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Research Article

Forecasting USDTRY rate by ARIMA method

ORCID Icon & ORCID Icon | (Reviewing Editor)
Article: 1335968 | Received 26 Apr 2017, Accepted 24 May 2017, Published online: 08 Jun 2017

Figures & data

Table 1. Descriptive statistics for P(LTM)t and P(STM)t

Figure 1. Time plots of P(LTM)t, lnP(LTM)t, r(LTM)t.

Figure 1. Time plots of P(LTM)t, lnP(LTM)t, r(LTM)t.

Figure 2. Time plots of P(STM)t, lnP(STM)t, r(STM)t.

Figure 2. Time plots of P(STM)t, lnP(STM)t, r(STM)t.

Table 2. ADF test for LTM and STM series

Table 3. Absolute means for LTMs

Figure 3. ARIMA (0,1,1)LTM predictions vs. actual price.

Figure 3. ARIMA (0,1,1)LTM predictions vs. actual price.

Table 4. Absolute means for STMs

Figure 4. ARIMA (2,1,0)STM predictions vs. actual price.

Figure 4. ARIMA (2,1,0)STM predictions vs. actual price.