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Research Article

An improved approach to report creatinine-corrected analyte concentrations in urine

(Private Consultant) | (Reviewing Editor)
Article: 1259880 | Received 02 Apr 2016, Accepted 07 Nov 2016, Published online: 21 Nov 2016

Abstract

Traditionally, urinary analyte concentrations (UACObs) are divided by the observed urine creatinine (UCRObs) concentrations to allow for hydration correction. However, this method ignores the variability in the levels of urine creatinine due to such factors as age, gender, race/ethnicity, and others. Consequently, a method to develop a correction factor that incorporates adjustment due to most, if not all the factors that may affect urine creatinine concentrations was developed. This correction factor is applied to UCRObs to determine UCRCorr, which can then be used in place of UCRObs to compute modified creatinine-corrected analyte concentration as UACObs/UCRCorr instead of UACObs/UCRObs. For this study, data for urine creatinine from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) for 2007–2010 were used to develop this correction factor to account for variability in urine creatinine due to age, race/ethnicity, gender, and body mass index. For each participant, correction factor β and its standard error for each of the 64 categories of age-race/ethnicity-gender were computed. In order to compute creatinine-corrected analyte concentration, observed analyte concentration was divided by the corrected value of observed urine creatinine whereas the corrected value of urine creatinine was the observed value minus the correction factor. Correction factor for each participant was a random number drawn from the normal distribution with mean β and standard deviation SE. The proposed methodology was applied to the 2009–2010 NHANES data for urinary 3-phenoxybenzoic acid, for 2013–2014 NHANES data for urinary cadmium and lead, and NHANES 2011–2012 data for urinary perchlorate, nitrate, and thiocyanate.

Public Interest Statement

Urine is the preferred matrix in which to measure the concentration of many environmental toxicants. Measured concentration of toxicants in urine may, however, be affected by how diluted the urine sample may be. In order to nullify the effect of urinary dilution, toxicant concentrations in urine are usually reported as per unit weight of creatinine present in the urine. This method of reporting toxicant concentrations in urine ignores the “natural” variability in urinary creatinine concentrations due to age, gender, race, and other factors. This may lead to reported toxicant concentrations being too high or too low compared to the “true” toxicant concentrations. This communication proposes a numerical correction factor that should be applied to the observed creatinine concentrations before using them to report toxicant concentrations as per unit weight of urinary creatinine.

1. Introduction

1.1. Literature review and statement of the problem

Analyte concentrations in urine are often reported as creatinine-corrected concentrations. If observed analyte concentration was UACObs and observed urine creatinine concentration was UCRObs, then creatinine corrected analyte concentration, UACCorr1 is reported as UACObs/UCRObs. Since, most of the times, UCRObs is measured in spot urine samples, rather than 24-h urine samples, hydration correction becomes necessary. Reporting of UACCorr1, rather than UACObs is supposed to adjust for hydration correction. This mechanism of reporting UACs implicitly assumes that UCRObs are affected by urinary dilution only. Barr et al. (Citation2005) used data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, www.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes.htm) for the years 1988–1994 and showed that age, gender, race/ethnicity, and body mass index (BMI) also affect UCRObs. For example, Barr et al. (Citation2005) showed non-Hispanic blacks (NHB) to have higher mean UCRObs than non-Hispanic whites (165.4 vs. 124.6 mg/dL) and females to have lower mean UCRObs than males (113.5 vs. 148.3 mg/dL). In addition, children aged 6–11 years and senior citizens aged ≥70 years old were shown to have the lowest levels of UCRObs (102.1 and 97.99 mg/dL, respectively) and those aged 12–19 and 20–29 years were shown to have the highest levels of UCRObs (161.5 and 161.8 mg/dL, respectively); UCRObs for the samples collected in morning was higher than for the samples collected in the evening; for a unit increase in BMI, UCRObs was found to increase by 1.3 g/dL, persons with diabetes had lower UCRObs than persons without diabetes; and kidney function was also shown to affect UCRObs (Barr et al., Citation2005). However, Stiegel, Pleil, Sobus, Angrish, and Morgan (Citation2015) found poor correlation between kidney injury panel and UCRObs. In kidney stone patients with Type II diabetes, HbA1c was found to be correlated with UCRObs (Fram, Moazami, & Stern, Citation2015). Decreased UCRObs was found to be associated with sleep deprivation (Giskeodegard, Davies, Revell, Keun, & Skene, Citation2015).

