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Feature Articles

Robust Dividend, Financing, and Reinsurance Strategies Under Model Uncertainty with Proportional Transaction Costs

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Abstract

This article studies the robust dividend, financing, and reinsurance strategies for an ambiguity aversion insurer (AAI) under model uncertainty. The AAI controls its liquid reserves by purchasing proportional reinsurance, paying dividends, and issuing new equity. We consider model uncertainty and suppose that the AAI is ambiguous about the liquid reserves process, which is described by a class of equivalent probability measures. The objective of the AAI is to maximize the expected present value of the dividend payouts minus the discounted costs of issuing new equity before bankruptcy under the worst-case scenario. A detailed proof of the verification theorem is shown for the robust singular-regular problem. We obtain the explicit solutions of the robust strategies, which are classified into three cases. Numerical results are also presented to show the impacts of the ambiguity aversion coefficient, and the transaction cost factor.

1. INTRODUCTION

Risk management for an insurance company has long been an important subject in actuarial sciences. The insurer can control the liquid reserves in several ways, including paying dividends, issuing equity, and taking reinsurance. Gerber (Citation1972) studied the optimal dividend problem under both settings of discrete and continuous time. Sethi and Taksar (Citation2002) investigated the insurer’s optimal policy on equity issuance and dividend payouts, which is essentially a free-boundary optimization problem. The policies are characterized in terms of two barriers. Some literature also considers the reinsurance policy, such as He and Liang (Citation2008), Liu and Hu (Citation2014), Meng and Siu (Citation2011), and the references therein. The liquid reserves are characterized by the diffusion process in Sethi and Taksar (Citation2002). However, the reserves of the insurer may have jumps; see Gerber and Shiu (Citation2006), Yao, Yang, and Wang (Citation2010), Yin and Wen (Citation2013), and Yin, Wen, and Zhao (Citation2014).

The above mentioned literature addresses the underlying risk insured by taking different policies. In addition to the insurance risk, the insurer may be worried that the insurance model is misspecified; that is, the model uncertainty (ambiguity). Risk and ambiguity are two main concerns for an individual when making decisions. From the perspective of an insurer, the underlying risk can be managed by different strategies. In the above mentioned works such as Sethi and Taksar (Citation2002), He and Liang (Citation2008), Yin, Wen, and Zhao (Citation2014), etc., the insurer’s optimal financing and dividend strategies are characterized by functions of the economic parameters. However, the insurer cannot observe the real values of the parameters directly while fitting the economic parameters based on real data; see Jørgensen and Paes de Souza (Citation1994), Yip and Yau (Citation2005), and Meraou et al. (Citation2022), for example. The insurer is in fact uncertain about the economic parameters. As such, when the calibrated values differ from the real values heavily, the insurer may adopt an inadequate strategy based on the calibrated values. Therefore, it is necessary to take model uncertainty into account when making decisions. Research about model uncertainty has a long history and stems from the parameter uncertainty when calibrating the financial model, which has been widely discussed in Merton (Citation1980) and Blanchard, Shiller, and Siegel (Citation1993). The decision maker may have multiple priors over the financial model. In the seminal work of Ellsberg (Citation1961), experimental studies in ambiguous settings have repeatedly shown that individuals usually prefer to deal with known, rather than unknown, probabilities, thereby revealing a form of ambiguity aversion. Later, Gilboa and Schmeidler (Citation1989) proposed the max–min expected utility to study uncertainty with a nonunique prior. In Gilboa and Schmeidler (Citation1989), it is desirable to find the optimal strategy under the worst-case prior, which is the so-called robust strategy. In Maenhout (Citation2004), the dynamic portfolio and consumption problem under model uncertainty is considered and the equity premium puzzle can be partially explained. Hansen et al. (Citation2006) used a particular notion of discounted entropy as a statistical measure of the discrepancy between priors and investigated robust control problems. Schied (Citation2008) presented an explicit partial differential equation characterization for the solution of the problem of maximizing the utility of both terminal wealth and intertemporal consumption under model uncertainty. In mathematical finance, there is extensive literature concerning robust strategies under model uncertainty, such as Baltas, Xepapadeas, and Yannacopoulos (Citation2018), Liang and Ma (Citation2020), Pu and Zhang (Citation2021), and references therein.

Although model uncertainty has been one of the main concerns in mathematical finance, there is little literature in actuarial science studying the optimal financing and dividend policies of an insurance company under model uncertainty. However, as stated in the above paragraph, model uncertainty plays an important role when making decisions. In this article, we aim to investigate the robust financing, dividend, and reinsurance strategies for an insurance company. The reference model is characterized by a drifted Brownian motion, which is widely used in the literature; see He and Liang (Citation2008), Løkka and Zervos (Citation2008), and Zhu (Citation2017). The insurance company can control the liquid reserves by paying dividends, issuing new equity, and taking the proportional reinsurance policy. In addition, proportional transaction costs arise from the issuance of equity. We consider a robust control problem for an ambiguity aversion insurer (AAI). The AAI has different priors on the drift term, which is modeled by a set of equivalent probability measures. We add a penalty function based on the relative entropy in Hansen et al. (Citation2006) to characterize model misspecification. The AAI seeks robust strategies by maximizing the expected present value of the dividend payouts minus the discounted costs of issuing new equity before bankruptcy under the worst-case scenario.

In this article, we extend the work of He and Liang (Citation2008) to study model uncertainty. He and Liang (Citation2008) ignored model uncertainty and maximized the expected revenue of the shareholders by choosing appropriate reinsurance, dividend, and financing policies. How to manage insurance risk is the main concern in He and Liang (Citation2008). He and Liang (Citation2008) showed that the insurer’s strategy highly relies on the parameters in the insurance model. Therefore, when the managers of the insurance company make these decisions, they should not only consider the return and risk characteristics of the underwriting and investment activities. They should also consider the model uncertainty induced by not knowing the true values of the characteristic parameters. By depicting the model uncertainty and the shareholders’ ambiguity-averse attitude, we establish different results from He and Liang (Citation2008). Moreover, different from He and Liang (Citation2008), the optimization problem in our work is a combination of the robust control problem and the singular-regular control problem. Most of the literature mentioned above in finance is concerned with the robust regular control problem. That is, the objective is to maximize the accumulated utilities of consumption or the expected utility of terminal wealth under the worst-case scenario, which can be disentangled by the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman-Isaacs (HJBI) equation developed in Mataramvura and Øksendal (Citation2008). Concerning the robust reinsurance strategy, there are many works, such as Zhang and Siu (Citation2009), Yi et al. (Citation2013), Li, Zeng, and Yang (Citation2018), Guan and Liang (Citation2019), and Bäuerle and Leimcke (Citation2021). Zhang and Siu (Citation2009) investigated the optimal investment–reinsurance problem of an insurance company facing model uncertainty via a game-theoretic approach. Closed-form expressions of the optimal strategies and the value function of the problem are obtained when the objective function is the min–max discounted penalty of ruin. Yi et al. (Citation2013) considered a robust optimal reinsurance and investment problem under Heston’s stochastic volatility model for an AAI, which is concerned with model misspecification and aims to find robust optimal strategies. The closed-form solutions are obtained, and ignoring model uncertainty leads to a significant utility loss for the AAI. Guan and Liang (Citation2019) studied the robust reinsurance and investment strategies for an AAI with inflation risk, interest risk, and volatility risk. Previous research mainly has considered different claim processes and financial risks in optimal dividend and financing problems. However, the corresponding robust strategies on reinsurance together with dividend and financing are lacking in the literature. These related studies also supposed that the insurer will never go bankrupt and were concerned with the insurer’s wealth at some fixed time, which only involved the robust regular control problem. The type of robust singular-regular control problem has not been widely studied yet. Studies combining singular-regular control and robustness are rare in the literature. Bayraktar, Cosso, and Pham (Citation2016) investigated a robust switching control by dynamic programming and viscosity solutions. The existence of the solution was shown by applying a Picard iteration approach. Other related works investigating the robust impulse control problemsing Perninge (Citation2021) in a finite horizon and Pun (Citation2021) in an infinite horizon. Pun (Citation2021) provided a mathematically rigorous framework from the formulation of the robust classical impulse stochastic control to its application and showed that the optimal impulse control admits an ansatz of a band policy. Feng, Zhu, and Siu (Citation2021) studied the robust reinsurance and dividend problem for an insurer. The value function in the robust singular-regular control problem is often characterized by a system of variational inequalities of the HJBI equation. The existence of the solution is proved on a case-by-case basis.

