GCC electrical long-term peak load forecasting modeling using ANFIS and MLR methods

Figures & data

Table 1. Population/Type for the Kingdom of Bahrain (BIeGA, 2015).

	Total			Non Bahraini			Bahraini
Year	Both Sexes	Females	Males	Both Sexes	Females	Males	Both Sexes	Females	Males
1992	516458	217559	298899	188232	55265	132967	328226	162294	165932
1993	530225	223637	306588	193974	57359	136615	336251	166278	169973
1994	544366	229892	314474	199887	59521	140366	344479	170371	174108
1995	558879	236324	322555	205979	61752	144227	352900	174572	178328
1996	573792	242937	330855	212262	64055	148207	361530	178882	182648
1997	589115	249743	339372	218738	66431	152307	370377	183312	187065
1998	604842	256742	348100	225407	68884	156523	379435	187858	191577
1999	620989	263933	357056	232275	71409	160866	388714	192524	196190
2000	637582	271335	366247	239361	74017	165344	398221	197318	200903
2001	661317	274605	386712	251698	71895	179803	409619	202710	206909
2002	710554	292358	418196	283307	80924	202383	427246	211433	215813
2003	764519	311619	452900	318887	91087	227800	445632	220532	225100
2004	823744	332549	491195	358936	102527	256409	464809	230022	234787
2005	888824	355323	533501	404013	115403	288610	484810	239920	244890
2006	960425	380141	580284	454752	129896	324856	505673	250245	255428
2007	1039297	407223	632074	511863	146209	365654	527433	261013	266420
2008	1103496	426906	676590	561909	158931	402978	541587	267975	273612
2009	1178415	446418	731997	620404	170418	449986	558011	276000	282011
2010	1228543	464186	764357	657856	181951	475905	570687	282235	288452
2011	1195020	453537	741483	610332	164727	445605	584688	288810	295878

Figure 1. Bahrain three scenarios of load forecasted (MW) for 2014 – 2024.

Figure 2. Kuwait three scenarios of the load forecast (MW) for 2014 – 2024.

Figure 3. KSA three scenarios of the load forecast (MW) for 2014 – 2024.

Figure 4. Qatar three scenarios of the load forecast (MW) for 2014 – 2024.

Figure 5. UAE three scenarios of the load forecast (MW) for 2014 – 2024.

Figure 6. Oman three scenarios of load forecast (MW) for 2014 – 2024.

Table 2. Actual Peak Load for GCC Member States (MW).

Year	BAH	KUW	KSA	QAT	UAE	Oman
2014	3152	12410	17198	6740	9236	5269
2015	3441	12810	18667	7270	10450	5744
2016	3415	13390	18576	7431	10802	6105
2017	3572	13800	19012	7855	10864	6304

Table 3. Forecasted Cumulative Growth Rate by GCC Member States.

Country	2016–2024
Kuwait	8
KSA	6.3
Bahrain	6.6
Qatar	4.6
UAE	8.5
Oman	9.2
Average	7.2

Figure 7. GCC Surface Sketch for the Output of the Neuro-Fuzzy Models.

Bahrain Information and e-Government Authority (2015). Official website for Kingdom of Bahrain. Retrieved from http://www.iga.gov.bh & http://www.data.gov.bh/en/DataSearch/

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