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Research Article

A new population mean estimator under non-response cases

ORCID Icon & ORCID Icon
Pages 111-119 | Received 06 Oct 2021, Accepted 24 Jan 2022, Published online: 09 Feb 2022

Abstract

Using the information in x, we consider a new estimator that uses an exponential function to estimate the unknown population mean of y in the case of non-responding units. These cases are divided into two categories as Case I and Case II. In Case I, non-response units are only available on y, whereas in Case II, non-response units are available on both x and y. The proposed estimators are derived from both scenarios, accordingly. The necessary comparisons are made theoretically and numerical study on the subject of education is carried out. We conclude that in both non-response schemes, the proposed estimators can be chosen in theory and also in applications, such as the education data.

1. Introduction

In sample surveys, efficient estimators can be used to obtain the unknown population parameters, such as variance, percentage, total and mean. The use of auxiliary variable information is a basic and common method when a new estimator is proposed. The study variable (y) can refer to successful students, while the auxiliary variable (x) can be the number of students per teacher, the ability of the teachers, the number of teachers, teaching methods, and so on. Different forms of estimators, such as ratio, regression, logarithmic, product and exponential, can be seen in the sampling theory when estimating the unknown population parameters using the information from x. The exponential type estimators, on the other hand, become prominent among others [Citation1].

Some information about the various variables may not be fully available every time. Based on this situation, Hansen and Hurwitz [Citation2] proposed a novel approach using the sub-sampling method. They considered the non-response units while estimating population parameters to reduce the effect of non-response and this technique is still popular in the sampling theory literature. The population size (N) consists of two unit groups as response unit N1 and non-response unit N2(N2=NN1) in this technique. The sample size is determined by drawing n units from the population using the simple random sampling without replacement (SRSWOR) method. Here, only n1 units are available as response units in this sample, whereas n2 (n2=nn1) units are obtained as non-response units. The Hansen–Hurwitz method is used to obtain r=n2z , z>1 from n2 units with extra effort. Here, the value of r can be obtained differently using various z values to show the appropriateness of the proposed estimator for all combinations. In the final part of the technique, (n1+r) units can be used to estimate the unknown parameters. According to n1 and r units, the sample means of y values are denoted as y¯1 and y¯2(r), respectively.

Hansen and Hurwitz [Citation2] proposed an unbiased estimator for the population mean using the following method as: (1) tH=w1y¯1+w2y¯2(r).(1)

The variance of the unbiased estimators is as follows: (2) V(tH)=Y¯2(λCy2+W2(z1)nCy(2)2).(2)

In tH estimator, w2=n2n is the weight of the non-response units for the sample while w1=n1n is the weight of response. In Equation (2), f=nN,λ=1fn,Cy2=Sy2Y¯2, and, Cy(2)2=Sy(2)2Y¯2 and population mean of y is symbolized as Y¯.

The case of non-response is divided into two categories as Case I and Case II. The non-response units are only available on y in Case I, whereas they are available on both x and y in Case II. For both approaches, the population mean of x is known.

In sampling theory, one of the most important aims is to estimate the unknown population parameter with an efficient estimator [Citation3]. By this study, we think that we have made a significant contribution to the literature since we have used an exponential function in a new estimator proposed for the unknown population mean in the case of the non-response approach. Besides, the appropriateness of the proposed estimator is examined in detail via theoretical, numerical and simulation studies as well for both non-response approaches. In Section 2, the estimators in the literature for the non-response approach are given. After that, in Section 3, the proposed estimator is thoroughly analysed for Case I and Case II. In Sections 4 and 5, the theoretical comparisons and numerical study are presented, respectively. Then, the simulation study is conducted in Section 6. In the final section, the results are discussed.

2. Existing estimators in literature

Many estimators for estimating the population mean using the sub-sampling method proposed in the literature. Tables and present the ratio, regression and exponential estimators, as well as the MSE equations for these estimators, up to the first order of approximation, for both Cases I and II, respectively. In , y¯ represents the sample mean of y under the non-response approach. Here, Cx2=Sx2X¯2,Cyx=ρxyCyCx and ρxy represents the coefficient of the population correlation between x and y. Furthermore, x¯ and X¯ are the sample mean and population mean of x, respectively, and Y¯ is the population mean of y.

