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Articles

Heterogeneous group decision making with thermodynamical parameters

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Pages 6601-6625 | Received 30 Apr 2021, Accepted 07 Mar 2022, Published online: 07 Apr 2022

Abstract

There often exist different types of information due to the subjective and objective criteria in practical decision-making problems, thus it is necessary to develop some efficient frameworks to deal with the decision-making problems with heterogeneous information. The paper proposes a framework for group decision-making problems with heterogeneous information with thermodynamical parameters consisting of three parts to achieving this goal. The first part builds the rectifications of criteria weights according to decision makers’ confidence in evaluations. The second part adopts thermodynamical parameters to measure the numerical values and the data distribution of heterogeneous information to characterize the heterogeneous information fully. The last part applies the TODIM (an acronym in Portuguese for Interactive and Multicriteria Decision Making) to aggregate the decision-making results based on the characterized heterogeneous information without transforming it into a unified form. By depicting decision makers’ different sensitive attitudes towards uncertainty by several mathematical expressions, experiments are performed to assess the sensitive attitudes’ impacts on decision-making results with the proposed framework. Finally, a case study on the selection of a green supplier under the low-carbon economy is provided to illustrate the flexibility and feasibility of the proposed framework.

JEL CODES:

1. Introduction

Human management practices emerged almost simultaneously with the dawn of human civilization. Going with the development of human being’s exercising activities, decision making as a branch of management has made its way into the fields of economics (Bateman et al., Citation2013; Buyukozkan & Guleryuz, Citation2016; Farahani & Asgari, Citation2007; Johansson-Stenman, Citation2018; Kaya et al., Citation2019; Leiser & Azar, Citation2008; Mendoza, Citation2018; Rani et al., Citation2020; Santoyo-Castelazo & Azapagic, Citation2014; Strantzali & Aravossis, Citation2016; Zhang et al., Citation2019), engineering (Liu et al., Citation2018; Mori et al., Citation2018; Wessel et al., Citation1984), military (Salinas, Citation2017; Sánchez-Lozano et al., Citation2015), etc. Initially, the classical decision theory was established based on the expected utility theory (Von et al., Citation1944), which shows the idea that in the decision-making process, decision makers usually look forward to the current environment and the future development, and respond to the possible gains and losses, finally choose the most desirable way to achieve the maximum satisfaction. The utility theory defines individual behavior in decision making and supports decision theory development until now.

With modern decision-making evolution, the environment’s complexity and uncertainty determine that the decision makers are limited to providing accurate evaluations of objects. Vague expressions, such as fuzzy set (Zadeh, Citation1965), intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) (Atanassov, Citation1983, Citation1986), hesitant fuzzy set (HFS) (Torra, Citation2010), linguistic term set (LTS) (Zadeh, Citation1975), hesitant fuzzy linguistic term set (HFLTS) (Rodríguez et al., Citation2012), etc., were proposed, where an IFS describes an object by a membership and a non-membership, a HFS describes an object by several possible memberships, a LTS describes an object by a linguistic term, and a HFLTS describes an object by several continuous linguistic terms. The past years have seen increasingly rapid advances in the field of fuzzy decision-making methods with different fuzzy sets (e.g., Kahneman et al., Citation2015; Liao & Xu, Citation2015; Ren et al., Citation2021).

In practice, decision makers meet the decision-making problems with both subjective and objective criteria frequently. For example, suppose a capitalist considers investing in a corporation among several possible corporations. In that case, he may measure them by the following criteria: asset-liability ratio, annual profit, corporate image, corporate credit, and corporate development program. The data types of evaluations concerning criteria are diverse in such cases. Under this background, researchers have shown an increased interest in addressing the decision-making problems with heterogeneous information. The techniques can be briefly divided into two categories: (1) transforming all heterogeneous information into common types of data and making a decision (Herrera & Martinez, Citation2000; Li et al., Citation2010; Tan et al., Citation2019; Xu et al., Citation2016); (2) introducing an appropriate method to directly use heterogeneous information to make a decision (Lourenzutti et al., Citation2017; Peng et al., Citation2011; Verma et al., Citation2015; Xu, Citation2007; Zhang et al., Citation2019, Yue, Citation2019, Liang et al., Citation2020; Zheng et al., Citation2020).

The above research represents the evaluations on objects towards each criterion by different forms, highlighting that decision makers may have different levels of understanding about an object’s performance under each criterion. These different forms of evaluations reflect the different uncertain degrees of decision makers on objects to some extent. However, the above research solves the decision-making problems by using numerical characters of the heterogeneous information, which ignores its distributed characters. In some cases, taking the distributed characters of information is necessary and meaningful. For example, suppose that, in a group decision-making problem, four decision makers assign “0.3, 0.6, 0.5, 0.4” to an object, and assign “0.5, 0.5, 0.4, 0.4” to another object, the average evaluations show that the performances of the two objects are identical, then should we accept the results? The answer is no because the initial evaluations of them are disparate. Obviously, in decision-making problems, choosing the object with “0.5, 0.5, 0.4, 0.4” as the optimal one is more dependable for its centralized evaluation of four decision makers.

Considering this weakness, Verma and Rajasankar (Citation2017) introduced the thermodynamical knowledge in physics to construct the decision-making methods with real numbers (i.e., numerical number, the abbreviation is RNs) and triangular fuzzy numbers (i.e., a simple form of fuzzy numbers, the abbreviation is TFNs). The method uses energy, exergy, and entropy indicators to depict the judgments with group concentration (valid judgments) and group dispersion (invalid judgments). Motivated by this idea, Ren et al. (Citation2017a) extended the method to depict the thermodynamical characteristic of decision information in an intuitionistic fuzzy environment. Due to the bounded rationality of human beings, the thermodynamical method was further applied to handle the hesitant fuzzy information (Ren et al., Citation2017b). Furthermore, by combining the thermodynamical parameters and the prospect theory, the thermodynamical decision-making methods were developed in a hesitant fuzzy linguistic environment, a probabilistic linguistic environment, and a Pythagorean fuzzy environment (Coban & Onar, Citation2021; Liao et al., Citation2018; Wang et al., Citation2020).

