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Research Article

The Ideology That Binds Us: Homophily in Ideology and Terrorists Collaborations

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Received 11 Nov 2023, Accepted 24 Mar 2024, Published online: 14 Apr 2024
 

Abstract

What brings different terrorist groups, organizations that are regularly secretive and competitive, to collaborate with one another? We build on scholarship that identifies ideology as a determining feature of terrorists’ behavior and draw on network studies that emphasize the role of homophily in creating collaboration. We suggest that the groups’ homophily in ideology plays a significant part in terrorists’ collaboration. Using network analysis, we examine collaborations across three case studies and different time frames: Pakistan, Colombia, and Italy. Our findings suggest that homophily in ideology is indeed a key predictor for collaboration yet that it also changed over time.

Disclosure statement

The authors declare there is no complete of interest at this study.

Notes

1 Max Abrahms, “What Terrorists Really Want: Terrorist Motives and Counterterrorism Strategy,” International Security 32, no. 4 (2008): 78–105. https://doi.org/10.1162/isec.2008.32.4.78.

2 Victor Asal and R. Karl Rethemeyer. “The Nature of the Beast: Organizational Structures and the Lethality of Terrorist Attacks,” The Journal of Politics 70, no. 2 (2008): 437–49. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022381608080419.

3 See Appendix 1.

4 Martha Crenshaw, “The Causes of Terrorism,” Comparative Politics 13, no. 4 (1981): 379–99, https://doi.org/10.2307/421717; Ely Karmon, Coalitions Between Terrorist Organizations: Revolutionaries, Nationalists and Islamists (Leiden, Netherlands: Brill, 2005); Bruce Hoffman, Inside Terrorism (New York: Columbia University Press, 2017). Throughout the manuscript, when significant we use scholarship from parallel discussions on similar groups such as rebels, militias, and other violent nonstate actors to assure that we do not ignore important relevant contribution. We do not assert that all violent nonstate actors are similar to terrorists, yet we believe that those conversation can inform this work.

5 Victor H. Asal, Hyun Hee Park, R. Karl Rethemeyer, and Gary Ackerman, “With friends Like These… Why Terrorist Organizations Ally,” International Public Management Journal 19, no. 1 (2016): 1–30. https://doi.org/10.1080/10967494.2015.1027431;.Victor H. Asal, R. Karl Rethemeyer, and Eric W. Schoon, “Crime, Conflict, and the Legitimacy Trade-Off: Explaining Variation in Insurgents’ Participation in Crime,” The Journal of Politics 81, no. 2 (2019): 399–410. https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/701492?journalCode=jop.

6 Mia Bloom, “Constructing Expertise: Terrorist Recruitment and “Talent Spotting” in the PIRA, Al Qaeda, and ISIS,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 40, no. 7 (2017): 603–23.; Laura Dugan, Gary LaFree, and Alex R. Piquero, “Testing a Rational Choice Model of Airline Hijackings,” Criminology 43, no. 4 (2005): 1031–65.; Kent Layne Oots, “Organizational Perspectives on the Formation and Disintegration of Terrorist Groups,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 12, no. 3 (1989): 139–52.

7 Karmon, Coalitions between Terrorist Organizations.

8 Barbara Gruber and Jan Pospisil, “‘Ser Eleno’: Insurgent Identity Formation in the ELN,” Small Wars & Insurgencies 26, no. 2 (2015): 226–47.; Joshua Kilberg, “A Basic Model Explaining Terrorist Group Organizational Structure,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 35, no. 11 (2012): 810–30.

9 Miller McPherson, Lynn Smith-Lovin, and James M. Cook, “Birds of a Feather: Homophily in Social Networks,” Annual review of sociology 27, no. 1 (2001): 415–44.

10 Bruce Hoffman, “Terrorist Targeting: Tactics, Trends, and Potentialities.” Terrorism and Political Violence 5, no. 2 (1993): 12–29. https://doi.org/10.1080/09546559308427205.

11 Michael C. Horowitz, and Philip B. K. Potter, “Allying to Kill: Terrorist Intergroup Cooperation and the Consequences for Lethality,” The Journal of Conflict Resolution 58, no. 2 (2014): 199–225. http://www.jstor.org/stable/24545636; Asal and Rethemeyer, “The Nature of the Beast,” 437–449.

12 Amira Jadoon, “Operational Convergence or Divergence? Exploring the Influence of Islamic State on Militant Groups in Pakistan,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism (2022): 1–25. https://doi.org/10.1080/1057610X.2022.2058374.

13 Michael C. Horowitz, “Nonstate Actors and the Diffusion of Innovations: The Case of Suicide Terrorism,” International Organization 64, no. 1 (2010): 33–64. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818309990233.