Table 1. List of estimators for Case I.

Table 2. List of estimators for Case II.

In , x¯ represents the sample mean of x under the non-response approach. Besides, Cyx(2)=ρxy(2)Cy(2)Cx(2), Cx(2)2=Sx(2)2X¯2 and ρyx(2) represent the coefficient of the population correlation between x and y for the non-response group.

According to the estimators in literature, there are some symbols in estimators and their MSEs. The values of α, d1, d2, k, η and δ represent the unknown constants whose optimum values are used to obtain the minimum MSE and s can take only the values of −1, 0 and 1. Besides, θi=aX¯aX¯+b, ϕ=aX¯2(aX¯+b), and (a,b) are either real numbers or functions of the known parameters of X.

In addition, the estimators, proposed by Oncel Cekim and Cingi [Citation20], Javed and Irfan [Citation3], Kadilar and Oncel Cekim [Citation21] and Salehi and Seber [Citation22], are also important estimators in the literature.

3. Proposed estimators

This section introduces a new estimator for estimating the population mean in the presence of non-responding schemes. In Subsections 3.1 and 3.2, this estimator is examined for Cases I and II, respectively.

3.1. Case I

For Case I, we propose tCa1 estimator as (3) tCa1=y¯(θ1+θ2X¯x¯)(ωexp(X¯x¯X¯+x¯)+(1ω)exp(x¯X¯X¯+x¯)).(3)

Here, ω can only have 0 or 1 value to make the tCa1 estimator ratio or product estimator. If ω takes the value of 1, it is a ratio type estimator; if ω takes the value of 0, it is a product type estimator. θ1 and θ2 represent the unknown constants whose optimum values are used later for the minimum MSE(tCa1).

To obtain the Bias(tCa1), MSE(tCa1) and the minimum MSE(tCa1), the notations are used under the Case I as follows: y¯=(Y¯ey+Y¯),x¯=(X¯ex+X¯),E(ex)=0,E(ey2)=(λCy2+W2(z1)nCy(2)2),E(ex)=0,E(ex2)=λCx2,E(eyex)=λCyx.

Using these notations, we rewrite the tCa1 estimator in Equation (3) as: (4) tCa1=Y¯(1+ey)(θ1+θ2θ2ex+θ2ex2)×(1+exωexex28+ωex22).(4)

We obtain the following result by expanding the right-hand side of the Equation (4) and ignoring two and higher powers of ey and exterms: (5) (tCa1Y¯)=Y¯(θ1+θ2+θ1ey+θ1exωθ1exωθ2exθ18ex2+ωθ12ex2θ28ex2+ωθ22ex2+ωθ2ex2+θ1eyexωθ1eyex+θ2eyωθ2eyex1).(5)

We take the expectation of Equation (5) and derive the Bias(tCa1), respectively, as: (6) Bias(tCa1)=Y¯((θ1+θ21)+λCx2(ω2(θ1+θ2)18(θ1+θ2)+ωθ2)18+λCyx(θ1ω(θ1+θ2))).(6)

For the MSE(tCa1), we take square both sides of the Equation (5) and then expectation, respectively, as follows: (7) E(tCa1Y¯)2=MSE(tCa1)=Y¯2(1+θ12(1+E(ey2)+34E(ex2)34+ω2E(ex2)ωE(ex2)+4E(eyex)4ωE(eyex))+θ1(2+E(ex2)4ωE(ex2)2E(eyex)34+2ωE(eyex))+θ22(1+E(ey2)E(ex2)4+ω2E(ex2)+3ωE(ex2)344ωE(eyex))+θ2(2+E(ex2)43ωE(ex2)+2ωE(eyex))+θ1θ2(2+2E(ey2)E(ex2)28ωE(eyex)34+4E(eyex)+2ω2E(ex2)+2ωE(ex2)))(7)