So far, the above thermodynamical decision-making approaches are confined to solving decision-making problems in specified circumstances, limiting the universality of handling decision-making problems with different types of information. To improve the thermodynamical decision-making methods’ applicability, we develop a thermodynamical framework for heterogeneous information involving RNs, utility values (i.e., a measure of people's satisfaction, the abbreviation is UVs), LTs, and HFLTSs, in which RNs are used to depict the objective values on criteria, UVs, LTs, and HFLTSs are the commonly used descriptions in economic and management activities. For example, suppose that we let a decision maker evaluate an alternative with respect to a subjective criterion. In that case, he may assign his utility on the alternatives as “8” (from 1 to 10), or may express his feeling on alternatives by the terms of “good” or even “more than slightly good”. It is easy to catch that such descriptions of “8”, “good” and “more than slightly good” are people’s common expressions, which are called UVs, LTs, and HFLTSs.

The main innovations of the paper can be summarized as follows:

  1. Based on that UVs, LTs, and HFLTSs are the expression forms people commonly use in economic and management activities, the paper builds a decision-making process by considering these subjective evaluations, which would fruit the framework of decision making in economics and management.

  2. Considering different types of subjective evaluations indicate different levels of fuzzy mind, the paper rectifies the original weight of the criterion that people are hesitant to give accurate evaluations accordingly, which would decrease the impacts brought by uncertain factors and limitations of decision makers’ thoughts.

  3. The paper applies thermodynamical parameters to describe the centralized degree of decision-making information, which would improve the reliability and precision of the results.

  4. The paper introduces the TODIM (an acronym in Portuguese for Interactive and Multicriteria Decision Making) to collect each alternative’s overall score without the form of transformation and measure information with prospect theory, which would avoid information loss, as well as increase the significance of results in economics and management with uncertainty and risk.

The remainder of the paper is organized as: Section 2 reviews basic knowledge about related fuzzy sets and the thermodynamical decision-making method, then shows the implications of the proposed framework in the economic and management field. Section 3 defines heterogeneous thermodynamical decision-making parameters and provides the rectifying weights according to decision makers’ confidence levels. Section 4 presents a heterogeneous group decision-making framework, including correcting the criteria weights according to the decision maker’s confidence level, characterizing the numerical values and distribution of decision-making information simultaneously, and introducing the TODIM to derive the final decision-making results. Experiments are performed in Section 5 to discuss how the decision makers’ sensitive attitudes towards uncertainty impact decision-making results. The proposed framework is applied to address a green supplier selection problem under the low-carbon economy in Section 6 to demonstrate its flexibility and feasibility. The paper ends up with conclusions in Section 7.

2. Preliminaries and implications

2.1. Linguistic variables

Based on a finite and ordered LTS S={sθ|θ=0,1,,2τ} (τ is a positive number), the LT (Zadeh, Citation1975), expressed as sθ, is utilized to describe the individual fuzzy mind towards objectives qualitatively. Some operations and measurements for any two LTs sα and sβ were proposed as (Xu, Citation2005): (1) sα ⊕ sβ = sα+β; (2) λsα = sλα (λ0) and (3) d(sα,sβ)=|sαsβ|2τ.

Based on a finite and ordered LTS S={sθ|θ=0,1,,2τ} (τ is a positive number), a HFLTS (Rodríguez et al., Citation2012), defined as b={xi,b(xi)|xiX} (Liao & Xu, Citation2015), is used to capture individual fuzzy mind towards objectives with several consecutive LTs in S, where the hesitant fuzzy linguistic element (HFLE) b(xi) (Liao & Xu, Citation2015) is expressed by at least one LT in S.

To keep the operational characters of HFLTSs, Zhu and Xu (Citation2014) proposed adding some elements in the shorter one(s). If the shorter HFLTS is expressed as b={bl|l=1,,z}, then the added elements b˜ can be determined by b˜=η(maxlbl)(1η)(minlbl) (0η1). Furthermore, Zhu and Xu (Citation2014) defined I(b) as the ordered lower index set of b={bl|l=1,,z}, and Zhang and Wu (Citation2014) introduced the following comparative technique for two HFLTSs bα and bβ:

  1. If s(bα)>s(bβ), then bα>bβ,

  2. If s(bα)=s(bβ), then bα=bβ,

where s(b)=12τzlzI(bl).

Suppose that bα={bαl|l=1,,L} and bβ={bβl|l=1,,L} are two HFLTSs with the same length, their operations (Zhu & Xu, Citation2014) and measurements (Liao et al., Citation2014) are: (1) bαbβ=bασ(l)bαbβσ(l)bβ{bασ(l)bβσ(l)}; (2) λbα=bασ(l)bα{λbασ(l)} (λ0); (3) d(bα,bβ)=1Ll=1L|I(bασ(l))I(bβσ(l))|2τ, where bασ(l) and bβσ(l) are the l th largest element in bα and bβ, respectively.

The current researchers fail to give a general conclusion for the subtraction between any two linguistic variables since the results may be out of the initial LTSs. To ensure the scope of operation, referring to the inverse of the additive operation, we define the following subtractive operations for LTs and HFLTSs with the restricted condition:

  1. For any two LTs sα and sβ, if α>β, then sαsβ=sαβ;

  2. For any two HFLTSs bα={bαl|l=1,,L} and bβ={bβl|l=1,,L} with the same length, if I(bασ(l))>I(bβσ(l)) for all l=1,,L, then bαbβ={I1(I(bασ(l))I(bβσ(l)))|l=1,,L}.

