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Research Article

Efficacy and safety of immune checkpoint inhibitors in patients with advanced non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC): a systematic literature review

, , , , & ORCID Icon
Article: 1774314 | Received 06 Jan 2020, Accepted 20 May 2020, Published online: 16 Jun 2020

ABSTRACT

Background

Therapeutic strategies with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) counteract the immunosuppressive effects of programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) and ligand-1 (PD-L1). ICI treatment has emerged in first- and second-line therapy of non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). As immunotherapeutic treatment with ICIs is a dynamic field where new drugs and combinations are constantly evaluated, we conducted an up-to-date systematic review on comparative efficacy and safety in patients with advanced NSCLC.

Methods

We searched PubMed up to February 2020 and Embase, CENTRAL, and clinical trial registries up to August 2018. Additionally, we checked reference lists. We dually screened titles, abstracts and, subsequently, full-texts for eligibility. Two reviewers assessed the risk of bias and graded the certainty of evidence following GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation). For second-line therapy, we performed random-effects meta-analyses. Due to considerable clinical heterogeneity, we reported first-line results narratively.

Results

Of 1497 references, we identified 22 relevant publications of 16 studies. For first-line therapy, a combination of an ICI with chemotherapy improved progression-free survival and overall survival compared to chemotherapy but increased the risk of serious adverse events. Single-agent pembrolizumab increased overall and progression-free survival in patients with PD-L1 expression of ≥50% and resulted in less TRAE than chemotherapy. Compared to placebo, maintenance therapy with durvalumab increased overall and progression-free survival at the downside of higher risk of TRAE. For second-line therapy, a random-effects meta-analysis yielded a statistically significantly improved overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) for ICIs compared to docetaxel (HR 0.69; 95% CI: 0.63–0.75 for OS; HR 0.85; 95% CI: 0.77 − 0.93 for PFS; 6 studies, 3478 patients; median OS benefit in months: 2.4 to 4.2). In meta-analysis, risk of any treatment-related adverse events of any grade was lower for ICI than docetaxel as second-line therapy (RR 0.76, 95% CI: 0.73–0.79; 6 studies, 3763 patients).

Conclusion

In first-line therapy of patients with advanced NSCLC, ICI is effective when combined with chemotherapy not depending on PD-L1 expression, or as monotherapy in high PD-L1 expressing tumors. For second-line therapy, single-agent ICI improves efficacy and safety compared to docetaxel.

Introduction

Lung cancer is the most frequent type of cancer worldwide, with almost 2.1 million estimated new cases in 2018, according to the World Health Organization (WHO).Citation1 In 2018, more than 1.7 million people died of lung cancer, comprising 18.4% of all cancer-related deaths.Citation1 The two main histological types of lung cancer are small cell lung cancer (SCLC), which accounts for approximately 15% of all lung cancers, and non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), the remaining 85%. NSCLC can further be subdivided into squamous cell carcinoma, adenocarcinoma, and large cell carcinoma.Citation2,Citation3

Since most patients with lung cancer are not diagnosed until an advanced stage, the prognosis is usually poor. The 5-year survival rate depends on the stage of the tumor, the time of diagnosis, and the histological subtype.Citation4 Conventional chemotherapy protocols for NSCLC comprise 4 to 6 cycles of platinum-based doublet chemotherapy in first-line treatment and 6 cycles of docetaxel as a second-line regimen.Citation5 Both regimens employ unspecific cytotoxic agents, which display numerous side effects.

Thus, for decades, cancer research has aimed to find driver mutations of malignant cells, which could be targeted for more selective and effective therapy.Citation6Citation10 Currently, upon NSCLC diagnosis, mutational testing for epidermal growth factor receptor-1 (EGFR), anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK), proto-oncogene tyrosine-protein kinase (ROS-1), and serine/threonine-protein kinase B-Raf (BRAF) should be performed in order to start first-line therapy with a targeted agent instead of chemotherapy.Citation5

Another breakthrough in recent years has been immunotherapeutic treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors, which were developed to counteract the immunosuppressive effects of the programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1)/programmed cell death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) pathway and to activate the immune system for defense against malignant cells.Citation11

Immune checkpoint inhibitors are monoclonal antibodies, targeting either the programmed cell death receptor PD-1 or its ligand PD-L1. The substances that are already approved for clinical use in NSCLC are: atezolizumab,Citation12 durvalumab,Citation13 nivolumab,Citation14 and pembrolizumabCitation15 (see Supplementary Table S1). Recent systematic reviews demonstrated the beneficial effects of immune checkpoint inhibitors on overall survival and progression-free survival for first-Citation16,Citation17 and second-line treatmentsCitation18,Citation19 compared to chemotherapy in NSCLC patients. International clinical practice guidelines now recommend the use of immune checkpoint inhibitors for first- and second-line therapy of patients with stage IV NSCLC without driver alterations.Citation5,Citation20,Citation21

