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Star-Bound and Star-Crossed: A Path to U.S.-China Space Cooperation Through Science Diplomacy

Published online: 18 Jun 2024
 

ABSTRACT

The present state of geopolitical competition between the United States and China now extends into the space domain. How can the United States and China alter this trajectory toward conflict in space, and instead begin to cooperate and collaborate in space affairs? This paper addresses the question by utilizing qualitative and historical analysis, rooted in neoliberal theory of science diplomacy applied to current spheres of influence and institutions in space affairs. Proposed herein is a two-stage approach linking basic science endeavors with space affairs to chart a course toward greater cooperation between the United States and China. This path would prevent conflict in space affairs and propel scientific innovation, providing benefits for humankind.

Acknowledgments

I wish to express profound gratitude to Hilary Appel, William Ascher, Geraldine Han, Terril Jones, Stephanie Kleine-Ahlbrandt, Evis Mezini, Minxin Pei, Ivan Rasmussen, Michael Schiffer, and Jennifer Taw. I also wish to acknowledge the institutions that made this project possible: Claremont McKenna College and the Keck Center for International and Strategic Studies at Claremont McKenna College.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Notes

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2 Katie Rogers, “Car Talk and Birthday Wishes Punctuate Biden’s ‘Trust but Verify’ Diplomacy,” The New York Times, November 16, 2023, https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/16/us/politics/biden-xi-china-apec-meeting.html.

3 Ana Swanson, “Blinken Tours China to Promote Some Ties, While the U.S. Severs Others,” The New York Times, April 25, 2024, https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/25/business/economy/blinken-china-trade.html.

4 Andrea Shalal, “Yellen Sees ‘Progress’ in Rocky US-China Ties, Expects More Communication,” Reuters, July 9, 2023, https://www.reuters.com/world/yellen-says-china-us-have-significant-disagreements-that-must-be-communicated-2023-07-09/.

5 Shalal.

6 Mai’a K. Davis Cross and Saadia M. Pekkanen, “Introduction. Space Diplomacy: The Final Frontier of Theory and Practice,” The Hague Journal of Diplomacy 18, 2–3 (2023): 196.

7 David Ignatius, “China is Serious About Winning the New Space Race,” The Washington Post, July 20, 2023, https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/07/20/china-united-states-space-competition/.

8 Ted Spitzmiller, The History of Human Spaceflight (Gainesville: University Press of Florida, 2017), 129.

9 Howard McCurdy, Space and the American Imagination (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 2011), 72.

10 Spitzmiller, 135.

11 Michael J. Neufeld, Spaceflight: A Concise History (Cambridge: The MIT Press, 2018), 48–49.

12 Neufeld, 51.

13 Neufeld, 51.

14 Neufeld, 56.

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16 Joan Hoff, “The Presidency, Congress and the Deceleration of the US Space Program,” in Spaceflight and the Myth of Presidential Leadership, eds. Roger Launius and Howard McCurdy (Illinois: University of Illinois Press, 1997), 92–132.

17 Neufeld, 62.

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19 James Moltz, Asia’s Space Race: National Motivations, Regional Rivalries, and International Risks (New York: Columbia University Press, 2012), 70.

20 Roger Handberg and Zhen Li, Chinese Space Policy: A Study in Domestic and International Politics (New York: Routledge, 2007), 68–69.

21 Richard Brownell, Space Exploration (Detroit: Lucent Books, 2012), 82.

22 Bradley Perrett, “Qian Xuesen Laid Foundation For China’s Space Rise,” Aviation Week, January 7, 2008, https://aviationweek.com/qian-xuesen-laid-foundation-chinas-space-rise.

23 Fraser MacDonald, “The Blunder that Could Cost the U.S. the New Space Race,” The Washington Post, June 26, 2019, https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2019/06/26/blunder-that-could-cost-us-new-space-race/.

24 Perrett.

25 Moltz, 79.

26 Michael Wines, “Qian Xuesen, Father of China’s Space Program, Dies at 98,” The New York Times, November 3, 2009, https://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/04/world/asia/04qian.html.

