Time Trends And Age-Period-Cohort Effects On The Incidence Of Gastric Cancer In Changle From 2003 To 2012

Figures & data

Table 1 Joinpoint Regression Analysis Of Trends In The Incidence Rate Of Gastric Cancer

Gender	ASR		APC (95% CI)	p-Value
2003	2012
Men	96.2	62.6	−5.1 (−6.9 to −3.2)	<0.05
Women	34.5	15.7	−5.7 (−9.3 to −2.0)	<0.05

Abbreviations: ASR, age-standardized rate; APC, annual percent change.

Figure 1 Age-standardized incidence rate of gastric cancer in Changle, 2003–2012.

Figure 2 Age-specific incidence rate of gastric cancer by age groups among men (A) and women (B) in Changle, 2003–2012.

Table 2 Goodness Of Fit For The Age-Period-Cohort Models Of Gastric Cancer Incidence In Changle

Gender	Model	Resid.Df	Resid.Dev	Df	Devianc	p-Value
Men	Age	124	4520.6
	Age-drift	123	2037.9	1	2482.7	<0.001
	Age+cohort	118	1483.6	5	554.3	<0.001
	Age+period+cohort	113	1447.9	5	35.7	<0.001
	Age+period	118	1977.5	−5	−529.6	<0.001
Age-drift	123	2037.9	−5	−60.4	<0.001
Women	Age	124	2181.9
	Age-drift	123	1855.7	1	326.2	<0.001
	Age+cohort	118	1500.8	5	354.9	<0.001
	Age+period+cohort	113	1320.2	5	180.6	<0.001
	Age+period	118	1669.6	−5	−349.4	<0.001
Age-drift	123	1855.7	−5	−186.10	<0.001

Abbreviation: Resid. DF, residual degrees of freedom.

Figure 3 Fitted age-period-cohort model of the incidence rate of gastric cancer in Changle, from 2003 to 2012. (A) Age, period, and cohort effects in men; (B) Age, period, and cohort effects in women.