The robust dividend strategy has been studied in Zou (Citation2020), Feng, Zhu, and Siu (Citation2021), and Luo and Tian (Citation2022). In Zou (Citation2020), the optimal dividend problem was studied under model uncertainty for an insurer. Under model uncertainty, the insurer’s dividend policy is shown to be more conservative. In Feng, Zhu, and Siu (Citation2021), robust reinsurance and dividend policies are obtained. Feng, Zhu, and Siu (Citation2021) showed that if the insurer is more ambiguity averse, the insurer will undertake less proportion of risks and be less likely to pay dividends. Luo and Tian (Citation2022) studied the optimal investment, payout, and cash management under risk and ambiguity for financially constrained firms. They identify a nonmonotonic relationship between the endogenous payout boundary and ambiguity aversion. All of the mentioned works showed that ambiguity has a significant effect on the firm’s strategy. However, financing is neglected in these works. Our work extends Zou (Citation2020) and Feng, Zhu, and Siu (Citation2021) to study the robust reinsurance, dividend, and financing policies and reveal the effects of ambiguity attitudes and issuing equities. The combination of reinsurance, dividend, and financing under model uncertainty provides a comprehensive framework for the insurer to control liquid reserves.

We provide the following contributions in this article. We incorporate model uncertainty and derive the closed-form robust strategies on dividend, financing, and reinsurance under the setting of proportional costs of the equity issuance. The optimal dividend barrier found in this article is given by a so-called smooth-pasting boundary,Footnote1 which is solved from the HJBI equation in Section 4. There are three cases of the solutions that have clear economic meanings. In the first two cases, the AAI issues new equity when the reserves becomes zero in the amount just sufficient to prevent the reserves dropping below zero. In the third case, the AAI pays out all of the money and immediately goes into bankruptcy. Numerical results show that model uncertainty plays an important role in the AAI’s robust strategies. In the first two cases, ambiguity aversion inhibits dividend payouts. Economically, the AAI becomes conservative for higher transaction costs or a greater ambiguity aversion attitude; that is, the retention level decreases while the smooth-pasting boundary increases with respect to the increase of ambiguity aversion attitude and transaction costs. However, when the ambiguity aversion attitude is large enough, the AAI will pay out all of the dividends immediately and obtain the deterministic bonus, which is consistent with the results in Feng, Zhu, and Siu (Citation2021). In this case, the insurance business is afflicted with high model uncertainty and is not very valuable for the AAI. Then AAI exhibits very high ambiguity aversion and prefers to pay out dividends immediately instead. Mathematically, we rigorously prove the verification theorem of the robust singular-regular control problem and derive the closed-form expression of the value function. The combination of robust control and singular-regular control problems is new; for example, the techniques developed in Mataramvura and Øksendal (Citation2008) are invalid here. In addition, the ambiguity aversion causes a nonlinear form in the variational inequalities, which makes it difficult to prove the verification theorem. Moreover, when both dividend and financing are considered, it is complicated to determine the coefficients of the value function solved from the HJBI equation. The existence of the strategies is revealed in our work with clear proof.

The rest of the article is organized as follows. In Section 2, we formulate the financial model without model uncertainty. Section 3 shows the robust control problem for the AAI. In Section 4, we establish and prove the verification theorem for the value function and robust strategies. Section 5 presents the closed-form solutions in three cases. Numerical examples are discussed in Section 6, and Section 7 provides our conclusions.

2. MODEL SETTING

Suppose that (Ω,F,{Ft}t0,P) is the filtered complete probability space that satisfies the usual condition and the filtration {Ft}t0 describes the flow of market information. All of the processes below are assumed to be well-defined and adapted to {Ft}t0. We assume that the AAI is ambiguous about the financial model and P is the reference probability measure.

When there are no reinsurance, equity issuance, or dividend payouts, the liquid reserves process {Xt}t0 of the AAI under the reference model satisfies the following equation: Xt=x+μt+σWt, where {Wt}t0 is a standard Brownian motion on (Ω,F,{Ft}t0,P). μ and σ are positive constants representing the growth rate and the volatility of the reserves process, respectively. The initial capital is denoted by x0.

The AAI can control the liquid reserves by different policies, such as dividend payout and equity financing (cf. He and Liang Citation2008, Citation2009). By equity financing, the shareholders inject capital into the insurer to avoid bankruptcy in case of a nonpositive surplus. Dickson and Waters (Citation2004) proposed that the objective is to maximize the expectation of the net profit (cumulative discounted dividend minus cumulative financing) at the time of bankruptcy. At time t, the cumulative dividend and financing process are denoted by Lt and Gt, respectively. Similar to He and Liang (Citation2008) and Feng, Zhu, and Siu (Citation2021), we suppose that the insurer will also accommodate the profit and risk by determining a proportional reinsurance policy of 1at at time t. A triple (reinsurance, dividend, financing) control π=(a,L,G) is admissible if

  1. L={Lt}t0 and G={Gt}t0 are {Ft}t0-adapted, nondecreasing, nonnegative, and càdlàg processes (i.e., right continuous with finite left limit) with LtLtXtπ for all t>0 and L0X0π=x;

  2. a={at}t0 is {Ft}t0-adapted with at[0,1] for all t0.

