Stock Market and Banking sector Development in Turkey: Do they have the Same Impact on Economic Growth?

Abstract

This article investigates the impact of financial stock market development and banking sector development on economic growth in the case of Turkey using Johansen cointegration and Granger causality tests for the period between 01:1988 and 12:2004. The results suggest that banking sector development has positive impact on economic growth and vice versa. Hence, the results lend support to both demand following and supply leading hypotheses for banking sector development and economic growth relationship. However, the results fail to yield the same conclusion for the stock market-economic growth relationship.

Sažetak

Rad istražuje utjecaj razvoja financijskog tržišta dionica i bankarskog sektora na ekonomski rast u Turskoj koristeći Johansenov kointegracijski i Grangerov test kauzalnosti za period od siječnja 1988. do prosinca 2004. Rezultati ukazuju na to da razvoj bankarskog sektora ima pozitivni utjecaj na ekonomski rast i suprotno. Stoga, rezultati potkrepljuju obje hipoteze (demand following i supply leading) odnosa razvoja bankarskog sektora i ekonomskog rasta. Ipak, rezultati ne upućuju na jednak rezultat kad je u pitanju odnos burze i ekonomskog rasta.

Key words::

• Granger-causality
• banking sector
• stock market

Ključne riječi::

• Granger-kauzalnost
• bankarski sektor
• burza

JEL classification::

• F31
• F37

JEL klasifikacija::

• F31
• F37