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Beyond heuristics, biases and misperceptions: the biological foundations of momentum (hot hand)

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Pages 155-175 | Received 03 Feb 2020, Accepted 26 Sep 2020, Published online: 13 Oct 2020
 

ABSTRACT

The belief in momentum and the hot hand has often been attributed to misperception and biased judgment. Here we review the major theoretical and empirical advances in the investigation of the success breeds success processes, and demonstrate that the term momentum has been uncritically applied in a wide range of domains to denote various manifestations of streakiness. In the first part of the paper we review three lines of research regarding the influence of success on (a) the performer's psychological state, (b) the performer's and observer's behavior and (c) the subsequent success. We highlight the fact that research on momentum has rather overlooked several essential theories. Thus, in the second part, we integrate momentum-based behaviors and beliefs with the relevant biological and physiological literature. We conclude that in human competitions, like in nature, winners experience psychophysiological responses to success, and project their recent victory onto their surroundings by demonstrating aggressiveness, dominance and determination. The result is that both performers and observers are evolutionarily wired to react to success in competitive situations. Consequently, the term psychophysiological momentum is fitting in the context of sports competitions.

Acknowledgements

The authors want to express their sincere gratitude to the three anonymous reviewers and the Associate Editor because this paper has been greatly improved according to their insightful comments and helpful suggestions.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Ethical approval and patient involvement

This article does not contain any studies with human participants or animals performed by any of the authors.

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