To simplify the mathematical notation, we can rewrite the MSE(tCa1) for the Case I as: (8) MSE(tCa1)=Y¯2[1+ACa1θ12+BCa1θ1+CCa1θ22+DCa1θ2+ECa1θ1θ2],(8) where ACa1=(1+E(ey2)+34E(ex2)+ω2E(ex2)ωE(ex2)34+4E(eyex)4ωE(eyex)), BCa1=(2+E(ex2)4ωE(ex2)2E(eyex)34+2ωE(eyex)), CCa1=(1+E(ey2)E(ex2)4+ω2E(ex2)+3ωE(ex2)344ωE(eyex)), DCa1=(2+E(ex2)43ωE(ex2)+2ωE(eyex)), ECa1=(2+2E(ey2)E(ex2)28ωE(eyex)+4E(eyex)34+2ω2E(ex2)+2ωE(ex2)).

The optimum values of θ1 and θ2, θ1 and θ2, are obtained using the MSE(tCa1) derivation as: (9) θ1=2BCa1CCa1+ECa1DCa14ACa1CCa1ECa12,θ2=2ACa1DCa1+BCa1ECa14ACa1CCa1ECa12.(9)

We substitute the θ1 and θ2 values into the Equation (8) and then we obtain the minimum MSE(tCa1) for Case I as: (10) MSEmin(tCa1)=Y¯2[1ACa1DCa12+BCa12CCa1BCa1DCa1ECa14ACa1CCa1ECa12].(10)

3.2. Case II

For Case II, we propose tCa2 estimator as (11) tCa2=y¯(θ3+θ4X¯x¯)(ωexp(X¯x¯X¯+x¯)+(1ω)exp(x¯X¯X¯+x¯)),(11) where θ3 and θ4 represent the unknown constants whose optimum values are used later for the minimum MSE(tCa2).

To obtain the Bias(tCa2), MSE(tCa2) and the minimum MSE(tCa2), the notations are used under Case II as follows: y¯=Y¯(ey+1),x¯=X¯(ex+1),E(ex)=0,E(ex2)=(λCx2+W2(z1)nCx(2)2),E(eyex)=(λCyx+W2(z1)nCyx(2)),E(ey)=0,E(ey2)=(λCy2+W2(z1)nCy(2)2).

Using these notations, we rewrite the tCa2 estimator in the Equation (11) as: (12) tCa2=Y¯(1+ey)(θ3+θ4θ4ex+θ4ex2)×(1+exωexex28+ωex22).(12)

As in Case I, the Bias(tCa2) is obtained by following the similar steps in Case II as well: (13) (tCa2Y¯)=Y¯(θ3+θ3exωθ3exθ38ex2+ωθ32ex2+θ4ωθ4exθ48ex2+ωθ42ex2+ωθ4ex2+θ3ey+θ3eyexωθ3eyex+θ4eyωθ4eyex1),(13) (14) E(tCa2Y¯)=Y¯((θ3+θ41)+E(ex2)(ω2(θ3+θ4)18(θ3+θ4)+ωθ4)W2(z1)n+E(eyex)(θ3ω(θ3+θ4))),(14) (15) Bias(tCa2)=Y¯((θ3+θ41)W2(z1)n+(λCx2+W2(z1)nCx(2)2)×(ω2(θ3+θ4)18(θ3+θ4)+ωθ4)+(λCyx+W2(z1)nCyx(2))×W2(z1)n(θ3ω(θ3+θ4))).(15)

For the MSE(tCa2), we take square both sides of the Equation (13) and then expectation, respectively, as follows: (16) MSE(tCa2)=Y¯2(1+θ32(1+E(ey2)+34E(ex2)+ω2E(ex2)34ωE(ex2)+4E(eyex)4ωE(eyex))+θ3(2+E(ex2)4ωE(ex2)2E(eyex)E(ex2)4+2ωE(eyex))+θ42(1+E(ey2)E(ex2)4+ω2E(ex2)E(ex2)4+3ωE(ex2)4ωE(eyex))+θ4(2+E(ex2)43ωE(ex2)+2ωE(eyex))+θ3θ4(2+2E(ey2)E(ex2)28ωE(eyex)E(ex2)4+4E(eyex)+2ω2E(ex2)+2ωE(ex2))).(16)