14 Arie Perliger and Ami Pedahzur, “Social Network Analysis in the Study of Terrorism and Political Violence,” Political Science & Politics 44, no. 1 (2011): 45–50. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049096510001848.

15 Asal et al., “With Friends Like These,” 1–30.

16 Tricia Bacon, Why Terrorist Groups Form International Alliances (Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 2018); Nicolas Desgrais, Yvan Guichaoua, and Andrew Lebovich, “Unity is the Exception. Alliance Formation and De-Formation Among Armed Actors in Northern Mali,” Small Wars & Insurgencies 29, no. 4 (2018): 654–79. https://doi.org/10.1080/09592318.2018.1488403.

17 Tricia Bacon, “Hurdles to International Terrorist Alliances: Lessons from Al Qaeda’s Experience,” Terrorism and Political Violence 29, no. 1 (2017): 79–101. https://doi.org/10.1080/09546553.2014.993466; J. N. Shapiro, The Terrorist’s Dilemma (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2013).

18 Shapiro, The Terrorist’s Dilemma.

19 Bacon, “Hurdles to International Terrorist Alliances,” 79–101.

20 Navin A. Bapat and Kanisha D. Bond, “Alliances between Militant Groups,” British Journal of Political Science 42, no. 4 (2012): 793–824. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123412000075; Ibid.

21 Marina Eleftheriadou, “Fragmentation and Cooperation in the Jihadi International (Sub) System: ‘Islamic State’ vs. Al-Qaeda and Beyond,” Religions 11, no. 4 (2020): 168. https://doi.org/10.3390/rel11040168.

22 Hanne Fjelde and Desirée Nilsson, “Rebels Against Rebels: Explaining Violence Between Rebel Groups,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 56, no. 4 (2012): 604–28. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002712439496.

23 Erica Chenoweth, “Democratic Competition and Terrorist Activity,” The Journal of Politics 72, no. 1 (2010): 16–30. https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1017/S0022381609990442.

24 Abrahms, “What Terrorists Really Want,” 78–105.

25 Niamatullah Ibrahimi and Shahram Akbarzadeh, “Intra-Jihadist Conflict and Cooperation: Islamic State–Khorasan Province and the Taliban in Afghanistan,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 43, no. 12 (2020): 1086–107. https://doi.org/10.1080/1057610X.2018.1529367.

26 Karmon, Coalitions between Terrorist Organizations.

27 Bapat and Bond, “Alliances between Militant Groups,” 793–824.

28 Bacon, Why Terrorist Groups Form International Alliances.

29 Asal and Rethemeyer, “The Nature of the Beast,” 437–449; Horowitz and Potter, “Allying to Kill,” 199–225.

30 Asal et al., “With Friends Like These,” 1–30.

31 S. Brock Blomberg, Khusrav Gaibulloev, and Todd Sandler, “Terrorist Group Survival: Ideology, Tactics, and Base of Operations,” Public Choice 149 (2011): 441–463. https://www.jstor.org/stable/41483745; P. Wilkinson and A. M. Stewart, eds., Contemporary Research on Terrorism (Aberdeen, UK: Aberdeen University Press, 1987); Hoffman, Inside Terrorism.

32 Karmon, Coalitions between Terrorist Organizations.

33 Bacon, Why Terrorist Groups Form International Alliances.

34 Bloom, “Constructing Expertise” 603–623.; Randy Borum, “Radicalization into Violent Extremism I: A Review of Social Science Theories,” Journal of strategic security 4, no. 4 (2011): 7–36.; Bart Schuurman and Max Taylor, “Reconsidering Radicalization: Fanaticism and the Link Between Ideas and Violence,” Perspectives on Terrorism 12, no. 1 (2018): 3–22.

35 Bloom, “Constructing Expertise,” 603–23; José Antonio Gutiérrez D and Frances Thomson. “Rebels-Turned-Narcos? The FARC-EP’s Political Involvement in Colombia’s Cocaine Economy,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 44, no. 1 (2020): 26–51.

36 Mar Youngman, “Ideology Along the Contours of Power,” Perspectives on Terrorism 14, no. 2 (2020): 11–26.

37 Gordon Clubb and Shaun McDaid, “The Causal Role of Ideology and Cultural Systems in Radicalisation and De-Radicalisation,” Journal of Critical Realism 18, no. 5 (2019): 513–28.

38 Dugan et al. “Testing a rational choice model,” 1031–65; Pete Fussey, “An Economy of Choice? Terrorist Decision-Making and Criminological Rational Choice Theories Reconsidered,” Security Journal 24 (2011): 85–99.; Brian A. Jackson, “Organizational Decision Making by Terrorist Groups,” Social Science for Counterterrorism: Putting the Pieces Together 849 (2009): 209–486.; Kent Layne Oots, “Organizational Perspectives on the Formation and Disintegration of Terrorist Groups,” Studies in Conflict and Terrorism 12, no. 3 (1989): 139–152.; Fotini Christia, Alliance Formation in Civil Wars (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2012).

