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Research Article

Two-stage stochastic programming of a hybrid SOFC-renewable integrated energy system considering time sequence correlation

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Pages 1-14 | Received 28 Aug 2021, Accepted 13 Dec 2021, Published online: 19 Jan 2022
 

ABSTRACT

In the face of the ever-increasing pressure on climate change, recent decades witnessed booming interests in the integrated energy systems (IES) consisting of intermittent renewable energy and dispatchable power sources, such as reformed gas-fed solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC). However, optimization of system design and operation is challenging due to the system complexity, inevitable couplings, and various constraints. To this end, this paper proposes a comprehensive model to describe integrated energy systems with combined cooling, heating, and power (CCHP). Optimal economic performance is formulated as the objective function. Constraints are derived based on the safety and operation requirements. The problem is solved by developing a two-stage stochastic programming framework to achieve the optimized results in terms of both design and operation. The second stage concerns the operation scheduling given the operation plan and stochastic characteristics, based on which the first stage concerns the design planning to realize the prescribed CCHP capacity. Considering the computation complexity of the second stage, the stochastic characteristics are represented by selected scenarios. And to present the mutual influence of energy demands and climate conditions, the time sequence correlation among energy demands and renewable energy availability is considered in the clustering-based scenario selection technique. To solve the proposed two-stage framework, the real-coded genetic algorithm and mixed integer linear programming method are applied in the first and second stages, respectively. A case study in San Francisco is carried out to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, providing some intuitive guidance for future IES operation and system planning.

Nomenclature

IES=

integrated energy system

SOFC=

solid oxide fuel cell

CCHP=

combined cooling, heating and power

MILP=

mixed integer linear programming

LHS=

Latin Hypercube Sampling

 =

Symbols

C=

economic cost

c=

unit cost

cgrid=

unit cost of electricity

cNG=

unit cost of natural gas energy

CAP=

components capacity

COP=

coefficient of performance

d=

original data

dˉ=

normalized original data

E=

electricity

GHI=

global horizontal irradiance

H=

heating

i=

each year during the project lifetime

L=

dimensions of stochastic parameters

M=

large constant number

n=

project lifetime

N=

scenario number of the expansion scenarios

Nc=

scenario number of the cluster c

p=

probability

PL=

part-load ratio

Q=

lower triangular matrix in the Cholesky decomposition

QNG=

consumed natural gas energy

r=

interest rate

R=

random order matrix

s=

scenario set

sO=

original scenario set

sex=

expansion scenario set

sobj=

objective scenario set

UB=

upper limit of the renewable components’ capacity

v=

wind speed

x=

continuous operation variables

Y=

binary variables

y=

binary operation variables

 =

Greek symbols

α=

shape parameter

β=

scale parameter

βPV/βSH=

irradiance absorption efficiency

σ=

standard deviation

θ=

replacement coefficient

η=

efficiency

λ=

cost converting coefficient

ξ=

stochastic parameters

ρR=

rank correlation matrix of R

φo=

operation equality constraints

ψ=

components capacity constraints

ψo=

operation inequality constraints

Ω=

set of all the components

 =

Subscripts/superscripts

AC=

absorption chiller

ave=

average

bat=

batteries

c=

each cluster

cutin=

cut-in wind speed

cutout=

cut-out wind speed

d=

each type of energy demands

EC=

electrical chiller

error=

energy error in the conservation constraints

ex=

exported electricity through the grid

F2P=

converting future cost to present cost

fea=

feasible components’ capacity

HP=

heat pump

HR=

heat recycling

i=

charging status

I=

investment

im=

imported electricity through the grid

ini=

initial expansion scenario set

inv=

unit investment cost

k=

each component

M=

unit maintenance cost

max,i=

upper boundary of the interval

min,i=

lower boundary of the interval

o=

discharging status

O=

operation

P=

penalty term in the objective function

P2A=

converting present cost to annual cost

part,i=

approximated constant efficiency part-load interval

PV=

photovoltaic devices

R=

replacement indicator

rated=

rated parameters

re=

unit replacement cost

s=

each scenario

SH=

solar heater

Solar=

solar energy

st=

heat storage

t=

each time step

total=

total annual cost

waste=

wasted energy

Wind=

wind energy

WT=

wind turbines

Acknowledgments

This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 51936003 and 51806034, the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province, China, under Grant BK20211563.

Author contributions

Y. Zhang: Conceptualization and Methodology

J. Jiang: Software and Review

K. Chen: Writing and Formal Analysis

L. Sun: Supervision and Validation

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Additional information

Funding

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [51936003,51806034]; the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province, China [BK20211563].

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