773
Views
18
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

Climate Change and the Future of Water Management in Iran

Pages 307-323 | Published online: 12 Aug 2015
 

Abstract

Iran is a large country in the Middle East, which is an extremely arid region. Like its neighbors, severe droughts and population growth have intensified Iran's water shortage problems in the past two decades. Furthermore, climate change has the potential to impose additional economic and social pressure on it and all Middle Eastern countries. Thus, how future climate change will interact with socioeconomic and political conditions in the region is an important issue. In this article I discuss the influence of climate change, plans for mitigation of climate change, and projects of water resilience for the period 2010–2050 in southern Iran. I suggest ways to improve indigenous participation in crafting economic solutions to climate change, as climate change impacts directly on water resources at the local level. I also discuss how local level water solutions may affect regional and national water policy in the future.

Acknowledgements

I gratefully acknowledge funding for this research from the MECW project [grant number 2009-1056] at the Center for Middle Eastern Studies, Lund University.

Notes

 1 E. Bou-Zeid & M. El-Fadel (Citation2002) Climate Change and Water Resources in Lebanon and the Middle East, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 128, pp. 343–355.

 2 N. Nakicenovic et al. (Citation2000) Special report on Emissions Scenarios: A special report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, p. 612 (Richland, WA: Environmental Molecular Sciences Laboratory).

 3 M. El-Fadel & R. Maroun (Citation2008) Virtual Water Trade as an Adaptation Demand Management of Climate Change Impact on Water Resources in the Middle East, in: F. Zereini & H. Hötzl (eds) Climatic Changes and Water Resources in the Middle East and North Africa, pp. 93–108 (Berlin: Springer).

 4 K. C. Abbaspour, M. Faramarzi, S. S. Ghasemi & H. Yang (Citation2009) Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in Iran, Water Resource Research, 45(W10434), pp. 1–16.

 5 F. Zereini & H. Hèotzl (Citation2008) Climatic changes and Water Resources in the Middle East and North Africa, p. 552 (Berlin: Springer).

 6 Bou-Zeid & El-Fadel (2009) Climate Change and Water Resources; J. P. Evans (Citation2009) 21st Century Climate Change in the Middle East, Climatic Change, 92, pp. 417–432; J. P. Evans (Citation2010) Global Warming Impact on the Dominant Precipitation Processes in the Middle East, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 99, pp. 389–402; F. Abbasi, M. Asmari & H. Arabshahi (Citation2011) Climate Change Assessment over Iran During Future Decades by Using MAGICC-SCENGEN Model, International Journal of Science and Advanced Technology, 1, pp. 89–91; J. Sowers, A. Vengosh & E. Weinthal (Citation2011) Climate Change, Water Resources, and the Politics of Adaptation in the Middle East and North Africa, Climatic Change, 104, pp. 599–627; G. R. Roshan & S. Grab (Citation2012) Regional Climate Change Scenarios and their Impacts on Water Requirements for Wheat Production in Iran, International Journal of Plant Production, 6, pp. 239–266.

 7 Sowers, Vengosh & Weinthal (Citation2011) Climate change, water resources, and the politics.

 8 Abbaspour, Faramarzi, Ghasemi & Yang (Citation2009) Assessing the Impact of Climate Change; Evans (Citation2009) 21st Century Climate Change in the Middle East.

 9 D. N. Pandey, A. K. Gupta & D. M. Anderson (Citation2003) Rainwater Harvesting as an Adaptation to Climate Change, Current Science, 85, pp. 46–59.

10 R. Tapper (Citation1994) Change, Cognition and Control: The Reconstruction of Nomadism in Iran, in: C. M. Hann (ed.) When History Accelerates, pp. 188–211 (London: Athlone Press).

11 S. A. Kowsar & M. Pakparvar (Citation2003) Assessment Methodology prepared for Sustainable Management of Marginal Drylands (SUMAMAD); Second Project Workshop, Shiraz, Iran. November 29–December 2, 2003.