27 Moltz, 82.

28 Moltz, 83.

29 Brian Harvey, China’s Space Program: From Conception to Manned Spaceflight (New York: Springer, 2004), 191.

30 Walter A. McDougall, “The Scramble for Space,” The Wilson Quarterly 4, no. 4 (1980): 80.

31 Moltz, 84.

32 Moltz, 84.

33 Jeff Gerth and David E. Sanger, “How Chinese Won Rights to Launch Satellites for U.S.,” The New York Times, May 17, 1998, https://www.nytimes.com/1998/05/17/us/how-chinese-won-rights-to-launch-satellites-for-us.html.

34 Moltz, 85.

35 Moltz, 85.

36 Neufeld, 63.

37 Neufeld, 63.

38 Neufeld, 63.

39 Eligar Sadeh, “Report: United States-China Space Dialogue Project,” Astropolitics 8, no. 1 (2010): 13.

40 Aaron Bateman, “The Prospects for United States – China Space Cooperation Are Limited,” The Bulletin, June 12, 2023, https://thebulletin.org/2023/06/the-prospects-for-united-states-china-space-cooperation-are-limited/.

41 Neufeld, 64.

42 McCurdy, 88.

43 Neufeld, 70.

44 “NASA Budgets: US Spending on Space Travel Since 1958 Updated,” The Guardian, https://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2010/feb/01/nasa-budgets-us-spending-space-travel.

45 Neufeld, 100.

46 Moltz, 88.

47 Moltz, 88.

48 Moltz, 89.

49 Moltz, 90.

50 Alastair Iain Johnston et al., “The Cox Committee Report: An Assessment,” Stanford Center for International Security and Cooperation, 1999, 9, https://cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/publications/cox_committee_report_the_an_assessment.

51 Johnston et al., 9.

52 Johnston et al., 21.

53 Moltz, 90.

54 Moltz, 92.

55 Neufeld, 180.

56 Moltz, 94.

57 Sadeh, 7.

58 Jacqueline Feldscher, “Biden Space Advisers Urge Cooperation with China,” Politico, December 20, 2020, https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/20/biden-china-space-448529.

59 Moltz, 95.

60 Moltz, 96.

61 Makena Young, “Bad Idea: The Wolf Amendment (Limiting Collaboration with China in Space),” Center for Strategic and International Studies, December 4, 2019, https://defense360.csis.org/bad-idea-the-wolf-amendment-limiting-collaboration-with-china-in-space/.

62 Jeffrey Kluger, “The Silly Reason the Chinese Aren’t Allowed on the Space Station,” TIME, May 29, 2015, https://time.com/3901419/space-station-no-chinese.

63 Feldscher.

64 Bateman.

65 Ian Sample, “NASA Admits Mistake Over Chinese Scientists’ Conference Ban,” The Guardian, October 11, 2013, https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/oct/11/nasa-chinese-scientists-conference-ban.

66 Sample.

67 Kluger.

68 McCurdy, 83.

69 Namrata Goswami, “The Strategic Implications of the China-Russia Lunar Base Cooperation Agreement,” The Diplomat, March 19, 2021, https://thediplomat.com/2021/03/the-strategic-implications-of-the-china-russia-lunar-base-cooperation-agreement.

70 Feldscher.

71 Andrew Jones, “NASA and China are Eyeing the Same Landing Sites Near the Lunar South Pole,” SpaceNews, August 31, 2022, https://spacenews.com/nasa-and-china-are-eyeing-the-same-landing-sites-near-the-lunar-south-pole/.

72 “China Is Unusually Secretive About its Space Programme,” The Economist, May 18, 2023, https://www.economist.com/china/2023/05/18/china-is-unusually-secretive-about-its-space-programme.

73 Andrew Kramer and Steven Lee Myers, “Russia, Once a Space Superpower, Turns to China for Missions,” The New York Times, June 15, 2021, https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/15/world/asia/china-russia-space.html.

74 Feldscher.

75 Bateman.

76 MacDonald.

77 Rubab Nawaz, Asma Bilal, and Maria Rehman, “United States-China Space Offensive: A Dangerous Competition,” Astropolitics 20, no. 1 (2022): 27.

78 Moltz, 105.

79 William J. Broad, “How Space Became the Next ‘Great Power’ Contest Between the U.S. and China,” The New York Times, January 24, 2021, https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/24/us/politics/trump-biden-pentagon-space-missiles-satellite.html.

