ABSTRACT
Flooding is the most common natural disaster experienced by many households and rising sea levels have made recurrent flooding events common in many coastal cities. This study uses a difference-in-differences model to estimate how the residential real estate market responds to significant flooding events. The analysis examines time-on-market for 137,348 residential property sales between 2007 and 2016 in southeast Virginia. This timeframe includes a Nor’easter, referred to as Nor’Ida, and Hurricane Irene. Results differentiate between high-risk (100-year flood plain) and low-risk (500-year flood plain) areas, and show that homes in the high-risk flood zones remain on the market 5–7 days longer. Our results suggest that the housing market cools down at a localized level after a severe weather event.
Acknowledgments
This paper was supported by the Commonwealth Center for Recurrent Flooding Resiliency.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.
Notes
1 The 100-year floodplain means there is a 1% chance of a flood occurring in any given year, while a 500-year floodplain denotes a 0.2% chance of a flood in any given year. See Michel-Kerjan, E. O. (2010) for more details on the NFIP.
2 More information for can be found at: http://hvri.geog.sc.edu/SHELDUS/.