This article examines the influence of change in local life circumstances on the short-term criminal behavior of female drug-abusing probationers. Using a binomial hierarchical generalized linear model, we examine the probability that certain “discrete life events” act to modify or change criminal behavior in the short term. The findings indicate that participants' involvement in conventional activities results in the decreased likelihood of engaging in nondrug crimes but an increased likelihood of drug dealing. Faced with this contradiction, we suggest that the dynamics of offending are altered by the nature of the criminal activity itself and the way in which gender structures criminal involvement.
The research for this article was part of a larger study, supported by a grant from the Center for Substance Abuse Treatment of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, to study the Maricopa County Adult Probation Department's Women's Treatment, Services, and Supervision Network. Opinions or points of view expressed here are solely those of the authors. We thank John Hepburn, Todd Armstrong, and the anonymous reviewers for their insightful comments and suggestions on earlier versions of the article. We also thank Julie Horney for her assistance in conceptualizing and constructing the event-history calendar.
The research for this article was part of a larger study, supported by a grant from the Center for Substance Abuse Treatment of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, to study the Maricopa County Adult Probation Department's Women's Treatment, Services, and Supervision Network. Opinions or points of view expressed here are solely those of the authors. We thank John Hepburn, Todd Armstrong, and the anonymous reviewers for their insightful comments and suggestions on earlier versions of the article. We also thank Julie Horney for her assistance in conceptualizing and constructing the event-history calendar.
Notes
The research for this article was part of a larger study, supported by a grant from the Center for Substance Abuse Treatment of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, to study the Maricopa County Adult Probation Department's Women's Treatment, Services, and Supervision Network. Opinions or points of view expressed here are solely those of the authors. We thank John Hepburn, Todd Armstrong, and the anonymous reviewers for their insightful comments and suggestions on earlier versions of the article. We also thank Julie Horney for her assistance in conceptualizing and constructing the event-history calendar.