The spillover of media sentiment on the sukuk bonds during COVID-19 pandemic

ABSTRACT

This study focuses on the examination of the spillover impact of media sentiments (media coverage index, MCI), on the returns and volatility of the different investment graded sukuk bonds during the COVID-19 pandemic using the Time-varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model. We find that media sentiments have a stronger spillover impact on the bonds’ returns than their volatilities. The impacts are also found to be higher around the first few months of 2020 and 2021. The lower investment grade sukuk bonds are net transmitters of spillovers to their higher investment grade sukuk bonds counterparts. Sukuk bond BBB becomes a net recipient of spillovers and its net directional spillover relationship with sukuk bond AAA becomes zero. The spillover relationship is generally time-varying, with exceptional spillovers occurring during the early periods of the outbreak of the pandemic and the rise of its second wave.

KEYWORDS:

• Media sentiments
• Investment graded sukuks
• TVP-VAR
• Spillover effects
• COVID-19
• News sentiment

JEL CLASSIFICATION:

• G01
• G12
• G15
• G18
• E43

Acknowledgement

This article was supported by the Russian Science Foundation, under grant number 22-18-00276, https://rscf.ru/project/22-18-00276/.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.

Data availability statement

The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Notes

¹ Ismath Bacha and Mirakhor (2018) document that in the quest of most Islamic countries to fund development infrastructure, they suffer from external debt due to inability to domestically source for resources. Some of the issues faced due to the dependent nature of these countries on borrowing from foreign countries and institutions ranges from the fluctuation of home currency to their economic fluctuation to commodity prices vulnerability as a result of reliance on commodity exports.