Immunotherapeutic treatments with checkpoint inhibition, however, is a dynamic field, with new drugs constantly being evaluated in clinical trials. Recent studies have focused on novel compounds such as the abovementioned antibody durvalumab,Citation22 different combination treatmentsCitation23,Citation24 and assessment of long-term data.Citation23,Citation25Citation27 Therefore, including these novel aspects we conducted an up-to-date systematic review regarding the comparative efficacy and safety of approved immune checkpoint inhibitors compared with other treatment interventions in patients with advanced NSCLC (stage III or IV).

Methods

We registered our systematic review in the international prospective register of systematic reviews (PROSPERO) under CRD42018104751.Citation28 For this publication, we adhered to the guidance of the Preferred Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA).Citation29

Literature searches and information sources

An experienced information specialist (IK) designed and conducted the database searches. The most recent update search was conducted in February 2020 in PubMed. We initially searched PubMed, Embase.com (Elsevier), CENTRAL (Cochrane Library/Wiley) as well as in clinical trial registries (ClinicalTrials.gov and the World Health Organization’s (WHO) International Clinical Trials Registry Platform) in August 2018. The update search was limited to PubMed, because all of the initially included studies had been retrieved by this search. In addition, we checked the reference lists of relevant review articles and all the included studies to detect relevant articles potentially missed by searches in electronic databases. For bibliographic database searches we used both free-text and controlled vocabulary (e.g., Medical Subject Headings). We restricted our search to randomized controlled trials (RCTs) as well as to the English and German languages. We provide the detailed search strategy in the Supplemental material.

Eligibility criteria and study selection

To identify studies that meet our eligibility criteria presented in , two investigators independently screened titles and abstracts. The included abstracts underwent a subsequent dual full-text screening. For both the abstract and full-text screening, we used pilot-tested review forms. We screened the literature with the web-based systematic review software Covidence.Citation30 Investigators resolved discrepancies of inclusion or exclusion decisions by consensus or by the involvement of a third, senior reviewer.

Table 1. Eligibility criteria.

Data collection

For the studies that met our inclusion criteria, we extracted relevant information into pilot-tested data abstraction tables. Items included study and patient characteristics and the description of the intervention and control as well as results for the outcomes of interest for each individual study. A second person checked the extracted data for accuracy and completeness.

Assessment of risk of bias and certainty of evidence

Two persons independently assessed the included RCTs’ risk of bias with the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool.Citation31 The risk of bias for each domain was rated as low, high, or unclear. All ratings on risk of bias decisions were documented in tables, and disagreements were solved by consensus. We applied the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) approach to assess the certainty of evidence for each outcome considered relevant for decision-making.Citation32,Citation33

Data synthesis and analysis

If the data were sufficient, we conducted meta-analyses of efficacy and safety outcomes of interest. Otherwise, we described the results narratively. For efficacy, we performed meta-analyses by pooling hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using the random-effects inverse-variance model with the DerSimonian–Laird estimate of tau2.Citation34 We preferred HRs, since they summarize the treatment effect for the entire study duration rather than the median survival solely reflecting one time point on the Kaplan–Meier curve. To achieve comparability, we converted CIs to 95%, if authors reported 97% or 99% CIs. For safety, we conducted random-effects meta-analyses by pooling risk ratios with 95% CIs, calculated from the number of events and the number of patients at risk. We evaluated the studies’ statistical heterogeneity by visually inspecting the forest plots and calculating the I2 statistics.Citation35 For the meta-analyses, we used Stata 14.2 (Stata Corp, College Station, TX, USA).

Results

Study selection

We screened 1497 titles and abstracts of 210 were retrieved as full-texts. Ultimately, 16 RCTs (published in 22 articles) met our inclusion criteria.Citation22Citation27,Citation36-Citation51 The PRISMA flowchart (see ) illustrates the study selection process in detail.

Figure 1. PRISMA flow diagram modified from Moher et al.Citation29

Figure 1. PRISMA flow diagram modified from Moher et al.Citation29

Risk of bias and certainty of evidence

We rated all the domains for each study as a low risk of bias. However, for open-label trials, we rated blinding as a high risk of bias except for overall survival and progression-free survival if assessed by a blinded central review. We present detailed risk of bias assessments and certainty of evidence ratings for each outcome in Supplementary Tables S2 and S3.