80 Andrew Buncombe, “Trump Hails Space as ‘Next War-Fighting Domain’ as He Launches US Space Command,” The Independent, August 29, 2019, https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-space-force-war-fighting-speech-white-house-press-conference-a9084601.html.

81 “Militarization of Space is Inevitable, Roscosmos Head Says,” TASS Russian News Agency, August 30, 2019, https://tass.com/science/1075695.

82 Arup Dasgupta, “Militarization of Space is Undesirable but Inevitable,” GeoSpatial World, August 10, 2022, https://www.geospatialworld.net/prime/prime-opinion/militarization-of-space-is-undesirable-but-inevitable/.

83 Sandra Erwin, “Defense Intelligence Report: China in Steady Pursuit of Space Capabilities to Outmatch U.S.,” SpaceNews, January 16, 2019, https://spacenews.com/defense-intelligence-report-china-on-steady-pursuit-of-space-capabilities-to-outmatch-u-s/.

84 Douglas Brinkley, American Moonshot (New York: Harper, 2019), 278.

85 Brinkley, 278.

86 Mercy Kuo, “Wargaming the China-US Space Race,” The Diplomat, June 7, 2021, https://thediplomat.com/2021/06/wargaming-the-china-us-space-race/.

87 James Fallows, China Airborne (New York: Pantheon Books, 2012), 217.

88 Fallows, 217.

89 Oliver Staley and Daniel Golden, “China Halts U.S. Academic Freedom at Classroom Door for Colleges,” Bloomberg, November 29, 2011, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2011-11-28/china-halts-u-s-college-freedom-at-class-door.

90 Wang Yiwei, “Scientists and Meteorite Hunters Descend on Suzhou,” Sixth Tone, September 18, 2017, https://www.sixthtone.com/news/1000866.

91 Anastasiia Carrier, “Who’s the Boss?” The Wire China, January 9, 2022, https://www.thewirechina.com/2022/01/09/whos-the-boss/.

92 Carrier.

93 Carrier.

94 Juana Summers, “U.S. Ambassador to China on Future of the Countries’ Complicated Relationship,” NPR, June 21, 2023, https://www.npr.org/2023/06/21/1183578251/u-s-ambassador-to-china-on-future-of-the-countries-complicated-relationship.

95 Fallows, 207.

96 Fallows, 214.

97 Ryan Woo, “China Wants to Mobilise Entire Nation in Counter-Espionage,” Reuters, August 2, 2023, https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-wants-mobilise-entire-nation-counter-espionage-2023-08-01/.

98 Woo.

99 Robert Delaney, “Under New Law, China is ‘Encouraging Citizens to Spy on Each Other’, US Says,” South China Morning Post, August 3, 2023, https://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/3229795/under-new-law-china-encouraging-citizens-spy-each-other-us-says.

100 Wenxin Fan, “China’s Latest Problem: People Don’t Want to Go There,” The Wall Street Journal, August 3, 2023, https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-latest-problem-people-dont-want-to-go-there-7d17a83a.

101 Hayley Wong, “‘Mutual Distrust’: The Message in the US Funding Cut for China’s Wuhan Institute of Virology,” South China Morning Post, July 23, 2023, https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3228640/mutual-distrust-message-us-funding-cut-chinas-wuhan-institute-virology.

102 Wong.

103 Yvonne Sun, “China’s Top Overseas Students Face ‘Glass Ceiling’, Hard Choices Amid Fraught US ties,” South China Morning Post, July 22, 2023, https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3228533/chinas-top-overseas-students-face-glass-ceiling-hard-choices-amid-fraught-us-ties.

104 Sun.

105 Ellen Barry and Gina Kolata, “China’s Lavish Funds Lured U.S. Scientists. What Did It Get in Return?” The New York Times, February 6, 2020, https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/06/us/chinas-lavish-funds-lured-us-scientists-what-did-it-get-in-return.html.

106 Sun.

107 Sun.

108 Sun.

109 Jane Lee, “Stanford Professors Urge U.S. to End Program Looking for Chinese Spies in Academia,” Reuters, September 14, 2021, https://www.reuters.com/world/us/stanford-professors-urge-us-end-program-looking-chinese-spies-academia-2021-09-13/.