Consequently, the values of UCRObs must be corrected for the effect of factors other than urinary dilution before computing creatinine-corrected analyte concentrations. If the corrected value of urinary creatinine is denoted as UCRCorr, then “true” creatinine corrected analyte concentration denoted as UACCorr2 should be computed as UACObs/UCRCorr. In order to account for the effect of all factors that affect UCRObs, Barr et al. (Citation2005) recommended using unadjusted UACObs in the regression models as dependent variable with UCRObs used as one of the independent variables. This author fully supports this recommendation. When UCRObs is used as one of the independent variables in statistical models, UACObs continues to be reported in per unit volume of the urine, for example, ng/mL or μg/L. However, data on differences in UCRObs by age, gender, and race/ethnicity as provided by Barr et al. (Citation2005) can still be used to compute UACCorr2 as will be seen in this communication.

Recently, O’Brien, Upson, Cook, and Weinberg (Citation2015) proposed a two-stage model to adjust for the effect of factors other than dilution on UCRObs. It would be of interest to compare the performance of single-stage adjustment model as proposed by Barr et al. (Citation2005) and two-stage adjustment model as proposed by O’Brien et al. (Citation2015). However, this may be a topic for future research and beyond the scope of this study as described in the next section.

1.2. Study objectives and proposed methodology

The sole objective of this study was to evaluate how traditional method of computing UAC, i.e. UACCorr1 performs as compared with corrected method of computing UAC, i.e. UACCorr2 for a selected number of urinary analytes. The correction factor needed to convert log 10 transformed values of UCRObs or log 10(UCRObs) to log 10 transformed values of UCRCorr or log 10(UCRCorr) will be determined by fitting a regression model for log 10(UCRObs) as the dependent variable and age, race/ethnicity, gender, and BMI as the independent variables. The regression slope β along with its standard error SE for 64 combinations of age, race/ethnicity, and gender to be presented as an Excel Table will provide a correction factor for each of these 64 demographic groups needed to convert log 10(UCRObs) to log 10(UCRCorr). The data presented in this Table can be used in practical clinical situations where UCRObs and UACObs are available but UACCorr2 may be needed. A large data-set on UCR from NHANES for the period 2007–2010 will be used to fit the proposed model. The applicability of the correction factors developed by fitting the model for 2007–2010 will be tested for NHANES data for 2011–2012 and 2013–2014.

2. Materials and methods

All data available in the public domain from NHANES used for this study were collected by necessary approvals of the Institutional Review Boards of the National Center for Health Statistics and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

2.1. Data source and data description

2.1.1. Urine creatinine database

Data from NHANES (www.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes.htm) from demographic, urine creatinine (UCR), and body measure files for those aged ≥6 years for the period 2007–2014 were downloaded and match merged. The sampling plan for NHANES is a complex, stratified, multistage, probability cluster designed to be representative of the civilian, non-institutionalized U.S. population. Sampling weights are created in NHANES to account for the complex survey design, including oversampling, survey non-response, and post-stratification. A total of 31,964 participants with non-missing values of UCR were available for analysis. For the purpose of this study, overall database for 2007–2014 was split in to three databases, namely, data for 2007–2010, 2011–2012, and 2013–2014, respectively. Detailed sample sizes are given in Table . All data analyses completed for this study incorporated sampling weights as well as survey design characteristics, namely, stratification and clustering.

Table 1. Un-weighted sample sizes by age, gender, race/ethnicity, and survey year. Data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2007–2014

2.1.2. Databases for urine cadmium and lead; urine perchlorate, nitrate, and thiocyanate; and urine 3-phenoxybenzoic acid

In order to generate a database for 3-phenoxybenzoic acid (3-PBA), data from NHANES for 2009–2010 from demographic, body measures, and pyrethroids, herbicide, and organophosphate metabolite files were downloaded and match merged by the ID for each participant labeled as SEQN in NHANES data files. A total of 2,703 participants aged ≥6 years with non-missing values of 3-PBA were available for analysis. Details are given in Table . Percent observations at or above the limit of detection (LOD) for 3-PBA were 73.4%.

Table 2. Unweighted sample sizes for urinary 3-phenoxybenzoic acid for 2009–2010, urinary cadmium (UCD) and lead (UPB) for 2013–2014, and urinary perchlorate (UP8), nitrate (UNO3), and thiocyanate (USCN) for 2011–2012 by gender, race/ethnicity, and age. Data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2009–2010

In order to generate a database for urinary cadmium (UCD) and lead (UPB), data from NHANES for 2013–2014 from demographic, body measures, and urinary metal files were downloaded and match merged by the ID for each participant labeled as SEQN in NHANES data files. A total of 2,681 participants aged ≥6 years for UCD and UPB were available for analysis. Details are given in Table . Percent observations at or above LOD for UCD were 89.3% and 97.2% for UPB.

