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Research Article

Assessing severity of problem gambling – confirmatory factor and Rasch analysis of three gambling measures

ORCID Icon & ORCID Icon
Pages 403-417 | Received 09 Mar 2022, Accepted 13 Nov 2022, Published online: 07 Dec 2022

ABSTRACT

The comparative psychometric properties of self-report measures for gambling are insufficiently evaluated, in particular regarding factor structure and item response properties. Confirmatory factor and Rasch analyses were tested for three widely used gambling measures assessing problem gambling and related constructs, that is, the Problem Gambling Severity Index (PGSI), the Problem and Pathological Gambling Measure (PPGM), and the NORC Diagnostic Screen for Gambling Problems (NODS). Psychometric data was analyzed, including help-seeking and recreational gambling samples (N = 598). Compared to the PPGM and the NODS, the PGSI performed worse in the confirmatory factor analysis, and showed poor fit for the theoretically assumed unidimensional model. The Rasch analysis indicated that the PPGM had an adequate difficulty range (i.e. lowest to highest item difficulty) to detect gambling problems across a severity continuum. Compared to the PPGM, the PGSI and NODS had smaller item difficulty ranges, indicating detection of higher gambling severity problems. We conclude that using the PGSI for detection of low severity problems, such as at-risk gambling, might be problematic. The PPGM can be used in general populations and clinical contexts to detect problem gambling and pathological gambling. The NODS is suitable for use in clinical samples for identification of pathological gambling.

Introduction

A large proportion of gambling research has focused on the public health concept of problem gambling, defined, for example as ‘excessive gambling behavior that creates negative consequences for the gambler, others in his/her social network, and for the community’ (Blaszczynski & Nower, Citation2002; Molander et al., Citation2021). In the 5th edition of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-5; American Psychiatric Association, Citation2013), the previous clinical criteria pathological gambling (American Psychiatric Association, 1994) was replaced with Gambling Disorder. The current criteria includes three diagnostic symptom severity levels, i.e., mild, moderate or severe Gambling Disorder. Another change in the DSM-5 diagnostic criteria was that the criterion illegal acts to finance gambling was removed. Compared to pathological gambling, relatively less is known of Gambling Disorder. The shift to a different diagnostic category and changes to the criteria and specifications has complicated accurate/reliable measurement of this clinical construct using existing gambling instruments (Molander et al., Citation2021; Otto et al., 2020).

Estimates of past year prevalence of problem gambling across countries have ranged between 0.12% and 5.8% (see Calado & Griffiths, Citation2016 for a review). Several measurement issues have been noted which have affected problem gambling prevalence estimates and rendered comparisons between studies difficult, for example, variability in measures used to assess problem gambling, differences in problem gambling scoring thresholds used for the same gambling measure, various time frames used to assess problem gambling, and variations in item content (Molander et al., Citation2019; Williams et al., Citation2012).

Three widely used gambling measures to assess problem gambling are the Problem Gambling Severity Index (PGSI; Ferris & Wynne, Citation2001), the Problem and Pathological Gambling Measure (PPGM; Williams & Volberg, Citation2013) and the NORC Diagnostic Screen for Gambling Problems (NODS; Gerstein et al., Citation1999). Briefly, the PGSI was developed from the Canadian Problem Gambling Index (CPGI) as a measure to assess at-risk and problem gambling in population surveys (Ferris & Wynne, Citation2001). The PPGM was developed as a comprehensive measure to assess all gambling-related harms. The NODS was developed as a DSM-IV-based measure to assess higher clinical severity. Compared to the PGSI, the PPGM and the NODS also includes scoring for pathological gambling according to DSM-IV to facilitate use in clinical samples as well as the general population (PGSI cutoffs have also been established in clinical samples; see for example Merkouris et al., Citation2020). shows an overview of psychometric evaluations of the PGSI, the PPGM and the NODS in their respective original studies.

Table 1. Overview of psychometric original studies.

