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STRATEGIC SHORTFALLS

The United Kingdom and the War on Terror: The Breakdown of National and Military Strategy

Pages 125-146 | Published online: 03 Apr 2009
 

Abstract

The United Kingdom has fought various iterations of terrorism for the better part of 100 years. In the aftermath of 9/11, the British believed that its previous experience provided it with a solid foundation upon which to develop a counterterrorist strategy to tackle this new threat. In spite of this experience, the fortunes of the United Kingdom in the current war on terror have deteriorated. This is most obvious in Iraq, where British efforts to stabilize the southeast of the country proved ineffective. The British are also experiencing significant problems in the second front of the war on terror in Afghanistan.

The purpose of this article is to explain why the UK's strategy and operations in the war on terror have so far failed to produce the desired strategic effect. Britain's counterterror strategy has been plagued by a five basic challenges: the nature of the enemy and the emergence new terrorism; the inability of the UK to articulate a coordinated counterterrorist/counterinsurgency strategy; the particular goals adopted to fight this war; and the resource challenges created by these operational and strategic objectives. The central argument is that British national and military strategy is fundamentally flawed because the UK has failed to pay sufficient attention to the basic preconditions required to generate a successful strategy. Because of this failure at the highest political level, the armed forces have faced the challenge of trying to reconcile a profound mismatch between resources and commitments.

Notes

Luke Baker, ‘Britain Defends Iraq Role on U.S. Editorial Pages’, Washington Post, 31 August 2007.

Michael Portillo, ‘Britain has Lost the Stomach for a Fight’, The Sunday Times, 21 December 2008.

Patrick Cockburn, ‘A Gross Failure that Ignored History and Ended with a Humiliating Retreat’, The Independent, 17 March 2008.

Dean Nelson, ‘Hamid Karzai Blames Britain for Taliban Resurgence’, The Sunday Times, 7 September 2008.

Christina Lamb, ‘War on Taliban Cannot be Won, says Army Chief’, The Sunday Times, 5 October 2008.

Rachel Sylvester, ‘Memo: Don't Rely on the Brits During a Battle’, The Times, 6 January 2009.

Countering Terrorism; The UK Approach to the Military Contribution (London: Ministry of Defence, Joint Doctrine and Concepts Centre, 2006), p. 4.

Ibid., p. 7.

Conference on the Future of British Defence Policy, organised by King's College London and the Economic Research Council, October 2007.

Countering International Terrorism: The United Kingdom's Strategy, CM 6888 (London: HMSO, 2006).

The Strategic Defence Review: A New Chapter, CM 5566-I (London: HMSO, 2002).

Defence White Paper 2003: Delivering Security in a Changing World, CM 6041 (London: HMSO, 2003).

The National Security Strategy of the United Kingdom: Security in an Interdependent World (London: HMSO, 2008), p. 3.

British Defence Doctrine, Joint Doctrine Publication 0-01 (London: HMSO, 2008), para. 111.

Countering International Terrorism (note 10), p. 28.

Defence Concepts and Doctrine Centre, British Defence Doctrine JDP0-001 (London: MOD, 2008), pp. 1–4.

Ibid., pp. 1–4.

Countering Terrorism (note 6), p. 12.

Walter Laqueur, America and the New Terrorism (London: Phoenix Press, 1999), pp. 8–9.

Brian Jenkins, Will Terrorists Go Nuclear? (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1975), p. 4.

Isabelle Duyvesteyn, ‘How New is the New Terrorism’, Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, Vol. 27, No. 5 (2004), p. 444.

Ibid.

Thomas Mockaitis, The New Terrorism: Myths and Reality (Westport, CT: Praeger Security International, 2007), p. 43.

David Tucker, ‘What is New about the New Terrorism and How Dangerous is it?’ Terrorism and Political Violence, Vol. 13, No. 3 (Autumn 2001), p. 9.

