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Research Article

A nonparametric approach to the estimation of jump-diffusion models with asymmetric kernels

| (Reviewing Editor)
Article: 1179247 | Received 25 Oct 2015, Accepted 25 Mar 2016, Published online: 09 May 2016

Abstract

This paper presents the nonparametric estimation of first and second infinitesimal moments of the underlying jump-diffusion model with asymmetric kernel functions. In particular, we use asymmetric kernel estimators characterized by the gamma distribution. This approach allows to conciliate the idea of using the asymmetric kernel with jump-diffusion models. We show that the proposed estimators are consistent and asymptotically follow normal distribution under the conditions of recurrence and stationarity.

AMS subject classifications:

Public Interest Statement

Nonparametric methods have become increasingly popular research fields e.g. statistics, economics, and probability communities. The main advantage of the nonparametric methods is that they are helpful to estimate the coefficients of underlying model in a flexible way. This study concerned with the nonparametric estimation of infinitesimal moments of jump-diffusion models with asymmetric kernel functions. The author showed that the proposed estimators are consistent and asymptotically follow normal distribution under the conditions of recurrence as well as for stationarity.

1. Introduction

Over the past few decades, nonparametric methods have become increasingly popular research fields e.g. statistics, economics, and probability communities, and such a trend undoubtedly will continue in future. The main advantage of the nonparametric methods is that they are helpful to estimate the coefficients of underlying model in a flexible way. In this paper, we study the nonparametric estimation of infinitesimal moments of jump-diffusion models with asymmetric kernel functions. Our approach allows us to conciliate the idea of using the asymmetric kernel functions and jump-diffusion models. We show that the proposed estimators are consistent and asymptotically follow normal distribution under the conditions of recurrence as well as for stationarity.

In nonparametric estimation, the traditional kernel smoothing has been playing a wide role in estimating continuous-time diffusion processes since many years. Most of the kernels which are used in the literature are symmetric kernels and fixed. Several researchers have used nonparametric methods based on traditional kernel smoothing and studied the diffusion model and jump-diffusion models (cf. Arapis & Gao, Citation2006; Bandi & Phillips, Citation2003; Nicolau, Citation2003; Stanton, Citation1997). Furthermore, the bias of the standard kernel estimator is larger near the boundary than in the interior. Previously, many authors have proposed the methods to remove the boundary bias (see e.g. Fan & Gijbels, Citation1992; Rice, Citation1984; Zhang, Karunamuni, & Jones, Citation1999 and many others).

Asymmetric kernels are useful for the density estimation with a number of advantages such as they are free from boundary bias and are always nonnegative. They also achieve the optimal rate of convergence within the class of nonnegative kernel density estimators. Chen (Citation2000) studied that replacing fixed kernels with asymmetric kernels substantially had increased the precision of density estimation close to boundary. Hanif (Citation2015) studied the nonparametric estimation of drift coefficient and diffusion coefficient in the second-order diffusion equation by using the asymmetric kernel functions. He proved that the proposed estimators of second-order diffusion equation are consistent and asymptotically follow normal distribution. Other successful applications of asymmetric kernels include Bertin and Klutchnikoff (Citation2011), Bouezmarni and Scaillet (Citation2005), Gustafsonn, Hagmann, Nielsen, and Scaillet (Citation2009), Hagmann and Scaillet (Citation2007), Scaillet (Citation2004), and Shunpu (Citation2010); where such kernels are shown to lead desirable properties.

A continuous-time model governed by the stochastic differential equation has the following form:(1.1) dXt=μ(Xt)dt+σ(Xt)dWt,(1.1)

where {Wt,0tT} is a standard Brownian motion. The functions μ(x) and σ2(x) are drift and diffusion functions of the process. The diffusion model defined in Equation (1.1) is widely used to describe the properties of underlying economic variables. Gospodinovy and Hirukawa (Citation2012) studied the gamma kernel for diffusion model and obtained the asymptotic normality for the drift and the diffusion functions. While, we have studied the asymmetric kernel functions for the jump-diffusion models. The purpose of the present paper is to study gamma and beta Nadaraya–Watson estimators of first and second infinitesimal moments of jump-diffusion models. We obtain the consistency and asymptotic normality of estimators under recurrence and stationarity. Furthermore, we study the infinite jump activity case in finite interval. In other words, the jumps parts in this paper can be compensated.