12 T. Razieh, P. D. Arasteh & B. Saghfian (Citation2005) Annual Rainfall Trend in Arid and Semi-arid Regions of Iran. Paper presented at ICID 21st European Regional Conference, Frankfurt (Oder), Germany and Slubice, Poland.

13 S. A. Kowsar (Citation2008) Desertification Control Through Floodwater Harvesting: The Current State of Know-How, in: C. Lee & T. Schaaf (eds) The Future of Drylands, pp. 229–241 (Netherlands: Springer).

14 M. Ahmadvand, E. Karami, G. H. Zamani & F. Vanclay (Citation2009) Evaluating the Use of Social Impact Assessment in the Context of Agricultural Development Projects in Iran, Environmental Impact Assessment Review, 29, pp. 399–407.

15 H. Hashemi, R. Berndtsson & M. Kompani-Zare (Citation2012) Steady-State Unconfined Aquifer Simulation of the Gareh-Bygone Plain, Iran, The Open Hydrology Journal, 6, pp. 58–67.

16 M. Ahmadvand & E. Karimi (Citation2009) A Social Impact Assessment of the Floodwater Spreading Project on the Gareh-Bygone Plain in Iran: A Causal Comparative Approach, Environmental Impact Assessment Review, 29, pp. 126–136.

17 F. Barth (Citation1961) Nomads of South Persian: The Basseri Tribe of the Khamseh Confederacy, pp. 86–89 (Oslo: Oslo University Press).

18 M. Ahmadvand, E. Karimi & M. T. Iman (Citation2011) Modeling the Determinants of the Social Impacts of Agricultural Development Projects, Environmental Impact Assessment Review, 31, pp. 8–16.

19 S. A. Kowsar (Citation2005) Abkhandari [Aquifer Management]: A Green Path to the Sustainable Development of Marginal Drylands, Journal of Mountain Science, 2, pp. 233–243.

20 Ahmadvand, Karimi & Iman (Citation2011) Determinants of the Social Impacts.

21 H. Hashemi, R. Berndtsson, M. Kompani-Zare & M. Persson (Citation2013) Natural vs. Artificial Groundwater Recharge, Quantification through Inverse Modeling, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17, pp. 637–650.

22 Pandey, Gupta & Anderson (Citation2003) Rainwater harvesting as an adaptation to climate change; S. Nasri, J. Albergel, C. Cudennec, & R. Berndtsson (Citation2004) Hydrological Processes in Macro-catchment Water Harvesting in the Arid Region of Tunisia: The Traditional System of Tabias, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 49, pp. 261–272; J. Barghouth & R. M. Al-Sa'ed (Citation2009) Sustainability of Ancient Water Supply Facilities in Jerusalem, Sustainability, 1, pp. 1106–1119.

23 J. J. McCarthy (Citation2001) Climate change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability: Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press).

24 T. Carter, M. Hulme & M. Lal (Citation2007) General Guidelines on the use of Scenario Data for Climate Impact and Adaptation Assessment. Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impact and Climate Assessment (IPCC), p. 71 (Helsinki: Finnish Environment Institute).

25 Abbaspour, Faramarzi, Ghasemi & Yang (Citation2009) Assessing the Impact of Climate Change.

26 Nakicenovic et al. (Citation2000) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios.

27 Ibid, p. 5.

28 Ibid, p. 5.

29 F. Sperna Weiland et al. (Citation2013) Assessment of Future Changes in Meuse Discharge Extremes. EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, vol. 15, p. 12415.

30 M. S. Bedinger (Citation1987) Summary of Infiltration Rates in Arid and Semiarid Regions of the World, With an Annotated Bibliography (Denver, CO: U.S. Geological Survey); H. Bouwer (Citation2000) Integrated Water Management: Emerging Issues and Challenges, Agricultural Water Management, 45, pp. 217–228.

31 See further Hashemi, Berndtsson, Kompani-Zare & Persson (Citation2013) Natural vs. Artificial Groundwater Recharge.

32 H. Hashemi, R. Berndtsson & M. Persson (Citation2015) Artificial Recharge by Floodwater Spreading estimated by Water Balances and Groundwater Modelling in Arid Iran, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60(2), pp. 336–350.