110 Lee.

111 Sun.

112 “2022 Education Fair: Ambassador Burns Welcomes Students from China to Study in the United States,” US Mission China, September 27, 2022, https://china.usembassy-china.org.cn/press-release-2022-education-fair-ambassador-burns-welcomes-students-from-china-to-study-in-the-united-states/.

113 Summers.

114 “Space Policy and Sustainability: Issue Briefing for the Biden Administration,” Secure World Foundation, December 2020, 21, https://swfound.org/media/207084/swf_space_policy_issue_briefing_2020_web.pdf.

115 Ling Xin, “China and the US Are Reaching for Same Region of the Moon. Could They Work Together?” South China Morning Post, May 21, 2023, https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3220915/china-and-us-are-reaching-same-region-moon-could-they-work-together.

116 Xin.

117 Xin.

118 Feldscher.

119 Young.

120 Young.

121 Young.

122 Ling Xin, “Western Companies Drawn to China’s Lunar Research Station Project,” South China Morning Post, July 7, 2023, https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3226845/western-companies-drawn-chinas-lunar-research-station-project.

123 “China is Unusually Secretive About its Space Programme,” The Economist, May 18, 2023, https://www.economist.com/china/2023/05/18/china-is-unusually-secretive-about-its-space-programme.

124 Sadeh, 10.

125 “China is Unusually Secretive About its Space Programme,” The Economist, May 18, 2023, https://www.economist.com/china/2023/05/18/china-is-unusually-secretive-about-its-space-programme.

126 Ibid.

127 Cross, 207.

128 Cross, 207.

129 “China is Unusually Secretive About its Space Programme,” The Economist, May 18, 2023, https://www.economist.com/china/2023/05/18/china-is-unusually-secretive-about-its-space-programme.

130 Ibid.

131 Ibid.

132 Ling Xin, “China Catches Up in Commercial Space: An Interview with Ji Wu,” National Science Review 9, no. 7 (July 2022), https://doi.org/10.1093/nsr/nwac065.

133 Xin.

134 “Space Policy and Sustainability: Issue Briefing for the Biden Administration,” Secure World Foundation, December 2020, 21, https://swfound.org/media/207084/swf_space_policy_issue_briefing_2020_web.pdf.

135 Feldscher.

136 Feldscher.

137 Jeffrey Mervis, “White House Requests Extension of Agreement with China on Joint Research,” Science, August 24, 2023, https://www.science.org/content/article/white-house-requests-extension-agreement-china-joint-research.

138 Brian Weeden, “An Opportunity to Use the Space Domain to Strengthen the U.S.-China Relationship,” Brief from U.S. China Relations in Strategic Domains, The National Bureau of Asian Research, September 9, 2015. https://www.nbr.org/publication/an-opportunity-to-use-the-space-domain-to-strengthen-the-u-s-china-relationship/.

139 Bateman.

140 Weeden.

141 Luk Van Langenhove, “Who Cares? Science Diplomacy and the Global Commons,” AQ: Australian Quarterly 90, no. 4 (2019): 21.

142 Ian Sample, “US Scientists Boycott NASA Conference Over China Ban,” The Guardian, October 4, 2013, https://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/oct/05/us-scientists-boycott-nasa-china-ban.

143 Neufeld, xii.

144 Cross, 199.

145 José-Miguel Bello y Villarino, “Preventing a Cold War in Space Using European Research and Innovation Programs,” Science & Diplomacy, American Association for the Advancement of Science, https://www.sciencediplomacy.org/article/2019/preventing-cold-war-in-space-using-european-research-and-innovation-programs#note26%20rel=.

146 Cross, 199.

147 “Space Policy and Sustainability: Issue Briefing for the Biden Administration,” Secure World Foundation, December 2020, 20, https://swfound.org/media/207084/swf_space_policy_issue_briefing_2020_web.pdf.

148 Ibid, 20.

149 MacDonald.

Additional information

Funding

This work was supported by the Claremont McKenna College Keck Center for International and Strategic Studies. The views expressed are purely those of the author.

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