Study characteristics

Seven open-labelCitation24,Citation39,Citation44,Citation45,Citation47,Citation49,Citation50 and three double-blind RCTsCitation22,Citation42,Citation46 evaluated the PD-1/PD-L1 immune checkpoint-inhibitors in patients treated with first-line therapy. The median follow-up of the patients in the included studies ranged from 7.8 to 33.3 months. Six studies compared PD-1/PD-L1 immune checkpoint inhibitors with docetaxel as a second-line therapy in patients with advanced NSCLC and previous treatment.Citation37,Citation38,Citation40,Citation43,Citation48,Citation51 The median follow-up of patients in the included studies ranged from 8.8 to 21 months. All studies were conducted as international multicenter RCTs and were funded or supported by pharmaceutical companies.Citation22,Citation24,Citation37Citation40,Citation42-Citation51 summarizes the characteristics of the included studies for first- and second-line immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy.

Table 2. Characteristics of included studies.

Study participants

The number of randomized patients in the first-line therapy studiesCitation22,Citation24,Citation39,Citation42,Citation44Citation47,Citation49,Citation50 ranged from 123 to 1739. The study patients’ median age ranged from 62.5 to 66.0 years. The majority were men, except in one study.Citation44 In the studies assessing second-line therapies,Citation37,Citation38,Citation40,Citation43,Citation48,Citation51 the total number of randomized patients ranged from 272 to 1225. The median age ranged from 60 to 64 years. In all the studies, the majority of participants were men. Supplementary Table S4 provides a detailed summary of the participants’ baseline characteristics and the outcomes that were assessed in each included study.

Overall survival and progression-free survival

First-line therapy

We included 10 RCTs that compared immune checkpoint inhibitors alone or in combination with other treatments to various control regimens.Citation22,Citation24,Citation39,Citation42,Citation44Citation47,Citation49,Citation50 Three trials compared nivolumabCitation39 or pembrolizumabCitation45,Citation47 to chemotherapy; 6 trials assessed combination treatments of atezolizumab,Citation49,Citation50 nivolumabCitation23 or pembrolizumabCitation42,Citation44,Citation46 plus chemotherapy relative to chemotherapy alone; one RCT compared a combination of nivolumab plus ipilimumabCitation23 to chemotherapy; and one trial assessed the efficacy of durvalumabCitation22 compared to placebo in patients with 1 to 42 days after chemoradiotherapy (see ).

) presents the hazard ratios for overall survival from each trial. Seven studies found a statistically significantly improved overall survival for treatment with immune checkpoint inhibition.Citation23,Citation42,Citation45Citation47,Citation49,Citation50 ) shows the treatment effects regarding progression-free survival. Except for two studies comparing nivolumabCitation39 or pembrolizumabCitation45 with platinum-based chemotherapy, all the trials showed a statistically significant improvement of progression-free survival in patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors.Citation22,Citation23,Citation42,Citation44,Citation46,Citation47,Citation49,Citation50 The absolute time difference in the median overall and progression-free survival is depicted in Supplementary Table S5. In the following sections, we summarize comparisons of immune checkpoint inhibitors with different control regimens in more detail.

Figure 2. Forest plots for (a) overall survival and (b) progression-free survival in studies assessing immune checkpoint inhibitors as first-line therapy.

Hellmann 2019 CheckMate 227, Nivolumab + CHT vs. CHT: We converted 97.72% CI (0.60–1.02) for overall survival and 97.72% CI (0.56–0.95) for progression free survival to 95% CI. Hellmann 2019 CheckMate 227, Nivolumab + Ipilimumab vs. CHT: We converted 97.72% CI (0.65–0.96) for overall survival to 95% CI. Abbreviations: CHT = chemotherapy; CI = confidence interval; ICI = immune checkpoint inhibitor; N = number of patients; PD-L1 = programmed cell death ligand-1.
Figure 2. Forest plots for (a) overall survival and (b) progression-free survival in studies assessing immune checkpoint inhibitors as first-line therapy.

Nivolumab or pembrolizumab versus chemotherapy

The multicenter, open-label, phase 3 CheckMate 026 trialCitation39 enrolled 541 patients with recurrent or stage IV NSCLC without prior treatment and a PD-L1 tumor-expression level of ≥1%. Investigators randomized patients to either nivolumab or platinum-based chemotherapy. In patients with a PD-L1 expression level of ≥5% (primary efficacy analysis population, N = 423), overall survival was similar between single-agent nivolumab (n = 211) treatment and platinum-doublet chemotherapy (n = 212) (median 14.4 versus 13.2 months; HR 1.02; 95% CI: 0.80–1.30; see )). This study also reported no statistically significant difference for progression-free survival in patients with a PD-L1 expression level ≥5% (median 4.2 versus 5.9 months; HR 1.15; 95% CI: 0.91–1.45; see )).Citation39 Analyses of all randomized patients revealed similar results regarding progression-free survival and overall survival (see Supplementary Table S4).

