Noodsaaklike vereistes vir ‘n onder‐handelde skikking in Suid‐Afrika: vrese en verwagtinge van die Afrikanerelite

ABSTRACT

This paper presents the results of a major attitude survey conducted among members of the Afrikaner elite in 1988. The findings are related to two questions: Why did President de Klerk's government change course, and can a negotiated settlement be achieved? Respondents displayed a significant loss of confidence in the ability of P. W. Botha's government to protect white interests or ensure Afrikaner survival. They could see both advantages and disadvantages in majority rule, evincing contradictory beliefs about prospects for the economy, democracy, and inter‐group relations. Despite fears for the future, they recognised the need for new initiatives, and were willing to accept majority rule with certain constitutional safeguards. The authors argue that a negotiated settlement will depend on De Klerk's readiness to move into genuine negotiations, and the ability of this process to produce results acceptable to both leading parties, in which Afrikaners’ fears are taken into account.