2.2. Thermodynamical decision-making approach

For a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problem with m alternatives A={Ai|i=1,,m} and n criteria C={Cj|j=1,,n}, h decision makers assign the weights of the criteria as w={wjk|j=1,,n,k=1,,h} and utilize the matrices R=(rijk)m×n, where rijk (i=1,,m, j=1,,n, k=1,,h) are RNs, to evaluate the alternatives with respect to criteria. The thermodynamical decision-making process to handle it can be briefly introduced (Verma & Rajasankar, Citation2017) as:

  1. For an alternative Ai (i{1,,m}), define the decision values rijk as its potential with respect to the criterion Cj and the weight wjk as its force, for j{1,,n} and k{1,,h};

  2. Calculate the quality qijk of the potential rijk by qijk=1|rijk1hk=1hrijk|/(1hk=1hrijk), for i=1,,m and j=1,,n;

  3. Construct the energy matrix Uk=(uijk)m×n and the exergy matrix Xk=(xijk)m×n, respectively, where uijk=wjrijk and xijk=qijkuijk for i{1,,m},j{1,,n},k{1,,h};

  4. Obtain the energy indicator and the exergy indicator of the alternative Ai for each decision maker by uik=1nj=1nuijk and xik=1nj=1nxijk, respectively;

  5. Get the overall energy indicator and the overall exergy indicator of the alternative Ai by ui=1hk=1huik and xi=1hk=1hxik, respectively;

  6. Calculate the overall entropy indicator of the alternative Ai by si=uixi, and rank alternatives. The optimal alternative corresponds to the one with minimum entropy.

2.3. Implications in economic and management field

The construction of the proposed framework yields implications in the economic and management field, which can be summarized as follows:

  1. In practical economic and management activities, people likely use different types of expressions to evaluate objects. By addressing the information of RNs, UVs, LTs and HFLTSs, the proposed framework provides an efficient tool for some common economic and management decision-making problems.

  2. Considering the uncertainty and complexity exist in economic and management activities, the proposed framework introduces thermodynamical parameters to take full use of available information, which would improve the reasonability of the economic and management results.

  3. As economic and management activities usually face risks, the proposed framework considers decision maker’s sensitive attitude to the fuzzy mind (manifested by vague expressions) during weight reification. It develops people’s characters of risk-aversion, risk-neutral, and risk-preference in economics into the actual decision-making process.

In general, the proposed framework is built based on taking the economic and management situations, i.e., uncertainty, complexity and risk into account. It would provide a way to improve the reasonability of the economic and management decision-making results.

3. Heterogeneous thermodynamical parameters and weight rectification

In this section, we present thermodynamical parameters to manifest the data features from the aspects of numerical values and distributions. Furthermore, considering that evaluations on alternatives regarding subjective criteria are inevitably ambiguous, we introduce a weight rectification way to decrease the relative weight of the criterion that corresponds to the evaluations with more uncertainty.

3.1. Heterogeneous thermodynamical decision-making parameters

Suppose that an MCDM problem contains h decision makers D={Dk|k=1,,h}, m alternatives A={Ai|i=1,,m}, subjective criteria C={Cj|j=1,,n}, and o objective criteria C={Cj|j=n+1,,n+o}. Decision makers assign the vector of criteria weights as w=(w1,,wn+o)T in which wj[0,1] and j=1n+owj=1 for all j=1,,n+o. Decision makers use UVs, LTs, or HFLTSs to evaluate the alternatives towards the subjective criteria, and RNs manifest the objective performances of the alternatives pij. The heterogeneous decision matrix Rk=(rijk)m×(n+o), which consists of all objective performances and individual evaluations, can be presented as: (1) SubjectivecriteriaObjectivecriteriaC1Cn+oC1CtCyCnCn+1Cn+oRk=A1Am(r11r1,n+orm1rm,n+o)=A1Am(uv11ks1tkb1ykb1nkuvm1ksmtkbmykbmnk|p1,n+1p1,n+opm,n+1pm,n+o)for k{1,,h}(1) where uvijk is a UV expressed by a crisp value, sijk and bijk={(bijk)l|l=1,,Lbijk} are respectively an LT and an HFLTS that are both provided based on LTS S={sθ|θ=0,1,,2τ}, for k{1,,h}, i{1,,m} and j{1,,n}.

Note that decision makers are not required to assign their judgments to the alternatives with respect to the objective criteria.

To establish the thermodynamical decision-making method in a heterogeneous environment, we firstly present some heterogeneous thermodynamical definitions:

Definition 3.1.

In a decision-making problem, the evaluation of an alternative with respect to a subjective or objective criterion is defined as the heterogeneous potential. The corresponding criterion weight is defined as the heterogeneous force. The heterogeneous potential can be presented by each form such as UV, LT, HFLTS, RN, etc., and the heterogeneous force is located in [0,1].

In physics, the energy of an object is the sum of its kinetic energy and potential energy (Charles & Herbert, Citation1980; Perrot, Citation1998). Applying this relation to the decision-making circumstance, the energy of an alternative is equal to the potential energy for its static state.

Definition 3.2.

In each state, an alternative's heterogeneous energy is its efficacy in the heterogeneous decision-making system at that state, calculated by the product of its heterogeneous potential and the corresponding heterogeneous force.

By Definition 3.2, different types of potentials correspond to different types of energies, and a proposition to obtain the potentials is presented as:

Proposition 3.1.