Two multicenter, open-label, phase 3 RCTs compared pembrolizumab with chemotherapy in patients with previously untreated locally advanced or metastatic NSCLC.Citation45,Citation47 In the KEYNOTE-024 trial,Citation27,Citation47 305 patients with a PD-L1 expression level of ≥50% received either pembrolizumab or chemotherapy. At a median follow-up of 11.2 months, overall survival (median survival not reached in both groups; HR 0.60; 95% CI: 0.41–0.89; see )) and progression-free survival (median 10.3 versus 6.0 months; HR 0.50; 95% CI: 0.37–0.68; see )), were statistically significantly longer in the pembrolizumab group than in the chemotherapy group.Citation47 In a later publication with a longer follow-up (median 25.2 months), median overall survival was 30.0 versus 14.2 months (HR 0.63; 95% CI: 0.47–0.86; see Supplementary Figure S1A).Citation27

The second trial, KEYNOTE-42,Citation45 randomized 1274 patients with PD-L1 expression of ≥1% to either pembrolizumab or platinum-based chemotherapy. The median follow-up of this study was 12.8 months. Overall survival was statistically significantly longer with pembrolizumab than with chemotherapy in patients with PD-L1 expression of ≥50% (median 20.0 versus 12.2 months; HR 0.69; 95% CI: 0.56–0.85), ≥20% (median 17.7 versus 13.0 months; HR 0.77; 95% CI: 0.64–0.92) and ≥1% (median 16.7 versus 12.1 months 0.81; 95% CI: 0.71–0.93; see )). Progression-free survival, however, was only statistically significantly longer with pembrolizumab than with chemotherapy in patients with a PD-L1 expression of ≥50% (median 7.1 versus 6.4 months; HR 0.81; 95% CI: 0.67–0.99). In study participants with PD-L1 of ≥20% (median 6.2 versus 6.6 months; HR 0.94; 95% CI: 0.80–1.11) and ≥1% (median 5.4 versus 6.5 months; HR 1.07; 95% CI: 0.94–1.21; see )) this effect could not be observed.Citation45

Atezolizumab, pembrolizumab or nivolumab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy

Six multicenter RCTs evaluated the comparative efficacy and safety of a combination of atezolizumab, pembrolizumab or nivolumab plus chemotherapy and platinum-based chemotherapy alone.Citation23,Citation42,Citation44,Citation46,Citation49,Citation50

In the 3-armed, open-label, phase 3 IMpower150 trial,Citation49 1202 patients with metastatic nonsquamous NSCLC were randomized to receive either atezolizumab plus bevacizumab plus carboplatin plus paclitaxel (ABCP), or atezolizumab plus carboplatin plus paclitaxel (ACP), or bevacizumab plus carboplatin plus paclitaxel (BCP). The efficacy was only reported for the ABCP and BCP groups. The median overall survival was statistically significantly longer in the ABCP group than in the BCP group (19.2 versus 14.7 months; HR 0.78; 95% CI: 0.64–0.96; )). Likewise, the progression-free survival (8.3 versus 6.8 months; HR 0.62; 95% CI: 0.52–0.74; see )) was also statistically significantly longer for the ABCP group.Citation49

The open-label, phase 3 IMpower130 trialCitation50 randomized 724 participants with stage IV nonsquamous NSCLC to atezolizumab plus chemotherapy (carboplatin plus nab-paclitaxel) or chemotherapy alone. In patients with no EGFR and ALK mutations (N = 679) combination of atezolizumab and chemotherapy resulted in statistical significant improvement of overall survival (median 18.6 versus 13.9 months; HR 0.79; 95% CI: 0.64–0.98) progression-free survival (median 7.0 versus 5.5 months; HR 0.64; 95% CI: 0.54–0.77) as compared with chemotherapy alone.Citation50

