Financial development, export and economic growth: Panel data evidence from Commonwealth of Independent States

Abstract

This study focuses on the relation of four different financial development indicators and export performance, sampled from nine member states of the Commonwealth of Independent States, with economic growth for the period of 1995–2020. Its long-run relationship with PVAR analysis has been presented through VECM. The FMOLS and DOLS methods are used for the long-term coefficient estimates. According to the findings, there is a cointegration relationship between economic growth and export, and broad money, domestic credit to the private sector by banks, and monetary sector credit to private sector variables. The findings indicate that both financial development and export have a positive impact on economic growth. On the other hand, the findings have not presented sufficient evidence about the influence of the gross capital formation variable on economic growth while the monetary sector credit to private sector variable has been found to negatively affect economic growth. When the results of FMOLS and DOLS models are assessed together, it is concluded that export and financial development affects economic growth positively in the long term, but the first one’s effect is less.

KEYWORDS:

• Financial development
• export
• economic growth
• panel cointegration
• PVAR analysis
• commonwealth of independent states

JEL Classifications:

• B26
• B27
• F43
• C23
• P29

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Notes

1 Following the literature review carried out, it is found out in general terms that the variables such as money supply, gross capital, domestic or monetary sectoral loans given by the banks to the private sector or the financial development index variable that is composed of combination of some of these is used to represent the financial development; total foreign trade, export, import or the trade openness as theirs rate to GDP is used to represent foreign trade, and the GDP variable is used to represent economic growth.