We can rewrite the MSE(tCa2) in Equation (16) for Case II to simplify the mathematical notations as: ACa2=(1+E(ey2)+34E(ex2)+ω2E(ex2)ωE(ex2)E(ex2)4+4E(eyex)4ωE(eyex)), BCa2=(2+E(ex2)4ωE(ex2)2E(eyex)E(ex2)4+2ωE(eyex)), CCa2=(1+E(ey2)E(ex2)4+ω2E(ex2)E(ex2)4+3ωE(ex2)4ωE(eyex)), DCa2=(2+E(ex2)43ωE(ex2)+2ωE(eyex)), ECa2=(2+2E(ey2)E(ex2)28ωE(eyex)E(ex2)4+4E(eyex)+2ω2E(ex2)+2ωE(ex2)),and (17) MSE(tCa2)=Y¯2[1+ACa2θ32+BCa2θ3+CCa2θ42+DCa2θ4+ECa2θ3θ4].(17)

The optimal values of θ3 and θ4, θ3and θ4, are obtained, respectively, as follows: θ3=2BCa2CCa2+ECa2DCa24ACa2CCa2ECa22,θ4=2ACa2DCa2+BCa2ECa24ACa2CCa2ECa22.

We substitute the θ3 and θ4 values into the Equation (17) and then we obtain the minimum MSE(tCa2) for Case II as: (18) MSEmin(tCa2)=Y¯2[1ACa2DCa22+BCa22CCa2BCa2DCa2ECa24ACa2CCa2ECa22].(18)

4. Efficiency comparisons

In this section, the proposed estimators, tCa1 and tCa2, are compared with several estimators in the literature in Subsections 4.1 and 4.2, respectively, to demonstrate the theoretical appropriateness for Case I and Case II, respectively.

4.1. Efficiency comparisons for the first case

We compare the MSEmin(tCa1) with the MSEs of the estimators listed in and obtain the following efficiency conditions for Case I as follows:

  • MSEmin(tCa1)<V(tH) (19) [1ACa1DCa12+BCa12CCa1BCa1DCa1ECa14ACa1CCa1ECa12](λCy2+W2(z1)nCy(2)2)<0,(19)

  • MSEmin(tCa1)<MSE(tR1) (20) [1ACa1DCa12+BCa12CCa1BCa1DCa1ECa14ACa1CCa1ECa12](λ(Cx22Cyx+Cy2)+W2(z1)nCy(2)2)<0,(20)

  • MSEmin(tCa1)<MSE(texp1) (21) [1ACa1DCa12+BCa12CCa1BCa1DCa1ECa14ACa1CCa1ECa12](λ(Cy2+Cx24Cyx)+W2(z1)nCy(2)2)<0,(21)

  • MSEmin(tCa1)<MSE(treg1) (22) [1ACa1DCa12+BCa12CCa1BCa1DCa1ECa14ACa1CCa1ECa12](λCy2(1ρxy2)+W2(z1)nCy(2)2)<0,(22)

  • MSEmin(tCa1)<MSE(tD) (23) [1ACa1DCa12+BCa12CCa1BCa1DCa1ECa14ACa1CCa1ECa12](λ(Cy2+θiCx2(θi2ρxyCyCx))+W2(z1)nCy(2)2)<0,(23)

  • MSEmin(tCa1)<MSEmin(tSU1) (24) [1ACa1DCa12+BCa12CCa1BCa1DCa1ECa14ACa1CCa1ECa12](λCy2(1ρxy2)+W2(z1)nCy(2)2)+[(λCx2+8(λCy2(1ρxy2)+W2(z1)nCy(2)2))]264[1+(λCy2(1ρxy2)+W2(z1)nCy(2)2)]<0,(24)

  • MSEmin(tCa1)<MSEmin(t1,i) (25) [1ACa1DCa12+BCa12CCa1BCa1DCa1ECa14ACa1CCa1ECa12](1E122E2)<0,(25)

  • MSEmin(tCa1)<MSEmin(tCC1,i) (26) [1ACa1DCa12+BCa12CCa1BCa1DCa1ECa14ACa1CCa1ECa12](1S122S2)<0.(26)

Here, the MSE of the treg1 estimator is equal to the MSEs of the tUS1,tYK1,tPS1,tY1,t(α1,δ1) and t(η,δ) estimators. For this reason, the efficiency conditions are similar to the conditions in (22) for these estimators.