39 Karmon, Coalitions between Terrorist Organizations.

40 Bacon, Why Terrorist Groups Form International Alliances.

41 Mirra Noor Milla, Joevarian Hudiyana, Wahyu Cahyono, and Hamdi Muluk, “Is the Role of Ideologists Central in Terrorist Networks? A Social Network Analysis of Indonesian Terrorist Groups,” Frontiers in psychology 11 (2020): 333. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.00333.

42 Fotini, Alliance Formation in Civil Wars.

43 Gian Maria Campedelli, Iain Cruickshank, and Kathleen M. Carley, “Multi-Modal Networks Reveal Patterns of Operational Similarity of Terrorist Organizations,” Terrorism and Political Violence 35, no. 5 (2021): 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1080/09546553.2021.2003785.

44 Francisco Gutiérrez Sanín and Elisabeth Jean Wood, “Ideology in Civil War: Instrumental Adoption and Beyond,” Journal of Peace Research 51, no. 2 (2014): 213–26. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343313514073.

45 Emily Kalah Gade, Michael Gabbay, Mohammed M. Hafez, and Zane Kelly, “Networks of Cooperation: Rebel Alliances in Fragmented Civil Wars,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 63, no. 9 (2019): 2071–97. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002719826234.

46 Asal et al., “With Friends Like These,” 1–30.

47 Christopher W. Blair, Erica Chenoweth, Michael C. Horowitz, Evan Perkoski, and Philip B. K. Potter, “Honor Among Thieves: Understanding Rhetorical and Material Cooperation Among Violent Nonstate Actors,” International Organization 76, no. 1 (2022): 164–203. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818321000114.

48 Asal et al., “With Friends Like These,” 1–30.

49 P. J. DiMaggio and W. W. Powell, “The Iron Cage Revisited: Institutional Isomorphism and Collective Rationality in Organizational Fields,” American Sociological Review, (1983): 147–60.

50 G. E. Frug, “The Ideology of Bureaucracy in American Law.” Harvard Law Review, 97 (1983): 1276.

51 Kilberg, “A Basic Model Explaining Terrorist Group,” 810–30.

52 Michael Albertus and Oliver Kaplan. “Land Reform as a Counterinsurgency Policy: Evidence from Colombia,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 57, no. 2 (2013): 198–231.; A. Phelan, “Engaging Insurgency: The Impact of the 2016 Colombian Peace Agreement on FARC’s Political Participation,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 42, no. 9 (2019): 836–52.; Timothy Wickham-Crowley, “Del Gobierno de Abajo al Gobierno de Arriba …and Back: Transitions to and from Rebel Governance in Latin America, 1956–1990,” in Rebel governance in civil war, eds. Arjona Ana, Nelson Kasfir, and Zachariah Mampilly (2015), 47–73.

53 David C. Faith, “The Hawala System,” Global Security Studies 2, no. 1 (2011): 23–33.; Michael Freeman and Moyara Ruehsen, “Terrorism Financing Methods: An Overview,” Perspectives on terrorism 7, no. 4 (2013): 5–26.; Larbi Sadiki, “Reframing Resistance and Democracy: Narratives from Hamas and Hezbollah,” Democratization 17, no. 2 (2010): 350–76.

54 Karmon, Coalitions between Terrorist Organizations.

55 Shapiro, The Terrorist’s Dilemma.

56 Blair et al., “Honor among Thieves,” 164–203.

57 Asal et al., “With Friends Like These,” 1–30.

58 David C. Rapoport, Audrey Kurth Cronin, and James Ludes. “The Four Waves of Modern Terrorism,” in Attacking Terrorism: Elements of a Grand Strategy, vol. 3–11. (Washington, DC: Georgetown University Press 2004), 54.

59 Crenshaw, “The Causes of Terrorism,” 379–99.

60 Asal and Rethemeyer, “The Nature of the Beast,” 437–49; Asal et al., “With Friends Like These,” 1–30.

61 Angela Dalton and Victor Asal. “Is it Ideology or Desperation: Why Do Organizations Deploy Women in Violent Terrorist Attacks?” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 34, no. 10 (2011): 802–19.; Todd Sandler and Walter Enders. “An Economic Perspective on Transnational Terrorism,” in The Economic Analysis of Terrorism, ed. Tilman Bruck (London, UK: Routledge, 2007), 29–44.

62 Victoria Barber, “The Evolution of Al Qaeda’s Global Network and Al Qaeda Core’s Position Within It: A Network Analysis,” Perspectives on Terrorism 9, no. 6 (2015): 2–35. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26297459; Ronald U. Mendoza, Rommel Jude G. Ong, Dion Lorenz L. Romano, and Bernadette Chloe P. Torno, “Counterterrorism in the Philippines.” Perspectives on Terrorism 15, no. 1 (2021): 49–64. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26984797.