In order to generate a database for urinary perchlorate (UPC8), nitrate (UNO3), and thiocyanate (UTHIO), data from NHANES for 2011–2012 from demographic, body measures, and UPC8, UNO3, and UTHIO files were downloaded and match merged by the ID for each participant labeled as SEQN in NHANES data files. A total of 2,506 participants aged ≥6 years were available for analysis. Details are given in Table . Percent observations at or above LOD for UPC8, UNO3, and UTHIO were 100, 99.7, and 99.9, respectively. All values below the LOD were imputed as LOD/Sqrt(2).

2.2. Laboratory methods

Urine creatinine was assayed by an enzymatic method using Roche/Hitachi Modular P Chemistry Analyzer in which creatinine is converted to creatine under the activity of creatininase. Details are provided at http://wwwn.cdc.gov/Nchs/Nhanes/2013-2014/ALB_CR_H.htm#Description_of_Laboratory_Methodology. UPC8, UNO3, and UTHIO were measured by ion chromatography coupled with electrospray tandem mass spectrometry. Details are provided at http://wwwn.cdc.gov/Nchs/Nhanes/2009-2010/PERNT_F.htm#Description_of_Laboratory_Methodology. UCD and UPB were assayed by inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry in a multi-element analytical technique (http://wwwn.cdc.gov/Nchs/Nhanes/2009-2010/UHM_F.htm#Description_of_Laboratory_Methodology). 3-PBA was extracted using an automated solid phase extraction system (http://wwwn.cdc.gov/Nchs/Nhanes/2009-2010/UPHOPM_F.htm#Description_of_Laboratory_Methodology).

2.3. Outcome variables

Since the distribution of UCRObs was found to be positively skewed (skewness = 1.1, see Table ), log 10 transformed values of UCRObs were used as the outcome/dependent variable for the regression model fitted to predict the values of UCR. log 10 transformed values of 3-PBA, UCD, UPB, UPC8, UNO3, and UTHIO were used to compute geometric means for these six analytes by both traditional as well as modified methods to compute creatinine-corrected urinary analyte concentrations.

Table 3. Un-adjusted means and geometric means with 95% confidence intervals in mg/dL for urine creatinine by age, gender, and race/ethnicity for 2007–2010. Data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2007–2010

2.4. Covariates/independent variables

Gender (males, females), race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic white or NHW, non-Hispanic black or NHB, all Hispanics or HISP, other unclassified race/ethnicities or OTH), and age (6–11 or A6, 12–19 or A12, 20–29 or A20, 30–39 or A30, 40–49 or A40, ≥50 or A50+ years) were used as the categorical covariates/independent variables and body mass index (BMI) was used as the continuous independent variable to fit regression model for UCRObs.

2.5. Statistical analysis

All data were analyzed using SAS University Edition (www.sas.com). Specifically, Proc SURVEYREG was used to compute unadjusted geometric means (UGM). Pairwise comparisons to evaluate statistical differences between UGMs were done using t-test. All pairwise UGMs were considered to be statistically significant if α < 0.05.

2.5.1. Analysis of urine creatinine data

First a regression model with log 10(UCRObs) as dependent variable and age, gender, race/ethnicity, and BMI as dependent variables for NHANES 2007–2010 data was fitted. The regression slopes (β) and their standard errors (SE) for each of the 64 categories formed by 2 genders, 4 race/ethnicities, and 8 age categories were computed. Values of log 10(UCRCorr) were computed for each participant in each of the 64 categories by subtracting a randomly drawn normal variate N(βi,SE2i) for the ith category from log 10(UCRObs). Table provides β and SE for each of these 64 categories. Next, a regression model for NHANES 2007–2010 data with log 10(UCRCorr) as the dependent variable and age, gender, race/ethnicity, and body mass index as the independent variable was fitted. If the procedure of modifying log 10(UCRCorr) from log 10(UCRObs) was a success, in the model with log 10(UCRCorr) as the dependent variable, the model effect of age, gender, and race/ethnicity should no longer be statistically significant. These results are provided in Table . The adequacy of method to modify log 10(UCRCorr) from log 10(UCRObs) was further tested by applying the modification procedure to NHANES data for 2011–2012 and 2013–2014. These results are provided in Table .