Based on the condition results, we conclude that the tCa1 estimator is more effective than other estimators in the literature under the conditions between (19) and (26) for Case I.

4.2. Efficiency comparisons for the second case

We compare the MSEmin(tCa2) with the MSEs of the estimators listed in and obtain the following efficiency conditions for Case II as follows:

  • MSEmin(tCa2)<V(tH) (27) [1ACa2DCa22+BCa22CCa2BCa2DCa2ECa24ACa2CCa2ECa22](λCy2+W2(z1)nCy(2)2)<0,(27)

  • MSEmin(tCa2)<MSE(tR2) (28) [1ACa2DCa22+BCa22CCa2BCa2DCa2ECa24ACa2CCa2ECa22](λ(Cx22Cyx+Cy2)+W2(z1)n×W2(z1)n(Cy(2)2+Cx(2)22Cyx(2)))<0,(28)

  • MSEmin(tCa2)<MSE(treg2) (29) [1ACa2DCa22+BCa22CCa2BCa2DCa2ECa24ACa2CCa2ECa22](λCy2(1ρxy2)+W2(z1)n×(Cy(2)2+ρxy2Cy2Cx2Cx(2)22ρxyCyCxCyx(2)))<0,(29)

  • MSEmin(tCa2)<MSE(texp2) (30) [1ACa2DCa22+BCa22CCa2BCa2DCa2ECa24ACa2CCa2ECa22](λCy2+λCx24λCyx+W2(z1)n×(Cy(2)2+Cx(2)24Cyx(2)))<0,(30)

  • MSEmin(tCa2)<MSEmin(tKB) (31) [1ACa2DCa22+BCa22CCa2BCa2DCa2ECa24ACa2CCa2ECa22](λCy2(1ρxy2)+W2(z1)nCy(2)2(1ρxy(2)2))<0,(31)

  • MSEmin(tCa2)<MSE(tK) (32) [1ACa2DCa22+BCa22CCa2BCa2DCa2ECa24ACa2CCa2ECa22](λ(Cy2+Cx22ϕCyx)+W2(z1)n×W2(z1)n(Cy(2)2+Cx(2)22ϕCyx(2)))<0,(32)

  • MSEmin(tCa2)<MSEmin(tSK) (33) [1ACa2DCa22+BCa22CCa2BCa2DCa2ECa24ACa2CCa2ECa22][(λCy2+W2(z1)nCy(2)2)(λCxy+W2(z1)nCyx(2))2(λCx2+W2(z1)nCx(2)2)(λCxy+W2(z1)nCyx(2))2(λCx2+W2(z1)nCx(2)2)]<0,(33)

  • MSEmin(tCa2)<MSEmin(t2,i) (34) [1ACa2DCa22+BCa22CCa2BCa2DCa2ECa24ACa2CCa2ECa22](1E322E4)<0,(34)

  • MSEmin(tCa2)<MSEmin(tRNAQ) (35) [1ACa2DCa22+BCa22CCa2BCa2DCa2ECa24ACa2CCa2ECa22](1A1A42+A2A322A3A4A5A1A2A52)<0,(35)

  • MSEmin(tCa2)<MSEmin(tCC2,i) (36) [1ACa2DCa22+BCa22CCa2BCa2DCa2ECa24ACa2CCa2ECa22](1S322S4)<0.(36)

Here, the MSE of the tSK estimator is equal to the MSEs of the tPS2,tUK,t(α,β),t(α2,δ2) and tUS2 estimators. For this reason, the efficiency conditions are similar to the conditions in the Equation (33) for these estimators.

Based on the condition results, we conclude that the tCa2 estimator is more effective than other estimators under the conditions between (27) and (36) for Case II.