Although the PGSI, the PPGM and the NODS have shown satisfactory psychometric properties such as internal consistency, convergent and divergent validity (see, for example, Hodgins, Citation2004; Holtgraves, Citation2009; Wickwire et al., Citation2008), other psychometric estimates have resulted in mixed results or remain to be investigated. First, the PGSI, the PPGM and the NODS have mainly been evaluated in separate samples which complicates relevant comparisons. Second, most studies have used explorative factor analysis, and not confirmatory factor analysis (CFA), which might indicate a widespread uncertainty regarding the theoretical factor structures of the instruments. In terms of factor structure, both the PGSI and the NODS have been assumed to have a unifactorial structure which includes items within a single theoretical domain. Overall, previous psychometric studies have supported this but possible multi-dimensionality or presence of subfactors has also been suggested for both PGSI and the NODS (Christensen et al., Citation2019; Ferris & Wynne, Citation2001; Hodgins, Citation2004; Holtgraves, Citation2009; Toce-Gerstein et al., Citation2003). The PPGM is assumed to have a three-factor structure encompassing items within the theoretical domains Problems, Impaired control, and Other Issues. The factor structure of the PPGM has not yet been statistically evaluated according to our knowledge (personal communication Rachel Volberg, 1 July 2021). Third, most psychometric evaluations have been based on classical test theory. In contrast to classical test theory which evaluate reliability and validity of measures based on their items, item response theory approaches estimate items and persons on a continuum and defines the relative positions of these on a severity scale (Cappelleri et al., Citation2014; Cowlishaw et al., Citation2019; Wilson, Citation2004). Advantages of item response theory models, such as Rasch analysis, includes item-specific evaluations of fit and difficulty (severity), as well as establishment of measures’ item difficulty range across a problem gambling severity continuum. Furthermore, if a measure shows good fit in a Rasch model, parametric statistical methods can be used on an interval level. A few studies have investigated the PGSI, the PPGM and the NODS using Rasch analysis (Cowlishaw et al., Citation2019; Miller et al., Citation2013; Molde et al., Citation2010). These studies have indicated that most individual items show good fit with varying difficulty, but also that the PGSI, the PPGM and the NODS mainly are suited for discriminating across more severe levels of problem gambling which could be problematic especially for the PGSI.

The PGSI, the PPGM, and the NODS are all widely used to assess problem gambling and related constructs. However, from a clinical perspective it is unclear which measure is optimal for assessment of gambling severity in a certain population. From a research perspective, it is important to establish the measures’ metric properties to enable use in advanced statistical analyses. Ideally, a Rasch analysis could establish that an instrument lies on a data level that allows parametric analyses. Consequently, the aim of the current study was to test the factor structure and Rasch estimates of the PGSI, the PPGM, and the NODS among gamblers from recreational and help-seeking samples.

Material and methods

Sample and procedure

Existing data from a previous psychometric evaluation of a novel gambling measure was analyzed (Molander et al., Citation2021). Briefly, the study by Molander et al. (Citation2021) recruited Swedish gamblers from four different samples, that is, recreational, support and treatment seeking gamblers, and gamblers from self-help groups, through advertisements and clinicians within the healthcare. The participants completed self-report measures in an online survey which also included the PGSI, the PPGM and the NODS (n = 598 were assessed with these measures). The study was approved by the Regional Ethics Board of Stockholm, Sweden (ref. no. 2017/1479–31), and all participants provided informed consent for study participation and publication of results. In the current study, the support and treatment-seeking gamblers, as well as the gamblers from self-help groups, were collapsed into a help-seeking cohort (n = 306). See for demographic characteristics.

Table 2. Demographic characteristics across gambling samples.

Measures

The PGSI

The PGSI (Ferris & Wynne, Citation2001) is a 9-item self-report measure assessing at-risk and problem gambling during the past year. The PGSI uses multiple response alternatives, that is, ‘Never’, ‘Sometimes’, ‘Most of the time’, and ‘Always’. The PGSI scoring index (Total score max 27) is classified into four levels of gambling: No gambling problems (Total score 0), low risk level of problems with few or no identified negative consequences (Total score 1–2), moderate risk level of problems leading to some negative consequences (Total score 3–7), and problem gambling with negative consequences and a possible loss of control (Total score ≥8).