For a heterogeneous decision matrix Rk=(rijk)m×(n+o) (k{1,,h}, i{1,,m} and j{1,,n+o}), where rijk may be expressed as a UV uvijk, an LT sijk, an HFLTS bijk or an RN pij, the heterogeneous energy of the alternative Ai under the criterion Cj can be obtained by one of the following situations:

  1. If the heterogeneous potential rijk is a UV, then we call the heterogeneous energy as utility energy, which can be calculated by ueijk=wjuvijk;

  2. If the heterogeneous potential rijk is an LT, then we call the heterogeneous as energy linguistic energy, which can be calculated by leijk=wjsijk;

  3. If the heterogeneous potential rijk is an HFLTS, then we call the heterogeneous energy as hesitant fuzzy linguistic energy, which can be calculated by heijk=wjbijk (Liao et al., Citation2018);

  4. If the heterogeneous potential rijk is an RN, then we call the heterogeneous energy as real energy, which can be calculated by reij=wjpij (Verma & Rajasankar, Citation2017),

where linguistic energy and hesitant fuzzy linguistic energy can be calculated by their scalar multiplications (Xu, Citation2005; Zhu & Xu, Citation2014).

For general decision-making problems, if the evaluations on alternatives are described in the same form, then we can get the overall values of the alternatives by using the weighted aggregated operations; or if the evaluations on alternatives are described in different forms, then we can (1) normalize them into the same scale and calculate the weighted average of alternatives, or (2) make relative comparisons among all alternatives with respect to each criterion and collect the comparative results of alternatives. These methods can compare alternatives and rank them numerically. Let us further consider a situation as described before: for two alternatives, if two sets of data have the same aggregated results, but the distribution of one set is more centralized than the other, which should be judged as the better one? In most cases, we likely choose the one with the more centralized distribution for its stable performance, similar to the case that an individual or corporation is willing to invest a stable fund rather than a steep one to guarantee profit and avoid risk. Then, in the following, we introduce the parameters to capture the centralized degree of the heterogeneous information.

Definition 3.3.

The heterogeneous static quality of a heterogeneous potential on an alternative is manifested by the concentration degree of the potential assigned by a decision maker to the mean of heterogeneous potentials assigned by all decision makers.

Proposition 3.2.

For a heterogeneous decision matrix Rk=(rijk)m×(n+o) (k{1,,h}, i{1,,m} and j{1,,n+o}), where rijk may be expressed as a UV uvijk, an LT sijk, an HFLTS bijk, or an RN pij, the heterogeneous static quality of any heterogeneous potential rijk (k{1,,h}) over all other heterogeneous potentials rijk (k=1,,h) is

  1. If the heterogeneous potential rijk is a UV, then we call the heterogeneous static quality as utility static quality, calculated by uqijk=1|uvijku¯v¯ij|u¯v¯ij;

  2. If the heterogeneous potential rijk is an LT, then we call the heterogeneous static quality as linguistic static quality, calculated by lqijk=1d(sijk,s¯ij);

  3. If the heterogeneous potential rijk is an HFLTS, then we call heterogeneous static quality as hesitant fuzzy linguistic static quality, calculated by hqijk=1d(bijk,b¯ij);

  4. If the heterogeneous potential rijk is an RN, then rijk=rijk+1 for all k{1,,h}, and real static quality is rqij=1.

where d(sijk,s¯ij) and d(bijk,b¯ij) are respectively the distance measures of linguistic information and hesitant fuzzy linguistic information.

Furthermore, we put forward the concept of heterogeneous exergy as follows:

Definition 3.4.

Heterogeneous exergy is defined as the maximum centralized effect that a heterogeneous potential possesses, which can be calculated by the product of heterogeneous energy and heterogeneous static quality of each alternative.

Proposition 3.3.

For a heterogeneous decision matrix Rk=(rijk)m×(n+o) (k{1,,h}, i{1,,m} and j{1,,n+o}), where rijk is a UV uvijk, an LT sijk, an HFLTS bijk, or an RN pij, the heterogeneous exergy of a heterogeneous potential rijk (k{1,,h}) is

  1. For a UV uvijk, its utility exergy uxijk=uqijkueijk;

  2. For an LT sijk, its linguistic exergy lxijk=lqijkleijk;

  3. For an HFLTS bijk, its hesitant fuzzy linguistic exergy hxijk=hqijkheijk (Liao et al., Citation2018);

  4. For an RN pij, its real exergy rxij=rqijreij (Verma & Rajasankar, Citation2017).

3.2. Weight rectification with the confidence level

With the idea that people always give accurate descriptions and evaluations to an alternative which they know very well and give ambiguous descriptions and evaluations to another which they are unfamiliar with, we propose to rectify the criteria weights to decrease the relative importance of the criteria correspond to indeterminate evaluations and increase relative weights of the criteria correspond to accurate evaluations.

Firstly, a concept to describe the confidence degree of a decision maker is introduced as:

Definition 3.6.

The confidence level of a decision maker with respect to his/her given HFLTS b={bs|s=1,,lb} is a parameter to measure its practical dependability in the decision-making process, which can be calculated by (2) ξ=2lb+1(2)

Remark 1.

The confidence level of hesitant fuzzy linguistic information focuses on recording the expression accuracy of its linguistic length. The accuracy is proposed based on the motivation of relative standard deviation in mathematics (statistics).

Definition 3.7.

For an uncertain decision value, its confidence level is calculated as ξ, suppose that a decision maker initially assigns its weight as w, then its rectified weight can be obtained by (3) w¯=wF(ξ)(3) where F(ξ) is a function of the confidence level ξ.

Remark 2.

The technique to rectify the weights for the evaluations with more fuzziness helps reduce the impact on the decision-making results caused by the unknown factors or individual thought limitations.

Proposition 3.5.

