Abstract
Three Bayesian methods are considered for the determination of sample sizes for sampling from the Laplace distribution – the distribution of time between rare events – with a normal prior. These methods are applied to the sizing of aircraft mid-air collisions in a navigation system or large flight path deviations of aircraft in air traffic management scenarios. A computer program handles all computations and gives a good insight about the best suggested method.
Acknowledgements
The authors wish to thank the referees for providing constructive and helpful comments that have led to substantial improvement in the quality of the paper.