We denote by Π(x) the set of all admissible controls with the initial capital x. For π=(a,L,G)Π(x), the relevant liquid reserves {Xtπ}t0 of the insurer are modeled by (2.1) Xtπ=x+0tas(μds+σdWs)Lt+Gt.(2.1)

Note that due to consideration of the completeness of the model, the insurer is allowed to pay a dividend of L0 (when the initial value x is large) or start an equity financing of G0 (when x is small) at t=0, and hence X0π=xL0+G0. In addition, the insurance company has a minimum reserves requirement of m, which means that the insurer must keep its reserves above or equal to m. Otherwise, the insurer will declare bankruptcy when the reserves are less than m. In this article, for simplicity we assume that m=0 without loss of generality. Denote by τπ:=inf{t0:Xtπ<0} the insurer’s ruin time under the control π. Before the ruin time, the insurer always has a nonnegative surplus: Xtπ0 for any tτπ. Thus, the objective function of the insurer under the reference model is to maximize the expected present value of the dividend payouts minus the discounted costs of issuing new equity before bankruptcy; that is, J(π):=E[L0αG0+0τπeδsdLsα0τπeδsdGs], where δ>0 is the discount rate, and α>1 is a factor of the transaction cost of equity issuance; see also He and Liang (Citation2008) and Løkka and Zervos (Citation2008).

3. MODEL UNCERTAINTY

In practice, the AAI is ambiguous about the reserves process Equation(2.1). Blanchard, Shiller, and Siegel (Citation1993) showed that the first moment in a stochastic model is hard to estimate, and hence the problem of model uncertainty on the drift term μ arises. To incorporate this kind of uncertainty, similar to Maenhout (Citation2004), we introduce a class of alternative probability measures that lead to different drift rates. First, we introduce a set of functions. Denote by Φ the set of processes {ϕt}t0 satisfying the following:

  1. {ϕt}t0 is adapted to {Ft}t0;

  2. E[exp(120tϕs2ds)]<+ for all finite t0.

For each ϕΦ, we can define an equivalent probability measure QϕP by dQϕdP|Ft=ψtexp{0tϕsdW(s)120tϕs2ds}.

Model uncertainty is then described by the set of equivalent probability measures as follows: Q={Qϕ:ϕΦ}.

For QϕQ and finite T>0, the restricted probability measure Qϕ|FT is equivalent to P|FT. By Novikov’s theorem, {ψt}0⩽t⩽T is a martingale under P. By Girsanov’s theorem, the following process Wϕ is a standard Brownian motion on [0, T] under Qϕ|FT: dWtϕ=dWtϕtdt.

As such, under the equivalent probability measure Qϕ, {Wtϕ}t[0,+) is a standard Brownian motion, and EquationEquation (2.1) becomes (3.1) dXtπ=at[(μ+σϕt)dt+σdWtϕ]dLt+dGt.(3.1)

To manage model uncertainty, the AAI searches the robust optimal strategies under the worst-case scenario. The robust optimization problem of the AAI with an initial value x0 is formulated as follows: (3.2) V(x)=supπΠ(x)infϕΦJV(π,ϕ),(3.2) where JV(π,ϕ)EQϕ[L0αG0+0τπeδsdLsα0τπeδsdGs+0τπeδsϕs22Ψ(Xsπ)ds] and Ψ>0 is a positive function representing the ambiguity aversion level of the AAI.

Problem Equation(3.2) is a max–min control problem that searches the worst-case probability measure first and then searches the robust strategies. To avoid the alternative measure Qϕ being too far away from the reference probability P, we add a penalty term ϕs22Ψ(Xsπ) based on the discounted relative entropy (cf. Hansen and Sargent Citation2001; Hansen et al. Citation2006). With a larger Ψ, the less a given deviation from the reference model is penalized. Then the AAI has less faith in the reference model and the worst-case probability measure will deviate from the reference model. Therefore, the AAI’s ambiguity aversion increases with Ψ. Problem Equation(3.2) aims to find a robust control that maximizes the worst-case objective among alternative probability measures {Qϕ}ϕΦ that are closed to the reference probability P.

The original penalty term in Hansen and Sargent (Citation2001) is given by the relative entropy multiplied by a coefficient representing the ambiguity aversion attitude; that is, Ψ is some constant. However, the explicit solution is not obtained in Hansen and Sargent (Citation2001), which limits the application of this type of penalty term. Later, Maenhout (Citation2004) added a continuation value in the penalty term that ensures both homotheticity and analytical tractability. The closed-form solution is obtained in Maenhout (Citation2004) and also has good economic interpretations. This formulation has been widely adopted in the literature for analytical tractability; see also Yi et al. (Citation2013), Branger, Larsen, and Munk (Citation2013), Feng, Zhu, and Siu (Citation2021), and Zou (Citation2020). Following Maenhout (Citation2004), we also set Ψ=γV, with γ>0 being the ambiguity aversion parameter, and write JV(π,ϕ)EQϕ[L0αG0+0τπeδsdLsα0τπeδsdGs+12γ0τπeδsϕs2V(Xsπ)ds].

The AAI’s ambiguity aversion increases with parameter γ. In fact, Maenhout (Citation2004) pointed out that the robustness of the model uncertainty may vanish if we simply take an exogenous function to be the penalty term and hence used the value function V as a normalization factor. In this formulation, the unknown value function appears on the left and right sides of Problem Equation(3.2) simultaneously. The AAI aims to find a robust value function satisfying Problem Equation(3.2).

4. VERIFICATION THEOREM

Problem Equation(3.2) is a combination of robust control and singular-regular control problems. There are three strategies in Problem Equation(3.2). The HJBI equation developed in Mataramvura and Øksendal (Citation2008) cannot be directly applied. Compared to He and Liang (Citation2008), ambiguity aversion has a large effect on the variational inequalities, which also affects the existence and uniqueness of the strategies. In order to solve the problem, we need to present and prove the verification theorem first.

Theorem 1.

Suppose that V:[0,+)R+ is a function satisfying the following:

  1. VC2[0,+);

  2. max{supa[0,1][σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))a2+μV(x)aδV(x)],V(x)α,1V(x)}=0.

    Then V(x)supπΠ(x)infϕΦJV(π,ϕ). If we further have

  3. There exists x*>0 such that V(x)=1 for xx*, and V(x)(1,α) for x(0,x*), V(0)=α;

  4. a*(x)argsupa[0,1][σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))a2+μV(x)aδV(x)] is a Lipschitz function on [0,x*],

    then V(x)=supπΠ(x)infϕΦJV(π,ϕ), and the optimal control π*=(a*,L*,G*) is given by as*=a*(Xs*) and(4.1) 0+I{Xs*<x*}dLs*=0+I{Xs*>0}dGs*=0,L0*=max{0,xx*},G0*=0,(4.1)

    where X* is the solution to(4.2) Xt*=x+0ta*(Xs*)(μds+σdWs)Lt*+Gt*,0Xs*x*,(4.2)

    and the existence and uniqueness of (L*,G*,X*) satisfying Equation(4.1) and Equation(4.2) are given by theorem 3.1 in Lions and Sznitman (Citation1984). The worst-case probability measure is given by(4.3) ϕt=atσγV(Xt)V(Xt),t0.(4.3)

Remark 1.