The form of F(ξ) can be determined by a decision maker’s sensitive attitude to the accuracy of decision value, specifically

(1) If decision makers are neutrally sensitive to the accuracy, then F(ξ) is a linear function, F(ξ)=0;

(2) If decision makers are sensitive to the accuracy, then F(ξ) is a locally convex function, F(ξ)>0;

(3) If decision makers are insensitive to the accuracy, then F(ξ) is a locally concave function, F(ξ)<0.

Intuitively, the situations in Proposition 3.5. can be presented by .

Figure 1. Shapes of F(ξ) with a decision maker’s different sensitive attitudes towards the accuracy of decision values.

Source: Authors.

Figure 1. Shapes of F(ξ) with a decision maker’s different sensitive attitudes towards the accuracy of decision values.Source: Authors.

4. A framework of heterogeneous thermodynamical decision making

Based on Section 3, the section aims to establish a decision-making framework for the MCDM problem with subjective and objective criteria, which involves the following three algorithms:

Algorithm 1.

Weights rectifying

Input: (1) The alternatives A={Ai|i=1,,m}, (2) the criteria C={Cj|j=1,,n+o}, (3) the heterogeneous decision matrices Rk=(rijk)m×(n+o)(k=1,,h) that contain the heterogeneous potentials of alternatives towards subjective criteria (expressed by the UVs uvijk, the LTs sijk, and the HFLTSs bijk) for k=1,,h, i=1,,m, j=1,,n, and the objective criteria (presented by the RNs pij) for i=1,,m and j=n+1,,n+o, (4) the weights of criteria wk=(w1k,,wn+ok)T assigned by each decision maker; (5) the decision makers’ functions of the confidence levels according to their sensitive preferences;

Output: The rectified weights of criteria w¯k=(w¯1k,,w¯n+ok)T for k=1,,h;

  • Step 1. For all heterogeneous decision matrices Rk=(rijk)m×(n+o)(k=1,,h, i=1,,m and j=1,,n+o), select the criteria Cjk that correspond to the evaluations expressed by HFLTSs for k=1,,h and j=1,,n, go the next step; If no criteria as such exist, end this algorithm;

  • Step 2. Denoted the selected criteria and their original weights as Cj*k (k=1,,h and j=1,,n) and wj*k (k=1,,h and j=1,,n) respectively, go the next step;

  • Step 3. Obtain the confidence levels of the decision makers towards the selected criteria Cj*k (k=1,,h and j=1,,n) by

(4) ξj*k=2l̂bj*k+1(4)

where l̂bj*k is the length of the normalized HFLTSs for j th criteria given by k th decision maker. Go to the next step;

  • Step 4. According to the function of the confidence levels provided by the decision makers, calculate the rectified weights of the criteria Cj* (k=1,,h and j=1,,n) by

(5) w¯j*k=wj*kf(ξj*k)(5)

and go to Step 5;

  • Step 5. For the criteria expressed by UVs, LTs, and RNs, their weights can be adjusted:

(6) w¯jk=wjk(1+j*=1n|wj*kw¯j*k|/(1j*=1nw¯j*k))for k=1,,h and j=1,,n+o(6)

End.

For convenience, we note the rectified weights of criteria as w¯k=(w¯1k,,w¯n+ok)T for k=1,,h, which are composed of all above-rectified weights.

It is worth noting that considering the known information is shared among all decision makers in a heterogeneous group decision-making problem, we assume that decision makers reach a consensus to assign the evaluations to which criteria by more nebulous information because they contain more unknown factors. It means that the columns in these h decision matrices, which correspond to the evaluations expressed by HFLTSs, are the same.

Based on Algorithm 1, a process can be furtherly proposed to obtain the thermodynamical features of alternatives:

Algorithm 2.

Thermodynamical features processing

Input: (1) The alternatives A={Ai|i=1,,m}, (2) the criteria C={Cj|j=1,,n+o}, (3) the heterogeneous decision matrices Rk=(rijk)m×(n+o) (k=1,,h) that contain the heterogeneous potentials of alternatives towards subjective criteria (expressed by the UVs uvijk, the LTs sijk, and the HFLTSs bijk) for k=1,,h, i=1,,m, j=1,,n, and the objective criteria (presented by the RNs pij) for i=1,,m and j=n+1,,n+o, (4) the rectified weights of criteria w¯k=(w¯1k,,w¯n+ok)T;

Output: The heterogeneous exergy matrix;

  • Step 1. Obtain the heterogeneous energy of each heterogeneous potential by Proposition 3.1, and then construct the corresponding heterogeneous energy matrix HEk=(heijk)m×(n+o) of each heterogeneous decision matrix Rk=(rijk)m×(n+o) for k{1,,h} i=1,,m and j=1,,n+o. Go to the next step;

  • Step 2. Calculate the individual heterogeneous static quality matrix HQk=(hqijk)m×(n+o) for each individual heterogeneous decision matrix (k{1,,h}, i=1,,m and j=1,,n+o), where the elements hqijk (k=1,,h, i=1,,m and j=1,,n+o) can be obtained by Proposition 3.2. Turn to Step 3;

  • Step 3. Acquire the individual heterogeneous exergy matrix HXk=(hxijk)m×(n+o) of each individually heterogeneous decision matrix (k{1,,h}, i=1,,m and j=1,,n+o), whose elements can be obtained by Proposition 3.3. Go to Step 4;

  • Step 4. Synthesize all individual heterogeneous exergy matrices into an overall heterogeneous exergy matrix HX=(hxij)m×(n+o) (i=1,,m and j=1,,n+o), where

hxij=1kk=1hhxijk for k=1,,h(7)

End.

Through Algorithm 1 and Algorithm 2, we can improve the rationality of the decision-making procedure from weight setting and available decision-making information characterizing. Next, a question arises – how to utilize the charactered information and make a decision?

