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ABSTRACT
Four scenarios for the IS organization of 2020 are described, based on differing assumptions about two drivers: the advances in the reliability of international telecommunications and the value placed on computerization in businesses and society.
Notes
∗ The scenario labels found in CitationGray and Hovav (1999) were changed to better match the 2020 context.
∗ The Nirvana outcomes may actually not be viewed as highly desirable by many of today's IS leaders and staff, as under this scenario they face significant reductions in internal staff as well as increased requirements for skills they do not now possess. Conversely, the increase in IS organization size described for the Dark Ages scenario may well be a preferred scenario by some.