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GERMAN POLITICS LECTURE

The Economics and Politics of the Euro Crisis

Pages 355-371 | Published online: 16 Nov 2012
 

Abstract

This article addresses puzzles raised by the Euro crisis: why was EMU established with limited institutional capacities, where do the roots of the crisis lie, how can the response to the crisis be explained, and what are its implications for European integration? It explores how prevailing economic doctrines conditioned the institutional shape of the single currency and locates the roots of the crisis in an institutional asymmetry grounded in national varieties of capitalism, which saw political economies organised to operate export-led growth models joined to others accustomed to demand-led growth. The response to the crisis is reviewed and explained in terms of limitations in European institutions, divergent economic doctrines and the boundaries of European solidarity. Proposed solutions to the crisis based on deflation or reflation are assessed from a varieties of capitalism perspective and the implications for European integration reviewed.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

This article is based on the Annual Lecture given to the International Association for the Study of German Politics in London, May 2011. For research assistance, I am grateful to Neeral Gandhi and Maria Theophanous.

Notes

Compare, for example, the editorials in The Financial Times (28 May 2008) and (25 March 2011).

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K. Kaltenthaler, Germany and the Politics of Europe's Money (Durham, NC: Duke University Press, 1998) and Dyson and Featherstone, Road to Maastricht.

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See P.A. Hall and R. Franzese, Jr, ‘Mixed Signals: Central Bank Independence, Coordinated Wage Bargaining, and European Monetary Union’, International Organization 52 Summer (1998), pp.502–36.

See P.A. Hall, ‘Organized Market Economies and Unemployment in Europe: Is it Finally Time to Accept Liberal Orthodoxy?’, in N. Bermeo (ed.), Unemployment in the New Europe (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2001), pp.52–86.

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See Hall and Franzese, ‘Mixed Signals’.

S. Avdagic, M. Rhodes and J. Visser (eds) Social Pacts in Europe: Emergence, Evolution and Institutionalization (New York: Oxford University Press, 2011); M. Regini, ‘The Conditions for Political Exchange: How Concertation Collapsed in Italy and Great Britain’, in J.H. Goldthorpe (ed.) Order and Conflict in Contemporary Capitalism (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1984), pp.124–42; S. Royo, Varieties of Capitalism in Spain: Remaking the Spanish Economy for the New Century (New York: Palgrave, 2008); S. Perez, Banking on Privilege: The Politics of Spanish Financial Reform (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1998).

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N. Hardiman (ed.), Irish Governance in Crisis (Manchester: Manchester University Press, 2012).

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See M. Fourcade, Economists and Societies: Discipline and Profession in the United States, Britain and France, 1890s to 1990s (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2009).

See A. Sapir et al., An Agenda for a Growing Europe: The Sapir Report (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2004).

See S. Bulmer and W. Paterson, ‘Germany and the European Union: From “Tamed Power” to “Normalized Power”’, International Affairs 86/5 (2010), pp.1051–73.

S. Castle, ‘European Leaders Press Portugal on Austerity Path’, New York Times, 25 March 2011, p.B-5.

A. Kentikelenis, M. Karanikolos, I. Papanicolas, S. Basu, M. McKee and D. Stuckler, ‘Health Effects of Financial Crisis: Omens of a Greek Tragedy’, Lancet 378/9801 (2011), pp.1457–8.

J.C. Shambaugh, ‘The Euro's Three Crises’, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (Spring 2012).

A. Moravscik, The Choice for Europe (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1998).

Carlin and Soskice, ‘German Economic Performance’.

P. Culpepper, “The Politics of Common Knowledge: Ideas and Institutional Change in Wage Bargaining', International Organization 62/Winter (2008), pp.1–33; Avdagic et al., Social Pacts.

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