Abstract
A methodology has been developed for optimizing building supervisory control strategies, employing building models that incorporate stochastic models of occupant behaviour and serve as the objective function evaluator in a stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) architecture. The SMPC architecture accounts for variability in building performance due to occupant behaviour and is shown to generate a sequence of automatic window opening decisions for a mixed mode building which lead to more robust building performance in the face of occupant window use than a heuristic controller. A set of receding optimization time horizons are described which enable the use of complex building models in simulated SMPC. Results of a case study show that deterministic optimization predicts a 50% increase in building performance, while stochastic optimization leads to a more conservative and more reliable 33% performance improvement, which takes into consideration the impact of occupant behaviour.
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank the American Society of Heating, Refrigeration, and Air Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE) for funding this project, and the reviewers for their time and effort in vastly improving this work. This work utilized the Janus supercomputer, which is supported by the National Science Foundation (award number CNS-0821794) and the University of Colorado Boulder. The Janus supercomputer is a joint effort of the University of Colorado Boulder, the University of Colorado Denver, and the National Center for Atmospheric Research.