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Research Article

Analytical solutions of a time-fractional nonlinear transaction-cost model for stock option valuation in an illiquid market setting driven by a relaxed Black–Scholes assumption

, & | (Reviewing Editor)
Article: 1352118 | Received 26 Jul 2016, Accepted 04 Jul 2017, Published online: 14 Jul 2017

Abstract

In financial mathematics, trading in an illiquid market has become a topic of great concern since assets in such market cannot be sold easily for cash without at least a minimal loss of value. This may be due to uncertainty traceable to factors like lack of interested buyers, transaction cost, and so on. Here, we obtain analytical solutions of a time-fractional nonlinear transaction-cost model for stock option valuation in an illiquid market through a relatively new semi-analytical method: modified differential transform method. Firstly, we considered a nonlinear option pricing model obtained when the constant volatility assumption of the classical linear Black–Scholes option pricing model is relaxed by including transaction cost. Thereafter, we extend, for the first time in literature, this nonlinear option pricing model to a time-fractional ordered form, and obtain approximate-analytical solutions to this new nonlinear model via the proposed technique. For efficiency and reliability of the method, two cases with five examples are considered: case 1 with two examples for time-integer order, and case 2 with three examples for time-fractional order. Our results strongly agree with the associated exact solutions in literature and those obtained via the application of Adomian Decomposition Method (ADM) even though our approximate solutions include only terms up to time power two, accuracy is improved for more terms. This therefore, shows that the result obtained via the ADM is a particular case of this present work when α = 1. Maple 18 software is used for the computations done in this work.

Mathematics subject classification:

Public Interest Statement

Liquidity is a term used in finance to describe the degree to which an underlying asset can be easily sold or bought in the market setting in a way that the asset’s price is not affected. This is unlike an illiquid market where the trading assets cannot be exchanged for cash easily without a remarkable reduction in the price due to uncertainty. This therefore requires an optimal model. The classical Black–Scholes model fits in for such option trading but for some of its assumptions such as the constant nature of the drift and volatility parameters. Addressing this leads to a nonlinear option pricing model extended to time-fractional form and solved for approximate-analytical solutions via a proposed semi-analytical method.

1. Introduction

The term “liquidity” is used in describing the degree to which an underlying asset can be easily exercised (sold or bought) in the market setting in a way that the asset’s price is not affected (Acharya & Pedersen, Citation2005; Amihud & Mendelson, Citation1986). Money or cash is an example of liquid assets because it can be sold for items such as goods and services (instantly) with (or without minimal) loss of value. A liquid market is mainly described by ever ready and willing investors. However, in an illiquid market, the concerned assets cannot be sold or exchanged for cash easily without a remarkable reduction in the price due to uncertainty such as lack of interested buyers and transaction cost, to mention but a few (Keynes, Citation1971). Stock option is a good example of an illiquid asset.

The standard Black–Scholes model is a very vital tool in modern finance and option theory (Black & Scholes, Citation1973). Nevertheless, most of the assumptions under which this pricing model is formulated appear not realistic in practical settings. These assumptions include: the asset price S following a Geometric Brownian motion (GBM), constant drift parameter μ, constant volatility rate σ, lack of arbitrage opportunities (lack of risk-free profit), frictionless, and competitive markets (Edeki & Ugbebor, Citation2015; González-Gaxiola, Ruíz de Chávez, & Santiago, Citation2015). In a competitive market, there are no transaction costs (say taxes), and restrictions on trade are not honoured (say short sale constraints) (Cetin, Jarrow, & Protter, Citation2004), whereas in a competitive market, a trader is unbound to buy or sell any amount of a security without price alteration.

Based on these assumptions, the stock price S, at time t (0 < t < T) follows the stochastic differential equation (SDE):(1.1) dSS=μdt+σdWt(1.1)

where μ represents mean rate of return of S, σ is the volatility parameter, and Wt is a standard Brownian motion. Therefore, for an option value u = u(s, t), we have:(1.2) ut+rSuS+12S2σ2uSS=ru(1.2)

where uω¯ indicates partial derivative of u w.r.t. the subscripted variable ω¯, while u(0,t)=0,u(s,t)0asSus,T=S-E+, E is a constant.

In literature, a lot of models with regard to volatility have been proposed for option pricing. However, the simplest of such adopts constant volatility, whereas constant volatility cannot fully explain observed market prices for options valuation except when modified (Barles & Soner, Citation1998; Boyle & Vorst, Citation1992; Edeki, Owoloko, & Ugbebor, Citation2016; Edeki, Ugbebor, & Owoloko, Citation2016).