The parameter x* in Theorem 1 acts as a dividend barrier, which is a “smooth-pasting boundary” solved from the differential equation above. When the reserves are in (0,x*), the AAI pays no dividends and issues no equity. When the reserves are higher than x*, the reserves above x* are paid as dividends to the shareholders. When the reserves are below zero, the AAI issues equity to prevent bankruptcy. The reinsurance policy relies on the form of the value function. In the case that γ=0, the AAI is ambiguity neutral (the worst-case probability measure is given by ϕt=0) and the verification theorem is similar to He and Liang (Citation2008). In Theorem 1, the ambiguity aversion coefficient γ is multiplied by a nonlinear term V(x)2V(x). Compared with He and Liang (Citation2008), this additional nonlinear term presents difficulties and differences in the proof of the verification theorem.

Proof.

  • Step 1. We first show that, if the first two conditions hold, then for every π=(a,L,G), there exists ϕΦ such that JV(π,ϕ)V(x), and then we know that V(x)infϕΦJV(π,ϕ) holds for every π, which leads to V(x)supπinfϕΦJV(π,ϕ). For simplicity, we use X and τ instead of Xπ and τπ without loss of generality. Applying Itô’s formula to the process eδtV(Xπ(t)), we derive eδ(tτ)V(Xtτ)=V(xL0+G0)+0tτeδsV(Xs)(σasdWsϕdLs+dGs)+0tτeδs{as(μ+σϕs)V(Xs)δV(Xs)+as2σ22V(Xs)}ds+0<stτΔXs=0eδs[V(Xs)V(Xs)ΔXsV(Xs)]. As such, we have (4.4) EQϕ[eδ(tτ)V(Xtτ)]=EQϕV(xL0+G0)+EQϕ[0tτeδsV(Xs)(dLs+dGs)]+EQϕ[0tτeδs{as(μ+σϕs)V(Xs)δV(Xs)+as2σ22V(Xs)}ds]+EQϕ[0<stτΔXs=0eδs(V(Xs)V(Xs)ΔXsV(Xs))]=EQϕV(xL0+G0)12γEQϕ[0tτeδsϕs2V(Xs)ds]+EQϕ[0tτeδsV(Xs)(dLs+dGs)]+EQϕ[0<stτΔXs=0eδs(V(Xs)V(Xs)ΔXsV(Xs))]+EQϕ[0tτeδsL(ϕs,as)V(Xs)ds],(4.4) where L(ϕ,a)V(x)δV(x)+a(μ+σϕ)V(x)+a2σ22V(x)+12γϕ2V(x). If we take (4.5) ϕs=asσγV(Xs)V(Xs)=arg infϕRL(ϕ,as)V(Xs),(4.5) then ϕ is bounded (as |ϕs|σγαV(0)) and hence ϕΦ. We have (4.6) L(ϕs,as)V(Xs)=σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))as2+μV(x)asδV(x)supa[0,1][σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))a2+μV(x)aδV(x)]0.(4.6) Denote the continuous parts of Ls and Gs by L˜s, G˜s, respectively. As 1V(x)α, we have (4.7) EQϕ[0tτeδsV(Xs)(dLs+dGs)+eδs(V(Xs)V(Xs)ΔXsV(Xs))]=EQϕ[0tτeδsV(Xs)(dL˜s+dG˜s)+eδs(V(Xs)V(Xs))]EQϕ[0tτeδs(dL˜s+αdG˜s)+eδs(α(GsGs)(LsLs))]=EQϕ[0tτeδs(dLs+αdGs)].(4.7) Substituting Equation(4.6) and Equation(4.7) into Equation(4.4), we obtain 0EQϕV(xL0+G0)12γEQϕ[0tτeδsϕs2V(Xs)ds]+EQϕ[0tτeδs(dLs+αdGs)], which is equivalent to  EQϕ[L0αG0]+EQϕ[0tτeδs(dLsαdGs)]+12γEQϕ[0tτeδsϕs2V(Xs)ds]EQϕ[V(xL0+G0)+L0αG0]V(x). Letting t+, we get JV(π,ϕ)V(x).

  • Step 2. We prove the second part of the theorem. We will show that for π*=(a*,L*,G*) defined in Theorem 1, there exists ϕ*Φ such that V(x)=JV(π*,ϕ*)=infϕΦJV(π*,ϕ), which indicates that V(x)supπΠ(x)infϕΦJV(π,ϕ).

Therefore, we have V(x)=supπΠ(x)infϕΦJV(π,ϕ)=infϕΦJV(π*,ϕ), with π* being the optimal control. We prove the optimality in two different situations.

Situation 1. If xx*, then L0*=G0*=0. Theorem 3.1 in Lions and Sznitman (Citation1984) indicated that X* is a continuous process, so we have (4.8) 0<stτΔXs*=0eδs(V(Xs*)V(Xs*)ΔXs*V(Xs*))=0.(4.8)

Substituting Equation(4.8) into Equation(4.4) we derive (4.9) EQϕ[eδ(tτ)V(Xtτ*)]=V(x)12γEQϕ[0tτeδsϕs2V(Xs*)ds]+EQϕ[0tτeδsV(Xs*)(dLs*+dGs*)]+EQϕ[0tτeδsL(ϕs,as*)V(Xs*)ds].(4.9)

Using Equation(4.1), we know V(Xs*)(dLs*+dGs*)=V(x*)dLs*+V(0)dGs*=dLs*+αdGs*.

Therefore, Equation(4.9) leads to (4.10) EQϕ[0tτeδs(dLs*αdGs*)]+12γEQϕ[0tτeδsϕs2V(Xs*)ds]=V(x)EQϕ[eδ(tτ)V(Xtτ*)]+EQϕ[0tτeδsL(ϕs,as*)V(Xs*)ds].(4.10)

As 0Xs*x*, we have τ=+ and that V(Xs*) is bounded. In addition, if we take (4.11) ϕs*=γσa*(Xs*)V(Xs*)V(Xs*)=arg infϕRL(ϕ,as*)V(Xs*),(4.11) which is bounded and hence ϕ*Φ, recalling a*(x)=arg supa[0,1][σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))a2+μV(x)aδV(x)], we have (4.12) L(ϕs,as*)V(Xs*)L(ϕs*,as*)V(Xs*)=σ22(V(Xs*)γV(Xs*)2V(Xs*))(as*)2+μV(Xs*)as*δV(Xs*)=supa[0,1][σ22(V(Xs*)γV(Xs*)2V(Xs*))a2+μV(Xs*)aδV(Xs*)]=0,(4.12) which means that L(ϕs,as*)V(Xs*)0. The last “=” in Equation(4.12) holds because of Conditions 1 to 3 in Theorem 1 and the fact that 0Xs*x*.