Table 4. Slopes and standard errors of slopes by combinations of age, gender, and race/ethnicity (CATS_G_R_A) for the model fitted for log 10 transformed values of urine creatinine with CATS_G_R_A and body mass index used as independent variables in the modelTable Footnote*. Data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2007–2010

Table 5. Model effect statistics when regression models were fitted for log 10 transformed values of urine creatinine in mg/dL uncorrected and corrected for the effect of age, gender, race/ethnicity, and body mass index for the levels of urine creatinine. Data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2007–2010

Table 6. Model effect statistics when regression models were fitted for log 10 transformed values of urine creatinine in mg/dL corrected for the effect of age, gender, race/ethnicity, and body mass index for the levels of urine creatinine. Data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011–2014

2.5.2. Analyses of data for 3-PBA, UCD, UPB, UPC8, UNO3, and UTHIO

Data for 3-PBA, UCD, UPB, UPC8, UNO3, and UTHIO were analyzed in two different ways. First, UGMCorr1 by gender, age, and race/ethnicity, based on the values of UACCorr1 = UACObs/UCRObs were computed, then UGMCorr2 by gender, age, and race/ethnicity, based on the values of UACCorr2 = UACObs/UCRCorr were computed. These results are provided in Table for 3-PBA, in Table for UPC8, UNO3, and UTHIO, and in Table for UCD and UPB.

Table 7. Creatinine corrected and modified creatinine-corrected geometric means (GM) with 95% confidence intervals for 3-phenoxybenzoic acid by age, gender, and race/ethnicity. Data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2009–2010

Table 8. Creatinine corrected and modified creatinine-corrected geometric means (GM) with 95% confidence intervals for urinary cadmium and lead by age, gender, and race/ethnicity. Data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2013–2014

3. Results

3.1. Urine creatinine statistics

When the distribution of an analyte is positively skewed, the mean of the distribution is supposed to be substantially higher than its geometric mean (GM) and that is exactly what was observed for the distribution of UCRObs (Table ). Irrespective of age, gender, and race/ethnicity, means were generally higher than GM by about 20–30%. For example, for females, while mean was 106.1 mg/dL, the GM was 82.3 mg/dL (Table ) for a difference of about 29%.

In order to fit the model for log 10(UCRObs), 64 age, gender, race/ethnicity were used as the categorical independent variable and category representing OTH females aged ≥70 years was used as the reference category. The regression slopes (β) with respect to the reference category with their standard errors (SE) for the other 63 categories are given in Table . In order to analyze data for any urinary analyte, a randomly drawn value of β from N(β,SE2) for a specific gender-age-race/ethnicity category as listed in Table should be subtracted from the observed log 10 transformed value of UCR or log 10(UCRobs) to compute the corrected log 10 transformed value of UCR or log 10(UCRCorr). For example, if log 10(UCRobs) for a NHB male, aged 41 year was 2.3 mg/dL, then as listed in Table , Row 13, a randomly drawn variate from N(0.30341,0.5973812) should be subtracted from 2.3. If this randomly drawn variate from N(0.30341,0.5973812) was 0.385, then log 10(UCRCorr) will be 2.3–0.385 or 1.915 and UCRCorr will be 101.915 or 82.2 mg/dL.

Based on UCRObs, males were found to have statistically significantly higher means (137.4 vs. 106.1 mg/dL, p < 0.01, Table ) as well as GMs (114.0 vs. 82.3 mg/dL, p < 0.01, Table ) than females. The order of means as well as GMs by race/ethnicity was NHB (160.3, 132.6 mg/dL) > NHW (115.3, 91.5 mg/dL) > HISP (124.1, 101.2 mg/dL) > OTH (109.0, 86.0 mg/dL) and all pairwise differences were statistically significant (p ≤ 0.04, Table ). Those aged 12–19 and 20–29 years had the highest means and GMs and those aged 6–11 and ≥70 years had the lowest means and GMs (Table ).

3.2. Adequacy of fitted models for UCRObs

Neither gender-age-race/ethnicity categories nor gender, age, and race/ethnicity remained statistically significant after the models were fitted for the modified values of log 10(UCRObs) or log 10(UCRCorr) for the 2007–2010 data as would be expected. However, R2 decreased about 15% to about 3% (Table ) as would be expected. This is explained further in the Discussion section. However, when the models for log 10(UCRCorr) were fitted for 2011–2012 and 2013–2014 data, while the model effects of gender and race/ethnicity still remained statistically insignificant, effect of age became statistically significant (Table ).

3.3. Statistics for 3-PBA

UGMs for 3-PBA based on UCRobs and UCRCorr are presented in Table . UGMs based on UCRCorr were higher than those based on UCRobs irrespective of age, gender, and race/ethnicity. Males had lower UGMs than females (p < 0.01) based on UCRobs but these differences were not observed for UGMs based on UCRCorr (Table ). Similarly, based on UCRobs, UGMs for NHW > NHB (p = 0.03) but these differences disappeared for UGMs based UCRCorr (Table ).

