Sensitivity analysis of integrated activity-based model: using MATSim as an example

Abstract

This paper attempts to apply both global and local sensitivity analyses (SA) to fully test the integrated activity-based model (ABM) within several experiments based on a Chinese medium-sized city, Baoding. MATSim (Multi-agent Transport Simulation) that is a typical integrated ABM is used as an example for the SA. The global SA, which is based on the elementary effect method, is firstly applied to identify the influential parameters. Then the once-at-a-time (OAT)-based Local SA is employed to further reveal the relationship between the influential parameters and the outputs of interest, such as traffic flow. The SA results show the extent to which and how three influential MATSim parameters (population scaling factor, the number of iterations and time step size) influence the outputs of interest. In addition, the SA results of MATSim suggest that the parameters of time mutation rate and performing utility can heavily influence the outputs of interest and properly setting them can optimize the daily plans of agents. Finally, this paper concludes with suggestions on how to wisely use the SA findings for both MATSim and other ABM users.

Keywords:

• Integrated activity-based model
• parameter sensitivity analysis
• global sensitivity analysis
• local sensitivity analysis
• dynamic traffic assignment
• elementary effect method
• once-at-a-time method
• MATSim