Letting t+ in Equation(4.10), we obtain JV(π*,ϕ)V(x), and the equality holds for ϕ=ϕ*Φ. The result then indicates V(x)=JV(π*,ϕ*)=infϕΦJV(π*,ϕ).

Situation 2. If x>x*, then L0*=xx*,G0*=0, and hence X0*=x*. If we denote by X0*(x) and π*(x) the optimal process and control for initial value x defined in Theorem 1, then the only difference between π*(x) and π*(x*) is that L0*(x)=xx*=0=L0*(x*). In addition, as X0*(x)=X0*(x*), the uniqueness of solution to Equation(4.1) and Equation(4.2) indicates that X*(x)=X*(x*). Therefore, we have (ϕ* is still defined as in 4.11) (4.13) JV(π*(x),ϕ*)=EQϕ*[L0*+0+eδs(dLs*αdGs*)+12γ0+eδs(ϕs*)2V(Xs*)ds]=xx*+JV(π*(x*),ϕ*)=xx*+infϕΦJV(π*(x*),ϕ)=infϕΦ{JV(π*(x*),ϕ)+xx*}=infϕΦJV(π*(x),ϕ).(4.13)

Moreover, as V(x)=1 for x>x*, we have (4.14) V(x)=xx*+V(x*)=xx*+JV(π*(x*),ϕ*)=JV(π*(x),ϕ*).(4.14)

Combining Equation(4.13) and Equation(4.14), we obtain V(x)=JV(π*(x),ϕ*)=infϕΦJV(π*(x),ϕ) and the theorem is proved. ▪

5. ROBUST STRATEGIES

In this section, we derive the robust reinsurance, dividend, and financing strategies based on Theorem 1. We need to solve the free-boundary problem shown in Theorem 1. We see from Theorem 1 that the ambiguity aversion coefficient γ results in a nonlinear form V(x)2V(x) in the HJBI equations, which is different from the form in He and Liang (Citation2008) without ambiguity. There are three cases of robust strategies, corresponding to small ambiguity aversion, a specific ambiguity aversion, and high ambiguity aversion, respectively.

5.1. Case 1: μ22δσ2>γ=1

5.1.1. Preliminaries of Case 1

First, we need to present the variables needed for the results of Case 1. Denote k=1μ22δσ2γ+1, then k(0,1).

  1. The quadratic equation (γ1)z22μσ2z+2δσ2=0 has two solutions: (5.1) u1=μ+μ22δσ2(γ1)(γ1)σ2,u2=μμ22δσ2(γ1)(γ1)σ2.(5.1) Thus, (γ1)z22μσ2z+2δσ2=(γ1)(zu1)(zu2). Further, when γ>1, we have u1=2δμμ22δσ2(γ1)>2δμ>2δμ+μ22δσ2(γ1)=u2>δμ>0, and for γ<1 we have 2δμ>δμ>u2>0>u1.

  2. The quadratic equation γz22μσ2z+2δσ2=0

has two solutions: (5.2) w1=μ+μ22δσ2γγσ2,w2=μμ22δσ2γγσ2.(5.2)

We have w1=2δμμ22δσ2γ>2δμ>2δμ+μ22δσ2γ=w2>δμ>0.

Moreover, for w{w1,w2}, we have 0=γw22μσ2w+2δσ2>(γ1)w22μσ2w+2δσ2=(γ1)(wu1)(wu2).

Based on the discussions above, we conclude the following lemma:

Lemma 1.

For γ>1 we haveu1>w1>2δμ>w2>u2>δμ>0,and for γ<1 we havew1>2δμ>w2>δμ>u2>0>u1.

  • 3. Based on Lemma 1, we define (5.3) λ1=μw22δ(w2u12δμu1)u1(u1u2)(γ1)(2δμu2w2u2)u2(u1u2)(γ1).(5.3)

  • 4. As k(0,1), we can define C2 with (5.4) C2k1=αλ1(μ2δ)k1.(5.4)

  • 5. Based on C2, we define (5.5) x1=k(μ2δC2),x2=x1+1(u1u2)(γ1)ln(2δμu2)(w2u1)(2δμu1)(w2u2),(5.5)

and (5.6) C1=αC21k,C3=C1(μ2δ)k,C4=2δμu12δμu2e(u1u2)(γ1)x1.(5.6)

5.1.2. Main Results of Case 1

We have the following theorem for the robust strategies.

Theorem 2.

Under the assumption of Case 1, we have λ1(0,1). We have two different situations with large and small transaction costs:

  1. If α>1λ1, then the solution to Problem (3.2) is given by(5.7) V(x)={C1(1kx+C2)k,0xx1,C3ew(x),x1<xx2,V(x2)+xx2,x>x2,(5.7)

where w(x)=x1xu(t)dt with(5.8) u(t)=V(t)V(t)u2u1C4e(u1u2)(γ1)t1+u2,(5.8)

and when x1xx2, we can further write(5.9) V(x)=C3eu1(xx1)(C4e(u1u2)(γ1)x1C4e(u1u2)(γ1)x11)11γ.(5.9)

Moreover, the optimal control (a*,L*,G*) is given by (4.1) and (4.2) witha*(x)={2δμ(xk+C2),0xx1,1,x1xx2.

  • 2. If 1<α1λ1, then there exists x3 such that(5.10) V(x)={C5(x3)eu1x|C6(x3)e(u1u2)(γ1)x1|11γ,0xx3,V(x3)+xx3,x>x3,(5.10)

where C5(x) and  C6(x) are given byC5(x)=1w2eu1x|u2u1u2w2|1γ1,C6(x)=w2u1w2u2e(u1u2)(γ1)x,

and the optimal control (a*,L*,G*) is given by (4.1) and (4.2) with a*(x)1 .

Proof.

See Appendix A. ▪

Theorem 2 shows the case with a small ambiguity aversion coefficient γ1. The AAI pays out the dividends based on the smooth-pasting boundary and reflects the reserves process at 0. In this case, when the transaction cost α is higher than the parameter 1λ1, the value function is a three-region form. The robust reinsurance policy increases linearly with the reserves and then maintains at 1; that is, the AAI takes all of the insurance risk by itself. The smooth-pasting boundary is x*=x2. Moreover, when the transaction cost is relatively small, the value function is a two-region form. In this situation, the AAI can take all of the insurance risk and the retention level is 1. The smooth-pasting boundary is given by x*=x3.

5.2. Case 2: μ22δσ2>γ=1

5.2.1. Preliminaries of Case 2

In this case, the w1 and w2 we introduced in Case 1 still exist, which are solutions to z22μσ2z+2δσ2=0, and we also have w1>2δμ>w2>0. Moreover, we have w2=2δμ+μ22δσ2>δμ.

Define λ2=μw22δ(δμw2δ)δσ22μ2eσ22μ(w22δμ),D2k1=αλ2(μ2δ)k1.