Currently, there exist two paths to handle heterogeneous decision-making information. One is to transform information into the same type, then aggregate the homogeneous data; another is to introduce a method that makes a decision by relatively comparing alternatives with respect to each criterion. Since the latter can avoid distorting or losing information in the transformation process, we apply such thinking to our following decision analysis.

Prospect theory proposed by Kahneman and Tversky (Citation1979) indicates that people hold different attitudes towards gains and losses. Specifically, they are more sensitive to losses than gains. TODIM (Gomes & Lima, Citation1992), a popular decision-making method developed based on prospect theory, can relatively compare alternatives through their superiorities and inferiorities. With this property, the TODIM is suitable to deal with different types of information independently. Therefore, we extend the traditional TODIM method to make decisions with heterogeneous data. Two interpretations ought to be presented respectively, (1) there exists no research work that uses the TODIM to handle UVs, LTs, HFLTSs, and RNs simultaneously; (2) we address the TODIM procedure based on the thermodynamical feature decision matrix rather than a collection of original decision matrices, which contains more practical and refined group decision- making information and is better applied in actual problems.

Algorithm 3.

TODIM procedure for heterogeneous information with thermodynamical features

Input: The heterogeneous exergy matrix HX=(hxij)m×(n+o) for i=1,,m and j=1,,n+o; the rectified weights of criteria w¯k=(w¯1k,,w¯n+ok)T for k=1,,h;

Output: The global values and ranking of alternatives;

  • Step 1. Normalize the elements in the heterogeneous exergy matrix HX that are expressed by UVs or RNs into 0-1.

  1. If hxij is a UV, denoted as uvij, then (8) uv¯ij=uvijmaxi{1,,m}j{1,,n+o}(uvij)(8)

  2. If hxij is an RN, denoted as rnij, then (9) rn¯ij=rnijmaxi{1,,m}j{1,,n+o}(rnij)(9)

Subsequently, we get a normalized thermodynamical feature decision matrix HF¯=(hf¯ij)m×(n+o), i=1,,m, j=1,,n+o. Go to Step 2;

  • Step 2. Obtained the overall rectified weights w¯=(w¯1,,w¯n+o)T based on the individual rectified weights w¯k=(w¯1k,,w¯n+ok)T for k=1,,h by

(10) w¯j=1kk=1hw¯jk(10)

Turn to Step 3;

  • Step 3. Calculate the relative weight of the criterion Cj to the criterion Cr

wjr=w¯r/w¯j for j,r{1,,n+o}(11)

Go to Step 4;

  • Step 4. Towards each criterion, we obtain the dominance degree of the alternative Ai over the alternative At with respect to the criteria Cr for r=1,,n+o. Specifically,

  1. If hx¯ij is a UV or an RN, then (12) δr(Ai,At)={wjr(hx¯irhx¯tr)r=1n+owjr       if(hx¯irhx¯tr)>01θ(r=1n+owjr)(hx¯trhx¯ir)wjrotherwise(12)

  2. If hx¯ij is an LT or an HFLTS, then (13) δr(Ai,At)={wjrd(hx¯ir,hx¯tr)r=1n+owjr       ifhx¯ir>hx¯tr1θ(r=1n+owjr)d(hx¯tr,hx¯ir)wjrotherwise(13)

where d(hx¯ir,hx¯tr) is the distance between hx¯ir or hx¯tr. Go to the next step;

  • Step 5. Calculate the dominance degree of the alternative Ai over the alternative At by

(14) Δ(Ai,At)=r=1n+oδr(Ai,At)(14)
  • Step 6. Obtain the global value of each alternative by Eq. (4.12), and then sort all alternatives according to the global values.

(15) γi=t=1mΔ(Ai,At)mini(t=1mΔ(Ai,At))maxi(t=1mΔ(Ai,At))mini(t=1mΔ(Ai,At)) for i=1,,m(15)

End.

5. Impact of sensitive attitudes on decision results

Since people could be divided into risk-aversion, risk-neutral, and risk-preference categories when they engage in economics and management activities, in this chapter, we consider the impact of their different risk attitudes towards fuzzy minds on the results obtained by the proposed framework. Specifically, the fuzzy minds are manifested by the different types of fuzzy expressions, and our proposed framework addresses the weight rectification on the criteria with more obscure expressions. As a result, we design experiments to analyze the effects of weight rectification on decision results caused by the decision makers’ different sensitive attitudes.

Suppose a group MCDM problem with four alternatives and four criteria (including an objective criterion and three subjective criteria). Three decision makers are invited to judge alternatives with respect to each subjective criterion by UVs, LTs, and HFLTSs, respectively, where LTs and HFLTSs are based on S={sθ|θ=0,1,,2τ} (τ is a positive number). According to these settings, we randomly generate three decision matrices representing three decision makers’ judgments, and randomly generate three vectors of criteria weights. Then, we address the weight vectors by the following situations:

  • Situation 1. For the column that is evaluated by HFLTSs, suppose that the decision makers are neutrally sensitive to the accuracy of decision information, then we set the function of the confidence level as F(ξ)=ξ to rectify its weight;

  • Situation 2. For the column that is evaluated by HFLTSs, suppose that the decision makers are sensitive to the accuracy of decision information, then we set the function of the confidence level as F(ξ)=eξ1 to rectify its weight;

  • Situation 3. For the column that is evaluated by HFLTSs, suppose that the decision makers are insensitive to the accuracy of decision information, then we set the function of the confidence level as F(ξ)=ln(ξ+1) to rectify its weight;

  • Situation 4. For the column that is evaluated by HFLTSs, we reserve its original weight.

We substitute these four weight vectors into Algorithm 2 and Algorithm 3, obtain the corresponding four alternative rankings, and record the optimal selection of each ranking. Repeating the above procedure 1000 times, we list four optimal selection rankings towards the four situations.