The PPGM

The PPGM (Williams & Volberg, Citation2013) is a self-report measure assessing gambling-related negative consequences during the past year. PPGM consist of 14 items, including four sub-items. The PPGM scoring index collapses items 1a and 1b, items 3a and 3b, and items 5a and 5b, into three items, respectively, which are scored 0 or 1. Item 10a is not scored; item 10b is scored as item 10. PPGM uses with dichotomous (yes or no) response alternatives with a Total score (max 14) and three sub-scales: Problems (items 1–7), Impaired control (items 8–11) and Other Issues (items 12–14). The PPGM scoring index uses a diagnostic algorithm resulting in four levels of gambling: recreational, at-risk, problem gambler and pathological gambling.

The NODS

The NODS (Gerstein et al., Citation1999; Wickwire et al., Citation2008) is a 17-item self-report measure assessing no problems, at-risk, problem gambling and pathological gambling. The NODS uses dichotomous (yes or no) response alternatives. Three different time-based NODS versions are available (i.e. lifetime, past year, and past 30 days) and in the current study the NODS 30 days version was used. In the NODS scoring index items 1 and 2, items 8 and 9, and items 14, 15 and 16, are collapsed into three items, respectively, which are scored 0 or 1. Items 4, 6, and 11 are not scored. The NODS scoring (Total score max 10) is classified into four levels of gambling: no problems (Total score 0), at-risk (Total score 1–2), problem gambling (Total score 3–4), and pathological gambling (Total score ≥5) (Wickwire et al., Citation2008).

Demographic characteristics

The online survey included a set of items assessing demographic and gambling characteristics, for instance age, sex, education, civil status, and gambling types (see ).

Statistical analyses

Due to an administration error in the data collection, 167 participants had missing data for NODSitem10 and one participant for NODSitem6. These missing data were replaced using multiple imputations by chained equations, a technique with valid statistical inference which restores the natural variability of the missing values and addresses the uncertainty due to the missing data (Enders et al., Citation2016; Kang, Citation2013). Analyses were performed on scoring-relevant items, of which some were collapsed according to the scoring procedure of the PPGM (max item score = 1, see the PPGM above). CFA models were used to test proposed theoretical domains for the PGSI (unifactorial structure), the PPGM (three-factor and unifactorial structure), and the NODS (unifactorial structure). The CFA used a maximum likelihood estimator for the PGSI, and diagonally weighted least squares for the PPGM and the NODS due to use of dichotomous yes/no response alternatives. The CFA analyses included model fit indices (see Bowen & Guo, Citation2011 for fit indices cutoffs), as well as standardized item factor loadings. In addition to the PGSI CFA, a follow-up exploratory factor analysis was performed (see Factor analysis below). Cronbachs alpha (α) estimates of measures’ total scores were used to test internal consistency in the total sample and among sub-groups (see ). Rasch analyses were used to test item difficulty for specific items across a severity continuum, as well as measures’ item difficulty ranges. Infit and outfit are item specific Rasch fit indices which indicates how accurately or predictably the data fits the model. Infit and outfit estimates >1.50 indicates item underfit and might be unproductive for measurement. Infit and outfit estimates <0.50 indicates item overfit and can be less productive for measurement. Estimates within the range 0.5 to 1.5 are acceptable and productive for measurement (Miller et al., Citation2013; Wright & Linacre, Citation1994; Linacre, Citation2002). Person reliability tests whether a measure can discriminate the sample into enough levels (or strata) given the purpose of the measure (cutoffs 0.5 = 1 or 2 levels, 0.8 = 2 or 3 levels, 0.9 = 3 or 4 levels; Bond & Fox, Citation2007). Dichotomous Rasch models were used for all measures. For the PGSI, an additional Rasch rating-scale model was used as the PGSI uses multiple response alternatives (Wind & Hua, Citation2021). Analyses were performed using R Studio and Jamovi (R Core Team, Citation2018) with the following key packages: mice, foreign, lavaan, psych and TAM. See for measure scores.

Table 3. Total scores of PGSI, PPGM and NODS.

Table 4. Confirmatory factor analyses for PGSI, PPGM and NODS (N = 598).

Table 5. Internal consistency for PGSI, PPGM and NODS, across sex, age and gambling groups.