Based on D2, we introduce z1=k(μ2δD2),z2=z1+σ22μlnδμw2δ, and D1=αD21k,D3=D1(μ2δ)k.

5.2.2. Main Results of Case 2

Using the notation above, we give the solution to Problem Equation(3.2) by the following theorem.

Theorem 3.

Under the assumption of Case 2, we have λ2(0,1). Similar to Case 1, we also have two different situations with large and small transaction costs:

  1. If α>1λ2, then the solution to Problem (3.2) is given byV(x)={D1(1kx+D2)k,0xz1,D3eδμ(xz1)δσ22μ2(e2μσ2(xz1)1),z1<xz2,V(z2)+xz2,x>z2.Moreover, the optimal control (a*,L*,G*) is given by Equation(4.1) and Equation(4.2) witha*(x)={2δμ(xk+D2),0xz1,1,z1xz2.

  2. If 1<α1λ2, then there exists z3 such thatV(x)={D4(z3)eδμxD5(z3)e2μσ2x,0xz3,V(z3)+xz3,x>z3,

where D4(x) and D5(x) are given byD4(x)=1w2eσ22μ(w2δμ)δμx,D5(x)=σ22μ(w2δμ)e2μσ2x,and the optimal control (a*,L*,G*) is given by (4.1) and (4.2) with a*(x)1.

Proof.

The procedure to prove Theorem 3 is the same as that of Theorem 2 in Appendix A, so we omit the proof here. ▪

Remark 2.

It is worthwhile to point out that the condition γ=1 has no special economic implications and the case that γ=1 here can be obtained by just letting γ1 in Case 1. Because some of the notations in Case 1 are not well-defined when γ=1, we need to list the results when γ=1 separately.

In Theorem 3, γ=1 and there are also two situations of robust strategies. The robust dividend and issuance of equity strategy (L*,G*) reflects the reserves process at the endpoints of the interval [0,x*]. When the transaction cost is large (small), the smooth-pasting boundary is x*=z2 (x*=z3). The robust reinsurance strategy has a similar form as in Theorem 2.

5.3. Case 3: μ22δσ2γ

In this case, the solution to Problem Equation(3.2) is trivial, and we have the following theorem.

Theorem 4.

Under the assumption of Case 3, the solution to Problem Equation(3.2) is V(x)=x, and the optimal control (a*,L*,G*) is given by as*Gs*0 and Ls*x.

Proof.

See Appendix B. ▪

In this case, the AAI has a large ambiguity aversion attitude. Then the AAI is extremely concerned with model uncertainty and takes no insurance risk by itself. Theorem 4 indicates that the AAI pays out all of the initial capital x as dividends immediately, and no equity is issued at all.

6. NUMERICAL RESULTS

In this section, we present the economic interpretations of the value function and robust strategies. We are mainly interested in the effects of ambiguity attitude and transaction cost of equity issuance. In the baseline model, the parameters we adopt are as follows: μ=0.1, σ=0.2, δ=0.05, α=1.5, and γ=2. Then μ22δσ2=2.5.

6.1. Value Function

We are mostly concerned with the effects of the ambiguity aversion coefficient γ and the transaction cost factor α. illustrates the evolution of the value function under different γ. In , we present the value function under different α. The x-coordinate of the marked point represents the smooth-pasting boundary of each curve. and show the positive relationship between the value function and initial capital. The value function is a concave function of x. In addition, we observe that when x is larger than the smooth-pasting boundary, the value function is a linear function of x. reveals that when the AAI is more averse to model uncertainty, the value function becomes small. When the AAI is ambiguity neutral––that is, γ=0––the value function is the largest. In addition, when α increases, the cost of equity issuance increases, and the AAI has a smaller value function, which is depicted in . also shows that when there is no transaction cost (α=1), the value function increases linearly with the initial capital.

FIGURE 1. Effect of γ on V(x).

FIGURE 1. Effect of γ on V(x).

FIGURE 2. Effect of α on V(x).

FIGURE 2. Effect of α on V(x).

6.2. Smooth-Pasting Boundary x*

We are also interested in the effects of transaction costs and ambiguity attitude on the smooth-pasting boundary. In we show the curve of smooth-pasting boundary for α under different γ. When α1, the smooth-pasting boundary will converge rapidly to 0. When there is no cost of equity issuance, the insurer can be financed at any time to avoid bankruptcy. Thus, there is no need to hold the reserves. In we show the curve of smooth-pasting boundary for γ under different α. and show the positive relationship between the smooth-pasting boundary and the transaction costs. When the cost of equity issuance increases, the AAI becomes conservative when paying out dividends. In , we see that the smooth-pasting boundary increases with γ first and then decreases to zero. When the risk aversion coefficient γ becomes larger, the AAI should increase its smooth-pasting boundary to avoid premature bankruptcy in the worst case. However, when γ is large enough, paying out all of the dividends and obtaining the deterministic bonus is the optimal choice. Using Equation(5.5), we can obtain that when γ tends toward μ22δσ2=2.5 from the left side, the smooth-pasting boundary will converge to μ2δ=1, and Case 3 indicates that for γ2.5, the smooth-pasting boundary always equals 0. In addition, we can observe that the smooth-pasting boundary has a positive relationship with γ in most cases. However, when γ approaches μ22δσ2, a negative relationship is observed in .

FIGURE 3. Effect of γ on x*.

FIGURE 3. Effect of γ on x*.

FIGURE 4. Effect of α on x*.

FIGURE 4. Effect of α on x*.

6.3. Reinsurance Strategy

and illustrate the effect of γ on the robust reinsurance strategy. When γ is higher than μ22δσ2=2.5, the AAI goes bankrupt immediately and takes no insurance risk, which belongs to Case 3 in Section 5. When γ<2.5 and γ1, the robust strategies follow Case 1 in Section 5. Further, γ=1 shows the results of Case 2 in Section 5. In and , we observe that when the AAI has a higher ambiguity aversion attitude, it becomes more conservative and takes less insurance risk by itself. Furthermore, the reinsurance strategy increases linearly with x first and then remains at 1 in Case 1 and Case 2. The AAI diversifies all of the insurance risk in Case 3, which is shown in and . We also note that when γ=0, in the case with a small cost α=1.5, the AAI always takes the whole insurance risk by itself, which belongs to situation 2 of Case 1. When γ=0 and α=3, the solution belongs to situation 1 of Case 1. When the cost of equity issuance increases, the AAI diversifies part of the insurance risk to avoid the large financing cost. As such, there is a difference in and with different α. Briefly, the reinsurance policy is more conservative when the financing cost is larger. The effect of α on the robust reinsurance strategy is plotted in . When α increases, the cost of equity issuance is more expensive. Then the AAI has less available surplus and will take smaller insurance risks by itself. When α approaches 1, the reinsurance strategy is 1 and the AAI does not purchase the proportional reinsurance. Interestingly, no matter how large the financing cost is, the AAI will undertake all of the insurance risk when the reserves are large enough.

