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Original Articles

Jurimetrics, safety and security

Pages 123-133 | Published online: 22 Jan 2007
 

Abstract

Jurimetrical analysis offers a systematic insight into the factors and decisions that play a role in legal decision making. With the assistance of jurimetrical research patterns can be identified and defined far more clearly than by using traditional methods. Jurimetrics can contribute to the security of society in various ways including increasing the transparency of the legal system, which can be made more predictable as patterns in judicial decisions become more apparent. Jurimetrical research may also increase the legitimacy of the legal system by exercising a supervisory and monitoring role over the parties and procedures involved. All these elements combined ensure that jurimetrics increases legal certainty, which is an important requisite for the security of society, but in specific instances, may also be used as a research method in specific areas of concern.

Notes

1 L Loevinger ‘Jurimetrics, the next step forward’ Minnesota Law Review pp 455–493, 1949. See also L Loevinger ‘Jurimetrics, the next step forward’ Jurimetrics Journal pp 3–41, 1971.

2 See K N Llewellyn ‘Some realism about realism. Responding to Dean Pound’ Harvard Law Review 44, pp 1222–1264, 1931, and also O W Holmes ‘The path of the law’ Harvard Law Review, Vol 10, pp 457–478, 1897.

3 Llewellyn, op cit, note 2.

4 R V De Mulder Een model voor juridische informatica Vermande, Lelystad, 1984, p 239; L Combrink-Kuiters, R V De Mulder & C van Noortwijk ‘Jurimetrie’ in A Oskamp & A R Lodder (eds) Informatietechnologie voor juristen. Reeks informatica en recht Kluwer, Deventer, 2002, pp 219–333 (see pp 222, 233).

5 H Kerkmeester Recht en speltheorie Vermande, Lelystad, 1989.

6 For other definitions, see Combrink-Kuiters, op cit, note 4, pp 219 etc.

7 C van Noortwijk Het Woordgebruik meester, Vermande, Lelystad, 1995.

8 A lump sum settlement is a large, fixed payment comprising of all of the alimony. See http://www.divorcefind.com/spousalsupport/34ss.shtml ID="Q5">

9 In this figure an outlier is a case that deviates from the normal cases.

10 J A Visser ‘Krijgt de (bevoorrechte) crediteur in geval van faillissement zijn geld’ Jurimetrical Analysis, Law and Informatics, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, 2002.

11 Supreme Court Forecasting Project: Washington University in St Louis. http://wusct.wustl.edu

12 Detailed information about this project, such as information about the way the models have been drawn up, specific cases, model-based forecasts for the 2002 term and real time statistical forecasts for pending cases of the 2003 and 2004 term, have also been published. See T W Ruger ‘The Supreme Court Forecasting Project: legal and political science approaches to predicting Supreme Court decision making’ Columbia Law Review Vol 104, pp 1150–1210, 2004. At http://www.columbialawreview.org/pdf/Ruger-etal%20WebCopy.pdf.

13 See also: Mulder, op cit, note 4, section 11.11.

14 Centre for International Crime Prevention (O. f. D. C. a. C. P.) An Economic and Jurimetric Analysis of Official Corruption in the Courts: a Governance-based Approach. United Nations Office, Global Programme against Corruption (GPAC), Vienna, 2001. See also E Buscaglia ‘An analysis of judicial corruption and its causes: an objective governing-based approach’ International Review of Law and Economics Vol 21, pp 233–249, 2001.

15 Ibid. See also: E Buscaglia and T Ulen ‘A quantitative assessment of the efficiency of the judicial sector in Latin America’ International Review of Law and Economics Vol 17, pp 275–291, 1997.

16 S Haynie ‘Judicial decision—making and the use of panels in the South African Appellate Division, 1950–1990’ Politikon: South African Journal of Political Studies, Vol 29, pp 147–161, 2002.

17 G Mundlak and J Harpaz ‘Determinants of Israeli judicial discretion in issuing injunction against strikers’ British Journal of Industrial Relations Vol 40, pp 753–777, 2002.