5. Empirical study

After the theoretical comparisons, we use the numerical research on education to present the appropriateness of the proposed estimator in the cases of non-response. The required data set information are given as follows (Source: Satici and Kadilar [Citation23]):

The numbers of teachers and successful students in Turkey’s 261 homogeneous districts in 2006 are considered in this population (Satici and Kadilar [Citation23]). In the districts, the numbers of elementary school teachers are used as the auxiliary variable (x) and the numbers of successful students in the transition to the secondary education exam are taken as the study variable (y). In this population, the last 25% of units (W2=0.25, 65 units) is represented as a group of non-response (missing data). Note that in this data set, the correlation coefficient between the study variable and the auxiliary variable is positive. For this reason, the value of ω is considered as one.

The MSE values of the existing estimators in the literature, listed in Tables and , as well as the MSE values of the tCa1 and tCa2 estimators, are obtained using the data set. Besides, the Percent Relative Efficiencies (PREs) of the proposed estimators (tCa1, tCa2) and existing estimators in literature with respect to the Hansen–Hurwitz estimator (tH) are computed by using the PRE formula as follows: PRE(t)=MSE(tH)MSE(t)×100.

According to Case I and II, the results of the MSE and PRE values are given in Tables and . According to the obtained results in Tables and , the proposed estimator has the smallest MSE and highest PRE values among all other compared estimators in the literature of Case I and Case II, as well. As a result, we conclude that the proposed tCa1 and tCa2 estimators can be used to estimate the population mean in both cases of non-response.

Table 3. MSE and PRE values of the tCa1 and compared estimators for the first case.

Table 4. MSE and PRE values of the tCa2 and compared estimators for the second case.

6. Simulation study

In this section, we conduct the performance of the proposed tCa1 and tCa2 estimators, respectively, with the simulation study through R software. The simulation study design is carried out by taking a population size N = 1000 observations, comprising 25% non-response values using different z values for both cases. We use the multivariate normal distribution to generate the values for the auxiliary and the study variables, as well. According to Case I and Case II, the MSE and PRE values of the proposed, tCa1 and tCa2, and various existing estimators are given in Tables and . Here, the PRE values are computed concerning the classical ratio estimator, tR1 and tR2, according to Cases I and II, respectively.

Table 5. MSE and PRE values of the tCa1 and compared estimators for the first case under the simulation study.

Table 6. MSE and PRE values of the tCa2 and compared estimators for the second case under simulation study.

In the first case, we assume that the data set follows the bivariate normal distribution having the means (7,1) and the standard deviations (0.1,10), with the correlation coefficient as 0.95. Here, ω is considered as one because the correlation coefficient is positive.

According to , the proposed tCa1 estimator is more efficient than compared estimators under Case I. The proposed estimator has the minimum MSE and the highest PRE values, as well.

In the second case, we assume that the data set follows the bivariate normal distribution having means (1, 0.1), and standard deviations (1, 10), with the correlation coefficient as 0.95. As in Case I, the value of ω is considered as 1 because the correlation coefficient is positive.

As observed in , for z = 2 and z = 3, the proposed estimator is again the best estimator for the population mean of the study variable for Case II.

7. Conclusion

Based on the auxiliary variable information, several population mean estimators can be found in the literature when all information is available. Hansen and Hurwitz [Citation2] developed a technique in case all information may not always be available. This study uses the Hansen–Hurwitz method and proposes a new exponential estimator for the unknown population mean of y by using the information of x. Using this method, the proposed estimators are examined in Case I and Case II, separately. Statistical properties of the estimators, such as bias, MSE and the minimum MSE, are derived. In the first step, the proposed estimators are theoretically compared with the various estimators in the literature according to the related cases. Based on these comparison results, the proposed estimators can be used under the obtained conditions, instead of estimators in the literature. These obtained conditions are given between Equations (19)–(26) for the Case I and Equations (27)–(36) for the Case II. After that, educational data set is used in the numerical comparison. Numerical study confirms that the proposed estimators have the minimum MSE and the maximum PRE values among compared estimators under the non-response approaches. Besides, the simulation study is conducted to show the performance of the proposed estimators. Based on all results, we recommend the proposed estimates for the non-response case.

Acknowledgements

This publication is a part of PhD thesis of the first author.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

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