FIGURE 5. Effect of γ on the Robust Reinsurance Strategy When α=1.5.

FIGURE 5. Effect of γ on the Robust Reinsurance Strategy When α=1.5.

FIGURE 6. Effect of γ on the Robust Reinsurance Strategy When α=3.

FIGURE 6. Effect of γ on the Robust Reinsurance Strategy When α=3.

FIGURE 7. Effect of α on the Robust Reinsurance Strategy.

FIGURE 7. Effect of α on the Robust Reinsurance Strategy.

7. CONCLUSION

In this article, we study the robust optimal triple control on dividend, financing, and reinsurance for an AAI. The reserves process is modeled by a drifted Brownian motion. The AAI is ambiguous about the drift term of the reserves process and searches the robust strategies, which are formulated by the max–min optimization problem. The AAI aims to maximize the expected discounted dividend payments minus the expected discounted costs of issuing new equity before bankruptcy under the worst-case scenario. The verification theorem of the robust singular-regular optimization problem is shown and proved in our work. We see that different from He and Liang (Citation2008), ambiguity aversion leads to a nonlinear form in the verification theorem, which causes great difficulties. Based on the verification theorem, three cases of results are obtained, corresponding to small ambiguity aversion, specific ambiguity aversion, and high ambiguity aversion.

As far as we know, the combination of model uncertainty and financing policy has not been studied yet. In the first two cases, equity issuance reflects the reserves process at 0 and prevents the bankruptcy of the AAI. In addition, the cost of the equity issuance and ambiguity attitude make the robust reinsurance and dividend strategies more conservative. The negative effects of transaction costs and ambiguity attitude on the value function are also presented in the numerical results.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The authors are grateful to the members of the group of Actuarial Science and Mathematical Finance in the Department of Mathematical Sciences, Tsinghua University for their feedback and useful conversations.

Additional information

Funding

The authors acknowledge support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 11901574, 12271290, 11871036), the MOE Project of Key Research Institute of Humanities and Social Sciences (22JJD910003), and the National Social Science Fund of China (20AZD075). YL gratefully acknowledges financial support from the research startup fund at The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen.

Notes

1 Chakraborty, Cohen, and Young (Citation2021) proved the uniqueness of the solution in the optimal dividends problem under model uncertainty. The penalty term in Chakraborty, Cohen, and Young (Citation2021) does not contain the value function, and the explicit solution is not derived. In our work, to obtain an explicit solution, we add the value function in the penalty term and the uniqueness is not proved. As such, we call the dividend barrier the smooth-pasting boundary instead.

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APPENDIX A.

PROOF OF THEOREM 2

To prove Theorem 2, we first show λ1(0,1), and then we verify that V(x) satisfies Conditions 1 to 4 in Theorem 1.

Lemma 2.

Under the conditions of Theorem 2, we have λ1(0,1).

Proof of Lemma 2.

Recalling the definition Equation(5.3) of λ1, it is equivalent to show m1ln|w2u1|m2ln|w2u2|+lnw2<m1ln|2δμu1|m2ln|2δμu2|+ln2δμ, where m1=u1(u1u2)(γ1),m2=u2(u1u2)(γ1). Define f(x)=m1ln|xu1|m2ln|xu2|+lnx; it suffices to prove f(w2)<f(2δμ). Using Lemma 1, we know that both u1 and u2 do not belong to the interval [w2,2δμ], and we have, for x(w2,2δμ], f(x)=1(u1u2)(γ1)(u1xu1u2xu2)+1x=γ(xw1)(xw2)(γ1)x(xu1)(xu2)>0.

Therefore, we obtain f(w2)<f(2δμ).

In the following, we prove the two parts of Theorem 2.

Proof of Theorem 2:

when α>1λ1.

In this case, we have C2<μ2δ, and hence x1>0. In addition, Lemma 1 and Equation(5.5) show that x2>x1. Therefore, V(x) in Theorem 2 is well-defined. We note that w(x)=x1x(u2u1C4e(u1u2)(γ1)t1+u2)dt=x1xd(u1t+11γln|C4e(u1u2)(γ1)t1|); thus, Equation(5.9) holds. Moreover, one can verify that u(x) defined in Equation(5.8) satisfies the following ordinary differential equation (ODE): (A.1) u(x)=(γ1)u(x)22μσ2u(x)+2δσ2.(A.1)

In this light, for x(x1,x2], we have (A.2) V(x)=V(x)(u(x)+u(x)2)=V(x)[γu(x)22μσ2u(x)+2δσ2].(A.2)

Recalling the definition of C4, x1, and x2 in Equation(5.5) and Equation(5.6), we have (A.3) C4e(u1u2)(γ1)x1=2δμu12δμu2(A.3) and (A.4) C4e(u1u2)(γ1)x2=2δμu12δμu2e(u1u2)(γ1)(x2x1)=w2u1w2u2,(A.4) which leads to (A.5) u(x1)=2δμ,u(x2)=w2.(A.5)

Based on the calculation above, we use the following Steps 1 to 4 to prove the theorem:

  • Step 1. We verify that Condition 1 in Theorem 1 holds; that is, VC2[0,+), which is equivalent to show for x{x1,x2}: V(x)=V(x+),V(x)=V(x+),V(x)=V(x+).

(1.a) For x=x1, we have from Equation(5.7) and Equation(A.2) that {V(x1)=C1(x1k+C2)k=C1(μ2δ)k,?V(x1+)=C3ew(x1)=C3=V(x1);V(x1)=C1(μ2δ)k1,V(x1+)=C3ew(x1)u(x1)=2δμC3=V(x1);V(x1)=k1kC1(μ2δ)k2=k1k4δ2μ2V(x1)=V(x1+)(4γδ2μ22δσ2);V(x1+)=V(x1+)[γu(x1)22μσ2u(x1)+2δσ2]=V(x1+)(4γδ2μ22δσ2)=V(x1).

(1.b) For x=x2, it is obvious that V(x2)=V(x2+). Recalling that definition of w2 in Equation(5.2), we have V(x2)=V(x2)(γw222μσ2w2+2δσ2)=0=V(x2+), and it remains to show V(x2)=1=V(x2+). In fact, using Equation(5.9), Equation(A.3), and Equation(A.4), we have V(x2)=V(x2)u(x2)=w2C3eu1(x2x1)(C4e(u1u2)(γ1)x21C4e(u1u2)(γ1)x11)11γ=w2C1(μ2δ)k((2δμu2)(w2u1)(2δμu1)(w2u2))u1(u1u2)(γ1)(2δμu2w2u2)11γ=αw2C21k(μ2δ)k(w2u12δμu1)u1(u1u2)(γ1)(2δμu2w2u2)u2(u1u2)(γ1)=1, where the last “=” comes from the definition of C2 in Equation(5.4).

Concluding the results above, we have proved VC2[0,+).

  • Step 2. We prove for x[0,x2]: supa[0,1][σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))a2+μV(x)aδV(x)]=0.