18 A Suyudi ‘Does the court impose different treatment for different kind of creditors in bankruptcy petition? A jurimetric analysis of Indonesian Commercial Court Decisions on Bankruptcies’ Paper prepared to comply with the requirements for the LLM Degree on Management & Information Technology for Lawyers in Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, 2004.

19 NRC Handelsblad, 3 July 2004 ‘Potterschrijfster koopt.nl-domein’ [Author of Harry Potter buys‘.nl-domain name’]. http://www.nrc.nl/dossiers/auteursrecht/artikel/1088745879514.html

20 The Dutchman did not want to tell the exact amount the author paid. He just indicated not to have received more than €10,000 for the domain name. It is common knowledge that sellers of registered Internet domain names receive about US$10,000.

21 United States Anti-cybersquatting Consumer Protection Act passed into law in November 1999, S.1255.

22 Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN, 1999) Uniform Domain Name Dispute Resolution Policy. http://www.icann.org/udrp/udrp-policy-24oct99.htm.

23 See commentary of European Commission (RFC-3—25 June, 2001). See also the International Working Group on Data Protection in Telecommunications, Common Position, adopted May 2000 at http://www.datenschutz-berlin.de. For Dutch implementation see: Projectteam Domeinnaamdebat Eindrapport Domeinnaamdebat Stichting Internet Domeinregistratie Nederland (SIDN), 2001. http://www.domeinnaamdebat.nl/live/0/page474.html.

24 M Kilian ‘Cybersquatting and trademark infringement’ Murdoch University Electronic Journal of Law Vol 7, No 3, 2000; J D Mercer ‘Cybersquatting’: Blackmail on the Information Superhighway' Boston University Journal of Science and Technology Law, 11, 2000.

25 WIPO (World Intellectual Property Organization) ‘Dispute settlement 4.2 domain name dispute resolution’, presented at the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, Geneva, 2003.

26 WIPO (World Intellectual Property Organization) ‘The recognition of rights and the use of names in the internet domain name system’ Report of the Second WIPO Internet Domain Name Process (Report Number 2), p 161, 2001. Geneva. http://arbiter.wipo.int/processes/process2/report/index.html.

27 A Kur UDPR-Study Max-Planck-Institute, Munich, 2002; Mercer, op cit, note 24.

28 See SocioSite ‘Eigenaardigheden Van Cyberspace: Regulatie door dr. Albert Benschop (Universiteit van Amsterdam)’. http://www2.fmg.uva.nl/sociosite/websoc/regulatie.html.

29 The forms of alternative dispute resolution include mediation, conciliation and arbitration. See also H Gubby English Legal Terminology. Boom Juridische uitgevers, Den Haag, 2004, p 15.

30 See WIPO Guide To WIPO Domain Name Dispute Resolution, Geneva. http://arbiter.wipo.int/center/publications/guide-en-web.pdf, pp 3–5.

32 WIPO, 2003, op cit, note 25, pp 38, 56; D Cabell Using ICANN's Uniform Domain-Name-Dispute Resolution Policy (UDRP), The Berkman Center for Internet & Society, 2000. http://eon.law.harvard.edu/udrp/syllabus.html.

33 See also A Redfern and M Hunter Law and Practice of International Commercial Arbitration Student edn, Sweet & Maxwell, London, 2003, pp 395–397.

34 Gubby, op cit, note 29, p 17.

35 WIPO, Domain Name Dispute Resolution Service, http://arbiter.wipo.int/domains/index.html.

36 Regeling voor nl-domeinnaamarbitrage, SIDN, 29 January 2003, Preambule. http://www.sidn.nl/sidn/flat/Algemeen/Voorschriften/Nieuwe_reglementen.

37 See M A Geist Fair.com?: An Examination of the Allegations of Systematic Unfairness in the ICANN UDRP. University of Ottawa, Ottawa, 2001. http://ssrn.com/abstract = 280630. See also Kur, op cit, note 27.

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