The rest of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 introduces the jump-diffusion models and asymmetric kernel functions. This Section defines the conditional moments of the jump-diffusion model and derive the gamma and beta kernel estimators for the conditional moments and Section 3 presents assumptions, some useful preliminary results about the local time and the main results of our paper. Section 4 contains the proofs of the presented results.

2. Jump-diffusion model and asymmetric kernel functions

During the last decade, jump-diffusion models have been considered as a valuable tool in the modeling of stochastic differential equations. The jump-diffusion models have been widely used in a variety of financial applications. Usually, jump-diffusion models consist of two parts, the Brownian motion and the Poisson process. The first attempt to incorporate jumps into diffusion model was made by Merton (Citation1976). Later on, jump-diffusion models have been extended in various directions by specifying different structures for the drift, diffusion, and jump components. Kou (Citation2002) and Ramezani and Zeng (Citation2007) used an asymmetric double exponential distribution for log of jump part and showed that the resulting model could capture asymmetric leptokurtic features and volatility smile features frequently observed in financial data. For other contributions on jump-diffusion processes and their applications, see, AÏt-Sahalia and Jacod (Citation2009), Bandi and Nguyen (Citation2003), Beckers (Citation1981), and the references therein.

Our motivation is to study the nonparametric estimation for jump-diffusion model stated below:(2.1) dXt=[μ(Xt-)-λ(Xt-)Yc(Xt-,y)Π(dy)]dt+σ(Xt-)dWt+dJt,(2.1)

where μ(x) and σ(x) are smooth functions, {Wt,t0} is a standard Brownian motion, {Jt,t0} is a jump process independent of {Wt,t0}, and λ(x) is the conditional intensity of the jumps. Furthermore, we use c(·,ξ) to characterize the impact of jumps, where ξ is a random variable with range Y and Π(y) is the probability distribution function of ξ. There are several studies on specification of Jt. For example, Jt=ξN, where N is a Poisson process with an intensity λ(Xt) and ξ is the jump size having the time-invariant distribution Π(y). We denote ΔXt=Xt-Xt-, and have(2.2) dJt=ΔXt=Yc(Xt-,y)N(dt,dy).(2.2)

The integral form is as follows:(2.3) Xt+Δ=Xt+tt+Δμ(Xs-)ds+tt+Δσ(Xs-)dWs+tt+ΔYc(Xt-,y)ν¯(ds,dy),(2.3)

where(2.4) ν¯(ds,dy)=N(dt,dy)-E(N(dt,dy))=N(dt,dy)-λ(Xt-)Π(dy)dt(2.4)

is a compensated Poisson random measure. From Equations (2.2) and (2.4), we have(2.5) tt+ΔYc(Xs-,y)ν¯(ds,dy)=tt+ΔdJs-tt+Δλ(Xs-)EY[c(Xs-,ξ)]ds,(2.5)

and it represents the variation between t and t+Δ due to discontinuous jumps. The conditional moments of the jump-diffusion models are defined by the following relations (cf. Bandi & Nguyen, Citation2003):(2.6) M1(x):=limΔ01ΔE[Xt+Δ-Xt|Xt=x]=μ(x),(2.6) (2.7) M2(x):=limΔ01ΔE[(Xt+Δ-Xt)2|Xt=x]=σ2(x)+λ(x)EY[c2(x,ξ)](2.7)

Many researchers have used nonparametric techniques to study the jump-diffusion models. Schmisser (Citation2014) discussed the nonparametric adaptive estimation of the drift for a jump-diffusion process and provided the bounds for the risks of the two estimators for ergodic and strictly stationary. Lin and Wang (Citation2010) considered the empirical likelihood inference for jump-diffusion model. Hanif, Lin, and Wang (Citation2012) discussed nonparametric estimation of the second infinitesimal moment by using the reweighted Nadaraya–Watson approach of the underlying jump-diffusion model and established the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the second infinitesimal moment. Hanif (Citation2012) studied the nonparametric estimations of first and second infinitesimal moments based on the local linear estimators for jump-diffusion models.