Results

Factor analyses

CFA were estimated for the PGSI and the NODS, using unidimensional factor models. All standardized factor loadings were acceptable but fit indices were poor for the PGSI (see ). To illustrate this further, a follow-up exploratory factor analysis (principal axis factoring extraction method with varimax rotation) was conducted for the PGSI. This indicated that a three-factor solution showed best fit for the data (RMSEA = 0.036, TLI = 0.995, DF = 12, χ2 = 21.5) where factor 1 (PGSI items 1, 3, 5–9, had factors loadings >0.40), factor 2 (PGSI items 1–5, 7) and factor 3 (PGSI items 4, 8) accounted for 36%, 29% and 13% of the variance, respectively. Regarding the PPGM, we estimated two CFA models; one three-factor model consisting of the proposed PPGM sub-scales (Problem, Impaired control, and Other Issues), and one single-factor model. The results (see ) indicated that both models showed satisfactory fit and that all standardized loadings were acceptable except for PPGMitem6 (gambling-related illegal acts).

Internal consistency

Cronbachs α was estimated for the total sample, as well as per sex, age and gambling groups. Initially, internal consistency was estimated across five age groups (18–30, 31–40, 41–50, 51–60 and >60 years). However, as the age group >60 years was small (n = 18) and showed lack of variance for several items. Therefore, the initial age groups 51–60 and >60 years were collapsed into one group, >51 years. The results indicated good to excellent internal consistency for all measures and showed small differences across sub-groups (see ).

Rasch analysis

Rasch analysis was used to estimate item difficulty, reliability and fit measures. Dichotomous models were used for the PPGM, the NODS and the PGSI. Due to use of multiple response alternatives in the PGSI, an additional rating-scale model was estimated which showed fewer items outside outfit thresholds in comparison with the dichotomous model (see ). The PGSI had the smallest item difficulty range (1.30 to 2.85), where item 9 (guilt about gambling) was the smallest and item 2 (increased bets to get same excitement) the highest. NODS item difficulty ranged between 1.50 and 4.61, where item 1 or 2 (preoccupation) was the lowest and item 13 (gambling-related stolen money) highest. The PPGM had the largest item difficulty range (0.47 to 5.11), with PPGMitem9 (chasing losses) being the lowest and PPGMitem6 (gambling-related illegal acts) the highest. All measures had items showing under- or overfit, which might be problematic for measurement. Finally, person reliability indicated that PGSI and PPGM (0.82 and 0.78, respectively) could discriminate the sample into two or three levels, while NODS (0.50) could discriminate the sample into one or two levels. See .

Table 6. Rasch analysis of PGSI, PPGM and NODS (N = 598).

Discussion

The aim of the current study was to test the factor structure and Rasch estimates of the PGSI, the PPGM, and the NODS among gamblers from recreational and help-seeking samples (see for an overview of the results).

Table 7. Overview.

Psychometric evaluation

CFA were used to test theoretically assumed constructs. For the assumed single-factor CFA model the PGSI performed worse and showed poor fit (RMSEA = 0.135, CFI = 0.948, TLI = 0.931, DF = 27, χ2 = 320.1; Bowen & Guo, Citation2011), compared to the PPGM (RMSEA = 0.042, CFI = 1.00, TLI = 0.96, DF = 77, χ2 = 158.8) and the NODS (RMSEA = 0.000, CFI = 1.00, TLI = 1.00, DF = 35, χ2 = 28.5). In contrast to how the PGSI is scored, that is, a total score, a follow-up exploratory factor analysis indicated that a three-factor solution of the PGSI showed best fit for the data. As previously reported, research of the PGSI factor structure has shown mixed results, mainly indicating unidimensionality, but also possibility of multiple factor structures (Holtgraves, Citation2009; Miller et al., Citation2013; Orford et al., Citation2010). The NODS showed good fit for the theoretically assumed unidimensional factor CFA model (RMSEA = 0.000, CFI = 1.00, TLI = 1.00, DF = 35, χ2 = 28.5). This finding is in line with previous studies of the NODS using explorative factor analysis (i.e. principal component analysis) (Hodgins, Citation2004; Toce-Gerstein et al., Citation2003). Given that the NODS is based on the previous DSM-IV diagnostic criteria our results support the notion of an unidimensional diagnosis of pathological gambling. The PPGM showed good fit for both the theoretically assumed three-factor CFA model (RMSEA = 0.030, CFI = 1.00, TLI = 1.00, DF = 74, χ2 = 114.7), and a unidimensional CFA model (RMSEA = 0.042, CFI = 1.00, TLI = 0.96, DF = 77, χ2 = 158.8). To the best of our knowledge (and personal communication Rachel Volberg, 1 July 2021) the factor structure of the PPGM has previously not been evaluated. As such, these findings remain to be corroborated in future studies. In the current study, the only individual CFA item factor loading <0.40 (i.e., a commonly used reference threshold for low factor loading), was PPGMitem6 which assesses illegal acts to finance gambling. Furthermore, PPGMitem6 and NODSitem13 (which assesses taking money) had the highest item difficulties in the Rasch analysis. These findings are in line with previous research showing that removal of the illegal acts criterion increased the amount of explained variance in the factor structure, as well as classification accuracy (Petry et al., Citation2013). As previously mentioned, this criterion was removed in the DSM5 diagnostic criteria (American Psychiatric Association, Citation2013).