63 The MMN codebook acknowledges that it does not cover the entire universe of groups operating in each setting. We use the Global Terrorism Database to assess this gap and find that the MMN coverage is par with the GTD.

64 The other MMN’s maps focuses mostly on Jihadi groups.

65 Asal et al., “With Friends Like These,” 1–30; Asal et al., “Crime, Conflict, and the Legitimacy Trade-off,” 399–410.

66 Asal et al., “With Friends Like These,” 1–30.

67 See Appendix 1. Case study network maps.

68 A follow up analysis that explores the explanatory power of the first collaboration variable suggest that it is not a good indicator for the number of collaborations a group will have or its likelihood in following homophily-based collaborations.

69 Crenshaw, “The Causes of Terrorism,” 379–99; Rapoport, “The Four Waves of Modern Terrorism,” 3–11; Karmon, Coalitions between Terrorist Organizations.

70 Asal et al., “With Friends Like These,” 1–30; Milla et al., “Is the Role of Ideologists Central in Terrorist Networks?,” 333.

71 Gary A. Ackerman and Michael Burnham, “Towards a Definition of Terrorist Ideology,” Terrorism and Political Violence 33, no. 6 (2021): 1160–90. https://doi.org/10.1080/09546553.2019.1599862; Donald Holbrook and John Horgan, “Terrorism and Ideology,” Perspectives on Terrorism 13, no. 6 (2019): 2–15. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26853737.

72 Michaela Mattes and Mariana Rodríguez, “Autocracies and International Cooperation,” International Studies Quarterly 58, no. 3 (2014): 527–38.; Fabian Winter and Mitesh Kataria, “You Are Who Your Friends Are? An Experiment on Homophily in Trustworthiness Among Friends,” Rationality and Society 32, no. 2 (2020): 223–51.

73 Kilberg, “A Basic Model Explaining Terrorist Group Organizational Structure,” 810–30.

74 Asal et al., “With Friends Like These,” 1–30; Bacon, Why Terrorist Groups Form International Alliances.

75 Crenshaw, “The Causes of Terrorism,” 379–99; Karmon, Coalitions between Terrorist Organizations; Hoffman, Inside Terrorism.

76 Jerrold M., “Terrorist Psycho-Logic: Terrorist Behavior as a Product of Psychological Force,” In Origins of Terrorism: Psychologies, Ideologies, Theologies, States of Mind, ed. Walter Reich (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1998), 25–40; Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars.

77 V. H. Asal, G. A. Ackerman, and R. K. Rethemeyer, “Connections Can Be Toxic: Terrorist Organizational Factors and the Pursuit of CBRN Weapons,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 35, no. 3 (2012): 229–54. https://doi.org/10.1080/1057610X.2012.648156; Angela Dalton and Victor Asal, “Is it Ideology or Desperation: Why Do Organizations Deploy Women in Violent Terrorist Attacks?,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 34, no. 10 (2011): 802–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/1057610X.2011.604833; Milla et al., “Is the Role of Ideologists Central in Terrorist Networks?,” 333.

78 Ackerman and Burnham, “Towards a Definition of Terrorist Ideology,” 1160–90; Holbrook and Horgan, “Terrorism and Ideology,” 2–15.

79 Asal et al., “With Friends Like These,” 1–30; Bapat and Bond, “Alliances between Militant Groups,” 793–824; Bacon, Why Terrorist Groups Form International Alliances; Karmon, Coalitions between Terrorist Organizations.

80 Kristopher K. Robison, Edward M. Crenshaw, and J. Craig Jenkins. “Ideologies of Violence: The Social Origins of Islamist and Leftist Transnational Terrorism,” Social Forces 84, no. 4 (2006): 2009–26. https://doi.org/10.1353/sof.2006.0106.

81 Alex P. Schmid, “The Definition of Terrorism,” in The Routledge handbook of terrorism research, eds. Alex P. Schmid (London, UK: Routledge, 2011), 39–157.; Alex Schmid, “Terrorism-the Definitional Problem,” Case Western Reserve Journal of International Law 36 (2004): 375.

82 Boaz Ganor, “Defining Terrorism: Is One Man’s Terrorist Another Man’s Freedom Fighter?,” Police Practice and Research 3, no. 4 (2002): 287–304; Jeff Goodwin, “A Theory of Categorical Terrorism,” Social Forces 84, no. 4 (2006): 2027–46; Charles Tilly, “Terror, Terrorism, Terrorists,” Sociological Theory 22, no. 1 (2004): 5–13. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9558.2004.00200.x.

83 Ackerman and Burnham, “Towards a Definition of Terrorist Ideology,” 1160–90.

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