In the multicenter, open-label, phase 2 KEYNOTE-021 trial,Citation25,Citation44 123 patients were randomized to either pembrolizumab plus platinum-based chemotherapy or to platinum-based chemotherapy alone. After a median follow-up of 10.6 months, primary analysis of overall survival yielded no statistically significant difference between the two groups (median survival not reached in both groups; HR 0.90; 95% CI: 0.42–1.91; see )).Citation44 The progression-free survival was statistically significantly prolonged for patients treated with pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy (median 13.0 versus 8.9 months; HR 0.53; 95% CI: 0.31–0.91; see )).Citation44 Improvement in progression-free survival maintained in an updated analysis with a median follow-up of 23.9 months (median 24.0 versus 9.3 months; HR 0.53; 95% CI; 0.33–0.86; see Supplementary Figure S1B).Citation25 Regarding overall survival, this analysis showed a benefit for the pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy group compared with chemotherapy alone (HR 0.56; 95% CI: 0.32–0.95; see Supplementary Figure S1A).Citation25

The open-label, phase 3 CheckMate 227Citation23 randomized patients with PD-L1 expression level of <1% (N = 550) to either nivolumab plus ipilimumab, nivolumab plus chemotherapy, or chemotherapy alone. Overall survival was longer with nivolumab plus chemotherapy than with chemotherapy alone, but the difference did not reach statistical significance (median 15.2 versus 12.2 months; HR 0.78; 97.72% CI: 0.60–1.02, see )). Compared to chemotherapy alone, progression-free survival was statistically significant longer if chemotherapy was combined with nivolumab (median 5.6 versus 4.7 months; HR 0.73; 97.72% CI, 0.56–0.95; see )).Citation23

The phase 3, double-blinded RCT KEYNOTE-407Citation46 enrolled 559 participants with untreated metastatic squamous NSCLC. This study randomized participants to pembrolizumab or saline placebo both in combination with chemotherapy (carboplatin and either paclitaxel or nanoparticle albumin-bound [nab]-paclitaxel). The median follow-up was 7.8 months. Overall survival (median 15.9 versus 11.3 months; HR 0.64; 95% CI: 0.49–0.85; see )) and progression-free survival (median 6.4 versus 4.8 months; HR 0.56; 95% CI: 0.45–0.70; see )) were statistically significantly longer in patients treated with pembrolizumab in addition to chemotherapy than placebo and chemotherapy.Citation46

Similar results could be observed in the double-blind, phase 3 KEYNOTE-189 trial,Citation42 where patients with metastatic nonsquamous NSCLC without sensitizing EGFR or ALK mutations were randomized to either pembrolizumab plus platinum-based chemotherapy or to placebo plus platinum-based chemotherapy. Overall survival (median survival not reached versus 11.3 months; HR 0.49; 95% CI: 0.38–0.64; see )) and median progression-free survival were statistically significantly longer in the pembrolizumab group (8.8 versus 4.9 months; HR 0.52; 95% CI: 0.43–0.64; see )).Citation42

Nivolumab plus ipilimumab versus chemotherapy

The open-label, phase 3 CheckMate 227Citation23 trial enrolled patients with stage IV or recurrent NSCLC without previous chemotherapy. Patients with PD-L1 expression level of ≥1% were randomized to nivolumab plus ipilimumab, nivolumab monotherapy, or chemotherapy. Patients with PD-L1 expression level <1% were randomized to nivolumab plus ipilimumab, nivolumab plus chemotherapy, or chemotherapy alone. As compared with chemotherapy, in patients with PD-L1 expression level of ≥1% (N = 793) overall survival (median 17.1 versus 14.9 months; HR 0.79; 97.72% CI: 0.65–0.96; see )) and progression-free survival (HR 0.82; 95% CI: 0.69–0.97; see )) was significantly immmproved with nivolumab plus ipilimumab.Citation23 Results for patients with PD-L1 expression level of <1% and all randomized patients are shown in Supplementary Table S4. Progression-free survival was longer with nivolumab plus ipilimumab as compared with chemotherapy in all randomized patients with a high tumor mutational burden (TMB, defined as ≥10 mutations per megabase; N = 299, median 7.2 versus 5.5 months; HR 0.58; 97.5% CI: 0.41–0.81), irrespective of PD-L1 expression.Citation24

Durvalumab versus placebo

The multicenter, double-blind, phase 3 PACIFIC studyCitation22,Citation26,Citation36 randomized 713 patients with stage III locally advanced, unresectable NSCLC without disease progression after previous chemoradiotherapy to either durvalumab or placebo as consolidation therapy. For progression-free survival after a median follow-up of 14.5 months, a statistically significant improvement could be seen in patients treated with durvalumab (median 16.8 versus 5.6 months; HR 0.52; 95% CI: 0.42–0.65; see )).Citation22 Updated analysis after a median follow-up of 25.2 months, showed similar findings for progression free survival (median 17.2 versus 5.6 months; HR 0.51; 95% CI: 0.41–0.63; see Supplementary Figure S1B).Citation36 Overall survival was statistically significantly prolonged for durvalumab-treated patients as well (HR 0.68; 99.73% CI: 0.47–0.997).Citation36 In addition, a post-hoc, exploratory analysis found consistent benefit after median follow-up of 33.3 months (HR 0.69; 95% CI: 0.55–0.86; see Supplementary Figure S1A).Citation26

