Modelling recall-based competing risks data with k different models

Abstract

In competing risks model, subjects are exposed to failure due to more than one cause. In this study, we develop a model for recall-based competing risks data when the causes associated with time to event are assumed to follow different distributions respectively. The chances of an individual recalling an event will be high if elapsed time between monitoring time and time to event is less. This information is utilized by taking non-recall probability as a function of this elapsed time. For point estimation, an expectation-maximization based algorithm is developed. For interval estimation, we construct the observed Fisher information matrix by using the missing information principle. The study is further extended to the Bayesian paradigm under suitable choices of prior distributions. The samples from full conditionals are drawn using a Gibbs sampling-based algorithm. To assess the performance of proposed estimators, an extensive simulation study is carried out for different proportions of non-recall and censored data with varying sample sizes under uniform and exponential monitoring patterns. Finally, the median duration of breastfeeding cessation for US women is estimated.

Keywords:

• Recall-based data
• expectation-maximization algorithm
• Fisher information matrix
• Bayesian inference
• data augmentation approach
• duration of breastfeeding

Disclosure statement

On behalf of all authors, the corresponding author states that they have no conflict of interest.

Data availability statement

The data that support the findings of this study are openly available and can be found using link https://doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR06960.v2. National Survey of Family Growth, Cycle V, 1995 (umich.edu)