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Maritime Policy & Management
The flagship journal of international shipping and port research
Volume 33, 2006 - Issue 2: IAME Conference 2005, Guest Editor: Photis M. Panayides
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Original Articles

Using system dynamics in maritime economics: an endogenous decision model for shipowners in the dry bulk sector

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Pages 141-158 | Published online: 18 Aug 2006
 

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the benefits of applying system dynamics in maritime economics. We build an endogenous shipowners’ model for the dry bulk sector, incorporating both the decision process of individual shipowners and traditional shipping market conditions. The aim is to arrive at a simulation tool that can be used for a variety of applications, both for teaching/learning and for research purposes. Within the endogenous shipping model, we can distinguish between the strategic and the tactical choices shipowners face. As an application, we focus explicitly on a strategic decision-making process that is relevant to any shipowner, i.e. the sale of a vessel. System dynamics seems to be a tool well-suited for the detailed modelling of strategic and operational behaviour in the maritime business.

Acknowledgements

The authors are grateful to Professor Trevor Heaver (University of British Colombia) and the participants of the 2005 IAME congress for the valuable comments and stimulating discussions. Also the detailed information from two shipping companies is to be acknowledged.

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