Paul Williams, The Al Qaeda Connection (New York: Prometheus Books, 2005) p. 77.

Laqueur, The New Terrorism, pp. 49–78; R. Howard et al., WMD and Terrorism (New York: McGraw Hill, 2008); Graham Allison and Alan Arkin, ‘Nuclear 9/11’, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, Vol. 62, No. 5 (May 2006), pp. 34–45; Matthew Bunn and A. Wier, ‘The Seven Myths of Nuclear Terrorism’, Current History (April 2005), pp. 153–61.

The National Security Strategy of the United Kingdom: Security in an Interdependent World (London: HMSO, 2008), p. 10.

Oliver Roy, Globalised Islam, the Search for a New Ummah (London: Hurst and Company, 2002), p. 55.

Ibid., p. 56.

Daniel Byman, The Five Front War: The Better Way to Fight Jihad (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley, 2008), p. 11.

House of Commons Defence Committee (HCDC), The Threat from Terrorism, HC 348 (London: HMSO, 2001–2002), para. 24.

Michael Scheuer, Imperial Hubris: Why the West is Losing the War on Terror (Washington, DC: Potomac Books, 2005), pp. 209–35.

Jason Burke, Al-Qaeda: Casting a Shadow of Terror (London: IB Tauris, 2003), pp. 24–39.

Angel Rabassa, Beyond al-Qaeda: The Global Jihadist Movement Part 1 (Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corporation, 2006), pp. 12–13 and 24.

Mockaitis, The New Terrorism, pp. 64–7; and Byman, The Five Front War, pp. 11–16.

Bruce Hoffman, Al Qaeda, Trends and Future Potentialities: An Assessment (Santa Monica, CA, RAND Corporation, 2003), pp. 1–17.

Ibid., p. 12

Mockaitis, The New Terrorism (note 23), p. 44.

Anne Stenersen, ‘The Internet: A Virtual Training Camp’, Terrorism and Political Violence, Vol. 20, No. 2 (2008), p. 215.

Daniel Benjamin and Steve Simon, The Next Attack: The Globalization of Jihad (London: Hodder and Stoughton, 2005), p. 159.

House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee (HCFAC), Foreign Policy Aspects of the War Against Terrorism, HC 573-II (London: HMSO, 2006), Q. 1

Rohan Gunaratna and Anders Nelsen, ‘Al Qaeda in the Tribal Areas of Pakistan and Beyond’, Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, Vol. 31, No. 9 (2008), p. 776.

Ibid., p. 778.

Angel Rabass, Beyond al-Qaeda (note 34), p. 44.

US State Department, Country Reports on Terrorism (April, 2007), Chapter 1, ‘Strategic Assessment’. Available from http://www.state.gov/sct/rls/crt/2006/82727.htm (accessed on 21 May 2007).

Gunaratna and Nelsen, ‘Al Qaeda in the Tribal Areas’ (note 42), p. 791.

John Mackinlay, ‘Is UK Doctrine Relevant to Global Insurgency?’, RUSI (April 2007), pp. 34–8.

Countering Terrorism: The UK Approach to the Military Contribution (Shrivenham: Joint Doctrine and Concepts Centre, 2004), p. 19.

Personal interview with the author.

Patrick Dunleavy and Brendan O'Leary, Prime Minister, Cabinet and Core Executive (London: St Martin's Press, 1995), p. 64.

Lessons From Iraq, HC 57 (London: HMSO, 2004), Ev. 440.

Sir Hilary Synott, Bad Days in Basra (London: I.B. Tauris, 2008), p. 10.

Stabilisation Unit, Brief Details of Main Stabilisation Unit Work by Country, p. 1.

James Ferguson, A Million Bullets (London: Bantam Press, 2008), p. 153.

The United Kingdom and the Campaign Against International Terrorism, Progress Report (London: The Cabinet Office, 9 September 2002), p. 3.