We further let the decision matrices be with five alternatives and five criteria, six alternatives and six criteria, seven alternatives and seven criteria, eight alternatives and eight criteria, nine alternatives and nine criteria, ten alternatives and ten criteria, then record the rankings with different situations under each order of decision matrices.

Through every 1000 simulations with different orders of matrices, we can get four rankings of the optimal selections for heterogeneous thermodynamical group decision making with original weights, the rectified weights under neutrally sensitive attitude, the rectified weights under sensitive attitude, and the rectified weights under insensitive attitudes, respectively.

One way to assess the impacts of sensitive attitudes on decision results is by making comparisons between the rankings with the original weights and the rectified weights towards different sensitive attitudes. Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient (PPMCC) is an easy and common statistical analysis technique to determine the relationship between two sequences of data from the perspective of linear correlation. The data without centralization can be utilized to analyze the observations of two sequences in pairs. Each pair of observations is independent, which is appropriate for the sequences obtained with different types of weight processing. Therefore, we use the PPMCC to test the correlations between two ranking sequences derived from simulations, and show the results in .

Table 1. The correlations between the rankings with the original weights and the rectified weights with different sensitive attitudes.

The correlation coefficients in are all significant since they all pass the significance test. The test shows that the decision results obtained through the original weights and the rectified weights with sensitive attitude/neutrally sensitive attitude are correlative. It is worth noting that the decision results obtained through the original weights and the rectified weights with insensitive attitudes can completely fit with each other because the correlation coefficients are all 1, which verifies that the decision makers’ insensitive attitude towards the accuracy of decision information does not influence the final optimal selections whatever the orders of the decision matrices are. The results accord with decision makers’ behaviors, i.e., with the decreasing sensitivity of decision makers, the influence of the rectified weights decreases, verifying the reasonability of the proposed framework.

It is apparent from that decision results obtained by the rectified weights with neutrally sensitive/sensitive attitudes can change the optimal selections. To further understand the effects of different sensitive attitudes towards uncertain decision informtion on optimal selections and find whether there exists any factor to impact these effects, we compare the optimal selections with the rectified weights and the optimal selections with the original weights, then record the different selections. The results are highlighted in .

Figure 2. Different optimal selections with rectified weights and original weights.

Source: Authors.

Figure 2. Different optimal selections with rectified weights and original weights.Source: Authors.

Results in suggest that: (1) with the order of decision matrices increases, the numbers of different optimal selections decrease whatever decision makers are neutrally sensitive or sensitive towards the uncertain decision information; (2) when the orders of decision matrices are equal to or greater than seven and decision makers’ attitudes towards uncertain information are neutrally sensitive, the optimal selection is hardly to be impacted by the rectified weights.

Conclusions obtained by these experiments have some scientific contributions and significances, which can be summarized as follows:

(1) Decision makers who are insensitive to the fuzzy mind do not require weight rectification with our proposed framework, whereas decision makers who are sensitive or neutrally sensitive to the fuzzy mind need the weight rectification. The conclusion would improve the completeness and feasibility of the proposed framework in practical application with different kinds of decision makers.

(2) Under our proposed framework, the experiment conclusions strongly suggest that risk-preference people are hardly to be impacted by the fuzziness. However, the fuzzy impact on risk-neutral and risk-aversion people gradually increases. In other words, people with risk aversion mostly consider the uncertain or risk factor, which accords with human psychology and behavior in the real world.

6. Application to the selection of a green supplier under Low-Carbon economy

With climate change and global warming in recent years, human beings have suffered from various disasters, such as glacier melting, sea-level rise, frequent floods, etc. These situations destruct the biodiversity, reduce the crops, and increase diseases, threatening humanity’s survival and sustainable development (Cheng, Citation2010). Since the primary cause of global warming is the massive greenhouse gas emissions, and carbon dioxide is the primary kind of greenhouse gas, controlling and reducing carbon dioxide emissions is an absolute and direct path to ease global warming. Since the Copenhagen summit of 2009, numerous countries have focused on carbon emissions, and the concept of a low-carbon economy has been introduced.

Various countries towards carbon emission reduction have promulgated some laws. The government policy is becoming more stringent. For example, some developed countries have proposed to impose a carbon tariff on imported goods, and Singapore planned to levy a carbon tax in 2019. Similarly, the National Development and Reform Commission in China works with the Ministry of Finance and the Legislative Affairs Office to introduce China's carbon tax policy. The government faces the impact of the low-carbon wave, and consumers prefer low-carbon products. They no longer only pay attention to traditional economic factors like quality and price but also consider the corporations’ environmental performance essential when purchasing products. What is more, some corporations have considered low-carbon in their industrial chains. For example, Dell has required the major suppliers to report their carbon emissions and propose its requirements on carbon emissions since 2007; simultaneously, Wal-Mart has required all product suppliers to establish their low-carbon certification and reporting system.

Nowadays, low-carbon has become the inevitable trend of the development of contemporary corporations, and it has become a crucial factor for corporations to survive and enhance their competitiveness. Therefore, selecting an appropriate green supplier is worth being discussed in the corporation’s supply chain management.

The establishment of indicators has been deeply investigated. Based on introducing the environmental performance, Noci (Citation1997) divided the ecological management strategies into negative and positive strategies and then constructed the indicators for evaluating green suppliers, including green competitiveness, environmental management efficiency, green image, and life cycle from the perspective of positive management strategy. Later on, Humphreys et al. (Citation2003) provided a set of indicators for evaluating the suppliers’ environmental performance. He further proposed that it is reasonable to combine the qualitative and quantitative indicators to judge suppliers. After reviewing some references related to green suppliers’ selection problem, Wang (Citation2017) conducted that it is valid to measure the environmental performance by green image, contamination control, environmental management system, green design, green capability, product recycling, and pollution treatment cost. Moreover, different indicator systems were built to evaluate suppliers in different industries, such as the electronics industry (Lee et al., Citation2009; Lu et al., Citation2007) and the manufacturing industry (Buyukozkan & CifcI, Citation2011), etc.

