Cocaine”; Reuter and Caulkins, “Price Dispersion.”

26. Chandra, Peters and Zimmer, “Powdered Cocaine.”

27. Caulkins and Padman, “Quantity Discounts”; Chandra et al., “Powdered Cocaine”; Reuter and Caulkins, “Price Dispersion.”

28. National Drug Intelligence Center, Drug Threat Assessment 2011.

29. Ibid.

30. See note 26.

31. Borgatti, et al., “Robustness of Centrality Measures.”

32. Chandra and Barkell, “Price Data”; Chandra, Barkell and Steffen, “Inferring Cocaine Flows”; Chandra, Peters and Zimmer, “ Powdered Cocaine.”

33. Caulkins and Bond, “Marijuana Price Gradients”; Chandra, et al., “Powdered Cocaine”; Kleiman, Marijuana: Costs of Abuse, Costs of Control.

34. Buxton, The Political Economy of Narcotics: Production, Consumption and Global Markets; Reuter, “Borders Sealed?”; Reuter and Kleiman, “Risks and Prices.”

35. National Drug Intelligence Center, “Drug Threat Assessment 2004.”

36. Baumer and Wolff, “Evaluating Contemporary Crime Drop(s).”

37. See note 35.

38. “National Drug Threat Assessment,” 2004-05, 2007-09, 2011.

39. Bouchard et al., Meth and MDMA Markets; Willoughby, “Drug Trafficking.”

40. See note 26.

41. See note 13.

42. See notes 10and 11; Morselli, Inside Criminal Networks.

43. Caulkins and Bond, “Marijuana Price Gradients.”

Additional information

Funding

This study was not supported by any external funding sources.

Notes on contributors

Siddharth Chandra

Siddharth Chandra is Professor and Director of the Asian Studies Center at Michigan State University. His research interests include behaviour and policy relating to addictive substances, the intersection of economics, health and history in Asia and applications of portfolio theory to fields outside finance, for which the theory was originally developed.

Yan-Liang Yu

Yan-Liang Yu is a PhD candidate in the Department of Sociology at Michigan State University. His primary research interests are health disparities and the marriage–health link over the life course. His recent research examines health implications of interracial marriage among non-Hispanic whites and blacks in the United States. He is currently working on a project that investigates how marital experiences are linked to chronic disease progression among older adults in the United States diagnosed with diabetes and cardiovascular disease.

Vinay Bihani

Vinay Bihani is Data Scientist working with Cognizant Technology Solutions, consulting for clients in diverse domains such as retail, insurance and real estate. He graduated from Michigan State University with a Master of Science degree in Business Analytics. His work includes analysing data using data mining techniques, developing predictive models using various machine learning algorithms and time series methods, and drawing insights from the results.

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