In fixed symmetric kernel, the allocation of weights is outside the density support when smoothing is made and it causes the boundary bias. To avoid the boundary bias, Chen (Citation2000) proposed a gamma kernel function as the gamma density function that has flexible shapes and lies within [0, ). The gamma kernel function is defined asKG(x/b+1,b)(a)=ax/bexp(-a/b)bx/b+1Γ(x/b+1),

where Γ(m)=0ym-1exp(-y)dy,m>0 is the gamma function, x is the design point, and b the smoothing parameter. The density function of gamma distribution having support [0,) implies that gamma kernel function does not generate the boundary bias. Furthermore, the asymptotic properties of the gamma estimators depend on the position of the design point x.

Beta kernel function can be written asKB(x,b)(a)=ax/b(1-a)(1-x)/bB{x/b+1,(1-x)/b+1},

where B(l,m)=01yl-1(1-y)m-1,l,m>0 is the beta function and b is the smoothing parameter. The density function of beta distribution has support [0, 1]. Beta kernel function has unique features as the shape and the amount of smoothing change according to the position of the design points x. Beta kernel assigns no weight outside the data support and is free from the boundary bias.

Remark 1

In fixed kernel function, one works by using K(XiΔn,T-ah), whereas in asymmetric kernel uses KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T). Furthermore, KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T) is not fixed and varies according to the design point x.

The Gamma Nadaraya–Watson estimators of M1(x) and M2(x) are denoted by M^NW1(x,b) and M^NW2(x,b) defined by(2.8) M^NW1(x,b)=i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)X(i+1)Δn,T-XiΔn,TΔn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)(2.8)

and(2.9) M^NW2(x,b)=i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)X(i+1)Δn,T-XiΔn,T2Δn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T),(2.9)

respectively. Whereas, T, Δn,T:=T/n0 and b=bn,T0 as n. Similarly beta Nadaraya–Watson estimators of M1(x) and M2(x) are obtained by replacing KG(x/b+1,b) with KB(x,b) in Equations (2.8) and (2.9). We obtain the consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimators under recurrence and stationarity.

3. Assumptions and main results

The assumptions we need for the proofs of the main results are listed below for convenient reference. Assume that I=[0,) is the range of the process Xt. Lets(α)=z0αexpz0z-2μ(x)σ2(x)dxdz

be the scale density function and m(x)=2(σ2(x)s(x))-1 denotes the speed function of the process Xt (see Bandi & Phillips, Citation2003). Moreover, z0 is any fixed point belonging to the interval specified above.

A1.

(i)

The coefficients μ(·),σ(·),c(·,y), and λ(·) have continuous derivatives of order two and satisfy (3.1) |μ(x)-μ(z)|+|σ(x)-σ(z)|+λ(x)Y|c(x,y)-c(z,y)|Π(dy)C1|x-z|(3.1) and (3.2) |μ(x)|+|σ(x)|+λ(x)Y|c(x,y)|Π(dy)C2{1+|x|}.(3.2)

(ii)

There exist constants C3 and α>2 such that (3.3) λ(x)Y|c(x,y)|αΠ(dy)C3{1+|x|α}.(3.3)

(iii)

λ(·)0 and σ2(·)>0.

Remark 2

Assumption A1 assures existence and uniqueness of a strong solution to the stochastic differential Equation (2.1).

A2.

The solution to Equation (2.1) is positive Harris recurrent.

