Abstract
This article considers the practical, conceptual, and empirical foundations of an early identification and intervention system for middle-grades schools to combat student disengagement and increase graduation rates in our nation's cities. Many students in urban schools become disengaged at the start of the middle grades, which greatly reduces the odds that they will eventually graduate. We use longitudinal analyses—following almost 13,000 students from 1996 until 2004—to demonstrate how four predictive indicators reflecting poor attendance, misbehavior, and course failures in sixth grade can be used to identify 60% of the students who will not graduate from high school. Fortunately, by combining effective whole-school reforms with attendance, behavioral, and extra-help interventions, graduation rates can be substantially increased.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This research was supported in part by a grant from the William Penn Foundation, by the Research on Learning and Education Program at the National Science Foundation, Grant 0411796, and by the Interagency Education Research Initiative, Grant r305w020003.
Notes
a n = 1,934.
b n = 1,801.
c n = 1,409.
d n = 845.
e n = 4,893.