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ORIGINAL ARTICLES

Empirical Bayes forecasting methods for job flow times

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Pages 635-649 | Received 01 Dec 2003, Accepted 01 Dec 2004, Published online: 23 Feb 2007
 

We consider the problem of forecasting multi-class job flow times in a resource-sharing environment. We assume the deviation of flow times in each class from the class nominal value follows an exponential distribution with its parameter following a gamma distribution. A large simulation experiment is conducted to assess and compare the performance of the Bayes and empirical Bayes forecasting methods under differing model assumptions. Simulation results show that non-parametric empirical Bayes methods are more efficient and robust relative to the parametric empirical Bayes.

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