Remark 3

Harris recurrence guarantees the existence and uniqueness of invariant measure s(dx). This assumption is much weaker than the usual assumption.

A3.

T, Δn,T:=T/n0 and b=bn,T0 as n such that(3.4) (L¯X(T,x)b)Δn,Tlog(1Δn,T)12=oa.s.(1),(3.4)

where L¯X(T,x) is defined in Lemma 3.

A4.

T, Δn,T:=T/n0 and b=bn,T0 as n such that(Tb)Δn,Tlog(1Δn,T)12=oa.s.(1).

Now we describe results regarding the local time that will be useful in obtaining the main results of this paper (see, Revuz & Yor, Citation2003).

Lemma 1

Let the process Xt be a semimartingale with quadratic variation [X]sc and LX(t,a) be local time at a. Then for every positive bounded Borel measurable function g 0LX(t,a)g(a)da=0tg(Xs-)d[X]sca.s.

Lemma 2

Let X be a semimartingale satisfying 0<st|ΔXs|< a.s. t>0. Then, for any a and t, we haveL¯X(t,a):=limε012ε0t1(|Xt-a|ε)d[X]sc=1σ2(a)LX(t,a)a.s.

Lemma 3

Let Xt be the process defined by Equation (2.1) and b=bn,T0 as n see, e.g. Bandi and Nguyen (Citation2003). If(3.5) 1bΔn,Tlog(1Δn,T)12=o(1),(3.5)

then(3.6) L¯^X(T,x)a.s.L¯X(T,x).(3.6)

It is well known that for recurrent diffusion process, the local time for a fixed T can be consistently estimated by(3.7) L¯^X(T,x)=Δn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)(3.7)

based on asymmetric kernel (gamma kernel). Similarly, we can obtain results for beta kernel function by replacing KG(x/b+1,b) with KB(x,b).

We now give the main results of our paper.

Theorem 1

Under assumptions A1–A3,M^NW1(x,b)a.s.M1(x).

Furthermore, if b5/2L¯X(T,x)=Oa.s.(1), then for “interior x(3.8) b1/2L¯X(T,x)M^NW1(x,b)-M1(x)-bBM^NW1(x,b)N0,M2(x)2πx1/2,(3.8)

where BM^NW1(x,b) denotes bias of the estimator M^NW1(x,b), given byBM^NW1(x,b)=(M1(x))1+xs(x)s(x)+x2(M1(x)).

Similarly for “boundary x”, if b3L¯X(T,x)=Oa.s.(1), then(3.9) bL¯X(T,x)M^NW1(x,b)-M1(x)-bBM^NW1(x,b)N0,M2(x)Γ(2d+1)22d+1Γ2(d+1).(3.9)

Theorem 2

Under assumptions A1–A3,M^NW2(x,b)a.s.M2(x).

Furthermore, if b5/2L¯X(T,x)Δn,T=Oa.s.(1), then for “interior x(3.10) b1/2L¯X(T,x)Δn,TM^NW2(x,b)-M2(x)-bBM^NW2(x,b)N0,2(M2(x))2πx1/2,(3.10)

whereBM^NW2(x,b)=(M2(x))1+xs(x)s(x)+x2(M2(x)).

Similarly for “boundary x”, if b3L¯X(T,x)Δn,T=Oa.s.(1), then(3.11) bL¯X(T,x)Δn,TM^NW1(x,b)-M2(x)-bBM^NW2(x,b)N0,4(M2(x))2Γ(2d+1)22d+1Γ2(d+1).(3.11)

In available literature, the asymptotic law of gamma and beta Nadaraya–Watson estimators can also be obtained by assuming the stationarity of the process Xt. We assume that the speed function m(x) satisfies 0m(x)dx<, where f(x) is the stationary distribution. Furthermore, it requires that L¯X(T,x)/Ta.s.f(x) and s(x)/s(x)a.s.f(x)/f(x). The results are given for such an idea in the following corollaries for “interior x” and “boundary x”, respectively.

