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ABSTRACT
Existing urban transport systems have fundamentally shaped our modern urban economies and societies, however, disruptive technologies, as fundamental as recent ICT disruptions, threaten major change. Urban transport disruptions therefore present a unique challenge and opportunity for planners and policy-makers to influence and shape outcomes for society. The role of urban planners and policy-makers in future transport systems will become increasingly important as mobility disruptions start to radically transform transport systems. Without sensible and informed public policy, future urban mobility disruptions have the potential to lead to a series of non-optimal outcomes, of which some may result in transport systems functioning worse than they do at present. This paper explores the key urban mobility disruptions of: vehicle electrification, autonomous vehicles, and the sharing economy within the context of increasing urban density, to explore what non-optimal outcomes may occur if not all four of these factors are appropriately supported.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.
Notes
* Analysing the public policy implications arising from the interactions between the mobility disruptions of vehicle electrification, autonomous vehicles, and the sharing economy within the context of increasing urban density.
1 Herring and Roy (Citation2007) define the ‘rebound effect’ as being the effect that the lower cost of energy, due to increased energy efficiency, has on consumer behaviour at the individual or national level.
2 Possibly as high as a 99% reduction according to the bolder predictions - PricewaterhouseCoopers (Citation2013).
3 It did not consider induced VKT demand from previously mobility-constrained persons.