Second-line therapy

For second-line therapy, a random-effects meta-analysis of 6 RCTsCitation37,Citation38,Citation40,Citation43,Citation48,Citation51 (one with two dosing armsCitation43) including 3478 patients yielded a statistically significantly improved overall survival for participants treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors as compared to patients treated with single-agent chemotherapy (HR 0.69; 95% CI: 0.63–0.75; I2 = 0.0%, see )). In a meta-analysis based on the results from the same 6 trials and 3478 patients, progression-free survival was statistically significantly improved for patients treated with atezolizumab, nivolumab, or pembrolizumab as compared to patients treated with a taxane-based chemotherapy (HR 0.85; 95% CI: 0.77–0.93; I2 = 41.3%, see )).

Figure 3. Forest plots for (a) overall survival and (b) progression-free survival in studies assessing immune checkpoint inhibitors as second-line therapy.

Wu 2019 CheckMate 078: We converted 97.7% CI (0.52–0.90) for overall survival to 95% CI. Herbst 2016 KEYNOTE-010:intention-to-treat N = 1033 including all three study arms (pembrolizumab 2 mg, N = 344, pembrolizumab 10 mg, N = 346, docetaxel 75 mg, N = 343). Percentage of randomized patients with quantifiable tumor PD-L1 expression: Borghaei 2015 CheckMate 057: 78%; Brahmer 2015 CheckMate 017: 83%; Wu 2019 CheckMate 078: 9%. Abbreviations: CI = confidence interval; D + L = DerSimonian and Laird method; ICI = immune checkpoint inhibitor; kg = kilogram; mg = milligram; N = number of patients; PD-L1 = programmed cell death ligand-1.
Figure 3. Forest plots for (a) overall survival and (b) progression-free survival in studies assessing immune checkpoint inhibitors as second-line therapy.

Again, the differences in median overall and progression-free survival in months are depicted in Supplemental Table S6. Concerning median progression-free survival, treatment with a single-agent immune checkpoint blockade compared to docetaxel resulted in net differences of −1.9 to +0.7 months. With regard to overall survival, the differences in median overall survival ranged from 2.4 to 4.2 months longer than in patients treated with chemotherapy.

Safety

First-line therapy

The proportion of patients with adverse events in each study is depicted in ) and Supplementary Table S4. Eight RCTs provided data on treatment-related adverse events (TRAE).Citation22,Citation23,Citation39,Citation44,Citation45,Citation47,Citation49,Citation50 In four studies that compared either nivolumab or pembrolizumabCitation39,Citation45,Citation47 or nivolumab plus ipilimumabCitation23 to chemotherapy, the proportion of patients with TRAE was higher in the chemotherapy control group than in the immune checkpoint inhibitor treatment groups (see )). One study comparing durvalumab with placeboCitation22 showed a statistically significantly higher incidence of TRAE in patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (see )). However, immune checkpoint inhibition was used as consolidation therapy 1 to 42 days after chemoradiotherapy and compared with placebo.Citation22 In four studies that compared immune checkpoint inhibitors in combination with chemotherapy to chemotherapy alone, the proportion of patients with TRAE were either similar between the groupsCitation44,Citation49,Citation50 or lower in patients receiving only chemotherapy.Citation23 Regarding serious adverse events, the IMpower150 study published by Socinski et al.Citation49 found a statistically significant higher incidence in patients treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab, carboplatin and paclitaxel (ABCP) compared with patients receiving bevacizumab, carboplatin and paclitaxel (BCP; 42.0% versus 34.0%, risk ratio [RR] 1.23; 95% CI: 1.03–1.48, see )). Likewise, the IMpower130 studyCitation50 found significant more serious adverse events in patients receiving atezolizumab in combination with chemotherapy (carboplatin and nab-paclitaxel) than those receiving chemotherapy alone (50.7% versus 37.9%, RR 1.34; 95% CI: 1.11–1.61, see )) In the PACIFIC trial by Antonia et al.Citation22 serious adverse events were also more frequent in patients treated with durvalumab than in those treated with placebo, but the difference did not reach statistical significance (28.6% versus 22.6%, RR 1.26; 95% CI: 0.96–1.67).

Figure 4. Forest plots for adverse events in studies assessing immune checkpoint inhibitors as (a) first-line and (b) second-line therapy.

