Likelihood of COVID-19 vaccination by subgroups across the US: post-election trends and disparities

Figures & data

Table 1. Demographic and individual predictors of likelihood of getting a coronavirus vaccine

	February 17 – March 16, 2021			Change from October 28-November 10, 2020 to February 17 – March 16, 2021
	Percent Likely to Get Vaccine	Adjusted Risk Ratio (95% CI)	P Value	Unadjusted Change in Percent (95% CI)	P Value	Adjusted Change in Percent (95% CI)	P Value
Overall	64.2%			10.4% (8.4%, 12.3%)	<.001	10.4% (8.4%, 12.3%)	<.001
Sex
Female	60.2%	- REF -		11.8% (9.0%, 14.5%)	<.001	12.7% (8.8%, 16.6%)	<.001
Male	68.5%	1.10 (1.04, 1.16)	<.001	9.0% (6.3%, 11.7%)	<.001	9.8% (6.0%, 13.6%)	<.001
Age (y)
18–49	55.9%	- REF -		5.5% (2.7%, 8.3%)	<.001	2.9% (−0.8%, 6.6%)	.119
50–64	68.2%	1.29 (1.20, 1.38)	<.001	15.2% (11.6%, 18.8%)	<.001	12.6% (8.5%, 16.6%)	<.001
65–74	78.5%	1.44 (1.34, 1.54)	<.001	13.8% (9.2%, 18.4%)	<.001	12.2% (6.9%, 17.5%)	<.001
75+	86.4%	1.59 (1.46, 1.72)	<.001	18.7% (12.4%, 24.9%)	<.001	17.4% (10.5%, 24.3%)	<.001
Education
High School or Less	54.3%	- REF -		11.4% (7.6%, 15.1%)	<.001	11.5% (7.0%, 16.0%)	<.001
Some College	59.1%	1.11 (1.03, 1.21)	.008	11.1% (7.4%, 14.8%)	<.001	11.4% (6.9%, 15.9%)	<.001
Bachelor’s or More	78.9%	1.38 (1.29, 1.48)	<.001	8.8% (6.4%, 11.2%)	<.001	10.9% (7.0%, 14.7%)	<.001
Race/Ethnicity
Non-Hispanic White	64.9%	- REF -		9.2% (7.0%, 11.3%)	<.001	12.1% (9.8%, 14.5%)	<.001
Hispanic	61.9%	0.93 (0.85, 1.03)	.175	16.0% (9.4%, 22.6%)	<.001	19.4% (12.7%, 26.2%)	<.001
Non-Hispanic Black	56.5%	0.77 (0.69, 0.86)	<.001	16.6% (10.3%, 22.8%)	<.001	17.1% (10.7%, 23.5%)	<.001
Non-Hispanic Asian	83.8%	1.16 (1.06, 1.27)	.002	6.2% (−0.1%, 12.6%)	.055	9.9% (2.917%, 0%)	.006
Other	60.0%	0.93 (0.79, 1.09)	.371	−6.6% (−15.9%, 2.8%)	.169	−2.3% (−11.8%, 7.2%)	.634
Political Influence
Democratic Party	80.1%	- REF -		15.7% (12.7%, 18.8%)	<.001	15.9% (12.2%, 19.7%)	<.001
Republican Party	53.4%	0.64 (0.60, 0.68)	<.001	7.8% (4.5%, 11.1%)	<.001	9.2% (4.7%, 13.8%)	<.001
Other	54.7%	0.71 (0.66, 0.77)	<.001	5.6% (1.8%, 9.3%)	.003	8.6% (3.9%, 13.3%)	<.001

Bolded p-values indicate significance at the 0.05 level (Feb. 17 – March 16 adjusted risk ratios), or significance after Holm-Bonferroni correction (change from Oct. 28-Nov. 10 to Feb. 17 – March 16). Adjustments are for all variables in the table.

Individuals who have already received a COVID-19 vaccine were included as “Likely”.

Table 2. Perceptions among individuals who are hesitant about COVID-19 vaccines

Perceptions among individuals who are hesitant about the COVID-19 vaccines*
Statements about coronavirus vaccines	Percent who agree with the statement
Vaccines for coronavirus: Have many known harmful side effects Provide important benefits to society (disagree)** May lead to illness and death Are useful and effective (disagree)**	62%66%74%47%
Percent chance that someone who is vaccinated against the coronavirus could still catch it: [Best guess, 0–100% visual linear scale] 0 – <25% 25% – <50% 50% – <75% ≥75%	28%18%34%20%
Percent chance that a coronavirus vaccine will cause serious side effects or long-term health problems for someone who has been vaccinated: [Best guess, 0–100% visual linear scale] 0 – <25% 25% – <50% 50% – <75% ≥75%	31%18%33%18%
How much do you trust the process in general (not just for COVID-19) to develop safe vaccines for the public? Fully trust Mostly trust Somewhat trust Do not trust	3%15%38%44%
How much do you trust the governmental approval process to ensure the COVID-19 vaccine is safe for the public? Fully trust Mostly trust Somewhat trust Do not trust	1%9%34%56%

*Hesitant individuals are defined as: those who have not received a COVID-19 vaccine and state they are very unlikely, unlikely, or unsure about whether they will receive a vaccine once it is available.

**For these two questions, responses reflect percent who disagree with the statement.

Figure 1. The figure shows likelihood of getting a coronavirus vaccine, or a self-report of having been vaccinated, for each two-week period from April 1, 2020, to March 16, 2021, except for June 10–23 and July 8–21, 2020 (surveys were not done during those two periods). The margin of error for 95% confidence level ranged from: Hispanic (5.1%-7.3%%), White (1.8%-2.9%), Black (5.2%-8.7%), Asian (4.8%-8.0%), Overall (1.7%-2.5%) per survey period

Percent of surveyed US adults who are likely to get a coronavirus vaccine if available: Overall and by race and ethnicity.