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ABSTRACT
This paper considers the Web as a big data container that can be used by Technology Observatories and administrations to track emerging issues and more specifically emerging technologies. It considers information that is available on the Internet for free from different sources, and proposes a framework that can be useful to characterise them and to detect patterns of dissemination. This framework is made up of 30 metrics obtained from different kinds of sources (general web, patents, scholars …). Some of them are obtained directly as the number of hits retrieved by queries on a search engine, and other ones calculated by means of ratios. This paper contains the development of a complete case that utilises this framework to characterise emerging technologies included in the well-known Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, in this case the 2015 release1 and to analyze patterns of dissemination of these technologies on the Internet.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.
Notes on contributors
Javier Carbonell is an industrial Engineer specialising in organisation. Master from the Instituto de Empresa in Telecommunication Companies Management. Co-author of the last eight versions of the SIE report (Information Society main reference in Spain, published annually). Co-Author of 12 monographs on the influence of technology in different areas published by Editorial Planeta: Electronic Publications, Augmented Reality, Digital identity, personalised eHealth, Smart Energy, Future Manufacturing … Member of the Telefonica Strategy team for several years, internal consultant in business and cost analysis in this company. I have participated in several research projects under the Seventh Framework Programme and collaborated with several Spanish media: magazines, newspapers, radios … giving insights about technology trends. Member of the AFP (Association of Professional Futurists). At present doing a PhD.
Antonio Sanchez-Esguevillas (Senior Member, IEEE) received the Ph.D. degree (with honours) in the field of QoS for real time multimedia services over IP networks from the University of Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain, in 2004. He has been managing innovation at Telefonica (both at Telefonica I + D-Services line and at Telefonica Corporation), Madrid, Spain. He has also been Adjunct Professor and Honorary Collaborator at the University of Valladolid, supervising several Ph.D. students. He has coordinated very large (in excess of 100 million) international R&D projects in the field of personal communication services, particularly related to voice over IP (VoIP) and Internet protocol (IP) multimedia subsystem (IMS). He has more than 50 international publications and several patents. His current research interests are in the area of digital services. Dr. Sanchez-Esguevillas is a member of the Editorial Board of IE COMMUNICATIONS MAGAZINE among others.
Belén Carro received the Ph.D. degree in the field of broadband access networks from the University of Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain, in 2001. She is a Professor at the Department of Signal Theory and Communications and Telematics Engineering, University of Valladolid. She is the Director of the Communications Systems and Networks (SRC) laboratory, working as a Technical Researcher and Research Manager in several Europe-wide projects in the areas of service engineering and SOA systems, IP broadband communications, NGN/IMS and voice over IP and quality of service. Recently, she has been Technical Director of the OPUCE (Open Platform for User-centric service Creation and Execution) a 10 million project based on Internet protocol (IP) multimedia subsystem (IMS). She has supervised several Ph.D. students on topics related to personal communications, IMS, and session initiation protocol (SIP). She has extensive research publications experience, as an author, a reviewer, and an editor.