International Coalition Against Terrorism, Campaign Objectives, http://www.fco.gove.uk/text_only?news/keythemehome.asp.

Stephen Biddle, American Grand Strategy After 9/11: An Assessment (Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, April 2005), pp. 21–4.

HCFAC, HC 573-I, Q. 63.

Ibid., Q. 64.

Defence White Paper 2003:Delivering Security in a Changing World (note 12).

Defence White Paper 2003, HC 465-I, 2003-04 (London: HMSO, 2003), Q. 113.

Richard Norton Taylor, ‘MOD Bill for Afghan and Iraq Conflict Tops £13bn’, Guardian, 26 November 2008.

James Dunnigan, How to Make War: The Comprehensive Guide to Modern Warfare for the Post-Cold War Era (New York: William and Morrow, 1993), p. 291.

The Strategic Defence Review, CM 3999, 1997–1998 (London: HMSO, 1998).

US National Security Strategy; and Allan Mallinson, ‘How Much Longer can the Army Fight?’ Daily Telegraph, 7 August 2007.

Lawrence Freedman, The Transformation of Strategic Affairs, Adelphi Paper 379 (Oxford: Routledge, 2006), p. 9.

See Richard Rosencrance, The Defence of the Realm (New York: Columbia University Press, 1968).

The 2007 Pre-Budget Report and Comprehensive Spending Review (London: The Treasury), p. 133.

The Government's Expenditure Plans 2006-07 to 2007-08, Cmnd 6822 (London: HMSO, 2004).

Phillip Pugh, ‘The Procurement Nexus’, Defense and Peace Economics, Vol. 4, No. 2 (1993).

The 2007 Pre-Budget Report and Comprehensive Spending Review (London: The Treasury, 2007), p. 9.

Christopher Hope, ‘Defence Spending Lowest since the 1930s’, Daily Telegraph, 24 January 2007.

Operational Costs in Afghanistan and Iraq: Spring Supplementary Estimate 2007-2008, HCDC 8th Report, HC 400 (London: HMSO, 2008), p. 8.

HCDC, The Strategic Defence Review.

Foreign Policy Aspects of the War Against Terrorism 2001–2002 (London: HMSO, 2002), pp. 16, 58.

Rosemary Bennett, ‘Blair Pleads with Doubters to Listen to Case for Action’, The Times, 19 February 2003.

Julian Glover, ‘Two-thirds Believe London Bombings are Linked to Iraq War’, Guardian, 19 July 2005.

Stephen Fiddler, ‘PM Faces Barrage from Top Brass’, Financial Times, 12 January 2007.

HCDC HC 381, uncorrected evidence, Q. 175.

The Defence White Paper 2003, HC 465 (London: HMSO, 2004), p. 45.

Ibid.

Colin Gray, War, Peace and International Relations: An Introduction to Strategic Theory (London: Routledge, 2007), p. 236.

Brigadier Nigel Aylwin-Foster, ‘Changing the Army for Counter Insurgency Operations’, Military Review (November–December 2005), p. 3.

Robert M. Cassidy, Counter Insurgency and the Global War on Terror: Military Culture and Irregular Warfare (Westport, CT: Praeger, 2006), p. 8. See J. Bowyer Bell, Dragon Wars: Armed Struggle and the Conventions of Modern War (New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Publishers, 1999), pp. 234–6. See also Robert H. Scales, Firepower in Limited War (Washington, DC: National Defense University, 1990), pp. 3–23 and Sam C. Sarkesian, Unconventional Conflicts in a New Security Era (Westport, CT: Greenwood Publishers, 1993), pp. 9–23.

Robert Cassidy, ‘Feeding Bread to the Luddites: The Radical Fundamentalist Islamic Revolution in Guerrilla Warfare’, Small Wars and Insurgencies, Vol. 16, No. 3 (December 2005), p. 336. See also Michael Scheuer, ‘Al Qaeda's Insurgency Doctrine: Aiming for a “Long War”’, Terrorism Focus (February 2006); and Michael Scheuer, Imperial Hubris: Why the West is Losing the War on Terror (Washington, DC: Potomac Books, 2005).