Many researchers have considered solving (1.2) for approximate solutions using direct, analytical, or semi-analytical methods (Allahviranloo & Behzadi, Citation2013; Ankudinova & Ehrhardt, Citation2008; Bohner & Zheng, Citation2009; Cen & Le, Citation2011; Company, Navarro, Ramón Pintos, & Ponsoda, Citation2008; Edeki, Ugbebor, & Owoloko, Citation2015; Jódar, Sevilla-Peris, Cortés, & Sala, Citation2005; Rodrigo & Mamon, Citation2006). The notion of liquidity is therefore introduced when the frictionless and the competitive markets’ assumptions are relaxed, thereby giving rise to a nonlinear version of the Black–Scholes model (as a result of transaction cost involvement) (Bakstein & Howison, Citation2003). Bakstein and Howison (Citation2003) see liquidity as a combination of trader’s individual transaction cost and a price slippage impact. It is therefore, our intention to obtain analytical solutions of the time-fractional nonlinear transaction cost model for stock prices in an illiquid market (Bakstein and Howison model (Bakstein & Howison, Citation2003)).

Recently, significant attention has been given to the study of fractional differential equations (FDEs) with their wider applications because fractional calculus seems to be a generalization of the conventional calculus (He, Citation1999). The ultimate benefit of the FDEs lies in their properties of non-locality since integer order differential operators are local operators while fractional order differential operators are nonlocal, signifying that the next state of a system depends not only on its current state but also on all of its historical states (Miller & Ross, Citation1993; Podlubny, Citation1999). Recent works on FDEs include those of (Edeki, Akinlabi, & Adeosun, Citation2016a; Ibis, Bayram, & Agargun, Citation2011; Kilbas, Srivastava, & Trujilo, Citation2006; Mokhtary, Ghoreishi, & Srivastava, Citation2016; Song, Yin, Cao, & Lu, Citation2013).

In considering the solutions of linear time-fractional Black–Scholes Equations (LTFBSEs) in option pricing and valuation; Elbeleze, Kilicman, and Taib (Citation2013) consider the application of the Homotopy Perturbation Sumudu Transform (HPSTM), Kumar et al. (Citation2012) combine the homotopy perturbation method with Laplace transform. Ghandehari and Ranjbar (Citation2014) extend the decomposition method through expansion series. Kumar, Kumar, and Singh (Citation2014) apply the HPM and HAM to solve the time-fractional Black–Scholes (TFBSE) with boundary conditions. Ahmad, Shakeel, Hassan, and Mohyud-Din (Citation2013) employ fractional variation iterative method to obtain analytical solutions of linear fractional Black–Scholes equations. Hariharan (Citation2013) use the Laplace Legendre wavelet method for numerical solutions. Recently, Ravi Kanth and Aruna (Citation2016) present fractional differential transform method (FDTM) and its modified form (MFDTM) for the solution of time- fractional B-S European option pricing equation while Khan and Ansari (Citation2016) consider same by means of sumudu transform method (STM).

In this present work, a modified version of the DTM called projected/modified differential transform method (MDTM) is adopted and presented for the first time, for analytical solutions of a time-fractional nonlinear transaction-cost model for stock option valuation in an illiquid market setting driven by a relaxed Black–Scholes model assumption. We also remark here, to the best of our knowledge, that this is the first time such nonlinear option pricing model is extended to time-fractional order type.

The remaining part of the paper is structured as follows: in Section 2, we give a brief note on the nonlinear option pricing model; in Section 3, we present an overview, the basic theorems of the semi-analytical method and the analysis of its fractional form; in Section 4, the MDTM is applied to the time-fractional order-type nonlinear option pricing model (in its general form) followed by numerical examples for some special cases with graphical interpretations; in Section 5, we give concluding remarks and summary of our results.

2. Bakstein and Howison equation: nonlinear Black–Scholes option pricing model

In this section, consideration will be on a situation where both μ (the drift parameter), and σ (the volatility parameter) can be function of time τ, stock price S and the derivatives of the option price Λ. In particular, the non-constant volatility function of the form:(2.1) σ=σ^τ,S,ΛS,2ΛS2(2.1)

is to be considered. Thus, (2.1) in (1.2) yields:(2.2) Λτ+rSΛS+12S2σ^2τ,S,ΛS,2ΛS22ΛS2-rΛ=0.(2.2)

The model Equation (1.2) can be improved upon via (2.1) in the line of transaction costs inclusion. As such, the approach of (Frey & Patie, Citation2002; Frey & Stremme, Citation1997) will be followed for the effects on the price with the result:(2.3) σ=σ^τ,S,ΛS,2ΛS21-ρSλ(S)2ΛS2(2.3)

where σ indicates the traditional volatility, ρ is a constant measuring the liquidity of the market, and λ represents the price of risk (Bakstein & Howison, Citation2003).