Corollary 1

Under assumptions A1 and A4,M^NW1(x,b)a.s.M1(x).

Then for “interior x”, if b=O(T-2/5), then(3.12) Tb1/2M^NW1(x,b)-M1(x)-bBM^1NW(x,b)N0,M2(x)2πx1/2f(x),(3.12)

where BM^NW1(x,b) denotes bias of the estimator M^NW1(x,b), given byBM^NW1(x,b)=(M1(x))1+xf(x)f(x)+x2(M1(x)).

Similarly for “boundary x”, if b=O(T-1/3), then(3.13) TbM^NW1(x,b)-M1(x)-bBM^NW1(x,b)N0,M2(x)Γ(2d+1)22d+1Γ2(d+1)f(x).(3.13)

Corollary 2

Under assumptions A1 and A4,M^NW2(x,b)a.s.M2(x).

Then for “interior x”, if b=O(T-2/5),(3.14) Tb1/2M^NW2(x,b)-M2(x)-bBM^NW2(x,b)N0,2(M2(x))2πx1/2f(x),(3.14)

whereBM^NW2(x,b)=(M2(x))1+xf(x)f(x)+x2(M2(x)).

Furthermore, for “boundary x”, if b=O(T-1/3), then(3.15) TbM^NW2(x,b)-M2(x)-bBM^NW2(x,b)N0,4(M2(x))2Γ(2d+1)22d+1Γ2(d+1)f(x).(3.15)

An important feature of the gamma kernel estimators is that the variance coefficient decreases as x increases. This property does not hold with any of the fixed symmetric kernels. The large value of x reduces the variance while it increases the bias of gamma kernel function. The shape of gamma kernel varies along with the position of x and the smoothing bandwidth can be changed from one place to another.

The results for the beta kernel are obtained by replacing x with x(1-x) in variance and bias of gamma kernel. For “interior x” design point x satisfies x/b, (1-x)/b and for “boundary x” it satisfies x/bd, (1-x)/bd for some d>0 as n. Furthermore, the standard theory on beta distribution has mean (x+b)/(1+2b) and variance b(x+b)(1-x+b)/{(1+2b)2(1+3b)}, respectively.

4. Proofs

Proof of Lemma 3.

By Lemma 1 and 2, we obtain(4.1) 0TKG(x/b+1,b)(Xs-)d[X,X]sσ2(Xs-)=0KG(x/b+1,b)(a)LX(T,a)σ2(a)da=L¯X(T,x)(4.1)

with probability one, around a=x.

In order to obtain the main results, it is necessary to show(4.2) Δn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)-0TKG(x/b+1,b)(Xs-)ds0(4.2)

which is equivalent to(4.3) i=0n-1iT/n(i+1)T/nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)-KG(x/b+1,b)(Xs-)ds-Δn,TKG(x/b+1,b)(X0)+Δn,TKG(x/b+1,b)(XnΔn,T)0.(4.3)

The left of Equation (4.3) is bounded by(4.4) i=0n-1iT/n(i+1)T/nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)-KG(x/b+1,b)(Xs-)ds+Δn,TKG(x/b+1,b)(X0)+Δn,TKG(x/b+1,b)(XnΔn,T)i=0n-1iT/n(i+1)T/nKG(x/b+1,b)(X~is-)(Xs--XiΔn,T)ds+Δn,TKG(x/b+1,b)(X0)+Δn,TKG(x/b+1,b)(XnΔn,T)i=0n-1iT/n(i+1)T/nKG(x/b+1,b)(X~is-)|Xs--XiΔn,T|ds+Δn,TKG(x/b+1,b)(X0)+Δn,TKG(x/b+1,b)(XnΔn,T)(4.4)

where X~is- is the some value between XiΔn,T and Xs-. Letkn,T=maxinsupiΔn,Ts(i+1)Δn,T|XiΔn,T-Xs-|.