3.4. Statistics for UCD

UGMs for UCD based on UCRobs and UCRCorr are presented in Table . UGMs based on UCRCorr were higher than those based on UCRobs irrespective of age, gender, and race/ethnicity. However, the magnitude by which UGMs for UCDCorr2 was higher than UGMs for UCDCorr1 varied by gender, race/ethnicity, and age. For example, for females, UGM for UCDCorr2 was 0.210 ng/mg creatinine and UGM for UCDCorr1 was 0.174 ng/mg creatinine or a difference of about 21%. For those aged 12–19 years, UGM for UCDCorr2 was 0.11 ng/mg creatinine and UGM for UCDCorr1 was 0.058 ng/mg creatinine or a difference of about 90%. Males had lower UGM for UCDCorr1 than females (p < 0.01, Table ) but UGMs between males and females for UCDCorr2 were not statistically significantly different (Table ). NHW had lower UGMs for UCDCorr2 than NHB (p < 0.01) but these differences were not observed between the UGMs based on UCDCorr1.

3.5. Statistics for UPB

UGMs for UPB based on UCRobs and UCRCorr are presented in Table . UGMs based on UCRCorr were higher than those based on UCRobs irrespective of age, gender, and race/ethnicity. Statistically significant differences for UGMs between males and females were not observed for UPBCorr1 but males had higher UGM than females for UPBCorr1 (p < 0.01, Table ). The order in which UGMs for UPBCorr1 by race/ethnicity was observed was OTH > NHW > HISP > NHB but the order in which UGMs for UPBCorr2 was NHB > OTH > HISP > NHW (Table ). While NHW had higher UGM for UPBCorr1 than NHB (p = 0.02), the reverse was observed for UPBCorr2 (p < 0.01, Table ).

3.6. Statistics for UPC8

UGMs for UPC8Corr2 were consistently higher than UGMs for UPC8Corr1. However, the magnitude of differences between UGMs for UPC8Corr1 and UPC8Corr2 varied with age, gender, and race/ethnicity. For example, UGMs for A12 were 2.699 and 5.205 ng/mg creatinine for UPC8Corr1 and UPC8Corr2, respectively, for a difference of about 93%. For OTH, UGMs for A12 were 3.593 and 4.790 ng/mg creatinine for UPC8Corr1 and UPC8Corr2, respectively (Table ), for a difference of about 22%. While UGMs for A12 were statistically lower than for A20+ (p < 0.01) for UPC8Corr1, these differences were not observed for UPC8Corr2. The order of UGMs by race/ethnicity for UPC8Corr1 was OTH > NHW > HISP > NHB but for UPC8Corr2, the order was HISP > NHW > OTH > NHB (Table ).

Table 9. Creatinine corrected and modified creatinine-corrected geometric means (GM) with 95% confidence intervals for urinary perchlorate, nitrate, and thiocyanate by age, gender, and race/ethnicity. Data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011–2012

3.7. Statistics for UNO3

UGMs for UNO3Corr2 were consistently higher than UGMs for UNO3Corr1. However, the magnitude of differences between UGMs for UNO3Corr1 and UNO3Corr2 varied with age, gender, and race/ethnicity. For example, UGMs for A12 for UNO3Corr1 and UNO3Corr1 were 42.162 and 81.295 μg/mg creatinine, respectively (Table ), for a difference of 93%. On the other hand, UGMs for A65+ UNO3Corr1 and UNO3Corr1 were 39.44 and 46.049 μg/mg creatinine, respectively (Table ), for a difference of 17%. While UGMs for UNO3Corr1 between A12 and A20+ were statistically significantly different (2.699 vs. 3.218 μg/mg creatinine, p < 0.01, Table ), these differences were not statistically significantly different for UNO3Corr2.

3.8. Statistics for UTHIO

UGMs for UTHIOCorr2 were consistently higher than UGMs for UTHIOCorr1. However, the magnitude of differences between UGMs for UTHIOCorr1 and UTHIOCorr2 varied with age, gender, and race/ethnicity. For example, UGMs for A6 for UTHIOCorr1 and UTHIOCorr1 were 1.277 and 1.671 μg/mg creatinine, respectively (Table ), for a difference of 31%. On the other hand, UGMs for NHB for UTHIOCorr1 and UTHIOCorr1 were 1.0 and 1.887 μg/mg creatinine, respectively (Table ), for a difference of about 89%. While for UTHIOCorr1, NHW had statistically significantly higher UTHIOCorr1 (p < 0.01, Table ) than NHB, these differences were not found to be statistically significant for UTHIOCorr2. On the other hand, NHB had statistically significantly higher UTHIOCorr2 (p < 0.01, Table ) than HISP, these differences were not found to be statistically significant for UTHIOCorr1.

