Using rejection sampling probability of acceptance as a measure of independence

Abstract

This paper proposes a new association statistic for determining whether random variables are statistically independent. The proposed association statistic can also be used to examine the strength of both linear and non-linear dependency between variables. This statistic is derived by examining how the conditional probabilities of events differ from their corresponding marginal probabilities. The new statistic is defined in terms of the probability of acceptance commonly associated with the Accept-Reject algorithm and has a very simple formula. The simulated density of the probability of acceptance can be used to measure the degree of uncertainty of the estimated values of the new association statistic. The results from simulations as well as examples that employ real data indicate that this new association statistic is very powerful in detecting linear and non-linear associations between two random variables. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

Keywords:

• correlation
• dependence
• measure of dependency
• non-linear dependency

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