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Analytic Issues in Time-Series and Cohort Studies

Air Pollution Mortality: Harvesting And Loss Of Life Expectancy

Pages 1175-1180 | Published online: 01 Sep 2006
 

Abstract

This article concerns the interpretation of epidemiological studies of air pollution mortality and the choice of indicators for quantifying the impact, for communication with policymakers. It is shown that the total mortality impact (measured by cohort studies) can only be quantified in terms of loss of life expectancy (LLE), not number of premature deaths. Time-series (TS) studies of mortality observe only acute impacts, that is, deaths due to short-term exposure (“acute mortality”); they allow the estimation of a number of deaths without providing any information on the LLE per death. However, even if the average loss per death is as long as 6 mo, acute mortality is only a very small percentage of the total mortality attributable to air pollution. Estimates of the population-average LLE due to air pollution are provided, for acute mortality, total adult mortality, and infant mortality.

Much of this article, including Figure 1, is taken from Rabl (2003), with permission of the Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association.

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