Nuclear coercion skepticism and Russia's nuclear-tinged threats

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Notes

1 Matthew Kroenig, “The Renewed Russian Nuclear Threat and NATO Nuclear Deterrence Posture,” Atlantic Council issue brief, February 2016, <www.atlanticcouncil.org/publications/issue-briefs/russian-nuclear-threat>.

2 Matthew Kroenig, “Toward a More Flexible NATO Nuclear Posture,” Atlantic Council issue brief, November 2016, <www.atlanticcouncil.org/publications/issue-briefs/toward-a-more-flexible-nato-nuclear-posture>.

3 See, for example, discussion in Kroenig, “The Renewed Russian Nuclear Threat and NATO Nuclear Deterrence Posture,” pp. 3–4.

4 “Vladimir Putin: Chtoby zashitit krym, my byli gotovy razvernut yadernoye oruzhiye,” KP, August 24, 2016, <www.kp.ru/daily/26354.7/3236171/>.

5 Yu. A. Pechatnov, “Metodicheskii podhod k opredelniuy sderzhivayushchego ushcherba s uchetom subyektivnykh osobennostei ego vospriyatiya veroyatnym protivnikom,” Vooruzheniye I Ekonomika, March 15, 2011.

6 Dmitry (Dima) Adamsky, “Cross-Domain Coercion: The Current Russian Art of Strategy,” IFRI proliferation paper, November 2015, <www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/pp54adamsky.pdf>.

7 Jacek Durkalec, “Nuclear-Backed ‘Little Green Men’: Nuclear Messaging in the Ukraine Crisis,” PISM report, July 2015, <www.pism.pl/files/?id_plik=20165>.

8 Gudrun Persson, ed., “Russian Military Capability in a Ten-Year Perspective—2016,” FOI, December 2016, <www.foi.se/report-search/pdf?fileName=D:%5CReportSearch%5CFiles%5C5fa9f89b-8136-4b15-9aaf-1d227aee90a0.pdf>.

9 Sergey Karaganov, “O novom yadernom mire,” Russia in Global Affairs, April 4, 2017, <www.globalaffairs.ru/number/O-novom-yadernom-mire-18644>.

10 Fyodor Lukyanov, “Napomni o smerte,” Russia in Global Affairs, February 11, 2016, <www.globalaffairs.ru/redcol/Napomni-o-smerti-17973>.

11 Aleksey Arbatov, “Yadernyy poyas shakhidov,” interview for Nezavisimaya Gazeta, September 2015, <http://carnegie.ru/2015/09/30/ru-pub-61457>.

12 Vladimir Dvorkin “Vystuplenie na kruglom stole ‘strategichestakya bezopasnost I upravleniye voyennymi riskami v epohu posle Kryma,” Carnegie Moscow Center, August 24, 2015, <http://carnegie.ru/2015/08/24/ru-pub-61115>.

13 “Meeting of the Valdai International Discussion Club,” President of Russia website, October 27, 2016, <http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/53151>.

14 Alexei Arbatov, “Razing the Old to Build the New?” Russia in Global Affairs, October 5, 2017, <http://eng.globalaffairs.ru/number/Razing-the-Old-to-Build-the-New-19040>.

15 Erik Gartzke and Matthew Kroenig, “Nukes with Numbers: Empirical Research on the Consequences of Nuclear Weapons for International Conflict,” American Political Science Review, Vol. 19 (2016), pp. 397–412.

16 Alexey Fenenko, “Pochemu v Amerike ne liubyat publikovat’ Rossiiskih avtorov?” Mezhdunarodnyye protsessy, Vol. 14, No. 1 (2016), <http://intertrends.ru/system/Doc/ArticlePdf/1101/Vxe0O29wst.pdf>.