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Development Economics

Inter-sectoral linkages and economic growth in Uganda: A SAM-based multiplier model analysis

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Article: 2243167 | Received 02 Apr 2023, Accepted 27 Jul 2023, Published online: 04 Aug 2023

Figures & data

Figure 1. Conceptual framework on inter-sectoral linkages.

Source: Modified from (Breisinger et al., Citation2010).
Figure 1. Conceptual framework on inter-sectoral linkages.

Figure 2. Sectoral direct and indirect impacts.

Source: Author’s computation from raw data.
Figure 2. Sectoral direct and indirect impacts.

Table 1. Variables description

Table 3. Sub-sectoral total multiplier effects

Table 2. Production and consumption linkages

Table 4. Sub-sectoral linkages and multipliers effects from SAM 2009/10 demand shock

Table 5. VECM long run and speed of adjustment results

Table 6. Multipliers under constrained agricultural sector supply

Table 7. Descriptive results

Table 8. Time series unit root tests

Table 9. Aggregate short-run inter-sectoral linkages

Table 10. VECM model diagnostic test

Figure 3. CUSUM measure of model stability.

Figure 3. CUSUM measure of model stability.

Figure 4. Graph of the Cumulative Sum of Squares (Cusumq).

Figure 4. Graph of the Cumulative Sum of Squares (Cusumq).

Table 11. Sectoral production linkages in Uganda

Table A1. SAM 2016/17 inter-sectoral linkages and exogenous demand shock

Table A2. Correlation matrix

Table A3. Johansen/Unrestricted cointegration rank test

Table A4. VEC granger causality/block exogeneity wald tests

Table A5. Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD)

Table A6. VECM-Short run output