It follows from the Lévy continuity of modulus for diffusion process that(4.5) kn,T=Oa.s.Δn,Tlog1Δn,T.(4.5)

Using Equation (4.5) and A3, we acquireKG(x/b+1,b)(X~is-)=KG(x/b+1,b)(Xs-+Oa.s.(Δn,Tlog1Δn,T))=KG(x/b+1,b)(Xs-+oa.s.(1).

The first term on the right-hand side of Equation (4.4)kn,Ti=0n-1iT/n(i+1)T/nKG(x/b+1,b)(Xs-+oa.s.(1)ds=kn,T0TKG(x/b+1,b)(Xs-+oa.s.(1)ds=kn,Tb0bKG(x/b+1,b)(a+oa.s.(1)L¯X(T,a)dakn,TbOa.s.(L¯X(T,x))

around a=x. Similarly we can also show the remaining quantities in Equation (4.4). It completes the proof of Lemma 3.

4.1. Proof of Theorem 1

To prove the consistency of M^NW1(x,b), we begin by writing(4.6) M^NW1(x,b)=i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)X(i+1)Δn,T-XiΔn,TΔn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)=i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,Tμ(Xs-)dsΔn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)+i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,Tσ(Xs-)dWsΔn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)+i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,TYc(Xs-,y)ν¯(ds,dy)Δn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)=:A11+B11+C11.(4.6)

We start withA11=i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,Tμ(Xs-)dsΔn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)=Δn,Ti=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)(μ(XiΔn,T+oa.s.(1))Δn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)=L¯X(T,a)μ(a)L¯X(T,a)a.s.μ(x)

which implies that A11a.s.M1(x), around a=x. Now consider B11, the strong law of large number for martingale difference with zero mean and finite variance Hall and Heyde (Citation1986), yields B11a.s.0 which can be proved by using Knight’s embedding theorem Revuz and Yor (Citation2003). Since C11 is martingale, it implies that C11a.s.0. It completes the proof of the consistency of M^NW1(x,b).

To derive the asymptotic normality of M^NW1(x,b), writeM^NW1(x,b)-M1(x)=i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)X(i+1)Δn,T-XiΔn,TΔn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)-M1(x)=Δn,Ti=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)1Δn,TiΔn,T(i+1)Δn,Tμ(Xs-)ds-M1(x)Δn,TΔn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)+i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,Tσ(Xs-)dWsΔn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)+i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,TYc(Xs-,y)ν¯(ds,dy)Δn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)=:A22+B11+C11.

We evaluate these terms separately.

Using A2 and Quotient Limit Theorem for Harris recurrent Markov processes Aźema, Kaplan-Duflo, and Revuz (Citation1967), A22 can be written asΔn,Ti=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)μ(XiΔn,T)-M1(x)+oa.s.(1)Δn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)=0TKG(x/b+1,b)(Xs-)μ(Xs-)-M1(x)ds+oa.s.(1)0TKG(x/b+1,b)(Xs-)ds+oa.s.(1)=0KG(x/b+1,b)(a)μ(a)-M1(x)s(a)da+oa.s.(1)0KG(x/b+1,b)(a)s(a)da+oa.s.(1),

where s(dx) is the σ- finite invariant measure. The standard theory on gamma distribution has mean x+b and variance xb+b2. Using the Taylor expansion for μ(a)-M1(x) around a=x, we get(4.7) 0KG(x/b+1,b)(a)μ(a)-M1(x)s(a)da0KG(x/b+1,b)(a)s(a)da=(M1(x))1+xs(x)s(x)+x2(M1(x))b+o(b).(4.7)

The involvement of s in the bias is less desirable, which is due to the fact that x is not the mean of gamma kernel rather it is the mode.