With the assumption that the price of risk is unity (a special case: where λ(S) = 1), and a little algebra with the notion that 1 ≈ (1 – f*)2 (1 + 2f* + O(f*)3), one can therefore write (2.2) as:(2.4) Λτ+rSΛS+12S2σ21+2ρS2ΛS22ΛS2-rΛ=0(2.4)

such that Λ(S, T) = h(S), S [0,∞). Letting t + τ = T and w(S, t) = Λ(S, τ), Equation (2.4) thus becomes:(2.5) wt+rSwS+12S2σ21+2ρS2wS22wS2=rw,wS,0=hS.(2.5)

The exact solution of (2.5) according to (Esekon, Citation2013) is of the form:(2.6) wS,t=S-ρ-1S0Sexp4r+σ28t+S04exp4r+σ24t.(2.6)

For σ, S0, S, |ρ| > 0, w(S, t) = w, while rt ≥ 0, S0 as an initial stock price, with:(2.7) wS,0=S-ρ-1S0S+S04+.(2.7)

Liu and Yong (Citation2005) considered and established the existence and uniqueness of this nonlinear model.

In what follows, we will consider (2.5) with respect to time-fractional order, thus considering the model:(2.8) αwtα=-rSwS-12S2σ21+2ρS2wS22wS2+rw,(2.8) (2.9) subject \; to:wS,0=S-ρ-1S0S+S04+.(2.9)

3. The outline of the projected DTM (Edeki, Akinlabi, & Adeosun, Citation2016b; Jang, Citation2010; Keskin, Servi, & Oturanç, Citation2011; Ravi Kanth & Aruna, Citation2012)

Here, we will present an overview of the modified DTM referred to as MDTM.

3.1. A note on some fundamental theorems and notations of the MDTM

Let x,t be an analytic function on a domain D at (x0, t0); then in considering the Taylor series expansion of x,t, regard is given to some variables sov = t instead of all the variables as in the case of the classical DTM. Thus, the MDTM of x,t with respect to t at t0 is defined as:(3.1) Ψx,h=1h!hx,ttht=t0(3.1)

such that:(3.2) x,t=h=0Ψx,ht-t0h.(3.2)

We refer to (3.2) as the modified differential inverse transform (MDIT) of Ψx,h w.r.t. t.

3.2. The fundamental theorems and properties of the MDTM

(a)

If x,t=αcx,t±βdx,t, then Ψx,h=αΨcx,h±βΨdx,h.

(b)

If x,t=αηx,ttη, then Ψx,h=αh+η!h!Ψx,h+η.

(c)

If x,t=pxηψx,txη, then Ψx,h=pxηΨx,hxη.

(d)

If px,t=Dtαx,t, then Γ1+kλPx,k=Γ1+α+kλΦx,k+αλ, and:

(3.3) Γ1+α+kλΦx,k+αλ=Γ1+kλPx,k.(3.3)

Setting αλ = 1 in (3.3) yields (3.4) and (3.5) as follows:(3.4) Φx,k+1=Γ1+αkΓ1+α1+kGx,k.(3.4)

As such, for x,t,α-analytic atx0=0(3.5) x,t=ħ=0Φx,ħtαħ.(3.5)

3.3. Analysis of the MDTM for time-fractional order

In this subsection, we will consider the nonlinear fractional differential equation (NLFDE) of the form:(3.6) Dtαx,t+Lxx,t+Nxx,t=qx,tx,0=gx,t>0(3.6)

where Dtα=αtα is the fractional Caputo derivative of =x,t; whose modified differential transform is Φ(xh), and L·andN· are linear and nonlinear differential operators w.r.t. x, respectively, while q = q(x.t) is the source term.