The PGSI, the PPGM, and the NODS are all used to assess problem gambling. The PGSI scoring includes two additional at-risk gambling levels and the PPGM and the NODS scoring for pathological gambling according to DSM-IV. In the Rasch analysis, Person reliability showed that no measure had sufficient number of strata in relation to the suggested severity levels in the scoring indexes, but the PGSI performed better than the other measures in this sense. The Rasch analysis also showed that all measures had items showing infit or outfit. Finally, the Rasch analysis showed that the PPGM had the largest item difficulty range and the PGSI the smallest. The PPGM item difficulty range seemed sufficient to detect the suggested gambling levels in the scoring index. For the NODS, the difficulty range seemed adequate to detect problems in the higher end of the spectra. This indicated support for using the NODS to identify pathological gambling in clinical samples, but also potential issues for detecting at-risk gambling. The narrow difficulty range for the PGSI was problematic in relation to the measure’s ability to identify low severity problems. Hence, it is unclear whether the PGSI can be used to detect such sub-clinical risk levels. Similar conclusions regarding the PGSI have also been reported in previous studies (Cowlishaw et al., Citation2019; Miller et al., Citation2013).

Strengths and limitations

The current study might be the first to test the factor structure of the PPGM. The study expanded analysis methods for gambling measures beyond classical test theory, and used item response theory estimates such as item difficulty range or person reliability. Further strengths included evaluation of individual items within the respective measures and not by adding items into a pool and evaluating problem gambling as a construct on an aggregated level. Finally, evaluations were performed within the same sample, enabling contrasting of results between measures. Such comparisons are scarce, particularly among European gambling samples. Concerning limitations, the sample in the study was relatively small compared to other gambling Rasch studies (Cowlishaw et al., Citation2019; Miller et al., Citation2013; Molde et al., Citation2010). Also, several participants had missing data on the NODS due to an administrative error. Another limitation is the focus on a relatively narrow psychometric area, leaving other questions for future studies (e.g. validation of cutoffs/diagnostic accuracy, predictive validity, and measurement invariance). Future studies should focus on further improving the PPGM with respect to the weak items presented in this study. The novel DSM-5 criteria call for new cutoffs and assessment of severity levels in gambling measures which stands as a suggestion for future research.

Conclusions and clinical implications

None of the measures performed perfect on all tests. The drawbacks of the PGSI were that it was unclear whether it measures one gambling construct or several, and that the instrument failed to discriminate mild subclinical gambling levels, such as at-risk gambling. Overall, the PPGM performed best of the three instruments. We conclude that the PPGM can be used in general populations and clinical contexts to detect problem gambling and pathological gambling, across a severity continuum. However, several PPGM items were weak in the CFA and Rasch analysis with respect to their psychometric properties. Finally, we conclude that the NODS is suitable for use in clinical samples for identification of pathological gambling. However, the Rasch analysis indicated that the NODS might be weak in discriminating severity levels, in particular subclinical pathological gambling problems.

Ethical approval

The regional ethical board of Stockholm 2017/1479-31.

Supplementary

Supplemental data can be accessed by online.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Additional information

Funding

The work was supported by the Development funds for identification and treatment of problem gambling from the Stockholm Health Care Services, Stockholm Region [NA]; The Swedish program grant “Responding to and Reducing Gambling Problems—Studies in Help-seeking, Measurement, Comorbidity and Policy Impacts” (REGAPS), financed by Forte, the Swedish Research Council for Health, Working Life and Welfare [2016-0709].

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