33 Hashemi, Berndtsson, Kompani-Zare & Persson (Citation2013) Natural vs. Artificial Groundwater Recharge.

34 S. H. Mesbah & S. A. Kowsar (Citation2010) Spate Irrigation of Rangelands: A Drought Mitigating Mechanism, pp. 2–49 (Hauppauge, NY: Nova Science Publishers).

35 S. A. Kowsar (Citation2011) Floodwater Spreading and Spate Irrigation in Iran, Overview paper. Available at: http://www.spate-irrigation.org/. Spate Irrigation Network.

36 GH. R. Ghahari, H. Hashemi & R. Berndtsson (Citation2014) Spate Irrigation of Barley through Floodwater Harvesting in the Gareh-Bygone Plain, Iran, Irrigation and Drainage, 63(5), pp. 599–611.

37 Ahmadvand & Karimi (Citation2009) A Social Impact Assessment of the Floodwater Spreading Project.

38 Ahmadvand, Karimi & Iman (Citation2011) Modeling the Determinants of the Social Impacts.

39 S. A. Kowsar (Citation2008) Desertification Control Through Floodwater Harvesting: The Current State of Know-how, in: C. Lee & T. Schaaf (eds) The Future of Drylands, pp. 229–241 (Unasylva, Netherlands: Springer).

40 A. Bakhtiar, B. Najafi, S. A. Kowsar & S. H. Habibian (Citation1997) Profitability and Flexibility of Floodwater Spreading Systems in Iran, in: B. Aminipouri & J. Ghoddousi (eds) Rainwater Catchment Systems, pp. 161–168 (Tehran: N.p.).

41 Nakicenovic et al. (Citation2000) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios.

42 H. Hötzl (Citation2008) Water Resources Management in the Middle East under Aspects of Climatic Changes, in: F. Zereini & H. Hötzl (eds) Climatic Changes and Water Resources in the Middle East and North Africa, pp. 77–92 (Berlin: Springer Verlag).

43 Sowers, Vengosh & Weinthal (Citation2011) Climate Change, Water Resources, and the Politics of Adaptation.

44 A. W. Harbaugh, E. R. Banta, M. C. Hill & M. G. McDonald (Citation2000) MODFLOW-2000: The U.S. Geological Survey Modular Ground-Water Model-User Guide to Modularization Concepts and the Ground-Water Flow Process. Open-file Report: 00-92 (Reston, VA: U.S. Geological Survey).

45 See further Hashemi, Berndtsson, Kompani-Zare & Persson (Citation2013) Natural vs. Artificial Groundwater Recharge.

46 W. N. Adger (Citation2010) Social Capital, Collective Action, and Adaptation to Climate Change, Der Klimawandel, pp. 327–345.

47 H. Bouwer (Citation1996) Issues in Artificial Recharge, Water Science and Technology, 33, pp. 381–390; and A. Tahmasebi (Citation2009) Indigenous Knowledge for Water Management in Iran's Dry Land: Siraf, International Journal of Environmental Studies, 66, pp. 317–325.

48 H. Bouwer (Citation2000) Integrated Water Management: Emerging Issues and Challenges, Agricultural Water Management, 45, pp. 217–228.

49 Pandey, Gupta & Anderson (Citation2003) Rainwater Harvesting as an Adaptation to Climate Change.

Log in via your institution

Log in to Taylor & Francis Online

PDF download + Online access

  • 48 hours access to article PDF & online version
  • Article PDF can be downloaded
  • Article PDF can be printed
USD 53.00 Add to cart

Issue Purchase

  • 30 days online access to complete issue
  • Article PDFs can be downloaded
  • Article PDFs can be printed
USD 287.00 Add to cart

* Local tax will be added as applicable

Related Research

People also read lists articles that other readers of this article have read.

Recommended articles lists articles that we recommend and is powered by our AI driven recommendation engine.

Cited by lists all citing articles based on Crossref citations.
Articles with the Crossref icon will open in a new tab.