4. Discussion

Traditional methods to compute creatinine-corrected analyte concentrations in urine ignore variability in the observed levels of urine creatinine due to factors other than hydration. In this paper, a modified method to compute creatinine-corrected analyte concentrations that also adjusts for variability in the observed urine creatinine measurements due to age, gender, race/ethnicity, and BMI was presented. Regression slopes (β) of correction factors with their standard errors (SE) that need to be applied to the observed values of urine creatinine before using them in the denominator to compute creatinine-corrected analyte concentrations were presented for 64 combinations of 2 genders, 8 age groups, and 4 racial/ethnic groups in Table . A random number from a normal distribution, N(β,SE2) should be used to adjust (subtract) log 10 transformed observed values of urine creatinine for an individual located in one of the 64 age-race/ethnicity-gender categories before creatinine-corrected analyte concentrations are computed for that particular individual. Analysis tool pack freely available in Excel can be easily used to generate this random number by providing mean β and SE as the standard deviation.

4.1. Urine creatinine levels

Order of observed urine creatinine means and geometric means (Table ) by age, gender, and race/ethnicity in this study was the same as reported by Barr et al. (Citation2005). However, for every age, gender, and race/ethnic category, means reported by Barr et al. (Citation2005) were higher than those observed in this study. For example, while mean reported by Barr et al. (Citation2005) for NHW was 124.6 mg/dL, the mean observed for this study was 115.3 mg/dL, a difference of 9.3 mg/dL. For those aged 12–19 years, the mean reported by Barr et al. (Citation2005) was 161.5 mg/dL, the mean observed for this study was 147.2 mg/dL, a difference of 14.3 mg/dL. On the other hand, for those aged 40–49 years, the mean reported by Barr et al. (Citation2005) was 124.6 mg/dL, the mean observed for this study was 122.5 mg/dL or the differences were minimal. The data reported by Barr et al. (Citation2005) were for the years 1998–1994 and the data reported for this study were for the years 2007–2010. It is possible that the levels of UCR over time may have decreased. More work will be needed to confirm this observation and explain the factors that may be responsible for decreasing time trends in the observed levels of UCR.

4.2. Adequacy of the model fitted for UCRCorr

The sole purpose of fitting a model for UCRCorr was to remove the variability in UCRObs that can be attributed to gender, age, and race/ethnicity. If the fit for the model for UCRCorr was a success, estimated model effects for gender, age, and race/ethnicity should not be statistically significant. And, in fact, this is what was observed (Table ). In the model fitted for UCRObs, estimated correction factors to be applicable to UCRObs were based on 64 combinations of age, gender, and race/ethnicity with the combination representing OTH females aged ≥70 being used as the reference category. It is certainly possible to use different numbers (lower or higher) of the combinations of age, gender, and race/ethnicity with a different combination of age, race/ethnicity, and gender, for example, NHB males aged 20–29 years as the reference category. It should not make a major difference but it is unknown in what way, this could have affected the estimated correction factors and the final model fit. Since the sole purpose of fitting a model for UCRCorr was to remove the variability attributable to gender, age, and race/ethnicity, R2 for the model for UCRCorr should be expected to be smaller than the R2 for the model for UCRObs and that is exactly what was observed (Table ).

There is always a concern that a model fitted for one data-set may not perform well when used for a different data-set. In order to address that concern, correction factors estimated by fitting model for UCRObs for NHANES 2007–2010 data were used to fit models for UCRCorr for both NHANES 2011–2012 and 2013–2014 data-sets. While model effects remained statistically insignificant for both gender and race/ethnicity for models for both 2011–2012 and 2013–2014 data-sets, model effect for age was observed to be statistically significant for the models for both 2011–2012 and 2013–2014 data (Table ). However, out of a total of 28 possible pairwise combinations of eight age groups, only four pairwise comparisons for 2013–2014 data-set and three pairwise comparisons for 2011–2012 data-set were found to be statistically significant.