Michael Morris, ‘Al Qaeda as Insurgency’, Joint Forces Quarterly, No. 39 (2006), p. 45.

Ibid., p. 46.

Warren Chin, ‘The Army Takes Control: Northern Ireland 1972–1976’, in Network Centric Operations and the British Approach to Low Intensity Operations Part 2 (Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Defense, Office of Transformation, 2007), p. 109.

The Strategic Defence Review: A New Chapter CM 556-I, 2001–2002 (London: HMSO, 2002), p. 29.

The Strategic Defence Review: A New Chapter CM 556-I, 2001–2002 (London: HMSO, 2002).

Ibid., p. 12.

Ibid.

Ibid., p. 17.

Defence White Paper 2003: Delivering Security in a Changing World (note 12), para. 3.4.

A New Chapter to the Strategic Defence Review, HCDC, 6th Report, HC 93-II (London: HMSO, 2003), p. 35.

Defence White Paper 2003: Delivering Security in a Changing World (note 94), para 4.7.

Ibid.

Alvin and Heidi Toffler, War and Anti War: Survival at the Dawn of the 21st Century (London: Little Brown and Company, 1994), p. 73.

Defence White Paper 2003 HC 465-I (note 61), p. 27.

Ibid., p. 28.

Ibid.

Thomas Harding, ‘Concern Mounts over Rising Casualty Rate’, Daily Telegraph, 20 August 2007.

Rory Stewart, Occupational Hazards: My Time Governing in Iraq (London: Picador, 2006), p. 14.

Michael Knight and Ed Williams, ‘The Calm Before the Storm: The British Experience in Iraq’, Policy Focus, No. 66 (February 2007), p. 7.

Thomas Harding, ‘Britain Almost out of Troops, Memo Reveals’, Daily Telegraph, 23 July 2007.

Defence Fact Sheet Operations in Iraq Facts and Figures, http://www.mod.uk/Defenceinternet/Templates/factsheet.aspx?NRMODE=Published (accessed on 6 May 2008).

N.G. Baveystock, ‘Has the UK Government's Decision-making Process since 2002 Enabled Effective Delivery of Reconstruction and Sustainable Development in Iraq?’, Royal College of Defence Studies Seaford House Papers 2007 (London: Royal College of Defence Studies, 2007).

James Ferguson, A Million Bullets (London: Bantam Press, 2008), pp. 147–8.

United Nations Mission in Afghanistan, Armed Conflict and Civilian Casualties, Afghanistan 01 January 31 August 2008 (Kabul: United Nations Assistance Mission in Afghanistan, 10 September 2008), p. 4.

Seumus Milne, ‘Civilian Dead are Trade-off in Nato's War of Barbarity’, Guardian, 16 October 2008.

International Crisis Group, Taliban Propaganda: Winning the War of Words? Asia Report 158, July 2008, p. 19.

Cited in Report into the London Terrorist Attacks on 7 July 2005, CM 6785 (London: HMSO, 2006), p. 12.

Countering International Terrorism (note 10), p. 10.

Jamie Doward, ‘Extremists Train Young Convicts for Terror Plots’, Observer, 15 July 2007.

HCFAC, Evidence, p. 1.

Tony Blair, ‘A Battle for Global Values’, Foreign Affairs (Janaury/February 2007), http://www.foreignaffairs.org/20070101faessay86106/tony-blair/a-battle-for-global-v (accessed on 6 May 2008).

Gunaratna and Nelsen, ‘Al Qaeda in the Tribal Areas’ (note 42), p. 786.

Ken Menkhaus, Somalia: State Collapse and the Threat of Terrorism, Adelphi Paper 364 (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2004), p. 68.

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