We re-write (3.6) as:(3.7) Dtαx,t=-Lxx,t-Nxx,t+qx,t,n-1<α<n,nN.(3.7)

Thus, applying the inverse fractional Caputo derivative, Dt-α to both sides of (3.6) gives:(3.8) x,t=g(x)+Dt-α-Lxx,t-Nxx,t+qx,t,x,0=g(x).(3.8)

Thus, expanding the analytical and continuous function, (x,t) in terms of fractional power series, the inverse modified differential transform of Φ(xh) is given as follows:(3.9) x,t=ħ=0Φx,ħtαħ=x,0+ħ=1Φx,ħtαħ,x,0=g(x).(3.9)

4. The MDTM and the nonlinear model

In this section, the MDTM approach will be applied to the model Equation (Equation2.8) as follows:(4.1) αwtα=-rSwS-12S2σ21+2ρS2wS22wS2+rw,(4.1) (4.2) subject \; to:wS,0=S-ρ-1S0S+S04+.(4.2)

Simplifying (4.1) gives:(4.3) αwtα=-rSwS+12S2σ22wS2+2ρS2wS22-rw.(4.3)

At projection, the transformation of (4.3) and (4.2) using MDTM yields (4.4) and (4.5) as follows:(4.4) MDTαwtα=-rSwS+12S2σ22wS2+2ρS2wS22-rw,(4.4) (4.5) MDTwS,0=maxS-ρ-1S0S+S04,0.(4.5)

Thus, we have:(4.6) Γ1+α1+kΓ1+αkWS,k+1=-rSWS,kS+12S2σ22WS,kS+2ρSn=0k2WS,nS2WS,k-nS-rWS,k.(4.6)

As such,(4.7) WS,k+1=-Γ1+αkΓ1+α1+krSWS,kS+12S2σ22WS,kS+2ρSn=0k2WS,nS2WS,k-nS-rWS,k,(4.7) (4.8) subject \; to:WS,0=maxS-ρ-1S0S+S04,0.(4.8)

For k = 0, we have:(4.9) WS,1=-1Γ1+αrSWS,0S+12S2σ22WS,0S2+2ρS2WS,0S22WS,0S2-rWS,0.(4.9)

For k = 1, we have:(4.10) WS,2=-Γ1+αΓ1+2αrSWS,1S+12S2σ22WS,1S2+2ρSn=012WS,nS22WS,1-nS2-rWS,1=-Γ1+αΓ1+2αrSWS,1S+12S2σ22WS,1S2+4ρS2WS,0S22WS,1S2-rWS,1.(4.10)

For k = 2, we have:(4.11) WS,3=-Γ1+2αΓ1+3αrSWS,2S+12S2σ22WS,2S2+2ρSn=022WS,nS22WS,2-nS2-rWS,2=-Γ1+2αΓ1+3αrSWS,2S+12S2σ22WS,2S2+2ρS22WS,0S22WS,2S2+2WS,1S22WS,1S2-rWS,2.(4.11)

For k = 3, we have:(4.12) WS,4=-Γ1+3αΓ1+4αrSWS,3S+12S2σ22WS,3S2+2ρSn=032WS,nS22WS,3-nS2-rWS,3=-Γ1+3αΓ1+4αrSWS,3S+12S2σ22WS,3S2+4ρS2WS,0S22WS,3S2+2WS,1S22WS,2S2-rWS,3.(4.12)

For k = 4, we have:(4.13) WS,5=-Γ1+4αΓ1+5αrSWS,4S+12S2σ22WS,4S2+2ρSn=042WS,nS22WS,4-nS2-rWS,4=-Γ1+4αΓ1+5αrSWS,4S+12S2σ22WS,4S2+4ρS2WS,0S22WS,4S2+2WS,1S22WS,3S2+122WS,2S22WS,2S2-rWS,4.(4.13)

4.1. Numerical illustration

In this subsection, two cases will be considered. Case 1 has two examples with time-integer order while case 2 has three examples with time-fractional order.

We recall (2.6) and (2.7) as follows:wS,t=w=S-ρ-1S0Sexpr+σ242t+S04expr+σ24t,

wS,0=maxS-ρ-1S0S+S04,0.