Now we consider B11 and C11. To obtain the results, we use the quadratic variation process. We take numerator of [B11,B11](4.8) i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)2(XiΔn,T)iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,Tσ2(Xs-)ds=Δn,Ti=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)2(XiΔn,T)1Δn,TiΔn,T(i+1)Δn,Tσ2(Xs-)ds=0TKG(x/b+1,b)2(Xs-+oa.s.(1))(σ2(Xs-+oa.s.(1))ds.(4.8)

DefineAb(x)=b-1Γ(2x/b+1)/22x/b+1Γ2(x/b+1).

Then (4.8) can be written as0TKG(x/b+1,b)2(Xs-)σ2(Xs-)ds=Ab(x)0TKG(2x/b+1,b)(Xs-)σ2(Xs-)ds=Ab(x)0KG(2x/b+1,b)(a)σ2(a)L¯X(T,a)da

by using Lemma 1. Similarly the numerator of [C11,C11] yields(4.9) i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)2(XiΔn,T)iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,TYc2(Xs-,y)ν¯(ds,dy)=Ab(x)0KG(2x/b+1,b)(a)λ(a)Yc2(a,y)Π(y)dyL¯X(T,a)da.(4.9)

From Chen (Citation2000), we have(4.10) Ab(x)=b-1/22πx1/2+o(b-1/2)for interiorxb-1Γ(2d+1)22d+1Γ2(d+1)+o(b-1)for boundaryx.(4.10)

Hence, for “interior xb1/2[B11,B11]a.s.σ2(x)2πx1/2L¯X(T,x)

andb1/2[C11,C11]a.s.λ(x)Yc2(x,y)Π(y)dy2πx1/2L¯X(T,x).

Therefore(4.11) b1/2L¯X(T,x)B11N0,σ2(x)2πx1/2(4.11)

and(4.12) b1/2L¯X(T,x)C11N0,λ(x)Yc2(x,y)Π(y)dy2πx1/2.(4.12)

If b5/2L¯X(T,x)=Oa.s.(1), we obtainb1/2L¯X(T,x)M^NW1(x,b)-M1(x)-bBM^NW1(x,b)N0,M2(x)2πx1/2,

where BM^NW1(x,b) denotes bias of the estimator M^NW1(x,b), given byBM^NW1(x,b)=(M1(x))1+xs(x)s(x)+x2(M1(x)).

The results for “boundary x” can be established similarly. It completes the Proof of Theorem 1.

4.2. Proof of Theorem 2

To prove the consistency of M^NW2(x,b), note that(X(i+1)Δn,T-XiΔn,T)2=X(i+1)Δn,T2-XiΔn,T2-2XiΔn,T[X(i+1)Δn,T-XiΔn,T]=iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,T(σ2(Xs-)+(Yc2(Xs-,y)Π(dy))λ(Xs-))ds+2iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,T(Xs--XiΔn,T)μ(Xs-)ds+2iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,T(Xs--XiΔn,T)σ(Xs-)dWs+iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,TY((Xs-+c)2-Xs-2-2XiΔn,Tc(Xs-,y))ν¯(ds,dy).

Inserting the four terms into M^NW2(x,b), we seprate M^NW2(x,b) into four partsA33+B33+C33+D33.

The first term(4.13) A33=i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,T(σ2(Xs-)+(Yc2(Xs-,y)Π(dy))λ(Xs-))dsΔn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)(4.13) a.s.L¯X(T,a)(σ2(a)+Yc2(a,y)Π(dy)λ(x))L¯X(T,a)(4.14) a.s.σ2(x)+Yc2(x,y)Π(dy)λ(x)=σ2(x)+EY[c2(x,ξ)]λ(x)=M2(x)(4.14)

around a=x.

We now consider B33. Previous arguments imply thatiΔn,T(i+1)Δn,T(Xs--XiΔn,T)μ(Xs-)ds=Oa.s.(Δn,Tlog(1Δn,T))12iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,Tμ(Xs-)ds,

then(4.15) B33=2i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,T(Xs--XiΔn,T)μ(Xs-)dsΔn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)a.s.0.(4.15)

Similarly, we can also obtain(4.16) C33a.s.0(4.16)

and(4.17) D33a.s.0.(4.17)

Combining Equations (4.14), (4.15), (4.16), and (4.17), we getM^NW2(x,b)a.s.M2(x).