4.3. Urinary creatinine corrected analyte concentrations – two alternate approaches

In order to compare the mean or geometric mean values of UACCorr1 and UACcorr2, it is necessary to understand the factors and the direction of effect they may have on both the numerators and denominators used in computing UACCorr1 and UACcorr2. As has been shown in this study as well as by Barr et al. (Citation2005), NHB had higher levels of UCR than NHW. As such, in order to neutralize the effect of race/ethnicity on UCRObs, UCRObs will need to be adjusted downwards for NHB and upwards for NHW or UCRCorr < UCRObs for NHW and UCRCorr > UCRObs for NHB. If race/ethnicity did not affect UACObs, then UACCorr1 > UACCorr2 for NHB and UACCorr1 < UACCorr2 for NHW. If race/ethnicity does affect both UCRObs and UACObs, then the difference in mean or geometric mean values of UACCorr1 and UACCorr2 may be small or large, positive or negative. Consequently, small differences, if so observed between UACCorr1 and UACCorr2, should not be of concern nor it should be concluded that adjustment in the values of UCRObs is of no significance. Emphasis should be placed on appropriate analytical methodology and the research has proven that the values of UCRObs, in addition to urinary dilution, are also affected by age, gender, race/ethnicity, BMI, and possibly other factors. It should also be remembered that there are multiple factors, possibly in opposite directions, which affect UCRObs. For example, for NHB children 6–11 years old, UCRObs need to be adjusted downward because of NHB race/ethnicity but upwards because of age. In order to compare the adequacy of analyte estimates based on UCRCorr, it will be unwise to make comparisons between the analyte levels based on UCRObs and UCRCorr as alluded to above. Pairwise analyte differences based on the use of UCRObs and UCRCorr can switch from being (i) statistically significant to statistically insignificant as was seen for male–female differences for 3-PBA (Table ) and for A12-A20+ differences for UPC8, (ii) statistically insignificant to statistically significant as was seen for NHW–NHB differences for UCD (Table ), and (iii) statistically significant in one direction to statistically significant in the opposite direction as was seen for NHW–NHB differences for UPB and A12-A20+ differences for UNO3. No correspondence should be inferred for the urinary analyte concentrations based on the use of UCRObs and UCRCorr.

UCRObs as well as UCRCorr based concentrations of 3-PBA for this study were found to be substantially higher than both UCRObs based concentrations of 3-PBA reported by Barr et al. (Citation2010) for NHANES data for 1999–2000 and 2001–2002, respectively, irrespective of age, gender, and race/ethnicity. For example, geometric mean for UCRObs based 3-PBA concentration for males for this study was found to be 0.377 ng/mg creatinine but 0.210 ng/mg creatinine for 1999–2000 and 0.269 ng/gm creatinine for 2001–2002 by Barr et al. (Citation2010). Also, 3-PBA concentrations were usually reported to be higher for 2001–2002 than for 1999–2000 indicating increasing levels of 3-PBA with time (Barr et al., Citation2010). In a recent study, Jain (Citation2015) confirmed increasing trends in levels of 3-PBA when 2009–2010 levels were compared with 2001–2002 levels. There was no difference in this study and the study by Barr et al. (Citation2010) in the order in which 3-PBA levels by age and gender were observed but while the order of UCRObs based 3-PBA concentrations reported by Barr et al. (Citation2010) was NHB > NHW > Mexican Americans, the order observed for this study was NHW > HISP > NHB. However, the order based on UCRCorr was NHB > HISP > NHW (Table ).

Chen, Kim, Chung, and Dietrich (Citation2013), based on NHANES 2007–2008 data reported UCDcorr1 GM levels to be 0.07 and 0.25 μg/g creatinine for adolescents aged 12–19 years and adults aged ≥20 years, respectively. For this study, UCDCorr1 levels were 0.058 and 0.16 μg/g creatinine for adolescents aged 12–19 years and adults aged 20–64 years, respectively, and UCDCorr2 levels were 0.11 and 0.229 μg/g creatinine for adolescents aged 12–19 years and adults aged 20–64 years, respectively (Table ). Wu, Schaumberg, and Park (Citation2014) reported UCD levels to be 0.29 μg/L among those aged ≥40 years. Using data from NHANES 1999–2000, Navas-Acien et al. (Citation2005) reported UCD levels among those aged ≥40 years to be 0.36 μg/L. This indicates decreased UCD levels over time. Based on data from NHANES 2003–2010, for females aged 17–39 years old, adjusted geometric means for UCD were reported to be 1.771, 1.088, 1.534 μg/L for NHW, NHB, and Mexican American females, respectively (Jain, Citation2013a). Based on the data from NHANES 1999–2004, UCDCorr1 were reported to be 0.22 μg/g creatinine (Richter, Bishop, Wang, & Swahn, Citation2009) which except for those who were 65+ years old and females are substantially higher than what was found in this study. This may be indicative of decreasing urine cadmium levels over time. Also, Richter et al. (Citation2009) reported UCDCorr1 to be 0.09, 0.09, 0.14, 0.27, 0.40, 0.46 μg/g creatinine for those who were aged 6–11, 12–19, 19–35, 35–50, 50–65, and 65+ years, respectively, each of which is higher than what was found for this study for the data for 2013–2014. Similar differences were noted for males (0.18 vs. 0.118 μg/g creatinine in this study), females (0.26 vs. 0.174 μg/g creatinine in this study), NHW (0.23 vs. 0.15 μg/g creatinine in this study), and NHB (0.20 vs. 0.136 μg/g creatinine in this study).