Herbst 2016 KEYNOTE-010: docetaxel arm (N = 343) was split upAbbreviations: CHT = chemotherapy; CI = confidence interval; ICI = immune checkpoint inhibitor; N = number of patients; TRAE = treatment-related adverse events.
Figure 4. Forest plots for adverse events in studies assessing immune checkpoint inhibitors as (a) first-line and (b) second-line therapy.

Figure 4. (Continued).

Figure 4. (Continued).

Compared to chemotherapy, the risk of treatment-related serious adverse events was higher in patients treated with a combination of two immune checkpoint inhibitorsCitation23 or the combination of an immune checkpoint inhibitor on top of chemotherapyCitation23,Citation44 (see )). For single-agent immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy compared to chemotherapy, similar risks of treatment-related serious adverse events were observedCitation39,Citation47 (see )). Supplementary Figure S2 shows extended follow-up data on adverse events of three studies that are consistent with prior findings.Citation25,Citation27,Citation36

Second-line therapy

Based on a random-effects meta-analysis, the risk of overall adverse events was similar between second-line treatment groups with an immune checkpoint inhibitor or docetaxel (3 RCTs, 2019 patients; RR 0.98; 95% CI: 0.97–1.00; I2 = 0.0%, see )). A random-effects meta-analysis of 6 RCTs (one with two dosing armsCitation43) including 3763 patients showed statistically significantly fewer TRAE for patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors than for those treated with chemotherapy (RR 0.76; 95% CI: 0.73–0.79; I2 = 0.0%, see )). Serious adverse events were similar in patients treated with atezolizumab compared to those receiving docetaxelCitation40,Citation48 and lower in patients treated with nivolumab compared to docetaxelCitation51 (see )). In two RCTs, the risk of treatment-related serious adverse events was lower in the nivolumab than in the docetaxel groupsCitation37,Citation38 (see )).

Discussion

Our systematic review shows for first-line therapy of patients with advanced NSCLC that a combination of an immune checkpoint inhibitor (atezolizumab, nivolumab or pembrolizumab) with platinum-based chemotherapy or nivolumab combined with ipilimumab improved progression-free survival and overall survival compared to chemotherapy. However, combination therapies increased the risk of serious adverse events. For single-agent nivolumab or pembrolizumab compared to chemotherapy alone, we observed different effects depending on the PD-L1 expression level. Pembrolizumab increased overall and progression-free survival in patients with PD-L1 expression of ≥50% and resulted in less TRAE than chemotherapy. Compared to placebo, maintenance therapy with durvalumab increased overall and progression-free survival at the downside of higher risk of TRAE. Meta-analyses of second-line therapy trials yield statistically significantly improved progression-free survival and overall survival for immune checkpoint inhibitor compared to docetaxel. Immune checkpoint inhibition resulted in lower risk of any and serious TRAE than docetaxel.

As mentioned above PD-L1 expression level is an important factor that decides the choice of therapy in patients with advanced NSCLC without driver mutations. Two first-line therapy trials compared single-agent immunotherapy with pembrolizumab to chemotherapy and resulted in a longer progression-free survival,Citation45,Citation47 while nivolumab single-agent treatment displayed no significant benefit for progression-free survival.Citation39 These two studies differ greatly concerning PD-L1 expression: in the nivolumab study,Citation39 PD-L1 positivity was defined as ≥5% of tumor cells, while Reck et al.Citation47 defined the PD-L1 threshold at ≥50%. The progression-free survival findings also translated to overall-survival, which was longer in the pembrolizumab study while, for nivolumab, no significant benefit could be displayed in this setting. The third single-agent immunotherapy trialCitation45 underlined the importance of PD-L1 status; only in the patients with tumor PD-L1 expression of ≥50%, statistically significant progression-free survival benefit could be seen. In patients with PD-L1 expression of ≥20% or ≥1% this effect could not be observed.Citation45 Consequently, pembrolizumab was initially approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) as a single agent in first and later therapy lines for patients whose tumors express PD-L1 ≥ 50%. This was later expanded in April 2019 to tumors expressing PD-L1 ≥ 1%. However, in tumors with PD-L1 ≥ 1%, pembrolizumab is applied in combination with chemotherapy.Citation5 Nivolumab, is not approved for first-line treatment of NSCLC patients, but for progression during or after platinum-based chemotherapy (i.e. second-line), regardless of PD-L1 expression. This is due to the fact, that in the second-line CheckMate 017 trial, both patient groups, positive and negative for PD-L1 expression, benefited with regard to overall survival from nivolumab treatment.Citation38 The results of our meta-analyses underline the rationale for this approval status.

