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Articles

Poland, Variable Geometry and the Enlarged European Union

Pages 394-420 | Published online: 20 Dec 2013
 

Abstract

This article examines the role of Poland in the European Union, where the traditional Franco-German leadership axis has been replaced by a new ‘variable geometry’ of leadership constellations across a variety of policy areas. In this setting Poland has the potential to move from maintaining an initially passive role as a policy-taker towards becoming an agenda-setter alongside other larger and more traditionally dominant member states, especially Germany. However, Poland's success in this matter and subsequent influence on a variety of European Union policy areas, particularly the single market and the European Union's external relations, will substantially depend on the extent of its economic recovery from the effects of the global economic recession and wider developments in the European Union's debt crisis as well as its willingness to engage in constellations of member states that go beyond its traditional partners.

Notes

 1 The Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia all joined on 1 May 2004; Bulgaria and Romania joined the EU on 1 January 2007.

 2 ‘Downloading’, or national adaptation of policy preferences, is the process in which a ‘state is reactive, and where the state adapts and makes adjustments in its domestic politics and policy in compliance with European institutions’ (Wong Citation2011, p. 151).

 3 1963 Elysée Treaty, available at: http://www.konrad-adenauer.de/index.php?msg = 11026, accessed 28 October 2013.

 4 Text of St Malo Declaration, available at: http://www.atlanticcommunity.org/Saint-Malo%20Declaration%20Text.html, accessed 28 October 2013.

 5 ‘Meeting of the Heads of State and Government of Germany, France, Luxembourg and Belgium on European Defence—Joint Declaration, Brussels 29.04.2003’, available at: http://www.ambafrance-uk.org/Meeting-of-the-Heads-of-State-and, accessed 28 October 2013.

 6 ‘Polish–Swedish Proposal Eastern Partnership’, available at: http://www.enpi-info.eu/library/sites/default/files/attachments/Polish-Swedish%20Proposal.pdf, accessed 29 October 2013.

 7 ‘Brown and Sarkozy Put Heat on Merkel’, Financial Times, 6 December 2008, available at: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1c1cd578-c33b-11dd-a5ae-000077b07658.html?siteedition = uk#axzz2j2UaUOzV, accessed 28 October 2013.

 8 Established at Weimar, Germany, in 1991, the Weimar Triangle is a framework for political dialogue at various levels of government of Germany, France and Poland. It provides an opportunity to exchange views on a range of European policy matters.

 9 One of the most striking, albeit tongue-in-cheek, images of the suggested domination of Poland by Germany in the Polish media was found on the cover of the Polish weekly Wprost which portrayed the German Chancellor Angela Merkel as a bare-breasted ‘step mother’ to Lech and Jaroslaw Kaczynski. See Wprost, No. 26/2007 (1279), available at: http://www.wprost.pl/tygodnik/?I = 1279, accessed 29 June 2012.

10 ‘Germany, France and Poland Form EU Battlegroup’, available at: http://www.eubusiness.com/news-eu/military-france.b52, accessed 28 October 2013.

11 ‘Chairman EUMC's Visit to Poland, 21–23 November 2012’, available at: http://www.consilium.europa.eu/eeas/security-defence/csdp-structures-and-instruments/eu-military-committee-(eumc)/chairman-eumc/eumc-activities/eumc-24-november-2012, accessed 28 October 2013.

12 ‘Uploading’, or national projection of policy preferences, can be seen as states ‘projecting their national policies and policy styles onto the larger European structure. … By exporting their preferences and models onto EU institutions, they in effect generalise previously national policies onto a larger European stage’ (Wong Citation2011, p. 161).

13 GDP growth (annual %), World Bank, available at: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG, accessed 28 October 2013.

14 GDP growth (annual %), World Bank, available at: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG, accessed 28 October 2013.

15 Copeland (in this collection).

16 ‘Sikorski: w perspektywie 2015 r. chcemy być zdolni do przyjęcia euro’, Puls Biznesu, 29 March 2012, available at: http://www.pb.pl/2577069,74617,sikorski-w-perspektywie-2015-r.-chcemy-byc-zdolni-do-przyjecia-euro, accessed 29 June 2012.

17 ‘Poland Seeks $20.5 Billion Credit Line from IMF’, IMF Survey Magazine, 14 April 2009, available at: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/2009/car041409a.htm, accessed 15 January 2010.

18 EUROSTAT National Accounts of EU member states, available at: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/national_accounts/introduction, accessed 29 June 2012.

19 ‘Poland's GDP Growth—Summary of 2011 and Forecasts for 2012’, available at: http://msp.gov.pl/portal/en/88/2966/Polands_GDP_growth__summary_of_2011_and_forecasts_for_2012.html, accessed 29 June 2012.

20 ‘Polish GDP Growth in 2012 to be Highest in European Union—Newest Forecast by European Commission’, available at: http://msp.gov.pl/portal/en/88/3098/Polish_GDP_growth_in_2012_o_be_highest_in_European_Union__newest_forecast_by_Eu.html, accessed 29 June 2012.

21 ‘Provision of Deficit and Debt Data for 2011—First Notification’, EUROSTAT, available at: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_PUBLIC/2-23042012-AP/EN/2-23042012-AP-EN.PDF, accessed 29 June 2012.

22 ‘EU Economic Governance “Six Pack” State of Play’, European Press Release, 28 September 2011, available at: http://europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference = MEMO/11/647, accessed 5 November 2011.

23 ‘European Council Brussels Presidency Conclusions’, 24–25 March 2011, available at: http://www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cms_data/docs/pressdata/en/ec/120296.pdf, accessed 5 November 2011.

24 ‘Treaty on Stability, Coordination and Governance in the Economic and Monetary Union’, 31 January 2012, available at: http://european-council.europa.eu/media/639235/st00tscg26_en12.pdf, accessed 5 July 2012.

25 ‘Statement by Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk at European Union Council Meeting in Brussels’, 26 October 2011.

26 ‘25 EU Countries Sign Up to German-led Fiscal Treaty’, Euractiv, 31 January 2012, available at: http://www.euractiv.com/euro-finance/25-eu-countries-sign-german-led-news-510489, accessed 29 June 2012.

27 ‘UK's Cameron Rallies EU Countries Outside Eurozone’, Reuters, 28 October 2011, available at: http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/28/us-britain-cameron-europe-idUSTRE79R26L20111028, accessed 5 November 2011.

28 ‘US, Poland Sign Missile Defence Deal’, The Guardian, 20 August 2008, available at: http://www.theguardian.com/world/2008/aug/20/poland.usa, accessed 8 November 2013.

29 ‘Interview with Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski’, Foreign Policy, 2 November 2009, available at: http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2009/11/02/interview_radoslaw_sikorski, accessed 15 January 2010.

30Treaty of Lisbon—Taking Europe into the 21st Century, 2009, available at: http://europa.eu/lisbon_treaty/glance/democracy/index_en.htm, accessed 29 April 2010.

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