Abstract
The raw materials of Iran's plywood industry are procured from the northern forests of Iran, and development of the plywood industry is intensively related to the situation of these forests. Previous research has indicated that the future development and location of plywood units in Iran will be highly dependent on the northern forests of Mazandaran & Gilan provinces, which have the second and fifth priorities among thirty provinces in this regard (Azizi, Memariani, 2004). Annual and per capita deforestation is a key factor in development planning, and the structure and operations of all sections of the wood industry, including plywood, needs to take account of this. In this research, we have estimated the number of plywood units required over an extended future period, taking into account annual deforestation, durability of the forests and per capita deforestation, using case study and exponential smoothing methods. The results have shown that the plywood industry will need to establish new plants, area of the forests will decrease by half, and per capita deforestation will increase in the coming decade.
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Majid Azizi
Dr. Majid Azizi is an assistant professor in Wood & Paper Sciences and Industries. He obtained his PhD in Wood & Paper Sciences and Industries from University of Tehran. Prior to dissertation he was a research assistant for 9 years in Wood & Paper Sciences and Industries Department, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran. Dr Azizi has published 5 papers in journals of INJI, Iranian Journal of Natural Resources and IWS. Also he has published 7 abstracts and papers in conferences proceeding of IUFRO All Division 5, 5th EURO/ INFORMS Joint International Meeting, The Seventh International Symposium on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (ISAHP), 20th European Conference on Operational Research (Euro XX), 17th International Conference on Multiple Criteria Decision Making (MCDM). His areas of research are Decision Making, AHP, ANP, TOPSIS and Forecasting in Management.