Based on data from NHANES 2003–2010, for females aged 17–39 years old, adjusted geometric means for UPB were reported to be 0.429, 0.412, 0.569 μg/L for NHW, NHB, and Mexican Americans females, respectively (Jain, Citation2013a). Using data from NHANES 1999–2000, Navas-Acien et al. (Citation2005) reported UPB levels among those aged ≥40 years to be 0.79 μg/L. Based on data from NHANES 1999–2004, UPBCorr1 were reported to be 0.66 μg/g creatinine (Richter et al., Citation2009) which are substantially higher than what was found in this study for 2013–2014. This may be indicative of decreasing urine lead levels over time. Also, Richter et al. (Citation2009) reported UPBCorr1 to be 0.97, 0.43, 0.48, 0.65, 0.80, 0.91 μg/g creatinine for those who were aged 6–11, 12–19, 19–35, 35–50, 50–65, and 65+ years, respectively, each of which is higher than what was found for this study. Similar differences were noted for males (0.65 vs. 0.315 μg/g creatinine in this study), females (0.67 vs. 0.325 μg/g creatinine in this study), NHW (0.64 vs. 0.329 μg/g creatinine in this study), and NHB (0.66 vs. 0.282 μg/g creatinine in this study).

Jain Citation(2013b) used 2003–2008 data from NHANES and reported unadjusted UGM levels for UPC8 among females aged 15–44 years to be 2.99 ng/mL. Steinmaus, Miller, Cushing, Blount, and Smith (Citation2013) reported higher levels of UPC8 in 2007–2008 vs. 2001–2002 (5.98 vs. 5.34 ng/mL). Schreinemachers, Sobus, Williams, and Ghio (Citation2015) used NHANES data 2005–2008 for those aged 12–59 years and reported UPC8 levels to be 4.28 ng/mL among males and 3.53 ng/mL among females. For NHANES 2001–2002, Schreinemachers (Citation2011) reported UPC8 levels to be 5.99 ng/mL among males and 5.03 among females. Ko et al. (Citation2014) reported UPC8 levels among adults aged ≥20 years to be 3.38 ng/mL for NHANES 2005–2006.

Jain Citation(2013b) used 2005–2008 data from NHANES and reported unadjusted UGM levels for UNO3 among females aged 15–44 years to be 40.1 ng/L. For NHANES 2001–2002, Schreinemachers (Citation2011) reported UNO3 levels to be 71.23 mg/L among males and 58.43 mg/L among females. Ko et al. (Citation2014) reported UNO3 levels among adults aged ≥20 years to be 40.36 ng/L for NHANES 2005–2006.

Jain Citation(2013b) used 2005–2008 data from NHANES and reported UGM levels for UTHIO among females aged 15–44 years to be 1.2 ng/L which are similar to the creatinine-corrected levels reported here for 2009–2010. Steinmaus et al. (Citation2013) reported UTHIO levels to be 2.41 ng/mL for NHANES 2001–2002 and 2.53 ng/mL for NHANES 2007–2008. For NHANES 2001–2002, Schreinemachers (Citation2011) reported UTHIO levels to be 2.84 mg/L among males and 2.02 mg/L among females. Ko et al. (Citation2014) reported UTHIO levels among adults aged ≥20 years to be 1.129 ng/L for NHANES 2005–2006.

4.4. Summary and conclusion

Since, urine creatinine levels are not only affected by hydration but also by factors like age, gender, race/ethnicity, BMI, and possibly by diabetes and impaired kidney function and possibly by yet unknown factors, it is necessary that any analysis of urinary concentrations of the chemicals of interest allow adjustments for all factors, to the degree possible, that affect urinary concentration levels of creatinine. This study was focused on the development of methodology where traditional per mg or per g creatinine analyte concentrations need to be reported. As compared to the traditional method of computing creatinine-corrected analyte concentrations in which observed analyte concentration is divided by the observed creatinine concentration, a method that uses modified creatinine concentration in the denominator in place of the observed creatinine concentration was suggested. In this study, a correction factor that can be used to modify observed creatinine concentrations before using them as the denominator to compute per mg or per g creatinine concentrations was estimated for 64 combinations of age, gender, and race/ethnicity. Table developed in this study provides the correction factor β with its standard error SE of this correction factor for these 64 combinations of age, gender, and race/ethnicity. Once a participant is identified as being in one of these 64 categories, a random number drawn from a N(β,SE2) distribution can be used to adjust observed creatinine concentrations before being used as the denominator in computing per g or per mg creatinine analyte concentrations.

Additional information

Funding

Funding. The author received no direct funding for this research.

Notes on contributors

Ram B. Jain

Ram B. Jain has been involved in Environmental Science research since 2002. He is currently retired but continues to indulge in research work using data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey in his spare time. He has published over 70 papers in various journals. His most recent publications appeared in Environmental Science and Pollution Research, Biomarkers, Journal of Chemistry, and Journal of Environmental and Health Sciences.

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