For numerical illustration, we will consider some examples for different values of S, t, and α over fixed values for the other parameters. Hence, for r = 0.06, |ρ| = 0.01, σ = 0.4, and S0 = 4, we thus have the exact solution and initial condition as:(4.14) wS,t=S+200Sexpt20+12expt10,(4.14) (4.15) wS,0=S+200S+100.(4.15)

Thus, by applying the MDTM with the above parameters, we get the following:(4.16) WS,0=100+200S+S,(4.16) (4.17) WS,1=11250Γ1+α5000-2500S1/2-75S+600S2+1200S5/2+6S3,(4.17) (4.18) WS,2=1312500Γ1+2α-125000+31250S1/2+5625S-240000S3/2-1080000S2-697200S5/2-5400S3+3600S4+7200S9/2+36S5,(4.18)

Whence,(4.19) wS,t=h=0WS,hthα=WS,0+WS,1tα+WS,2t2α+WS,3t3α+=100+200S+S+12500Γ1+α5000-2500S1/2-75S+600S2+1200S5/2+6S3tα+1312500Γ1+2α-125000+31250S1/2+5625S-240000S3/2-1080000S2-697200S5/2-5400S3+3600S4+7200S9/2+36S5t2α+.(4.19)

Tables and are for case 1 for an integer power of the time parameter, the graphs of same are in Figures and , respectively. In a similar way, Tables are for case 2 for fractional powers of the time parameter, the graphs of same are in Figures , respectively. Also, we present in comparison the exact and the approximate solutions for different values of t and α, with wr=wexact-wapprox/wexact as the relative error.

Table 1. Case 1 for t = 0 and α = 1

Table 2. Case 1 for t = 0.5 and  α = 1

Figure 1. Graph for case 1 w.r.t. Table .

Figure 1. Graph for case 1 w.r.t. Table 1.

Figure 2. Graph for case 1 w.r.t. Table .

Figure 2. Graph for case 1 w.r.t. Table 2.

Table 3. Case 2 for t = 0.5 and α = 0.5

Table 4. Case 2 for t = 0.5 and α = 1.5

Table 5. Case 2 for t = 1 and α = 2.5

Figure 3. Graph for case 2 w.r.t. Table .

Figure 3. Graph for case 2 w.r.t. Table 3.

Figure 4. Graph for case 2 w.r.t. Table .

Figure 4. Graph for case 2 w.r.t. Table 4.

Figure 5. Graph for case 2 w.r.t. Table .

Figure 5. Graph for case 2 w.r.t. Table 5.

5. Concluding remarks

In this paper, we considered analytical solutions of a time-fractional nonlinear transaction-cost model for stock option valuation in an illiquid market setting driven by a relaxed Black–Scholes model assumption through a relatively new semi-analytical method called the modified differential transform method (MDTM). Firstly, we considered a nonlinear option pricing model obtained when the constant volatility assumption of the famous linear Black–Scholes option pricing model is relaxed through the inclusion of transaction cost. Thereafter, we extend, for the first time in literature, this nonlinear option pricing model to a time-fractional ordered form, and obtained approximate-analytical solutions to this new nonlinear model via the proposed solution technique. For efficiency and reliability of the method, we considered two cases with five examples: case 1 with two examples for time-integer order, and case 2 with three examples for time-fractional order. Our results are very interesting, they conform with the associated exact solutions obtained by Esekon (Citation2013), and those of González-Gaxiola et al. (Citation2015) using the Adomian decomposition method; even though our approximate solutions include only terms up to time power three (3), accuracy is improved for more terms. This therefore shows that the work of González-Gaxiola et al. (Citation2015) is a particular case of our present work when α = 1. Maple 18 software is used for all the numerical computations done in this work. Hence, the method is a good candidate for solving linear and nonlinear differential equations (models) with time- or space fractional orders, though the application of the method to differential equations (linear and nonlinear option pricing models) with complex-fractional orders is yet to be considered in its wider sense.

Funding

This work was supported by Covenant University [grant number CUCRID/PSG/VC/17/07/14-FS].

Acknowledgements

The authors are sincerely grateful to Covenant University for financial support and provision of good working environment. They also wish to thank the anonymous referee(s) for their constructive and helpful comments.

Additional information

Notes on contributors

S.O. Edeki

S.O. Edeki is a lecturer at the Department of Mathematics, Covenant University, Ota, Nigeria. His research areas include financial mathematics, fractional calculus, and stochastic differential equations. He has published reasonable number of research articles in reputable international journals indexed and abstracted in scopus/ISI.

O.O. Ugbebor

O.O. Ugbebor serves as a full professor at the Department of Mathematics, University of Ibadan, Nigeria. She received her BSc and PhD degrees from University of Ibadan, Nigeria and University of London, respectively. Her research areas include probability theory, stochastic processes, and financial mathematics. She has good number of published articles in well-indexed journals both at local and international levels.

E.A. Owoloko

E.A. Owoloko is a senior lecturer at the Department of Mathematics, Covenant University, Ota, Nigeria. He obtained his PhD degree from Covenant University. His research areas include financial mathematics and operation research. He has many research papers in well-indexed journals.

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