It shows the consistency of estimator M^NW2(x,b).

For asymptotic normality of M^NW2(x,b), we proceed asM^NW2(x,b)-M2(x)=Δn,Ti=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)1Δn,TiΔn,T(i+1)Δn,T(σ2(Xs-)+(Yc2(Xs-,y)Π(dy))λ(Xs-))ds-M2(x)Δn,TΔn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)+2i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,T(Xs--XiΔn,T)μ(Xs-)dsΔn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)+2i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,T(Xs--XiΔn,T)σ(Xs-)dWsΔn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)+i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)+iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,TY((Xs-+c)2-Xs-2-2XiΔn,Tc(Xs-,y))ν¯(ds,dy).Δn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)=:A44+B44+C44+D44.

First, we considerA44=Δn,Ti=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)1Δn,T[iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,T(σ2(Xs-)+(Yc2(Xs-,y)Π(dy))λ(Xs-))ds-M2(x)Δn,T]Δn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)=Δn,Ti=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)[(σ2(XiΔn,T)+(Yc2(x,y)Π(dy))λ(x))-M2(x)]+oa.s.(1)Δn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)=0KG(x/b+1,b)(a)[(σ2(a)+(Yc2(x,y)Π(dy))λ(x))-M2(x)]s(a)da+oa.s.(1)0KG(x/b+1,b)(a)s(a)da+oa.s.(1),

where s(dx) is the σ- finite invariant measure. Taylor expansion for (σ2(a)+(Yc2(x,y)Π(dy))λ(x))-M2(x) around a=x gives(4.18) (M2(x))1+xs(x)s(x)+x2(M2(x))b+o(b).(4.18)

The quadratic variation process of C44 provides that=4i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)2(XiΔn,T)(iΔn,T(i+1)Δn,T(Xs--XiΔn,T))2σ2(Xs-)ds[Δn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)]2=4Δn,T2i=1n-1KG(x/b+1,b)2(XiΔn,T)(σ4(XiΔn,T)+oa.s.(1))[Δn,Ti=1nKG(x/b+1,b)(XiΔn,T)]2.

Following Equation (4.8), for “interior xb1/2Δn,T[C44,C44]a.s.2σ4(x)πx1/2L¯X(T,x)

and(4.19) b1/2L¯X(T,x)Δn,TC44N0,2σ4(x)πx1/2.(4.19)

For D44, it is similar to (4.9). We omit it here.

If b5/2L¯X(T,x)Δn,T=Oa.s.(1), then we getb1/2L¯X(T,x)Δn,TM^NW2(x,b)-M2(x)-bBM^NW2(x,b)N0,2(M2(x))2πx1/2,

whereBM^NW2(x,b)=(M2(x))1+xs(x)s(x)+x2(M2(x)).

Similarly, we can obtain the results for “boundary x”. This leads to the Proof of Theorem 2.

For beta kernel function, Chen (Citation2000) provided thatAb(x)=b-1/22πx(1-x)+o(b-1/2)ifx/band(1-x)/bb-1Γ(2d+1)22d+1Γ2(d+1)+o(b-1)ifx/band(1-x)/bd,

where d is a nonnegative constant. Furthermore, to get the results, it needs to defineAb(x)=B{(2x/b+1),2(1-x)/b+1}/B2{(x/b+1),(1-x)/b+1}.

The rest of the procedure is similar to gamma kernel as prescribed above.

Our findings indicate that the corollaries can be proved on the same steps as followed in the case of theorems.

Additional information

Funding

The author received no direct funding for this research.

Notes on contributors

Muhammad Hanif

Muhammad Hanif is an associate professor in the Department of Mathematics and Statistics, PMAS-Arid Agriculture University, Rawalpindi, Pakistan. His major research interests are Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Mathematical Statistics, Nonparametric Estimation.

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