Distinctly, it is needed for a corporation to comprehensively judge a green supplier from various aspects to promote long-term cooperation, such as its quality, reliability, and green ability, etc. Therefore, the following indicators are used in this paper: (1) Quality. It mainly indicates the quality guarantee of the products or techniques provided by a supplier, which includes: a) the certificates of quality such as ISO9000, ISO9001; b) the efficient ways to control non-conforming products; c) the measures to rectify or recall non-conforming products; (2) Delivery reliability. It is an indicator to judge if a green supplier can deliver the ordered products on time, which influences the companies’ business proceedings in the supply chain. It is by the ratio of the orders delivered and total orders. (3) Flexibility. It is an indicator to reflect the capacity of a green supplier, including a) the response capacity to react to the particular requirements on products; b) the diversity of products it provides; c) the capacity to deal with information sharing. (4) Green image. To some extent, it presents the responsibility of a supplier on social benefits, enterprise and society’s long-term development, and other aspects, which accord with the fundamental interests of modern society. (5) Technical and green research and development ability (R&D ability). It invisibly measures a supplier’s green innovation capacity from the perspectives of its technological development level, cleantech, green R&D ability for products, etc.

Suppose that there are four upstream suppliers for a manufacturing corporation to be chosen in a green supply chain, and a leader of the manufacturing corporation, including three division heads from the purchasing, operational, and planning departments, is needed to determine a supplier to cooperate. We denote the above five criteria as C1, C2, C3, C4 and C5, the three heads respectively assign the weights of criteria as w1=(0.19,0.25,0.16,0.20,0.20)T, w2=(0.20,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.22)T and w3=(0.18,0.22,0.20,0.19,0.21)T. Furthermore, the division heads give their opinions according to the known information as (): where the judgments with respect to C2 are expressed by RNs, the judgments with respect to C5 are expressed by UVs, the judgments with respect to C1 and C4 are expressed by LTs, the judgments with respect to C3 are expressed by HFLTSs, and LTs and HFLTSs are assigned based on the LTS: S={s0:extremely poor,s1:very poor,s2:poor,s3:slightly poor,s4:fair,s5:slightly good,s6:good,s7:very good,s8:extremely good}.

Table 2. Decision matrices of the green supplier selection problem.

Before we process this decision-making problem, we list the reasons why we apply the proposed framework to solve it:

  1. The criteria considered in the problem contain subjective and objective properties, which causes the judgments to be expressed in different forms. Thus, a decision-making method for heterogeneous information, including LTs, RNs, HFLTSs, and UVs, is needed to be utilized here.

  2. Due to informational barriers existing in commercial activities, the three heads must provide their opinions with limited information. Inevitably, decision makers may have different attitudes to the known and unknown things. Therefore, the attitudes of the decision makers towards uncertainty should be considered in practice.

Suppose that the three heads are risk aversion and are sensitive to uncertain information, they prefer to use available information to make decisions and suppose that the function can represent their sensitive preferences. According to Algorithm 1, the weights of criteria assigned by each decision maker can be rectified as: w¯1=(0.20,0.27,0.1,0.21,0.22)T,w¯2=(0.22,0.23,0.11,0.20,0.24)T,w¯3=(0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.22)T.

Based on the rectified weights, we apply Algorithm 2 to obtain a heterogeneous exergy matrix that synthesizes three heads’ judgments and includes numerical values and data distributions (as shown in ).

Table 3. Thermodynamical feature decision matrix of the green supplier selection problem.

With the thermodynamical feature decision matrix that includes heterogeneous decision information, we can apply Algorithm 3 to obtain the suppliers’ final ranking, and the results are presented in .

Table 4. Decision results of the green supplier selection problem.

From , we can know that, by the proposed model, the best cooperative partner is Supplier 2. The global values distinctly express differences among all suppliers, which the decision makers can visually use to make the final decisions. However, a drawback of the proposed model should be noted, i.e., the global score cannot react to each supplier’s superior aspect(s) in detail.

In this chapter, we perform the proposed framework to solve the green supplier selection problem under a low-carbon economy. It shows that with the evaluations given by decision makers, the proposed framework is available to derive a ranking for decision makers, where the ranking is meaningful for economic and management activities by considering peoples’ different types of evaluations, their fuzzy mind under uncertainty and their different risk attitudes.

7. Conclusions

This paper develops a framework for group decision-making problems with heterogeneous information with thermodynamical parameters. It includes rectifying criteria weights according to decision makers’ confidences on evaluations, adopting thermodynamical parameters to fully characterize the heterogeneous information from numerical values and the data distribution, and applying the TODIM to aggregate the decision-making results without the transformation of the characterized heterogeneous information. We further studied different decision makers’ sensitive attitudes’ impacts on decision results with the proposed framework, which provide economic and management implications for decision making with uncertainty and risk. Finally, we perform a case study on the selection of a green supplier under the low-carbon economy to illustrate the feasibility of the proposed framework.

Note that the proposed framework is full of economic and management significance since it addresses the features in economic and management activities manifesting as peoples’ different expression ways, the fuzzy mind under uncertainty, and different risk attitudes.

In addition, the proposed framework has limitations in handling the decision-making problems with other natural expressions used by people. In addition, the proposed framework considers the static decision-making problem, which limits solving dynamic decision-making situations. It would be better to overcome the above limitations in future work, specifically, discussing the proposed framework in different types of heterogeneous environments and developing the proposed framework to address a multi-stage decision-making problem, or even the problem with a stream of heterogeneous information.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.

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