Figures & data
Fig. 1. Area and depth datasets at 1.9°× 2.5: (a) interpolated Global Lake and Wetland Database (GLWD) lake percent (2.3 million km2) (Lehner and Döll, Citation2004); (b) default CLM4 lake percent (0.72 million km2) (Cogley, Citation1991); (c) additional lake percent in GLWD compared to default CLM4; (d) potential future lake percent compared to GLWD (net 0.14 million km2 decrease); and (e) interpolated lake depth based on Kourzeneva (2009, 2010).
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Table 1. Community Climate System Model 4 (CCSM4) experimental design
Fig. 2. Hi (GLWD lake area)–Lo (default CLM4 lake area) offline monthly average surface flux anomalies for Canada (land north of 48°N and between 175° and 325°E) under present climate: latent heat flux, sensible heat flux, rate of increase in subsurface enthalpy, upwelling longwave radiation and absorbed shortwave radiation. GLWD, Global Lake and Wetland Database.
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Fig. 3. Hi (GLWD lake area)–Lo (default CLM4 lake area) coupled seasonal average 2 m temperature anomalies under year 2000 conditions: (a) MAM daily maximum; (b) JJA daily maximum; (c) JJA daily minimum; and (d) SON daily minimum. Green contours encircle grid cells experiencing statistically significant changes. GLWD, Global Lake and Wetland Database.
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Fig. 4. Significant JJA average atmospheric temperature anomalies at 850 hPa in coupled simulations under year 2000 conditions for (a) Hi (GLWD lake area)–Lo (default CLM4 lake area); and (b) Hi (GLWD lake area)–No (no lake area). GLWD, Global Lake and Wetland Database.
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Fig. 5. Fu (potential future lake area)–Hi (GLWD lake area) coupled seasonal average 2 m temperature anomalies under doubled CO2 conditions: (a) MAM daily maximum; (b) JJA daily maximum; (c) JJA daily minimum; and (d) SON daily minimum. Green contours encircle grid cells experiencing statistically significant changes. GLWD, Global Lake and Wetland Database.
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Fig. 6. JJA diurnal 2 m temperature range: coupled anomalies for (a) Hi–Lo (significant only); (b) Hi–CRU; (c) Lo–CRU; (d) CCSM4-2000–CRU; and (e) CCSM4-Historical (1980–1999 mean)–CRU; and absolute JJA 2 m diurnal temperature range for (f) CRU (1980–2002). CCSM4, Community Climate System Model 4.
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Fig. 7. Zonally averaged fields for the three aqua-planet simulations: (a) prescribed SST for control, SST + 2 and SST–2; (b) precipitation anomalies with respect to control; (c) 850 mb zonal wind speed anomalies with respect to control; and (d) 500 mb geopotential height anomalies with respect to control.
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Fig. 8. Significant seasonal average atmospheric zonal mean wind anomalies (+ to the east) in coupled simulations under year 2000 conditions for Hi (GLWD lake area)–Lo (default CLM4 lake area): (a) JJA, zonal mean; (b) SON, zonal mean; (c) SON, 850 hPa; and (d) SON, 200 hPa. GLWD, Global Lake and Wetland Database.
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Fig. 9. Hi (GLWD lake area)–Lo (default CLM4 lake area) coupled DJF 2 m temperature anomalies under year 2000 conditions for the four 45-yr periods composing the full 180 analysed years of simulation: (a) Period 1; (b) Period 2; (c) Period 3; and (d) Period 4. Green contours encircle significant changes evaluated for each 45-yr period, whereas magenta contours encircle regions where significant changes were found for the full 180 yr. GLWD, Global Lake and Wetland Database.
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