  1. For 0xx1, we have μV(x)σ2(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))=2δμ(xk+C2)[0,1].

As such, we know arg supa[0,1][σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))a2+μV(x)aδV(x)]=μV(x)σ2(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))=2δμ(xk+C2), and hence one can obtain (A.6)  supa[0,1][σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))a2+μV(x)aδV(x)]=0μ22δσ2V(x)2+V(x)V(x)γV(x)2=0.(A.6)

This is a homogeneous ODE and can be solved by applying transformation u(x)=V(x)V(x), which leads to (μ22δσ2γ+1)u(x)2+u(x)=0.

It is easy to verify that u(x)=(xk+C2)1 satisfies the above ODE, and we have proved for 0xx1 that supa[0,1][σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))a2+μV(x)aδV(x)]=0.

  • b. For x1xx2, we first prove (A.7) σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))+μV(x)δV(x)=0.(A.7)

In fact, applying u(x)=V(x)V(x) and recalling Equation(5.1), the above ODE is equivalent to (A.8) u(x)=(γ1)u(x)22μσ2u(x)+2δσ2=(γ1)[u(x)u1][u(x)u2],(A.8) which is exactly Equation(A.1), and hence Equation(A.7) holds. In addition, we can write Equation(A.2) as follows: (A.9) V(x)=γV(x)[u(x)w1][u(x)w2].(A.9)

Using Equation(A.5) and Lemma 1, when γ>1, it holds that u1>u(x1)>u(x2)>u2, and then Equation(A.8) yields u(x)<0 on [x1,x2]. As such, for x[x1,x2], we have δμ<w2u(x)2δμ<w1.

For γ<1, we have u(x1)>u(x2)>δμ>u2>u1, which also leads to u(x)<0 on [x1,x2]. In this light, for x[x1,x2], we still have δμ<w2u(x)2δμ<w1.

To conclude, for γ=1 and x[x1,x2], we have (A.10) δμ<w2u(x)2δμ<w1,u(x)<0.(A.10)

Based on the discussion above, we have μV(x)σ2(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))=12μV(x)μV(x)δV(x)=12u(x)u(x)δμ1, and hence, for x[x1,x2], it holds that arg supa[0,1][σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))a2+μV(x)aδV(x)]=1.

Therefore, Equation(A.7) shows supa[0,1][σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))a2+μV(x)aδV(x)]=σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))+μV(x)δV(x)=0.

  • Step 3. We prove for xx2, supa[0,1][σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))a2+μV(x)aδV(x)]0.

In fact, for xx2, we know that V(x)=1 and V(x)=0; thus, it suffices to verify (A.11) supa[0,1][γσ22V(x)a2+μaδV(x)]0.(A.11)

As V(x)V(x2)=V(x2)u(x2)=1w2, using Equation(5.2), we have μV(x)γσ21w2μγσ2>1. As such, arg supa[0,1][γσ22V(x)a2+μaδV(x)]=1.

Therefore, Equation(A.11) is equivalent to (A.12) 0γσ22V(x)+μδV(x)=σ2V(x)2[γV(x)22μσ21V(x)+2δσ2]=σ2V(x)2[1V(x)w1][1V(x)w2],xx2.(A.12)

As for xx2, we have V(x)V(x2)1w2>1w1; thus, Equation(A.12) holds.

  • Step 4. We verify Conditions 2, 3, and 4 in Theorem 1.

Using Equation(A.9) and Equation(A.10), we know that V(x)<0 on [x1,x2) and V(x2)=0. In addition, as in Case 1, we have k<1, Equation(5.7) indicates that V(x)<0 also holds on [0,x1]. As V(x)=1 for xx2 and V(0)=C1C2k1=α, we obtain Condition 2 by taking x*=x2.

As for Condition 3, the results of Step 2 and Step 3 indicate that for x[0,x2], we have supa[0,1][σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))a2+μV(x)aδV(x)]=0,V(x)[1,α], and for xx2, we have supa[0,1][σ22(V(x)γV(x)2V(x))a2+μV(x)aδV(x)]0,V(x)α<0=V(x)1.

Therefore, Condition 3 is also satisfied by V.

Finally, for Condition 4, we have from Step 2 that a*(x)={2δμ(xk+C2),0xx1,1,x1xx2, which is obviously a Lipschitz function. ▪

Proof of Theorem 2:

when α1λ1.

Consider the following equation: g(x)αw2eu1x|1C6(x)1u2u1w2u2|11γ|C6(x)1u2C6(x)u1|=1.

Recalling that C6(x)=w2u1w2u2e(u1u2)(γ1)x, using Lemma 1, there exists x3*>0 such that e(u1u2)(γ1)x3*=w2u12δμu12δμu2w2u2>1, and we have C6(x3*)=2δμu12δμu2,g(x3*)=αλ11,g(0)=α>1.

In addition, for x[0,x3*], if γ>1, then C6(x)<0<u2<u1 and hence u2C6(x)u1<0, which means that g is continuous. If γ<1, then C6(x)C6(x3*)>1 and u2>0>u1, and hence u2C6(x)u1>0, which also implies that g is continuous.

Therefore, the intermediate value theorem tells that there exists x3(0,x3*] such that g(x3)=1. Noting that similar to the case when α>1λ, we have, for x[0,x3], v(x)V(x)V(x)=u2u1C6(x3)e(u1u2)(γ1)x1+u2 and V(x)=γV(x)[v(x)w1][v(x)w2].

For this x3, recalling C5(x3)=1w2eu1x3(u2u1u2w2)1γ1, we have V(0)=V(0)u2C6(x3)u1C6(x3)1=C5(x3)|C6(x3)1|11γu2C6(x3)u1C6(x3)1=αg(x3)=α.

In addition, as C6(x3)e(u1u2)(γ1)x3=w2u1w2u2, we know that v(x3)=w2, V(x3)=0, and V(x3)=V(x3)v(x3)=C5(x3)w2eu1x3|u2u1w2u2|11γ=1.

Based on the discussion above, one can verify that V satisfies Conditions 1 to 4 in Theorem 1 by the same steps as in the proof of the first part. ▪

APPENDIX B.

PROOF OF THEOREM 4

Proof of Theorem 4.

On the one hand, if we take π*=(a*,L*,G*) by as*Gs*0 and Ls*x, then Xs*0, and for ϕΦ, we have JV(π*,ϕ)=EQϕ[L0]=x, which yields supπΠ(x)infϕΦJV(π,ϕ)infϕΦJV(π*,ϕ)=x.

On the other hand, for V(x)=x, it is easy to verify that Conditions 1 and 2 in Theorem 1 hold for x>0. Following the proof of Theorem 1, we obtain V(x)supπΠ(x)infϕΦJV(π,ϕ). Therefore, we have V(x)=supπΠ(x)infϕΦJV(π,ϕ), with π* defined above being the optimal control. ▪

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