Mathematical tools for making sense of a global pandemic

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 pandemic revealed that many countries have failed to provide the general population with the cognitive tools to thoroughly understand and cope with a global health crisis. While scientists and leaders worldwide have struggled to discover ways to contain the spread of the virus, this difficult task has become overwhelming due to the limited ability of many citizens to grasp the urgency of the situation. Although in today’s digitized world we have endless access to data and more ways to represent information and statistics than ever before, numerous incidents have demonstrated that the frequent misapprehension of data can cause confusion rather than clarity. This opinion paper examines how issues such as the misunderstanding of large quantities, fractions, probabilities, and mathematical modeling may be affecting the way people view the current pandemic. Finally, we also discuss how numeracy can act as a protective factor against motivated reasoning, which often affects how we consume information related to the pandemic.

KEYWORDS:

• Numeracy
• cognitive tools
• large quantities
• fractions
• probabilities
• mathematical modeling
• motivated reasoning
• COVID-19

Acknowledgement

FMR would like to thank ANID for its support through the FONDECYT INICIACION Grant 11190742.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).