Further patient stratification strategies seem to be important in identifying which patients will benefit from immune checkpoint inhibition in first-line therapy of NSCLC. An interesting biomarker was used in one part of the Checkmate-227 trial: tumor mutational burden (TMB).Citation23,Citation24 This is based on the hypothesis that tumors with high TMB have a higher likelihood to display neo-antigens on their surface, which can be subsequently recognized and targeted by T-cells.Citation52 In CheckMate 227, patients were treated with a combinatorial immune checkpoint blockade with nivolumab and ipilimumab.Citation23,Citation24 In the TMB-high patient cohort, a double immune checkpoint blockade resulted in significantly longer progression-free survival than chemotherapy.Citation24 This trial, which had also other study arms, was later analyzed based on the original stratification of PD-L1 negativity (<1%) or positivity (≥1%). Here, an overall survival benefit of double immune checkpoint blockade could be observed in both groups.Citation23 It was later also demonstrated, that the relative benefit of double immune checkpoint blockade compared to chemotherapy was also seen in patients with low TMB.Citation23 Thus, TMB has not yet emerged as a biomarker for treatment stratification in NSCLC, in contrast to PD-L1.

Previous systematic reviews have indicated that atezolizumab, nivolumab and pembrolizumab improve outcomes in the second-line treatment of patients with advanced NSCLC as compared to chemotherapy.Citation18,Citation19,Citation53,Citation54 These results are in line with the findings of our systematic review, which includes data of more recent trials.

With respect to other PD-L1 antibodies, also avelumab was investigated as treatment for NSCLC. Avelumab is currently applied for treatment of metastatic Merkel Cell Carcinoma,Citation55 Renal Cell CancerCitation56 and Urothelial Carcinoma.Citation57 With respect to NSCLC, in a large open-label, phase III clinical trial enrolling 792 patients, avelumab treatment did not improve overall survival in patients with platinum-treated PD-L1-positive tumors when compared to docetaxel.Citation58 Thus, avelumab failed approval status as a therapy for NSCLC.

Our systematic review has several limitations. First, we limited the eligible studies to those in English and German language. Second, we did not include trials investigating antibodies as single agents against other immune checkpoints (e.g., CTLA-4). Third, potential publication bias and selective outcome reporting are other potential limitations of this review. Moreover, the included studies were, especially for first-line therapy, very heterogeneous concerning the interventions and controls and used different cutoff values for PD-L1 expression.

Conclusion

In first-line therapy of patients with advanced NSCLC, ICI is effective when combined with chemotherapy not depending on PD-L1 expression, or as monotherapy in high PD-L1 expressing tumors. For second-line therapy, single-agent ICI improves efficacy and safety compared with docetaxel.

Abbreviations

ABCP=

atezolizumab plus bevacizumab plus carboplatin plus paclitaxel

ALK=

anaplastic lymphoma kinase

BCP=

bevacizumab plus carboplatin plus paclitaxel

CHT=

chemotherapy

CI=

confidence interval

CTLA-4=

cytotoxic T-lymphocyte–associated protein 4

ECOG=

Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group

EGFR=

epidermal growth factor receptor

FDA=

US Food and Drug Administration

Gy=

grays

ICIs=

immune checkpoint inhibitors

MET=

mesenchymal–epithelial transition factor

NCT=

National Clinical Trial

NSCLC=

non–small cell lung cancer

N=

number of patients

OS=

overall survival

PD-1=

programmed cell death protein-1

PD-L1=

programmed cell death ligand-1

PFS=

progression-free survival

RCT=

randomized controlled trial

ROS1=

proto-oncogene tyrosine-protein kinase

RR=

risk ratio

SCC=

squamous cell carcinoma

SCLC=

small cell lung cancer

SD=

standard deviation

TMB=

tumor mutational burden

TNM=

classification system for malignant tumors (tumor, nodus, metastasis)

TRAE=

treatment-related adverse events

WHO=

World Health Organization

Authors’ contributions

GW and JS conceptualized this work, conducted literature screening, data extraction, risk of bias assessment and wrote the manuscript. GW performed statistical analysis. HKS conducted literature screening, data extraction, risk of bias assessment, and critically revised the manuscript. IK developed the search strategy, conducted electronic literature searches, and critically revised the manuscript. MP and GG advised this project and critically revised the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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Additional information

Funding

There was no funding for this work. JS declares honorarium payments from Janssen and Roche as an invited speaker and from Amgen, Janssen, Merck, Roche and Pfizer for expert consulting on other topics than immune checkpoint inhibition and NSCLC. MP declares financial support from Roche for research projects other than immune checkpoint inhibition and NSCLC.

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