Scoping Literature Review of Disease Modeling of the Opioid Crisis

ABSTRACT

Opioid misuse continues to cause significant harm. To investigate current research, we conducted a scoping literature review of disease spread models of opioid misuse from January 2000 to December 2022. In total, 85 studies were identified and examined for the opioids modeled, model type, data sources used and model calibration and validation. Most of the studies (58%, 49) only modeled heroin; the next largest categories were prescription opioids and unspecified opioids which accounted for 9% (8) each. Most models were theoretical compartmental models (57) or applied compartmental models (21). Previously published research was the most used data source (38), and a majority of the model validation involved the researchers setting initial conditions to verify theoretical results (30). To represent typical opioid use more accurately, multiple opioids need to be incorporated into the disease spread models, and applying different modeling techniques may allow other insights into opioid misuse spread.

KEYWORDS:

• Opioids
• disease model
• literature review
• disease spread
• opioid use disorder

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Data availability statement

Data will be made available on request.

Supplementary material

Supplemental data for this article can be accessed online at https://doi.org/10.1080/02791072.2024.2367617.

Additional information

Funding

The author(s) reported there is no funding associated with the work featured in this article.