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Articles

Modeling the spatial patterns of antenatal care utilization in Nigeria with inference based on Pólya-Gamma mixtures

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Pages 866-890 | Received 24 Feb 2022, Accepted 20 Dec 2022, Published online: 23 Feb 2023
 

Abstract

Despite the vast advantages of making antenatal care visits, the service utilization among pregnant women in Nigeria is suboptimal. A five-year monitoring estimate indicated that about 24% of the women who had live births made no visit. The non-utilization induced excessive zeroes in the outcome of interest. Thus, this study adopted a zero-inflated negative binomial model within a Bayesian framework to identify the spatial pattern and the key factors hindering antenatal care utilization in Nigeria. We overcome the intractability associated with posterior inference by adopting a Pólya-Gamma data-augmentation technique to facilitate inference. The Gibbs sampling algorithm was used to draw samples from the joint posterior distribution. Results revealed that type of place of residence, maternal level of education, access to mass media, household work index, and woman's working status have significant effects on the use of antenatal care services. Findings identified substantial state-level spatial disparity in antenatal care utilization across the country. Cost-effective techniques to achieve an acceptable frequency of utilization include the creation of a community-specific awareness to emphasize the importance and benefits of the appropriate utilization. Special consideration should be given to older pregnant women, women in poor antenatal utilization states, and women residing in poor road network regions.

Mathematics Subject Classifications:

Acknowledgments

The authors acknowledge the Demographic and Health Survey for granting access to the data used in this analysis. The authors thank the two anonymous reviewers for their useful comments that lead to improvement on our earlier draft.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Additional information

Funding

Osafu Augustine Egbon acknowledges the support from the Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel – Brazil (CAPES).

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