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Articles

Enhanced contextual forest fire detection with prediction interval analysis of surface temperature using vegetation amount

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Pages 3375-3393 | Received 26 Apr 2016, Accepted 08 Feb 2017, Published online: 21 Mar 2017
 

ABSTRACT

Early detection of small forest fires is important for forest management because it can prevent fires from spreading and causing severe environmental and economic damage. This study proposes a new method that uses a negative relationship between vegetation amount and land surface temperature to determine a temperature threshold for detecting small forest fires. The proposed method analyses the differences between brightness temperature in remote-sensing data and that estimated from a regression model of brightness temperature and vegetation amount measured by the normalized difference vegetation index. The upper prediction interval of estimated brightness temperature based on a statistical test of the differences was used for the temperature threshold. This method was compared with the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer contextual algorithm using two accuracy measures: precision and recall. The results showed that the proposed method improved the recall accuracy, and its precision accuracy was similar to that of the contextual algorithm. This indicates that the proposed method detected more small forest fires with a similar false detection rate as that of traditional methods.

Acknowledgements

This research was supported by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport in Korea under the Urban Planning and Architecture (UPA) research support program and was supervised by the Korea Agency for Infrastructure Technology Advancement (KAIA) (13 Urban Planning & Architecture 02).

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.

Additional information

Funding

This research was supported by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport in Korea under the Urban Planning and Architecture (UPA) research support program and was supervised by the Korea Agency for Infrastructure Technology Advancement (KAIA) (13 Urban Planning & Architecture 02).

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